1. Trump has amassed extraordinary power in the presidency—thanks to a compliant Congress and a pro-executive Supreme Court.
2. Trump is increasingly unpopular.
These twin dynamics will define U.S. politics through the 2026 midterms.
Buckle up.
1. Trump has amassed extraordinary power in the presidency—thanks to a compliant Congress and a pro-executive Supreme Court.
2. Trump is increasingly unpopular.
These twin dynamics will define U.S. politics through the 2026 midterms.
Buckle up.
5) America's federal system is messy, which makes it hard to fully control
5) America's federal system is messy, which makes it hard to fully control
1) He's unpopular
2) It's a personalist regime and movement built around a charismatic leader which makes it brittle
3) They aren't that patient, they're more interested in breaking things
1) He's unpopular
2) It's a personalist regime and movement built around a charismatic leader which makes it brittle
3) They aren't that patient, they're more interested in breaking things
America's authoritarian turn is happening during a period of no major foreign war, no widespread unrest, no pandemic, and relatively good economic conditions.
There are an awful lot of *choices* being made.
America's authoritarian turn is happening during a period of no major foreign war, no widespread unrest, no pandemic, and relatively good economic conditions.
There are an awful lot of *choices* being made.
NO OPTION BUT SABOTAGE
The Radical Environmental Movement and the Climate Crisis
global.oup.com/academic/pro...
NO OPTION BUT SABOTAGE
The Radical Environmental Movement and the Climate Crisis
global.oup.com/academic/pro...
But that creates a perverse incentive: to escalate, provoke, and polarize further.
It’s clear the Trump admin thinks this is a winning issue.
It’s going to be a long and dangerous summer.
But that creates a perverse incentive: to escalate, provoke, and polarize further.
It’s clear the Trump admin thinks this is a winning issue.
It’s going to be a long and dangerous summer.
This means we’re likely to see them turn to disruptive tactics—like boycotts, walkouts—to signal to voters that things aren’t OK.
This means we’re likely to see them turn to disruptive tactics—like boycotts, walkouts—to signal to voters that things aren’t OK.
The Trump administration is clearly targeting Democratic politicians through arrests and repression.
This rightfully scares academics like myself who have seen this movie play out in other countries (Ukraine, Turkey, etc.). It doesn’t end well.
The Trump administration is clearly targeting Democratic politicians through arrests and repression.
This rightfully scares academics like myself who have seen this movie play out in other countries (Ukraine, Turkey, etc.). It doesn’t end well.
I’ve got one word for you: “Smooth.”
As in Carlos Santana and Rob Thomas’s irresistible 1999 hit that was blasting in every car, mall, and Best Buy.
It was loud, polished, and undeniable because it was just “so smooth.”
m.youtube.com/watch?v=6Whg...
I’ve got one word for you: “Smooth.”
As in Carlos Santana and Rob Thomas’s irresistible 1999 hit that was blasting in every car, mall, and Best Buy.
It was loud, polished, and undeniable because it was just “so smooth.”
m.youtube.com/watch?v=6Whg...
See what happened in pre-Maidan Ukraine kyivindependent.com/opinion-ukra...
or is happening in Georgia currently www.theguardian.com/world/2024/o...
See what happened in pre-Maidan Ukraine kyivindependent.com/opinion-ukra...
or is happening in Georgia currently www.theguardian.com/world/2024/o...
“Are you doing OK? I’ve been following the news about American universities and it sounds bad.” 🙃
“Are you doing OK? I’ve been following the news about American universities and it sounds bad.” 🙃
Not hard
-Tariffs
Medium hard
-Corruption
-Politicized law enforcement
-Clean energy transition
Very hard
-Higher ed & scientific research
-State capacity & expertise
-Supreme Court
Not hard
-Tariffs
Medium hard
-Corruption
-Politicized law enforcement
-Clean energy transition
Very hard
-Higher ed & scientific research
-State capacity & expertise
-Supreme Court
These risks aren’t distant or abstract—they’re now part of mainstream financial planning.
www.scientificamerican.com/article/big-...
These risks aren’t distant or abstract—they’re now part of mainstream financial planning.
www.scientificamerican.com/article/big-...
But today’s arrest of a Wisconsin judge is a stark reminder: declining popularity often brings rising repression.
But today’s arrest of a Wisconsin judge is a stark reminder: declining popularity often brings rising repression.