Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social
Professor of Military Strategy and Technology at the Hertie School in Berlin. Great powers rivalry, future of war, tech competition. Born 🇮🇹, 9y 🇺🇸, 9y🇨🇭, 🇩🇪 https://sites.google.com/site/maurogilli2/
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Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social
· Sep 16
Europe needs also minds - not just guns | ISPI
Europe is rapidly rearming but risks wasting resources without a robust strategic thinking ecosystem, requiring investments
www.ispionline.it
Very happy to see our article ""Europe needs also minds, not just guns" out, which I have written with @aagilli.bsky.social, Antonio Missiroli & Niccolò Petrelli.
www.ispionline.it/en/publicati...
www.ispionline.it/en/publicati...
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
For those keeping score, Bellingcat, The New York Times Visual Investigation Team, & Washington Post's Visual Forensic team have all published analysis showing the ICE shooter wasn't in the path of Renee Nicole Good’s vehicle when he shot her, contradicting statements by the President & his cronies
January 8, 2026 at 3:35 PM
For those keeping score, Bellingcat, The New York Times Visual Investigation Team, & Washington Post's Visual Forensic team have all published analysis showing the ICE shooter wasn't in the path of Renee Nicole Good’s vehicle when he shot her, contradicting statements by the President & his cronies
Evidence coming up. Some of these systems however were in hangars. I assume we will know more soon.
January 8, 2026 at 7:08 PM
Evidence coming up. Some of these systems however were in hangars. I assume we will know more soon.
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
Fascinating air defense neutralization thread:
We have only limited data, so here is a conjecture based on what we know about US approaches to suppressing and destroying enemy air defenses from the past.
I'd still like to know technologically (or systemically?) how the Russian antiaircraft systems in Venezuela failed to function. cc @maurogilli.bsky.social @attackerman.bsky.social
Asking for a few friendly continents.
via @stollmeyer.bsky.social
Asking for a few friendly continents.
via @stollmeyer.bsky.social
January 7, 2026 at 3:49 PM
Fascinating air defense neutralization thread:
We have only limited data, so here is a conjecture based on what we know about US approaches to suppressing and destroying enemy air defenses from the past.
I'd still like to know technologically (or systemically?) how the Russian antiaircraft systems in Venezuela failed to function. cc @maurogilli.bsky.social @attackerman.bsky.social
Asking for a few friendly continents.
via @stollmeyer.bsky.social
Asking for a few friendly continents.
via @stollmeyer.bsky.social
During Fiona Hill's testimony to Congress on Oct 14, 2019, she described how Trump and Putin discussed exchanging Ukraine for Venezuela. The quid pro quo was if Trump refuses to help Ukraine fight off a Russian invasion, Putin would not help Venezuela (a Russian ally) resist a US takeover.
January 7, 2026 at 3:38 PM
We have only limited data, so here is a conjecture based on what we know about US approaches to suppressing and destroying enemy air defenses from the past.
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
Ah, is that the EU that launched an unprovoked military attack against its neighbour in February 2022? Oh no, that was Russia, wasn’t it, Lavvy, baby?
The European Union is “the main obstacle to peace” in Ukraine, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said today ahead of a fresh round of peace talks between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and US President Donald Trump.
EU is ‘main obstacle to peace’ in Ukraine, says Russia’s foreign minister
Sergey Lavrov’s comments come as Ukraine’s Zelenskyy heads to talks with Donald Trump in Florida.
www.politico.eu
December 28, 2025 at 1:56 PM
Ah, is that the EU that launched an unprovoked military attack against its neighbour in February 2022? Oh no, that was Russia, wasn’t it, Lavvy, baby?
