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natasharsarin.bsky.social
@natasharsarin.bsky.social
1.5K followers 170 following 59 posts
Professor, Yale Law School & Yale School of Management; President @budgetlab.bsky.social; Contributing columnist @postopinions.bsky.social

Former Counselor at Treasury, Professor Penn Law & Wharton

https://www.natashasarin.com/
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natasharsarin.bsky.social
natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · Feb 7
My latest this week in @postopinions.bsky.social -- Elon Musk has your social security number. It's as scary as it sounds.

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Opinion | Elon Musk has your Social Security number. It’s as scary as it sounds.
There is no legitimate reason for the ‘DOGE’ to have access to the federal payment system.
www.washingtonpost.com
natasharsarin.bsky.social
This bill spends $3T+ to make the tax code more complex and Americans less healthy

In every regard, it is a mistake: Grows deficits but shrinks the economy, makes gun silencers more available but healthy food less so

My latest from @postopinions.bsky.social

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Opinion | 6 things you probably didn’t know were in Trump’s mega-bill
Trump’s budget bill includes eliminating tax on gun silencers, a garden of heroes and more.
www.washingtonpost.com
July 3, 2025 at 5:55 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
Here is what the distribution of the reconciliation bill looks like including tariffs, hot off @budgetlab.bsky.social presses.

Income falls for the *bottom 80%* of households.

Full report here: budgetlab.yale.edu/research/com...
June 12, 2025 at 6:08 PM
Reposted
columbiaigp.bsky.social
LIVE NOW at @columbiaigp.bsky.social 🔴 @awhf.bsky.social, R. Glenn Hubbard, Jennifer Klein, @natasharsarin.bsky.social, & Richard Clarida discuss the far-reaching implications of the federal budget bill

Tune in: youtube.com/live/sxYxjDL...

@columbiasipa.bsky.social @columbiauniversity.bsky.social
IGP Rapid Response: The Fight Over the Federal Budget
YouTube video by Columbia SIPA
youtube.com
June 12, 2025 at 4:57 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
Great to be with Wolf Blitzer and @pamelabrowncnn.bsky.social on @cnn.com Situation Room this morning talking China and the latest inflation numbers.

Link here:

youtu.be/yQM08o-jM5Q
Natasha Sarin on U.S.-China Trade Talks, Inflation, and Tariffs
YouTube video by The Budget Lab
youtu.be
June 11, 2025 at 4:36 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
So fun to join @econjared today for lunch with a healthy dose of econ to talk reconciliation, interest rates, and why we should invest in -- not gut -- the IRS.

Link to our conversation here:

natashasarin32.substack.com/p/7280ed14-6...
Natasha Sarin
Click to read Natasha Sarin, a Substack publication. Launched 3 hours ago.
natashasarin32.substack.com
June 10, 2025 at 7:50 PM
Reposted
crampell.bsky.social
@natasharsarin.bsky.social: Loss of insurance from GOP bill could mean more than 100,000 preventable deaths.
Some estimates based on existing research on Medicaid effects on mortality:
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
June 9, 2025 at 5:04 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
Loss of insurance from GOP bill could mean more than 100,000 deaths.

My latest from @postopinions.bsky.social

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Opinion | Loss of insurance from GOP bill could mean more than 100,000 deaths
It is hard to articulate a justification for ballooning the federal debt in service of saving fewer lives.
www.washingtonpost.com
June 9, 2025 at 12:59 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
Wonderful to join @pbsnews.org last night to talk about the risks of our high and rising national debt.

Link here:

www.pbs.org/newshour/sho...
Explaining the national debt, how we got here and what it means for future generations
Republicans in Congress are hashing out a new tax cut and spending bill that's projected to add trillions to the national debt. Economics correspondent Paul Solman explains the ballooning national deb...
www.pbs.org
June 6, 2025 at 3:33 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
This is unlawful, un-American, and ultimately -- like so much we've seen recently -- will serve to make this country less great

And from a President who just last year thought college grads should get green cards so we retain the brightest foreign talent

www.nytimes.com/2025/05/22/u...
Trump Administration Says It Is Halting Harvard’s Ability to Enroll International Students
www.nytimes.com
May 22, 2025 at 9:53 PM
Reposted
postopinions.bsky.social
Republicans are haggling over the details of how much to cut Medicaid and food stamps while also trying to give bigger tax breaks to the richest Americans.

@danamilbank.bsky.social, James Hohmann and @natasharsarin.bsky.social discuss whether Republicans can get this bill over the finish line:
Opinion | There’s nothing beautiful about this big bill - The Washington Post
Republicans are haggling over the details of how much to cut Medicaid and food stamps while also trying to give bigger tax breaks to the richest Americans. Meanwhile, the rating agency Moody’s has dow...
wapo.st
May 20, 2025 at 9:24 PM
Reposted
postopinions.bsky.social
Here are three arguments the Trump administration might try to make to revoke Harvard’s tax-exempt status, none of which should hold water in the eyes of the law, @natasharsarin.bsky.social writes: wapo.st/42ScSPt
May 17, 2025 at 12:01 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
Great to be with Sara Sidner @cnn.com last night talking tariffs and @budgetlab.bsky.social new analysis of the China pause.

Watch here:

www.youtube.com/watch?v=sbxP...
Natasha Sarin on US-China Tariffs
YouTube video by The Budget Lab
www.youtube.com
May 13, 2025 at 4:40 PM
Reposted
americanprogress.bsky.social
Join us today at 12 pm for an important conversation between @neeratanden.bsky.social and @larrysummers.bsky.social on the fiscal impact of DOGE's IRS layoffs.

