Even if the storms don't grow too tall, they'll feel changing winds with height near the core of our low pressure swirl. Supercells may form, posing some tornado risk.
Even if the storms don't grow too tall, they'll feel changing winds with height near the core of our low pressure swirl. Supercells may form, posing some tornado risk.
Around 4:30 p.m., the 2-meter wind sensor melted (that's why you see "-999".) The thermometer spiked to 122 degrees!
Around 4:30 p.m., the 2-meter wind sensor melted (that's why you see "-999".) The thermometer spiked to 122 degrees!
(For an appreciation of the scale, that's about 19 times the size of Connecticut – this is a huge area beneath a veil of smoke).
(For an appreciation of the scale, that's about 19 times the size of Connecticut – this is a huge area beneath a veil of smoke).
We have EIGHT fire warnings in effect – signifying ongoing out-of-control wildfires that are, in many cases, threatening lives and property.
We have EIGHT fire warnings in effect – signifying ongoing out-of-control wildfires that are, in many cases, threatening lives and property.
🌨️On the cold side, winter weather will plaster the Northern U.S.
🔥On its warm side, “extreme” fire danger, severe storms, and even a tornado risk.
@matthewcappucci.bsky.social has an update.
myradar.com/videos/6368
🌨️On the cold side, winter weather will plaster the Northern U.S.
🔥On its warm side, “extreme” fire danger, severe storms, and even a tornado risk.
@matthewcappucci.bsky.social has an update.
myradar.com/videos/6368
Our fill big national briefing will be released at 4:30 p.m. ET!
Our fill big national briefing will be released at 4:30 p.m. ET!
Widespread double-digit totals near the International Border, with up to 2 feet in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan:
Widespread double-digit totals near the International Border, with up to 2 feet in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan:
Low pressure over the northern Rockies is helping push bone-dry air down the High Plains. Strong winds and relative humidities between 10 and 18 percent will lead to rapid fire growth and behavior if ignition occurs!
Low pressure over the northern Rockies is helping push bone-dry air down the High Plains. Strong winds and relative humidities between 10 and 18 percent will lead to rapid fire growth and behavior if ignition occurs!
Here's a thread on why the setup is "conditional":
Here's a thread on why the setup is "conditional":
30–40+ mph gusts, humidity near 10%, and dry fuels = extremely critical fire weather across the High Plains today.
Avoid anything that could start a fire.
30–40+ mph gusts, humidity near 10%, and dry fuels = extremely critical fire weather across the High Plains today.
Avoid anything that could start a fire.
Here it is!
Here it is!
Gusts of 45-55 mph are possible, with 60+ mph gusts in the higher terrain to the north. An isolated weak tornado can’t be ruled out.
Gusts of 45-55 mph are possible, with 60+ mph gusts in the higher terrain to the north. An isolated weak tornado can’t be ruled out.
The I-76 corridor of northeast Colorado and the Sand Hills of Nebraska have a top-tier EXTREME risk. Fort Morgan, Sterling, Julesburg, Holyoke, Akron, North Platte, Kimball, Ogalalla, Imperial, McCook... you're in the zone.
The I-76 corridor of northeast Colorado and the Sand Hills of Nebraska have a top-tier EXTREME risk. Fort Morgan, Sterling, Julesburg, Holyoke, Akron, North Platte, Kimball, Ogalalla, Imperial, McCook... you're in the zone.
45-55 mph straight-line winds and an isolated tornado.
There's a waterspout risk too for offshore mariners.
45-55 mph straight-line winds and an isolated tornado.
There's a waterspout risk too for offshore mariners.
There's even a low-end chance of an isolated significant (EF2+) tornado.
A tornado WATCH will be issued soon for the broad region. If a WARNING is issued, shelter!
There's even a low-end chance of an isolated significant (EF2+) tornado.
A tornado WATCH will be issued soon for the broad region. If a WARNING is issued, shelter!
Watching closely in Altus, Hobart, Manngum, Hollis, Lawton, Federick, Vernon, Childress, Wichita Falls, Archer City, Aspermont, Graham and maybe even Abilene.
Watching closely in Altus, Hobart, Manngum, Hollis, Lawton, Federick, Vernon, Childress, Wichita Falls, Archer City, Aspermont, Graham and maybe even Abilene.
Half dollar-sized hail possible with the storm near Penwell north of Pleasant Farms moving into Odessa.
Half dollar-sized hail possible with the storm near Penwell north of Pleasant Farms moving into Odessa.
With core of low pressure overhead, a little juice + ample vorticity (spin) could twist up a few weak funnels.
With core of low pressure overhead, a little juice + ample vorticity (spin) could twist up a few weak funnels.
myradar.com/videos/6366
myradar.com/videos/6366
Storms will form on the cool side of a boundary atop a shallow layer of cool air.
No tornado threat, BUT we'll see a few cells with quarter- to half dollar-sized hail possible.
Storms will form on the cool side of a boundary atop a shallow layer of cool air.
No tornado threat, BUT we'll see a few cells with quarter- to half dollar-sized hail possible.
Tornado season ramps up markedly a month from now. But for the time being, enjoy the quiescence...
Tornado season ramps up markedly a month from now. But for the time being, enjoy the quiescence...