> Open Rstudio
> Write an entire blog post
> Think "This is stupid"
> git nuke the post
> Feel better for having written something and gotten it off my chest
This is a virtuous loop, because I get catharsis _and_ avoid publishing half baked thoughts
> Write an entire blog post
> Think "This is stupid"
> git nuke the post
> Feel better for having written something and gotten it off my chest
This is a virtuous loop, because I get catharsis _and_ avoid publishing half baked thoughts
January 4, 2026 at 2:37 AM
> Open Rstudio
> Write an entire blog post
> Think "This is stupid"
> git nuke the post
> Feel better for having written something and gotten it off my chest
This is a virtuous loop, because I get catharsis _and_ avoid publishing half baked thoughts
> Write an entire blog post
> Think "This is stupid"
> git nuke the post
> Feel better for having written something and gotten it off my chest
This is a virtuous loop, because I get catharsis _and_ avoid publishing half baked thoughts
Americans, how is your day to day life? The news selects for the worst of it, but what is the average day for you?
January 3, 2026 at 9:53 PM
Americans, how is your day to day life? The news selects for the worst of it, but what is the average day for you?
Guess those “51st state” threats are starting to feel a little more credible now.
January 3, 2026 at 8:26 PM
Guess those “51st state” threats are starting to feel a little more credible now.
Got fed up with literally every other package and decided to write my own function to extract adjusted survival curves from a cox model
github.com/Dpananos/dmi...
github.com/Dpananos/dmi...
dmisc/R/adjusted_survival_curves.R at master · Dpananos/dmisc
Utility Package by Demetri Pananos. Contribute to Dpananos/dmisc development by creating an account on GitHub.
github.com
January 3, 2026 at 5:12 PM
Got fed up with literally every other package and decided to write my own function to extract adjusted survival curves from a cox model
github.com/Dpananos/dmi...
github.com/Dpananos/dmi...
Allie and I no longer bet on something happening or not. Now, we provide a probability and compare brier scores
January 3, 2026 at 4:56 AM
Allie and I no longer bet on something happening or not. Now, we provide a probability and compare brier scores
Needs to be an abridged version of love is blind.
January 2, 2026 at 4:02 AM
Needs to be an abridged version of love is blind.
Less statistics this year. More of anything else.
Going to cultivate a personality
Going to cultivate a personality
January 1, 2026 at 8:41 PM
Less statistics this year. More of anything else.
Going to cultivate a personality
Going to cultivate a personality
Pandemic dip in the market no longer shows up on the ticker for ETF prices.
That’s how long ago it was.
That’s how long ago it was.
December 31, 2025 at 9:12 PM
Pandemic dip in the market no longer shows up on the ticker for ETF prices.
That’s how long ago it was.
That’s how long ago it was.
2026 and still listening to music from 2006. I have become parent, listener to “oldies”
December 31, 2025 at 8:33 PM
2026 and still listening to music from 2006. I have become parent, listener to “oldies”
After nigh 3 weeks of being on vacation and thinking about statistics on the margin, I am certain this is the way humans were meant to live and that work is pee pee poo poo
December 31, 2025 at 4:06 PM
After nigh 3 weeks of being on vacation and thinking about statistics on the margin, I am certain this is the way humans were meant to live and that work is pee pee poo poo
GPs are such a pain in the ass, wow
December 30, 2025 at 7:33 AM
GPs are such a pain in the ass, wow
I don’t want to seem ungrateful, but I’ve never really seen the appeal of RSUs.
I much prefer cash compensation as opposed to deferred cash, subject to withholding taxes, which may or may not be worth as much as I’m told today, subject to decisions I have no way of influencing.
I much prefer cash compensation as opposed to deferred cash, subject to withholding taxes, which may or may not be worth as much as I’m told today, subject to decisions I have no way of influencing.
December 29, 2025 at 5:34 PM
I don’t want to seem ungrateful, but I’ve never really seen the appeal of RSUs.
I much prefer cash compensation as opposed to deferred cash, subject to withholding taxes, which may or may not be worth as much as I’m told today, subject to decisions I have no way of influencing.
I much prefer cash compensation as opposed to deferred cash, subject to withholding taxes, which may or may not be worth as much as I’m told today, subject to decisions I have no way of influencing.
Attending a Jeopardy party for new years.
What do we think of my "Before and After" clues? Some are cribbed right from Jeopardy
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
What do we think of my "Before and After" clues? Some are cribbed right from Jeopardy
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Demetri Jeopardy "Before and After"
docs.google.com
December 27, 2025 at 5:17 PM
Attending a Jeopardy party for new years.
