Christos Mylonakis
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mylonakisc.bsky.social
Christos Mylonakis
@mylonakisc.bsky.social
Mostly casual (sometimes causal) inference
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
Check out the video of Stéphane Bonhomme's brilliant Sargan Lecture on feedback and heterogeneity in panel data at the 2025 RES Annual Conference in Birmingham #RES2025 @resmedia.bsky.social #EctJ

In Stéphane's words, let's get "Back to Feedback"!

res.org.uk/videos/res20...
#RES2025: Sargan Lecture (Prof Stephane Bonhomme) - Royal Economic Society
View the Royal Economic Society 2025 Annual Conference Sargan Lecture 'Dynamic Feedback in Panel Data' with Prof Stephane Bonhomme.
res.org.uk
July 16, 2025 at 5:48 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
"STbayes: An R package for creating, fitting and understanding Bayesian models of social transmission" - A network-based-diffusion-analysis (NBDA) implemented in cmdstan it seems. Looks like it interoperates with my STRAND package for latent network inference. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
STbayes: An R package for creating, fitting and understanding Bayesian models of social transmission
A critical consequence of joining social groups is the possibility of social transmission of information from conspecifics related to novel behaviours or resources. Mathematical models of spreading ha...
www.biorxiv.org
June 12, 2025 at 6:53 AM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
This looks amazing
A dataset with political datasets #3
estimated reading time: 1 min A few years ago I wrote a post about the updates I had made to my dataset with political datasets. Back then, there were more than 500 datasets in the dataset. Today, there are more than 600 datasets. Here is an overview of the categories within the datasets. We still see that a lot of the datasets are related to international relations (e.g., data on conflict and democracy), followed by survey data on public opinion (i.e., the political attitudes and behaviours of citizens). In general, there is a lot of variation in the type of data, topics, time periods and regions covered (though there is still a bias towards more recent data from Western countries). Since my previous post a few years ago, I have made some additions to the repository beyond adding more datasets. First, I have added links to a series of Harvard Dataverses related to political science journals. As I mentioned in a blog post five years ago, several journals have their own dataverse where they archive datasets well in advance of the actual publication of papers. This is a good resource for finding (new) data. Second, I have added links to a series of R packages that either include political data directly or provide an API to access data in R. These packages might especially be relevant for teaching purposes to get students to work with real-life political data in R without requiring users to download and import the data. Third, I have added more license-specific information, both to the repository itself and for the datasets in the overview. For the repository license, I have added a CC0 1.0 Universal license, meaning you can use the repository for almost any purpose (commercial or private). For the individual datasets, there is now a column providing information on the license of the dataset. This is still being updated so not a lot of datasets are covered yet. As always, feel free to suggest edits to the repository (either in the form of issues or pull requests), especially if you are aware of political datasets not currently included in the overview. You can find the repository here.
erikgahner.dk
May 25, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
Since this was published yesterday, NPR reports JAMA joins NEJM on the list of journals that confirms they’ve been sent threatening letters by Trump’s DOJ, ominously referencing their tax-exempt status in a bid to compel regime-friendly editorial choices.
www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-...
The Scary Implications of U.S. Government Attacks on Medical Journals
A Trump-aligned prosecutor’s attack on medical journals is a threat to your health care—and the medical establishment should not comply
www.scientificamerican.com
May 2, 2025 at 10:10 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
🧵New survey paper: "Inference with Few Treated Units"
Luis Alvarez, Bruno Ferman and Kaspar Wüthrich

Tired of referees saying your standard errors are wrong?

This survey will help you understand if you really have a problem — and, if so, how to fix it!
April 29, 2025 at 2:18 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
The free speech website where the owner (who believes in free speech) will throttle your access if you criticize him - even if you support all the far-right conspiracy theories and bigotry he supports. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
They Criticized Musk on X. Then Their Reach Collapsed. (Gift Article)
Three users who disagreed with the site’s owner saw views for their posts plummet.
www.nytimes.com
April 23, 2025 at 10:26 AM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
He paid 44 billion to turn it into his personal megaphone. Stop participating in it right now!
The top 25 political and news accounts on X in the past 30 days.
March 21, 2025 at 7:35 AM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
I am a commissioner at the Federal Trade Commission. Earlier today, the president attempted to illegally fire me. This is corruption, plain and simple. I will see the president in court. My full statement:
March 19, 2025 at 1:40 AM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
NEW PAPER w. Christian Gillitzer, Peer Skov, @jakobsogaard.bsky.social!
We develop a new method to estimate the marginal propensity to consume (MPC). In contrast to most earlier studies, we don't rely on (rare) quasi-experiments.
The idea is simple...
1/3
#econsky
www.iza.org/publications...
Using Tax Kinks to Estimate the Marginal Propensity to Consume
We show how tax kinks can be used to estimate the marginal propensity to consume (MPC). Tax kinks create discrete changes in the relationship between...
www.iza.org
March 19, 2025 at 7:28 AM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
link 📈🤖
Welfare Effects of Self-Preferencing by a Platform: Empirical Evidence from Airbnb (Hanazawa) This paper studies the welfare effects of self-preferencing by Airbnb, a practice where Airbnb utilizes its pricing algorithm to prioritize maximizing platform-wide commission revenue rather than
March 7, 2025 at 4:20 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
Conversation reminded me of this absolutely astounding book by Ed Leamer. www.google.com/books/editio...

