Magic Data Science
@mtgds.bsky.social
Doing math with Magic; doing Magic with math.
(Chromatic Lantern; Julie Dillon)
(Chromatic Lantern; Julie Dillon)
Pinned
Magic Data Science
@mtgds.bsky.social
· Jul 28
A thread that serves as a directory for articles I've written, links to things I've created, and recurring themes.
This is a good place to start if you're new to Magic Data Science.
This is a good place to start if you're new to Magic Data Science.
~ ≠ ≈
I'm open to using the ~ if you're texting or in a hurry, but on an earnings report, I'd probably take the time to figure out how to write the ≈.
Also, some wild keming choices here
I'm open to using the ~ if you're texting or in a hurry, but on an earnings report, I'd probably take the time to figure out how to write the ≈.
Also, some wild keming choices here
February 10, 2026 at 4:19 PM
~ ≠ ≈
I'm open to using the ~ if you're texting or in a hurry, but on an earnings report, I'd probably take the time to figure out how to write the ≈.
Also, some wild keming choices here
I'm open to using the ~ if you're texting or in a hurry, but on an earnings report, I'd probably take the time to figure out how to write the ≈.
Also, some wild keming choices here
Reposted by Magic Data Science
Here is where ECL lands on the #PrinceVPauper ternary plot: decidedly _not_ Pauper. The rares and uncommons are relatively stronger than the commons, to a greater extent than pretty much any recent set.
At common, look for good removal, friendly creature types, and... good luck!
At common, look for good removal, friendly creature types, and... good luck!
February 10, 2026 at 12:21 AM
Here is where ECL lands on the #PrinceVPauper ternary plot: decidedly _not_ Pauper. The rares and uncommons are relatively stronger than the commons, to a greater extent than pretty much any recent set.
At common, look for good removal, friendly creature types, and... good luck!
At common, look for good removal, friendly creature types, and... good luck!
Here is where ECL lands on the #PrinceVPauper ternary plot: decidedly _not_ Pauper. The rares and uncommons are relatively stronger than the commons, to a greater extent than pretty much any recent set.
At common, look for good removal, friendly creature types, and... good luck!
At common, look for good removal, friendly creature types, and... good luck!
February 10, 2026 at 12:21 AM
Here is where ECL lands on the #PrinceVPauper ternary plot: decidedly _not_ Pauper. The rares and uncommons are relatively stronger than the commons, to a greater extent than pretty much any recent set.
At common, look for good removal, friendly creature types, and... good luck!
At common, look for good removal, friendly creature types, and... good luck!
Reposted by Magic Data Science
Some time ago, I came up with a method of measuring the "openness" of a card in Limited, which can summarize up to describing a particular format.
One of the more interesting things I found was how relatively "on-rails" Bloomburrow was, with its 10 typal archetypes. You can...
One of the more interesting things I found was how relatively "on-rails" Bloomburrow was, with its 10 typal archetypes. You can...
February 6, 2026 at 12:50 AM
Some time ago, I came up with a method of measuring the "openness" of a card in Limited, which can summarize up to describing a particular format.
One of the more interesting things I found was how relatively "on-rails" Bloomburrow was, with its 10 typal archetypes. You can...
One of the more interesting things I found was how relatively "on-rails" Bloomburrow was, with its 10 typal archetypes. You can...
Some time ago, I came up with a method of measuring the "openness" of a card in Limited, which can summarize up to describing a particular format.
One of the more interesting things I found was how relatively "on-rails" Bloomburrow was, with its 10 typal archetypes. You can...
One of the more interesting things I found was how relatively "on-rails" Bloomburrow was, with its 10 typal archetypes. You can...
February 6, 2026 at 12:50 AM
Some time ago, I came up with a method of measuring the "openness" of a card in Limited, which can summarize up to describing a particular format.
One of the more interesting things I found was how relatively "on-rails" Bloomburrow was, with its 10 typal archetypes. You can...
One of the more interesting things I found was how relatively "on-rails" Bloomburrow was, with its 10 typal archetypes. You can...
Someday they'll post a job that requires 2+ years of graph-making and Limited-format-predicting experience.
There's a Magic Game Designer position up. Requires 2+ years competitive experience, not remote, exactly what it says on the tin:
careers.hasbro.com/careers/job/...
careers.hasbro.com/careers/job/...
Game Designer | Hasbro
Keep up to date on card files, build decks, and test interactions between cards. Give feedback to Design leadership on playtests, card designs, interactions, and impressions. Solve specific design pro...
careers.hasbro.com
February 4, 2026 at 3:39 PM
Someday they'll post a job that requires 2+ years of graph-making and Limited-format-predicting experience.
@cubecobra.com Excited about the 1.5 update! Especially Scryfall drag'n'drop.
