Jim Messina
@messina2012.bsky.social
Obama WH Deputy Chief of Staff, Obama 2012 Campaign Manager, and CEO of The Messina Group
BOD: http://Blockchain.com, LanzaTech, VectraAI, Fortera, US Soccer Foundation.
Leeds minority owner #MOT!
https://messinamemo.substack.com
BOD: http://Blockchain.com, LanzaTech, VectraAI, Fortera, US Soccer Foundation.
Leeds minority owner #MOT!
https://messinamemo.substack.com
Trump approval: 36%
75% say Trump not doing enough to lower costs (inc 57% of Republicans!)
He's underwater on:
Economy: -34
Health care: -31
Immigration: -15 (only 33% of Indies approve!)
Midterms in 355 days and voters just sent a huge message on affordability and costs...
75% say Trump not doing enough to lower costs (inc 57% of Republicans!)
He's underwater on:
Economy: -34
Health care: -31
Immigration: -15 (only 33% of Indies approve!)
Midterms in 355 days and voters just sent a huge message on affordability and costs...
November 13, 2025 at 6:52 PM
Trump approval: 36%
75% say Trump not doing enough to lower costs (inc 57% of Republicans!)
He's underwater on:
Economy: -34
Health care: -31
Immigration: -15 (only 33% of Indies approve!)
Midterms in 355 days and voters just sent a huge message on affordability and costs...
75% say Trump not doing enough to lower costs (inc 57% of Republicans!)
He's underwater on:
Economy: -34
Health care: -31
Immigration: -15 (only 33% of Indies approve!)
Midterms in 355 days and voters just sent a huge message on affordability and costs...
Reposted by Jim Messina
Over half of employed Americans say they’re worried about losing their job.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
It’s Not Just Affordability, Americans Are Anxious Over Jobs Too
Voter frustration over affordability fueled Democratic wins in last week’s state and local elections, and on top of that, Americans are becoming uneasy about the job market too.
www.bloomberg.com
November 12, 2025 at 3:52 PM
Over half of employed Americans say they’re worried about losing their job.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Keep it up, Don.
"Among voters who said the economy was their top issue, partisan trust on the economy moved 93 points toward Democrats between 2024 and this year’s New Jersey and Virginia elections." (via @gelliottmorris.com)
"Among voters who said the economy was their top issue, partisan trust on the economy moved 93 points toward Democrats between 2024 and this year’s New Jersey and Virginia elections." (via @gelliottmorris.com)
Trump: Our groceries are way down. Everything is way down. So I don't want to hear about the affordability.
November 7, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Keep it up, Don.
"Among voters who said the economy was their top issue, partisan trust on the economy moved 93 points toward Democrats between 2024 and this year’s New Jersey and Virginia elections." (via @gelliottmorris.com)
"Among voters who said the economy was their top issue, partisan trust on the economy moved 93 points toward Democrats between 2024 and this year’s New Jersey and Virginia elections." (via @gelliottmorris.com)
Democrats had a great night on Tuesday, but it's not as simple as "Democrats are back". My latest breaks down what worked and what's next:
substack.com/home/post/p-...
substack.com/home/post/p-...
What the 2025 Elections Really Showed Us
Let’s be clear—Democrats had a great night.
substack.com
November 6, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Democrats had a great night on Tuesday, but it's not as simple as "Democrats are back". My latest breaks down what worked and what's next:
substack.com/home/post/p-...
substack.com/home/post/p-...
Reposted by Jim Messina
Democrats' sweep is 'huge warning sign' for Republicans ahead of midterms: GOP analyst
www.msnbc.com/chris-jansin...
www.msnbc.com/chris-jansin...
Democrats’ sweep is ‘huge warning sign’ for Republicans ahead of midterms: GOP analyst
What do the Democrats’ sweeping victories signal about voters’ mindsets? Former Obama White House Communications Director Jennifer Palmieri, former Obama White House Deputy Chief of Staff for Operatio...
www.msnbc.com
November 5, 2025 at 7:14 PM
Democrats' sweep is 'huge warning sign' for Republicans ahead of midterms: GOP analyst
www.msnbc.com/chris-jansin...
www.msnbc.com/chris-jansin...
Trump is breaking the law so he can block food assistance for millions of hungry kids, veterans, & the elderly in his attempt to stop Democrats from lowering your health care costs.
Cruel policy *AND* bad politics, especially on an Election Day where "affordability" is a top issue!!
Cruel policy *AND* bad politics, especially on an Election Day where "affordability" is a top issue!!
BREAKING: Trump says no SNAP benefits until shutdown ends
Trump says SNAP will only get paid after shutdown
The post appears to defy two federal courts' rulings.
www.axios.com
November 4, 2025 at 5:31 PM
Trump is breaking the law so he can block food assistance for millions of hungry kids, veterans, & the elderly in his attempt to stop Democrats from lowering your health care costs.
