NEW | CTP’s @nicholasacarl.bsky.social and @briancarter.bsky.social assess risks and opportunities for the US in Iran in their latest report, “The State of the Axis of Resistance.”

Read the full report: www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/the...

Here are their key points:

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CTP's @nicholasacarl.bsky.social: "The sudden loss of so many IRGC Command Network members has dislodged the faction from power and created vacuums in the military hierarchy, political landscape, and Khamenei’s inner circle.

Read more: www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/a-n...

An under looked aspect of the Iran-Israel war is that Israel has prompted generational change in Iranian military leadership. It is hard to overstate how significant this turnover is for Iranian decision-making and how the regime works in general. 🧵

The Iranian armed forces have myriad entities that factor into regime security. CTP's @nicholasacarl.bsky.social broke them down for you: criticalthreats.org/analysis/exp...

Stay tuned for our latest update on the Israel-Iran conflict.

A recently leaked speech by a senior Iranian commander provides a rare and candid look into how Iran is coping with its strategic defeat in Syria and what it will do next.

www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/ira...

My latest here on the fall of Assad. Iranian leaders must rethink their strategy in the Middle East now that the core assumptions and ideas that underpinned that strategy for over a decade have been upended.

JUST IN: IAEA censures Iran over nuclear activity, 19 voted in favor of the resolution, 12 abstained, while China and Russia voted against the resolution. www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...

Beginning my Bluesky journey sharing my latest in the Hudson Institute's Current Trends in Islamist Ideology. The death of Ebrahim Raisi in May upended the political status quo in Tehran and triggered an impromptu reshaping of the Iranian political landscape.

www.hudson.org/politics-gov...