Does this update mean that the job that calculates Cube Elo will run regularly?
Also, at the moment, it seems like Playtest Data is missing?
Does this update mean that the job that calculates Cube Elo will run regularly?
Also, at the moment, it seems like Playtest Data is missing?
February 2, 2026 at 2:38 PM
@cubecobra.com Excited about the 1.5 update! Especially Scryfall drag'n'drop.
Does this update mean that the job that calculates Cube Elo will run regularly?
Also, at the moment, it seems like Playtest Data is missing?
Does this update mean that the job that calculates Cube Elo will run regularly?
Also, at the moment, it seems like Playtest Data is missing?
Clearly Alara, and specifically, Bant
January 29, 2026 at 6:36 PM
Clearly Alara, and specifically, Bant
Reposted by Magic Data Science
Here is a plot of GIHWR by rank within color, for commons and uncommons in ECL, per @17lands.bsky.social
Among commons, it's G and then everyone else, although R and B have a higher top-end before falling off, while U and W are a little flatter.
Among uncommons, ...
Among commons, it's G and then everyone else, although R and B have a higher top-end before falling off, while U and W are a little flatter.
Among uncommons, ...
January 28, 2026 at 11:22 PM
Here is a plot of GIHWR by rank within color, for commons and uncommons in ECL, per @17lands.bsky.social
Among commons, it's G and then everyone else, although R and B have a higher top-end before falling off, while U and W are a little flatter.
Among uncommons, ...
Among commons, it's G and then everyone else, although R and B have a higher top-end before falling off, while U and W are a little flatter.
Among uncommons, ...
Here is a plot of GIHWR by rank within color, for commons and uncommons in ECL, per @17lands.bsky.social
Among commons, it's G and then everyone else, although R and B have a higher top-end before falling off, while U and W are a little flatter.
Among uncommons, ...
Among commons, it's G and then everyone else, although R and B have a higher top-end before falling off, while U and W are a little flatter.
Among uncommons, ...
January 28, 2026 at 11:22 PM
Here is a plot of GIHWR by rank within color, for commons and uncommons in ECL, per @17lands.bsky.social
Among commons, it's G and then everyone else, although R and B have a higher top-end before falling off, while U and W are a little flatter.
Among uncommons, ...
Among commons, it's G and then everyone else, although R and B have a higher top-end before falling off, while U and W are a little flatter.
Among uncommons, ...
I'm one of these, @maro254.bsky.social
Watched 20 years, 20 lessons
Listened to the DtW podcast episodes expanding on that
Listened to every DtW at least once
Had a million ideas for models to build
Spent a year working on those intermittently
Started MTGDS.
Watched 20 years, 20 lessons
Listened to the DtW podcast episodes expanding on that
Listened to every DtW at least once
Had a million ideas for models to build
Spent a year working on those intermittently
Started MTGDS.
January 28, 2026 at 4:23 PM
I'm one of these, @maro254.bsky.social
Watched 20 years, 20 lessons
Listened to the DtW podcast episodes expanding on that
Listened to every DtW at least once
Had a million ideas for models to build
Spent a year working on those intermittently
Started MTGDS.
Watched 20 years, 20 lessons
Listened to the DtW podcast episodes expanding on that
Listened to every DtW at least once
Had a million ideas for models to build
Spent a year working on those intermittently
Started MTGDS.
Good! Magic needs more math.
I made this card, so if you think exponents are scaring me off, you’re not even close. (Zero, however, is even.) #WotCstaff
January 28, 2026 at 11:14 AM
Good! Magic needs more math.
Good! Magic needs more math.
I am fueled by all reactions to Mathemagics.
January 28, 2026 at 11:14 AM
Good! Magic needs more math.
They made a card just for me! 🥰
🫶 WotC
🫶 WotC
January 27, 2026 at 5:29 PM
They made a card just for me! 🥰
🫶 WotC
🫶 WotC
Reposted by Magic Data Science
With all of the Treefolk and -1/-1 counters running around ECL, folks have been talking about how high-toughness the creatures in this set are.
But, are they? 🤔
I went to make this graph, expecting ECL to be an obvious outlier, and it's... just not!
As you can see... 👇
But, are they? 🤔
I went to make this graph, expecting ECL to be an obvious outlier, and it's... just not!
As you can see... 👇
January 24, 2026 at 8:17 PM
With all of the Treefolk and -1/-1 counters running around ECL, folks have been talking about how high-toughness the creatures in this set are.
But, are they? 🤔
I went to make this graph, expecting ECL to be an obvious outlier, and it's... just not!
As you can see... 👇
But, are they? 🤔
I went to make this graph, expecting ECL to be an obvious outlier, and it's... just not!