Cruel policy *AND* bad politics, especially on an Election Day where "affordability" is a top issue!!
Cruel policy *AND* bad politics, especially on an Election Day where "affordability" is a top issue!!
By tomorrow, the hot takes will be everywhere, but there will be no single headline that explains today's results. Virginia, New Jersey, & NYC each tell a different story about where power is shifting. Read my new post, "The Post-Election Wilderness", here: messinamemo.substack.com/p/the-post-e...
The Post-Election Wilderness
Come Wednesday morning, Democrats are going to be tempted to look for a single takeaway from Tuesday’s results, desperate for a clear path out of the wilderness.
messinamemo.substack.com
November 4, 2025 at 3:23 PM
By tomorrow, the hot takes will be everywhere, but there will be no single headline that explains today's results. Virginia, New Jersey, & NYC each tell a different story about where power is shifting. Read my new post, "The Post-Election Wilderness", here: messinamemo.substack.com/p/the-post-e...
Reposted by Jim Messina
November 4, 2025 at 1:13 PM
Reposted by Jim Messina
🚨Virginia! Polls are now open.
Make your voices heard. Find your polling location at abigailspanberger.com/vote
Make your voices heard. Find your polling location at abigailspanberger.com/vote
November 4, 2025 at 11:00 AM
🚨Virginia! Polls are now open.
Make your voices heard. Find your polling location at abigailspanberger.com/vote
Make your voices heard. Find your polling location at abigailspanberger.com/vote
Reposted by Jim Messina
Sen. Warner: We're the wealthiest country in the world. We shouldn't have 1 out of 8 of Americans now going hungry, and also seeing their health care costs \triple. I don't know whether Trump has any empathy. He should get in the damn room, get the government open, get these benefits going.
November 3, 2025 at 8:07 PM
Sen. Warner: We're the wealthiest country in the world. We shouldn't have 1 out of 8 of Americans now going hungry, and also seeing their health care costs \triple. I don't know whether Trump has any empathy. He should get in the damn room, get the government open, get these benefits going.
Reposted by Jim Messina
Gov. Maura Healey: “The President should be more focused on feeding the American people than throwing parties for his rich friends.”
October 29, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Gov. Maura Healey: “The President should be more focused on feeding the American people than throwing parties for his rich friends.”
Health care & econ issues are two most important issues to voters right now. Families across US are experiencing health care sticker shock while GOP keeps the govt shut down instead of extending ACA subsidies. Smart Dems like Ossoff are locking in on this.
www.washingtonpost.com/health/2025/...
www.washingtonpost.com/health/2025/...
Health insurance sticker shock begins as shutdown battle over subsidies rages
Many states have shown rising premiums ahead of open enrollment for Affordable Care Act plans. The government shutdown is driven by Democrats and Republicans being far apart on the issue of extended s...
www.washingtonpost.com
October 22, 2025 at 2:54 PM
Health care & econ issues are two most important issues to voters right now. Families across US are experiencing health care sticker shock while GOP keeps the govt shut down instead of extending ACA subsidies. Smart Dems like Ossoff are locking in on this.
www.washingtonpost.com/health/2025/...
www.washingtonpost.com/health/2025/...
Reposted by Jim Messina
Why won’t Ashley Hinson stand up for Iowa farmers getting crushed by tariffs?
She admitted in January they’d cause harm – now she’s silent as $40 billion in taxpayer money goes to Argentina. #IASen
She admitted in January they’d cause harm – now she’s silent as $40 billion in taxpayer money goes to Argentina. #IASen
October 20, 2025 at 12:36 PM
Why won’t Ashley Hinson stand up for Iowa farmers getting crushed by tariffs?
She admitted in January they’d cause harm – now she’s silent as $40 billion in taxpayer money goes to Argentina. #IASen
She admitted in January they’d cause harm – now she’s silent as $40 billion in taxpayer money goes to Argentina. #IASen
Pritzker has taken Trump’s troop deployment to court *and* the media battlefield—using video evidence, facts, and local voices as tools of accountability rather than just statements. Interesting model for how governors can push back against federal overreach. www.semafor.com/article/10/1...
How to win an information war with the White House
Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker, unusual among the president’s antagonists, has begun to beat the White House at its own game — the visual, visceral, and at times post-literate politics of 2025.
www.semafor.com
October 20, 2025 at 5:20 PM
Pritzker has taken Trump’s troop deployment to court *and* the media battlefield—using video evidence, facts, and local voices as tools of accountability rather than just statements. Interesting model for how governors can push back against federal overreach. www.semafor.com/article/10/1...