*Economic theory is fiction, and data analysis is journalism*
The Craft of Economics
A review of the Heckscher–Ohlin framework prompts a noted economist to consider the methodology of economics.In this spirited and provocative book, Edward Leamer turns an examination of the Heckscher–...
www.google.com
October 17, 2024 at 3:25 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
link 📈🤖
A Supervised Screening and Regularized Factor-Based Method for Time Series Forecasting (Tu, Gao) Factor-based forecasting using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is an effective machine learning tool for dimension reduction with many applications in statistics, economics, and finance. Th
February 24, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
The Freedom of Information Act is an essential pillar of transparency and democratic accountability for the US government.

Eliminating the capacity to comply with laws in general, and FOIA specifically, is a ticking grenade under our democracy.
February 18, 2025 at 7:48 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
This is where we are now: An elementary school at Fort Campbell has removed all books from its library that so much as *allude* to slavery or the civil rights movement.

The wholesale erasure of history in real time.
Books mentioning slavery, civil rights removed from shelves at Fort Campbell schools - ClarksvilleNow.com
At an elementary school at Fort Campbell, home of the 101st Airborne Division, librarians are hard at work scrubbing the shelves for books that contain references to slavery, the civil rights movement...
clarksvillenow.com
February 16, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
Rdatasets is a collection of 2300 free and documented datasets in CSV format. It's a great resource for teaching and exploration!

The new `get_dataset()` function from the {marginaleffects} 📦 allows you to search and load them directly in #Rstats.

vincentarelbundock.github.io/Rdatasets/ar...
February 14, 2025 at 12:54 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
What I should read published recently along these lines?(Bonus if it uses examples I could know something about...)
February 13, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
This paper gives a powerful generalization of event study models to allow an arbitrary number of events, each with a treatment dose of any sign or magnitude.

#econsky

1/
February 1, 2025 at 12:22 AM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
New from 5 former Treasury Secretaries:

“We take the extraordinary step of writing this piece because we are alarmed about the risks of arbitrary and capricious political control of federal payments, which would be unlawful and corrosive to our democracy.”

www.nytimes.com/2025/02/10/o...
Opinion | Robert Rubin, Lawrence Summers, Timothy Geithner, Jacob Lew, Janet Yellen: DOGE Is a Threat to U.S. Democracy. (Gift Article)
Former Secretaries Rubin, Summers, Geithner, Lew and Yellen argue that DOGE is a threat to America.
www.nytimes.com
February 10, 2025 at 12:42 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
🚨 New Research: The American Dream is Dying in Big Cities
Cities used to be ladders of opportunity for their residents. Not anymore. Our new paper shows smaller cities & towns now outperform major metros for kids born into poverty.

academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/ar...

1/8
February 5, 2025 at 5:29 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
This is really powerful! It's like FRED but built up in many cases from on-demand computation from micro-data.

For instance, making this before today would require accessing the CPS microdata and coding up the summary yourself.
February 5, 2025 at 7:49 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
🚨BREAKING. From a program officer at the National Science Foundation, a list of keywords that can cause a grant to be pulled. I will be sharing screenshots of these keywords along with a decision tree. Please share widely. This is a crisis for academic freedom & science.
February 4, 2025 at 1:26 AM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
TikTok boosted Republican messaging during the 2024 U.S. Presidential Race.

Republican-seeded accounts received 11.8% more party-aligned recommendations.

Democratic-seeded accounts were exposed to 7.5% more opposite-party recommendations.

arxiv.org/pdf/2501.17831
February 2, 2025 at 1:00 AM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
Just had our data access rescinded for a projected using federal microdata to study and reduce disparate impact in housing markets.
January 23, 2025 at 4:31 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
The LA wildfires have given landlords an opportunity to raise rents. California has anti-price-gouging regulation that might prevent that.

If you want to step beyond Econ 101, here’s a recent Econometrica paper that shows how price caps can raise welfare.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.3...
Econometrica | Econometric Society Journal | Wiley Online Library
Policymakers frequently use price regulations as a response to inequality in the markets they control. In this paper, we examine the optimal structure of such policies from the perspective of mechani...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
January 13, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Reposted by Christos Mylonakis
I have been trying to get more familiar with the basics and advances Reinforcement Learning.

I wonder if anyone have seen a paperthat use potential outcome notation within the RL world. This would make the life of many economists much easier.

Anyone?

All help is appreciated!
January 12, 2025 at 5:49 PM