Janet Holtzblatt, @jessicabriedl.bsky.social, and @natasharsarin.bsky.social will also be joining in a panel discussion:
The Fiscal Impact of DOGE’s IRS Layoffs
Please join the Center for American Progress for an event featuring former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence H. Summers and an expert panel on the importance of adequate funding for tax enforcement…
www.americanprogress.org
May 12, 2025 at 12:31 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
No, the Administration cannot legally revoke Harvard's -- or other nonprofits' -- tax-exempt status.

My latest in @postopinions.bsky.social here:

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Opinion | Trump’s attack on nonprofits has an ugly history
The White House’s war on Harvard is testing the guardrails that Congress put in place after Watergate.
www.washingtonpost.com
May 12, 2025 at 3:47 PM
Reposted
postopinions.bsky.social
"The question facing Republican lawmakers in Congress now is a math one," @natasharsarin.bsky.social writes.

"They are failing that arithmetic test." wapo.st/43izlVU
Opinion | The Trump administration’s tax math doesn’t add up
Budget gimmicks for Congress mean higher deficits and borrowing costs for the rest of us.
wapo.st
May 7, 2025 at 7:31 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
This is a bonker bananas statement that reflects a fundamental misunderstanding of how the IRS works and flies in the face of the vast empirical evidence that shows dollars spent on tax enforcement activities have huge returns.

subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2025...
POLITICO Pro: Bessent: More IRS auditors doesn't mean more revenue
His comments to lawmakers come amid steep cuts in the ranks of enforcement personnel at the agency.
subscriber.politicopro.com
May 7, 2025 at 4:04 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
Tax cuts for all — paid for by none — isn’t an equation that makes much sense for the American economy.

My latest in @postopinions.bsky.social:

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Opinion | The Trump administration’s tax math doesn’t add up
Budget gimmicks for Congress mean higher deficits and borrowing costs for the rest of us.
www.washingtonpost.com
May 7, 2025 at 12:51 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
Great to be with @cnn.com this morning on the market's latest movements, Fed independence, and @budgetlab.bsky.social's work on how political risks threaten our safe harbor status.

Link here:

www.youtube.com/watch?v=PF7-...
Natasha Sarin on the economic fallout of tariff policy changes
YouTube video by The Budget Lab
www.youtube.com
April 22, 2025 at 5:50 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
The tax code has protections against exactly this: Section 7217 makes it illegal for political officials within the Executive Branch -- incl the President -- to request an audit or investigation of a particular taxpayer

Need an investigation to revoke tax exempt status.

www.cnn.com/2025/04/16/p...
IRS making plans to rescind Harvard’s tax-exempt status | CNN Politics
The Internal Revenue Service is making plans to rescind the tax-exempt status of Harvard University, according to two sources familiar with the matter, which would be an extraordinary step of retaliat...
www.cnn.com
April 16, 2025 at 9:00 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
This is terrible, terrible, terrible news for the American people and the tax system.

The only winners are high-cost tax preparers.

When fully built out, Direct File would've saved taxpayers ~$20B annually.

apnews.com/article/irs-...
Trump administration plans to end the IRS Direct File program for free tax filing, AP sources say
The Trump administration plans to eliminate the IRS’ Direct File program. That's the electronic system for filing tax returns directly to the agency for free.
apnews.com
April 16, 2025 at 7:16 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
Wonderful to discuss tariffs, Tax Day, and our work @budgetlab.bsky.social with @stephruhle.bsky.social on @msnbc.com's 11th Hour last night

Also featuring the great @gilliantett.bsky.social, @jonallendc.bsky.social and @lukebroadwater.bsky.social

Link here:

www.msnbc.com/11th-hour/wa...
'Traders are like vultures': Who's raking in money during the tariff chaos
As the Trump administration keeps talking about the trade deals they're going to make, American businesses and consumers are caught in the whiplash of the tariff policies. But Wall Street traders are ...
www.msnbc.com
April 16, 2025 at 3:44 PM
Reposted
crampell.bsky.social
Exactly this, from @natasharsarin.bsky.social & former IRS commissioner Danny Werfel: "In other words, an extremely diminished IRS could unlock a race to the bottom and create an evasion advantage for those who are comfortable skirting their tax bills."
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
April 15, 2025 at 11:10 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
This team is so brilliant, and I'm so grateful to get to learn from them each day.

Also so grateful for the icon that is @marthagimbel.bsky.social!

Starting something is hard and scary. But much less so with Martha at the helm. We at @budgetlab.bsky.social are so beyond fortunate to have her.
marthagimbel.bsky.social Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel.bsky.social · Apr 15
Credit goes to the amazing Budget Lab team - including @ernietedeschi.bsky.social @richpriz.bsky.social and others too smart to be on social media (John Ricco, Harris Eppsteiner, Sylva Kroeber, Ken Matheny, Patrick Oakford, Maddie Lee, Dylan Saez) 2/
April 15, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Reposted
marthagimbel.bsky.social
Last April @natasharsarin.bsky.social Danny Yagan and I launched @budgetlab.bsky.social. We were excited about our team and what we were planning to produce - but absolutely could not have predicted this wild year 1/
April 15, 2025 at 12:49 PM
natasharsarin.bsky.social
Today is Tax Day.

And while few people enjoy paying taxes, they want a fair system. That system is in danger right now.

My latest in @postopinions.bsky.social pinions with former IRS Commissioner Danny Werfel is here:

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Opinion | It’s not just tariffs. Trump is creating chaos with taxes, too.
Gutting the IRS enables more people to cheat the government system.
www.washingtonpost.com
April 15, 2025 at 12:13 PM