Mathieu Gotteland
mathieugotteland.bsky.social
Mathieu Gotteland
@mathieugotteland.bsky.social
PhD in History of international relations. Autistic.

Posts on Somalia, Sudan, African geopolitics

Research interests: Informal imperialism, Foreign concessions in China, WWI-era espionage, Indian, Vietnamese independentisms, Terrorism, Ethics of war
Pinned
Historien, analyste RI, à la recherche d'opportunités correspondant à mes compétences !

Publications disponibles sur : mathieugotteland.academia.edu
Posts archivés sur : medium.com/@mathieu.got...
Mattei plan won’t include #Somalia

- Italian PM Meloni held the 2nd #Italy #Africa summit in Addis Abeba and spoke at the opening ceremony of the #AU Assembly.
February 16, 2026 at 8:54 PM
Turkish deployment of battle tanks to #Somalia signals more than emotional ties

- Under the presidency of Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, ties with #Turkey grew to a point where she became Somalia’s closest non-Western ally, to the ire of the #UAE.
February 15, 2026 at 12:19 PM
#Somalia gets a seat at the #AU Peace and Security Council (2026–2028)

- This is a highly symbolic diplomatic victory for the country, after a failed attempt last year.

apanews.net/somalia-elec...
Somalia elected into AUPSC
Somalia has been elected as one of the ten members of the African Union Peace and Security Council (PSC) for the 2026–2028 term.Other countries which will serve a two- year term of the council include...
apanews.net
February 14, 2026 at 1:19 PM
Time works in favour of the SAF: A summary of 2025

medium.com/@mathieu.got...

A wider article on the war in #Sudan after 1000+ days (war conduct, humanitarian situation, economic collapse, state failure): medium.com/@mathieu.got...
Time works in favour of the SAF: A summary of 2025
On the peace front, nothing happened of significance. Prospective mediators such as Algeria or Somalia are ignored. Kenya’s efforts only…
medium.com
February 13, 2026 at 5:47 PM
#US threatens #SouthSudan with breaking ties

- South Sudanese president Salva Kiir has effectively torn apart the #peace agreement. There is little hope left for a peaceful and democratic transition.

www.sudanspost.com/u-s-accuses-...
U.S. accuses South Sudan gov’t of undermining peace, threatens to cut diplomatic ties - Sudans Post
The United States has sharply criticised South Sudan’s transitional government, accusing it of systematically undermining peace efforts and warning that continued non-cooperation could jeopardise futu...
www.sudanspost.com
February 12, 2026 at 12:02 PM
The war in #Sudan: A summary of 2025

medium.com/p/ba4b50e254...

Here, a wider article on the war in Sudan after 1000+ days (war conduct, humanitarian situation, economic collapse, state failure): medium.com/@mathieu.got...
The war in Sudan: A summary of 2025
Naturally and tragically, the war in Sudan, now the deadliest in the world for civilians (before Palestine) and the second deadliest…
medium.com
February 11, 2026 at 4:36 PM
#Somalia and #SouthSudan, most corrupted countries in the world (9/100), #Eritrea ranks 6th, #Sudan ranks 7th

Best ranking IGAD country is #Ethiopia, with 38/100 (100 meaning cleanliness).

www.transparency.org/en/cpi/2025
Corruption Perceptions Index 2025
The Corruption Perceptions Index 2025 ranks 182 countries by their perceived levels of public sector corruption. Find out the scores and read our analysis.
www.transparency.org
February 11, 2026 at 9:45 AM
The besieged city of Baidoa is emblematic of the challenges #Somalia faces in this first half of 2026

- Laftagareen is a contested leader in his Southwest state. The federal government had to broker a deal with the opposition in 2023.

www.garoweonline.com/en/news/soma...
Somalia: Heavy gunfire and mortar explosions rock Baidoa for second day
www.garoweonline.com
February 6, 2026 at 4:49 PM
- Turkish TB2 are not only used in #Somalia, but operated by the Somali National Army
- #Israel 's recognition of #Somaliland and Somalia's break with the #UAE are probably not a mere coincidence
#Turkey

www.garoweonline.com/en/news/soma...
Turkey Deploys F-16 Jets to Expand Military Footprint in Somalia
www.garoweonline.com
February 3, 2026 at 1:38 PM
A dormant conflict reignites in #Tigray

This is naturally linked to long-standing tensions between #Ethiopia and #Eritrea, and has ramifications for the whole region.

www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/...
Drone strikes in Ethiopia’s Tigray kill one amid fears of renewed conflict
The attack comes amid fears of a return to conflict following clashes between government troops and Tigrayan forces.
www.aljazeera.com
February 1, 2026 at 5:10 PM
To #Trump, #Somalia is a military theatre (first), an aid and immigration concern (second).
January 31, 2026 at 5:10 PM
It certainly fits within the current Somali-Saudi rapprochement, but as for "counter-radicalization", I have my doubts.