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
Chinese military simulated battles near Mexico, Cuba and Taiwan, CCTV report shows
Rare insight revealed on state television in footage from a PLA wargaming event in central China where dozens of systems were demonstrated
Rare insight revealed on state television in footage from a PLA wargaming event in central China where dozens of systems were demonstrated
December 25, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Chinese military simulated battles near Mexico, Cuba and Taiwan, CCTV report shows
Rare insight revealed on state television in footage from a PLA wargaming event in central China where dozens of systems were demonstrated
Rare insight revealed on state television in footage from a PLA wargaming event in central China where dozens of systems were demonstrated
Happy holidays to everyone, and merry Christmas to those celebrating it.
And if you don't know it already, here is one of the best Christmas stories about air defense.
#SantaDetected
www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article...
And if you don't know it already, here is one of the best Christmas stories about air defense.
#SantaDetected
www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article...
How a child's phone call to US air base began Christmas tradition
The Santa Tracker brings the magic of Christmas alive and children are able to imagine that the sleigh going across the globe is carrying their presents.
www.dailymail.co.uk
December 24, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Happy holidays to everyone, and merry Christmas to those celebrating it.
And if you don't know it already, here is one of the best Christmas stories about air defense.
#SantaDetected
www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article...
And if you don't know it already, here is one of the best Christmas stories about air defense.
#SantaDetected
www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article...
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
"a manifesto for a radically different American project. It is narrower, more partisan, more inwardly focused, and more personalized than any of its predecessors.”
Ten Jolting Takeaways from Trump’s New National Security Strategy
The new National Security Strategy is out, and it’s a shock to the system. It is not just the latest public articulation of principles, ambitions, and
warontherocks.com
December 6, 2025 at 7:11 PM
"a manifesto for a radically different American project. It is narrower, more partisan, more inwardly focused, and more personalized than any of its predecessors.”
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
The All-Russian Cossack Society turns school clubs into pipelines for state-sponsored militarisation and recruitment for war in Ukraine. Bellingcat shows how they shape an alternative mobilisation force: www.bellingcat.com/news/2025/12...
From School to Battlefield to Grave: How Russian Cossacks drive young people to war - bellingcat
The All-Russian Cossack Society turns school clubs into pipelines for state-sponsored militarisation and recruitment for war in Ukraine. Bellingcat shows how they shape an alternative mobilisation for...
www.bellingcat.com
December 5, 2025 at 11:26 AM
The All-Russian Cossack Society turns school clubs into pipelines for state-sponsored militarisation and recruitment for war in Ukraine. Bellingcat shows how they shape an alternative mobilisation force: www.bellingcat.com/news/2025/12...
Beyond surreal. The message to Moscow is that European defense is not a priority.
Can’t decide who this is worse for, the EU or the UK. But the real looser, of course, is European defence. So all of us.
on.ft.com/4pb0xP6
UK talks to join EU defence fund break down
on.ft.com/4pb0xP6
UK talks to join EU defence fund break down
UK talks to join EU defence fund break down
Discussions fail after Britain refuses to pay billions of euros in fees
on.ft.com
November 30, 2025 at 7:15 AM
Beyond surreal. The message to Moscow is that European defense is not a priority.
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
Finnish Air Force confirmed B-52 over Finland where it conducted simulated weapons drops on the Sotinputo range. x.com/finnishairfo...
60-0036 is part of Bomber Task Force recently deployed to Morón. Today’s mission part of strengthening air ops in Northern region. ac.nato.int/archive/2025...
60-0036 is part of Bomber Task Force recently deployed to Morón. Today’s mission part of strengthening air ops in Northern region. ac.nato.int/archive/2025...
November 12, 2025 at 2:10 PM
Finnish Air Force confirmed B-52 over Finland where it conducted simulated weapons drops on the Sotinputo range. x.com/finnishairfo...
60-0036 is part of Bomber Task Force recently deployed to Morón. Today’s mission part of strengthening air ops in Northern region. ac.nato.int/archive/2025...
60-0036 is part of Bomber Task Force recently deployed to Morón. Today’s mission part of strengthening air ops in Northern region. ac.nato.int/archive/2025...