Know there’s a lot of handwringing about Dems, but wanted to highlight some great work going on in cities and states. Beshear’s doing what Dems need to do nationally as Trump’s tariffs jack up prices—talk straight about kitchentable economics & fight for workers. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
The Front Lines of Trump's Trade War? Look at Kentucky
Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear on how Trump’s trade war is hitting the state’s manufacturing hubs – not to mention bourbon.
www.bloomberg.com
October 16, 2025 at 7:25 PM
Know there’s a lot of handwringing about Dems, but wanted to highlight some great work going on in cities and states. Beshear’s doing what Dems need to do nationally as Trump’s tariffs jack up prices—talk straight about kitchentable economics & fight for workers. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Republicans shut the government down so they could raise health costs for 22M Americans, 80% of whom live in states Trump won.
Couples earning $32K could see premiums jump to $1,300; at $53K, costs double to $4,240; at $95K, premiums soar to $19K.
4.8M could lose coverage entirely.
Couples earning $32K could see premiums jump to $1,300; at $53K, costs double to $4,240; at $95K, premiums soar to $19K.
4.8M could lose coverage entirely.
Some 22 million Americans are set to lose health insurance subsidies by the end of the year.
Here's who it will affect and what will happen if the subsidies are allowed to expire:
Here's who it will affect and what will happen if the subsidies are allowed to expire:
Who will lose out when ACA health insurance subsidies expire?
Here’s a look at who could be affected by the end of the Affordable Care Act credits and how much prices could change.
www.washingtonpost.com
October 15, 2025 at 3:06 PM
Republicans shut the government down so they could raise health costs for 22M Americans, 80% of whom live in states Trump won.
Couples earning $32K could see premiums jump to $1,300; at $53K, costs double to $4,240; at $95K, premiums soar to $19K.
4.8M could lose coverage entirely.
Couples earning $32K could see premiums jump to $1,300; at $53K, costs double to $4,240; at $95K, premiums soar to $19K.
4.8M could lose coverage entirely.
👀 numbers on the shutdown and health care from new @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social polling
- Overall, Americans blame Trump & Republicans for the shutdown by 13 points.
-Independents reject compromising on health care by a massive 29-point margin.
navigatorresearch.org/government-s...
- Overall, Americans blame Trump & Republicans for the shutdown by 13 points.
-Independents reject compromising on health care by a massive 29-point margin.
navigatorresearch.org/government-s...
Government shutdown: a guide for advocates
Polling report on awareness of and blame for the government shutdown.
navigatorresearch.org
October 8, 2025 at 3:41 PM
👀 numbers on the shutdown and health care from new @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social polling
- Overall, Americans blame Trump & Republicans for the shutdown by 13 points.
-Independents reject compromising on health care by a massive 29-point margin.
navigatorresearch.org/government-s...
- Overall, Americans blame Trump & Republicans for the shutdown by 13 points.
-Independents reject compromising on health care by a massive 29-point margin.
navigatorresearch.org/government-s...
Reposted by Jim Messina
Leader Jeffries: The House Republican spending bill continues to gut the health care of the American people. House Democrats rejected it because it was an attack on veterans, children, housing affordability, and health care.
October 6, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Leader Jeffries: The House Republican spending bill continues to gut the health care of the American people. House Democrats rejected it because it was an attack on veterans, children, housing affordability, and health care.
The GOP's government shutdown over ACA subsidies hits their own base:
• 12M enrollees in GOP districts vs 9M in Dem ones
• GOP holds 47 of 75 highest-enrollment districts
• Ending subsidies = premiums ↑114%, 4M lose coverage
Stay on offense: tie every GOP vote to rising costs & spotlight pain.
• 12M enrollees in GOP districts vs 9M in Dem ones
• GOP holds 47 of 75 highest-enrollment districts
• Ending subsidies = premiums ↑114%, 4M lose coverage
Stay on offense: tie every GOP vote to rising costs & spotlight pain.
GOP Districts ‘Supercharged’ Obamacare Use Is Risk in Shutdown Fight
The health insurance subsidies at the center of the US government shutdown fight disproportionately benefit areas of the country represented by Republican lawmakers, posing a potential vulnerability f...
www.bloomberg.com
October 6, 2025 at 3:28 PM
The GOP's government shutdown over ACA subsidies hits their own base:
• 12M enrollees in GOP districts vs 9M in Dem ones
• GOP holds 47 of 75 highest-enrollment districts
• Ending subsidies = premiums ↑114%, 4M lose coverage
Stay on offense: tie every GOP vote to rising costs & spotlight pain.
• 12M enrollees in GOP districts vs 9M in Dem ones
• GOP holds 47 of 75 highest-enrollment districts
• Ending subsidies = premiums ↑114%, 4M lose coverage
Stay on offense: tie every GOP vote to rising costs & spotlight pain.