As you can see... 👇
With all of the Treefolk and -1/-1 counters running around ECL, folks have been talking about how high-toughness the creatures in this set are.
But, are they? 🤔
I went to make this graph, expecting ECL to be an obvious outlier, and it's... just not!
As you can see... 👇
But, are they? 🤔
I went to make this graph, expecting ECL to be an obvious outlier, and it's... just not!
As you can see... 👇
January 24, 2026 at 8:17 PM
With all of the Treefolk and -1/-1 counters running around ECL, folks have been talking about how high-toughness the creatures in this set are.
But, are they? 🤔
I went to make this graph, expecting ECL to be an obvious outlier, and it's... just not!
As you can see... 👇
But, are they? 🤔
I went to make this graph, expecting ECL to be an obvious outlier, and it's... just not!
As you can see... 👇
What does it say about a format if this is the highest GIHWR blue common?
January 23, 2026 at 1:33 PM
What does it say about a format if this is the highest GIHWR blue common?
Reposted by Magic Data Science
Several folks on @maro254.bsky.social's Blogatog reported that players at prerelease were confused by the official 5-pair archetype guide, hesitating to explore the other five pairs, despite some support for them.
So I made an unofficial guide to those secondary archetypes!
So I made an unofficial guide to those secondary archetypes!
January 22, 2026 at 1:27 AM
Several folks on @maro254.bsky.social's Blogatog reported that players at prerelease were confused by the official 5-pair archetype guide, hesitating to explore the other five pairs, despite some support for them.
So I made an unofficial guide to those secondary archetypes!
So I made an unofficial guide to those secondary archetypes!
Several folks on @maro254.bsky.social's Blogatog reported that players at prerelease were confused by the official 5-pair archetype guide, hesitating to explore the other five pairs, despite some support for them.
So I made an unofficial guide to those secondary archetypes!
So I made an unofficial guide to those secondary archetypes!
January 22, 2026 at 1:27 AM
Several folks on @maro254.bsky.social's Blogatog reported that players at prerelease were confused by the official 5-pair archetype guide, hesitating to explore the other five pairs, despite some support for them.
So I made an unofficial guide to those secondary archetypes!
So I made an unofficial guide to those secondary archetypes!
Highest GIHWR red common after day one (57.6%), just saying.
January 21, 2026 at 6:16 PM
Highest GIHWR red common after day one (57.6%), just saying.
Reposted by Magic Data Science
A thread of cards and artists for which the same artist has illustrated the same card multiple times.
1) This has happened for a million basic lands; they're not included
2) This has happened trivially in many, many cases -- Spectacular Spider-Man, Cavern of Souls, Traveling...
1) This has happened for a million basic lands; they're not included
2) This has happened trivially in many, many cases -- Spectacular Spider-Man, Cavern of Souls, Traveling...
January 21, 2026 at 12:06 AM
A thread of cards and artists for which the same artist has illustrated the same card multiple times.
1) This has happened for a million basic lands; they're not included
2) This has happened trivially in many, many cases -- Spectacular Spider-Man, Cavern of Souls, Traveling...
1) This has happened for a million basic lands; they're not included
2) This has happened trivially in many, many cases -- Spectacular Spider-Man, Cavern of Souls, Traveling...
I love that Magic is so far from being "solved."
Here are your day-one top GIHWR commons.
Here are your day-one top GIHWR commons.
January 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM
I love that Magic is so far from being "solved."
Here are your day-one top GIHWR commons.
Here are your day-one top GIHWR commons.
A thread of cards and artists for which the same artist has illustrated the same card multiple times.
1) This has happened for a million basic lands; they're not included
2) This has happened trivially in many, many cases -- Spectacular Spider-Man, Cavern of Souls, Traveling...
1) This has happened for a million basic lands; they're not included
2) This has happened trivially in many, many cases -- Spectacular Spider-Man, Cavern of Souls, Traveling...
January 21, 2026 at 12:06 AM
A thread of cards and artists for which the same artist has illustrated the same card multiple times.
1) This has happened for a million basic lands; they're not included
2) This has happened trivially in many, many cases -- Spectacular Spider-Man, Cavern of Souls, Traveling...
1) This has happened for a million basic lands; they're not included
2) This has happened trivially in many, many cases -- Spectacular Spider-Man, Cavern of Souls, Traveling...
Some wisdom of the crowds, accumulated from the #P0P1 entries. Highly picked cards have historically been winning cards, so here are the commons and #2CUDS to look for before the @17lands.bsky.social data comes out.
January 20, 2026 at 4:11 PM
Some wisdom of the crowds, accumulated from the #P0P1 entries. Highly picked cards have historically been winning cards, so here are the commons and #2CUDS to look for before the @17lands.bsky.social data comes out.