Paul Berenberg-Gossler
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pberenberg.bsky.social
Paul Berenberg-Gossler
@pberenberg.bsky.social
Head of economics and fin. markets, German Insurance Association | fmr. DIW Berlin, CAE | proud dad | he/him | opinions and retweets are mine. https://paulberenberg.github.io/
Reposted by Paul Berenberg-Gossler
It's late in the job market season and I will post again when we have a job advertisement out, but we are hiring a full prof (W3) in Microeconomics at our Berlin campus. Earliest starting date Fall 2025 (but later also possible). Stay tuned! #Econsky
March 9, 2025 at 10:19 AM
Reposted by Paul Berenberg-Gossler
New @kiel.institute Policy Brief (with @filpet4.bsky.social): How are capital markets reacting to Germany's proposed €500bn infrastructure investment + defense spending boost? Surging Bund yields reflect growth optimism, not default concerns -- in contrast to the UK's 2022 Truss episode.
In Merz We Truss: Financial Market Reaction to Germany’s Fiscal Package | Kiel InstituteMenu
• This study analyzes capital market reactions to Germany’s recent announcement of loosening fiscal restrictions for defense and state-level spending, while establishing a €500 billion infrastructure ...
www.ifw-kiel.de
March 7, 2025 at 12:46 PM
Our latest Economics & Finance Perspectives. As we brace for challenges, Winter is Coming

🏋 GER GDP Growth: A slight decline of 0.1% in 2024, followed by modest 0.6% growth in 2025, not (!) factoring in the potential impact of Donald Trump's election on global dynamics.

www.gdv.de/gdv/themen/w...
December 6, 2024 at 10:50 AM
Reposted by Paul Berenberg-Gossler
November 15, 2024 at 12:37 PM
EconTwitter refugees: Congratulations, you've made the right choice by taking the red pill.
November 11, 2024 at 9:35 PM
Today, we published our latest (very short) "Economics & Finance Flash" - Exploring the recent developments regarding the inverted yield curve and its economic implications. Read the full report here: www.gdv.de/gdv/themen/wirtschaft/ursache-und-folgen-der-invertierten-zinskurve-154904 #econSky
Ursache und Folgen der invertierten Zinskurve
Als Antwort auf die steigende Inflation hat die EZB seit Sommer 2022 zehnmal die Zinsen erhöht. So liegt der Einlagenzins nun bei 4%. Was bedeutet das für das Zinsumfeld und wie kann es weitergehen?
www.gdv.de
October 17, 2023 at 1:05 PM
Ever wondered how demographic changes shape the insurance industry? Our latest study by ICIR & Alexander Ludwig et al. delves deep into the future of insurance in Germany! What does a decrease of German population to 80 million by 2040 imply for the industry?
Studie: Demografischer Wandel beflügelt Nachfrage nach Versicherungen
Die Nachfrage nach Versicherungsleistungen bleibt laut einer aktuellen Studie auf mittlere Sicht hoch - obwohl die Menschen immer älter werden.
www.gdv.de
October 13, 2023 at 10:32 AM
New Econ Perspectives. We highlight diverging trends in US and EZ: US maintains strength, but EZ faces challenges. Rising oil prices and Chinese demand impact global inflation, while EZ grapples with low growth & high rates. www.gdv.de/gdv/themen/wirtschaft/inflation-sinkt-wachstum-auch--154508 1/6
Inflation sinkt, Wachstum auch
Die sich weiter verschlechternden Konjunkturprognose für den Euroraum und insbesondere für Deutschland erschweren die Arbeit der EZB im Kampf gegen die Inflation.
www.gdv.de
October 5, 2023 at 9:21 AM
Reposted by Paul Berenberg-Gossler
Hi, who is here from German #Econtwitter? Please answer and retweet!
September 20, 2023 at 3:21 PM