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
@hoanssolo.bsky.social, Adjunct Senior Fellow at the @cnas.bsky.social joins the Vilnius Foreign and Security Policy Conference on November 21 to discuss modern warfare, defense innovation, and the future of strategic security.
Learn more: conference.gssc.lt
Photo credits: CNAS
Learn more: conference.gssc.lt
Photo credits: CNAS
November 7, 2025 at 2:53 PM
@hoanssolo.bsky.social, Adjunct Senior Fellow at the @cnas.bsky.social joins the Vilnius Foreign and Security Policy Conference on November 21 to discuss modern warfare, defense innovation, and the future of strategic security.
Learn more: conference.gssc.lt
Photo credits: CNAS
Learn more: conference.gssc.lt
Photo credits: CNAS
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
"Recent data from Advocates for Children of New York shows that 154,000 students in the city’s public school system were homeless — about one in eight pupils"
www.ft.com/content/46c1...
www.ft.com/content/46c1...
November 8, 2025 at 5:17 PM
"Recent data from Advocates for Children of New York shows that 154,000 students in the city’s public school system were homeless — about one in eight pupils"
www.ft.com/content/46c1...
www.ft.com/content/46c1...
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
Bellingcat has geolocated footage of a mass killing outside the recently captured Sudanese city of El Fasher. In the video, which has circulated widely online, RSF commander Abu Lulu can be seen firing his weapon at what appears to be ten unarmed men sitting on the ground. Image: @vantortech
October 31, 2025 at 3:44 PM
Bellingcat has geolocated footage of a mass killing outside the recently captured Sudanese city of El Fasher. In the video, which has circulated widely online, RSF commander Abu Lulu can be seen firing his weapon at what appears to be ten unarmed men sitting on the ground. Image: @vantortech
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
US, Russia’s tests & subs, Euro deterrent, conventional forces, US space force & House of Dynamite in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10
October 31, 2025 at 8:07 AM
US, Russia’s tests & subs, Euro deterrent, conventional forces, US space force & House of Dynamite in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
President Zelenskyy in Sweden today: Ukraine plans to buy 100-150 JAS-39 Gripen E fighters. Certainly a positive sign for the post-war prospects of the Ukrainian Air Force. Great EW suite, modern AESA radar, Meteor missile compatible.
But, it doesn't help win the current war.
But, it doesn't help win the current war.
October 22, 2025 at 2:20 PM
President Zelenskyy in Sweden today: Ukraine plans to buy 100-150 JAS-39 Gripen E fighters. Certainly a positive sign for the post-war prospects of the Ukrainian Air Force. Great EW suite, modern AESA radar, Meteor missile compatible.
But, it doesn't help win the current war.
But, it doesn't help win the current war.
Very interesting article discussing what might lurk behind the Nexperia controversy.
bits-chips.com/article/lets...
bits-chips.com/article/lets...
Let’s not forget Itec in the Nexperia affair - Bits&Chips
The storm surrounding Nexperia has mostly been told as a story about chips and geopolitics. But in the shadow of that debate sits a smaller, quieter player: its subsidiary Itec. At this firm resides m...
bits-chips.com
October 22, 2025 at 10:25 AM
Very interesting article discussing what might lurk behind the Nexperia controversy.
bits-chips.com/article/lets...
bits-chips.com/article/lets...
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
"A recent report by the House Select Committee on the CCP issued a startling warning:
U.S. Department of Defense funding has routinely sponsored research conducted by institutions with deep links to China’s defense industrial base. "
@thediplomat.com
thediplomat.com/2025/10/why-...
U.S. Department of Defense funding has routinely sponsored research conducted by institutions with deep links to China’s defense industrial base. "
@thediplomat.com
thediplomat.com/2025/10/why-...
Why Is the US Defense Department Funding China’s Military Research?