#Somalia #Islam #SaudiArabia

sonna.so/en/somalia-a...
Somalia and Saudi Arabia Sign Strategic Pact to Modernize Islamic Affairs; Accord Focuses on Countering Extremism and Training Clergy
JEDDAH, Saudi Arabia – The Minister of Endowments and Religious Affairs of the Federal Republic of Somalia, H.E. Sheikh Mukhtar Robow Ali, has formally executed a bilateral cooperation agreement wi…
sonna.so
January 29, 2026 at 2:15 PM
The elephant in the room, which came charging in (26 December 2025), is #Israel ’s recognition of #Somaliland.

#Somalia #UAE #Yemen #Sudan

Complete post on Medium: medium.com/@mathieu.got...
Somalia in 2026: The elephant in the room
Ergo the Somaliland dossier
medium.com
January 27, 2026 at 4:09 PM
#Uganda withdraws from #Somalia

They make up about half of #AU mission AUSSOM ca. 5,000 troops

AUSSOM (and Somalia for that matter) is under financial strain. The #US have suspended funding (ca. 25%)

As it stood, it was barely sufficient to contain Al Shabaab in a very degraded security situation
Uganda to Withdraw Troops from Somalia After Nearly Two Decades of Peacekeeping
www.garoweonline.com
January 27, 2026 at 2:38 PM
#Somalia: Perspectives for 2026

(except for the elephant in the room, ergo Somaliland - a second post follows)

2026 is going to be a decisive and dangerous year for Somalia on all fronts.
Somalia: Perspectives for 2026
Except for the elephant in the room
medium.com
January 25, 2026 at 6:32 PM
#Somalia in 2025

2025 has been a transitional year for Somalia, and one of many dangers. For the second year in a row, institutional and sovereignty issues have been the foremost concerns, allowing the security situation to degrade further still.

medium.com/@mathieu.got...
Somalia in 2025
2025 has been a transitional year for Somalia, and one of many dangers. For the second year in a row, institutional and sovereignty issues…
medium.com
January 22, 2026 at 6:54 PM
The first, most important, easiest step should be the formal recognition of the Isaaq #genocide. It's nothing to negotiate, it's just, it's political good sense. #Somaliland #Somalia

garoweonline.com/en/news/soma...
Somali president offers talks with Somaliland but rules out secession
garoweonline.com
January 21, 2026 at 3:35 PM
While the world is looking away, peace in #SouthSudan is but a distant memory (as fragile as it was). #War has been going on for a full year now and made no headlines.

www.theeastafrican.co.ke/tea/news/eas...
South Sudan opposition signals escalation after Pajut fighting
United Nations says recent intense clashes are occurring at a scale not seen since 2017.
www.theeastafrican.co.ke
January 20, 2026 at 2:41 PM
There is nothing "new" about those French archives, and this narrative doesn't absolve #Russia of the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact or make it #Poland's responsibility. That is gross #propaganda.

#WWII
Poland hindered Soviet efforts to prevent WWII, claims head of Russian state archives
notesfrompoland.com
January 18, 2026 at 3:04 PM
#Somalia breaks with the #UAE

This is huge, but has been in the making for a while now.

www.garoweonline.com/en/news/soma...
Somalia suspends port, defense and security deals with UAE
www.garoweonline.com
January 14, 2026 at 5:11 PM
This deal means #Pakistan 's weapons will end up on both sides of the war in #Sudan

substack.com/app-link/pos...
Sudan Military Strikes Arms Deal With Pakistan as Its Air War Falters
Prized Bayraktar Akinci Drone Lost Over Nyala
substack.com
January 12, 2026 at 8:58 PM
#Russia 's naval base in #Sudan makes headlines whenever negociations go ahead, which is often. Not when the project is frozen, which is just as often.

sudantribune.com/article/308824
Sudan's Burhan tells Saudi Arabia Russian naval base plans are frozen - Sudan Tribune
December 30, 2025 (PORT SUDAN) – Private sources told Sudan Tribune that the President of the Sovereignty Council, Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, has confirmed to Saudi authorities the freezing of plans to e...
sudantribune.com
December 31, 2025 at 11:26 AM