What do we think of my "Before and After" clues? Some are cribbed right from Jeopardy
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
What do we think of my "Before and After" clues? Some are cribbed right from Jeopardy
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
AI absolutely sucks at wordplay. It can't give me good Jeopardy "Before and After" clues
December 27, 2025 at 4:10 PM
AI absolutely sucks at wordplay. It can't give me good Jeopardy "Before and After" clues
Reflecting on this past year, I've found myself -- more than once -- threatening to no one in particular to stop consulting all together.
I spend about 10 hours a week (nights and weekends) employed by my local medical school to help with statistical aspects of research. ...
I spend about 10 hours a week (nights and weekends) employed by my local medical school to help with statistical aspects of research. ...
December 26, 2025 at 9:21 PM
Reflecting on this past year, I've found myself -- more than once -- threatening to no one in particular to stop consulting all together.
I spend about 10 hours a week (nights and weekends) employed by my local medical school to help with statistical aspects of research. ...
I spend about 10 hours a week (nights and weekends) employed by my local medical school to help with statistical aspects of research. ...
Going to the pub is a reflex instead of a conscious choice. Don't know what to do on a Friday? How about the pub! Bored? Pub! Weather nice? Pub!
This is really apparent in the summer when the weather is nice, and when I cut out booze for November, pub spend plummeted (why go if I can't drink)
This is really apparent in the summer when the weather is nice, and when I cut out booze for November, pub spend plummeted (why go if I can't drink)
December 26, 2025 at 6:55 PM
Going to the pub is a reflex instead of a conscious choice. Don't know what to do on a Friday? How about the pub! Bored? Pub! Weather nice? Pub!
This is really apparent in the summer when the weather is nice, and when I cut out booze for November, pub spend plummeted (why go if I can't drink)
This is really apparent in the summer when the weather is nice, and when I cut out booze for November, pub spend plummeted (why go if I can't drink)
Reposted by Demetri
Really outstanding post for both CS and social science folks #linkoftheday
doomscrollingbabel.manoel.xyz/p/the-empiri...
doomscrollingbabel.manoel.xyz/p/the-empiri...
December 26, 2025 at 2:49 PM
Really outstanding post for both CS and social science folks #linkoftheday
doomscrollingbabel.manoel.xyz/p/the-empiri...
doomscrollingbabel.manoel.xyz/p/the-empiri...
Oof family stone is hard to watch this year
December 26, 2025 at 12:36 AM
Oof family stone is hard to watch this year
Muppet Christmas Carol is the best tradition I’ve created. “ A Thankful Heart” always gets me, man
December 25, 2025 at 7:08 PM
Muppet Christmas Carol is the best tradition I’ve created. “ A Thankful Heart” always gets me, man
2 pm negroni lead to 3 pm nap which means 4 pm through 11 pm is a lit hydration and snacking
December 24, 2025 at 9:10 PM
2 pm negroni lead to 3 pm nap which means 4 pm through 11 pm is a lit hydration and snacking
Interested in other takes on price experimentation à la Instacart.
Economics or is there something more fundamental we miss in this kind of experimentation
Economics or is there something more fundamental we miss in this kind of experimentation
Is it economics? Sure, they are estimating an elasticity. Is that a justification? Maybe.
A few things to start: groceries are claimed to be low margin, so price optimization is understandable. Moreover, I was a bit fast to call this discrimination. It was, after all, random.
A few things to start: groceries are claimed to be low margin, so price optimization is understandable. Moreover, I was a bit fast to call this discrimination. It was, after all, random.
December 24, 2025 at 2:36 PM
Interested in other takes on price experimentation à la Instacart.
Economics or is there something more fundamental we miss in this kind of experimentation
Economics or is there something more fundamental we miss in this kind of experimentation
Allie bought these vegan stake bites.
A bit chewy but made fantastic stake substitute in my impromptu steak and egg sandwich.
In unrelated news, not working has given me time to eat and enjoy eating
A bit chewy but made fantastic stake substitute in my impromptu steak and egg sandwich.
In unrelated news, not working has given me time to eat and enjoy eating
December 24, 2025 at 5:16 AM
Allie bought these vegan stake bites.
A bit chewy but made fantastic stake substitute in my impromptu steak and egg sandwich.
In unrelated news, not working has given me time to eat and enjoy eating
A bit chewy but made fantastic stake substitute in my impromptu steak and egg sandwich.
In unrelated news, not working has given me time to eat and enjoy eating
Santa clause rally is real
December 24, 2025 at 4:38 AM
Santa clause rally is real
Gemini just showed me tarchetypes::tar_map and this is going to make things a lot easier for me.
December 23, 2025 at 8:42 PM
Gemini just showed me tarchetypes::tar_map and this is going to make things a lot easier for me.