From @steverattner.bsky.social's op-ed:
"Thanks to Republican legislators, a 55-year-old couple making $85k annually could see their health insurance cost more than triple, to $24,535 a year. Obviously that’s unaffordable, which is why so many will drop coverage." www.nytimes.com/2025/09/30/o...
"Thanks to Republican legislators, a 55-year-old couple making $85k annually could see their health insurance cost more than triple, to $24,535 a year. Obviously that’s unaffordable, which is why so many will drop coverage." www.nytimes.com/2025/09/30/o...
Opinion | These 6 Charts Explain Why the Government Shut Down
www.nytimes.com
October 1, 2025 at 4:38 PM
From @steverattner.bsky.social's op-ed:
"Thanks to Republican legislators, a 55-year-old couple making $85k annually could see their health insurance cost more than triple, to $24,535 a year. Obviously that’s unaffordable, which is why so many will drop coverage." www.nytimes.com/2025/09/30/o...
"Thanks to Republican legislators, a 55-year-old couple making $85k annually could see their health insurance cost more than triple, to $24,535 a year. Obviously that’s unaffordable, which is why so many will drop coverage." www.nytimes.com/2025/09/30/o...
Joining Chris Jansing on @msnbc.com at 12:25pm ET/10:25am MT to talk Trump's fourth government shutdown.
Trump & GOP knows they have a losing argument. Here’s what they want: 22 MILLION Americans seeing their health insurance premiums double because Republicans refused to extend ACA tax credits.
Trump & GOP knows they have a losing argument. Here’s what they want: 22 MILLION Americans seeing their health insurance premiums double because Republicans refused to extend ACA tax credits.
October 1, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Joining Chris Jansing on @msnbc.com at 12:25pm ET/10:25am MT to talk Trump's fourth government shutdown.
Trump & GOP knows they have a losing argument. Here’s what they want: 22 MILLION Americans seeing their health insurance premiums double because Republicans refused to extend ACA tax credits.
Trump & GOP knows they have a losing argument. Here’s what they want: 22 MILLION Americans seeing their health insurance premiums double because Republicans refused to extend ACA tax credits.
Not a great answer when Trump is 17 points underwater on his handling of health care.
77% support Congress extending the ACA tax credits, including *80% of Independents* and *63% of Republicans*.
77% support Congress extending the ACA tax credits, including *80% of Independents* and *63% of Republicans*.
Top Trump economic advisor refers to Democrats' demands to protect health care for millions as an "embarrassingly silly offer"
September 25, 2025 at 5:58 PM
Not a great answer when Trump is 17 points underwater on his handling of health care.
77% support Congress extending the ACA tax credits, including *80% of Independents* and *63% of Republicans*.
77% support Congress extending the ACA tax credits, including *80% of Independents* and *63% of Republicans*.
Health care costs are about to skyrocket for 22 MILLION Americans by an average of *75%* because Republicans failed to extend ACA premium tax credits in their disaster of a budget bill.
Schatz: We either work together to extend these tax credits and save millions of Americans from losing their health care, or Republicans can go it alone, and people are going to get these letters saying your subsidies are gone and you're going to pay hundreds of dollars more per person per month.
September 22, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Health care costs are about to skyrocket for 22 MILLION Americans by an average of *75%* because Republicans failed to extend ACA premium tax credits in their disaster of a budget bill.
Reposted by Jim Messina
Assume polling is going to be bouncy these next few weeks but in the Economist/YouGov weekly track Trump's job approval with adults went from -13 (41-54) last week to -18 this week (39-57). He's -50 with independents, 19-69.
September 16, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Assume polling is going to be bouncy these next few weeks but in the Economist/YouGov weekly track Trump's job approval with adults went from -13 (41-54) last week to -18 this week (39-57). He's -50 with independents, 19-69.
Walkinshaw's win last night is part of a bigger story. Dems have won or over-performed the top of the '24 ticket in 42 of 43 key elections in 2025.
Trump's Big Ugly Bill & tariffs are failing. The GOP is running scared. They've given us the opening on economic messaging—time to take it and run.
Trump's Big Ugly Bill & tariffs are failing. The GOP is running scared. They've given us the opening on economic messaging—time to take it and run.
September 10, 2025 at 3:31 PM
Walkinshaw's win last night is part of a bigger story. Dems have won or over-performed the top of the '24 ticket in 42 of 43 key elections in 2025.
Trump's Big Ugly Bill & tariffs are failing. The GOP is running scared. They've given us the opening on economic messaging—time to take it and run.
Trump's Big Ugly Bill & tariffs are failing. The GOP is running scared. They've given us the opening on economic messaging—time to take it and run.