It’s time for the U.S. government to start consolidating its blacklists.
thediplomat.com
October 18, 2025 at 8:38 AM
"A recent report by the House Select Committee on the CCP issued a startling warning:
U.S. Department of Defense funding has routinely sponsored research conducted by institutions with deep links to China’s defense industrial base. "
@thediplomat.com
thediplomat.com/2025/10/why-...
U.S. Department of Defense funding has routinely sponsored research conducted by institutions with deep links to China’s defense industrial base. "
@thediplomat.com
thediplomat.com/2025/10/why-...
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
New START, US help to Ukraine, Steadfast Noon, Euro deterrence, Chinese & DPRK’s capabilities, SATCOM & the military use of space in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social, on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10
October 17, 2025 at 9:43 AM
New START, US help to Ukraine, Steadfast Noon, Euro deterrence, Chinese & DPRK’s capabilities, SATCOM & the military use of space in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social, on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
Ich hatte vor kurzem die Chance mit Marlen Oehler für den Podcast @nzz.ch Geopolitik zu sprechen:
"Krieg der Satelliten? Wie die Machtspiele auf Erden den Weltraum erfassen"
www.nzz.ch/podcast/krie...
"Krieg der Satelliten? Wie die Machtspiele auf Erden den Weltraum erfassen"
www.nzz.ch/podcast/krie...
Krieg der Satelliten: Die Militarisierung des Weltraums - NZZ Geopolitik
Moderne Kriege sind ohne Satelliten nicht mehr denkbar. Nicht nur zivile Infrastruktur im Weltraum wird für kriegerische Auseinandersetzung auf der Erde genutzt, auch die Bewaffnung des Alls erreicht ...
www.nzz.ch
October 15, 2025 at 12:45 PM
Ich hatte vor kurzem die Chance mit Marlen Oehler für den Podcast @nzz.ch Geopolitik zu sprechen:
"Krieg der Satelliten? Wie die Machtspiele auf Erden den Weltraum erfassen"
www.nzz.ch/podcast/krie...
"Krieg der Satelliten? Wie die Machtspiele auf Erden den Weltraum erfassen"
www.nzz.ch/podcast/krie...
Reminder for students from Sweden: at the Hertie School, we have 3 full scholarship (tuition + stipend) for our MA in international affairs with specialization in international security
www.hertie-school.org/en/study/fun...
www.hertie-school.org/en/study/fun...
Ax:son Johnson Scholarship
This scholarship is for applicants from Sweden with a demonstrated interest in international security and German-Swedish relations.
www.hertie-school.org
October 15, 2025 at 10:00 AM
Reminder for students from Sweden: at the Hertie School, we have 3 full scholarship (tuition + stipend) for our MA in international affairs with specialization in international security
www.hertie-school.org/en/study/fun...
www.hertie-school.org/en/study/fun...
The EU considering China's "market for technology" clause.
Bloomberg: EU considering forcing Chinese firms to hand over tech to European companies if they want to operate locally. as part of a legislative proposal called the Industrial Accelerator Act - expected in November
EU Considers Forced Tech Transfers for New Chinese Investments
The European Union is considering forcing Chinese firms to hand over technology to European companies if they want to operate locally, in an aggressive new push to make the bloc’s industry more competitive.
www.bloomberg.com
October 14, 2025 at 2:20 PM
The EU considering China's "market for technology" clause.
Reposted by Mauro Gilli
“I think China is using [clean technology] in a very, very geopolitically savvy way, taking advantage of America’s stupidity and regression back into a petrostate. China just wins. America has abrogated the playing field.”
www.ft.com/content/013e...
www.ft.com/content/013e...
The ‘profound’ global impact of China’s rise as an electrostate
The country’s companies now dominate many clean technology industries
www.ft.com
October 10, 2025 at 8:19 AM
“I think China is using [clean technology] in a very, very geopolitically savvy way, taking advantage of America’s stupidity and regression back into a petrostate. China just wins. America has abrogated the playing field.”
www.ft.com/content/013e...
www.ft.com/content/013e...