Marlene Kretschmer
@marleneclimate.bsky.social
Group homepage: https://lim-climate-causality.github.io
Reposted by Marlene Kretschmer
Shifts in the atmosphere’s circulation patterns are reshaping the Southern Hemisphere’s climate. 🌏
@jumindlin.bsky.social & @marleneclimate.bsky.social (@unileipzig.bsky.social, @meteoleipzig.bsky.social) contributed to a study on the drivers of these changes.
🔗 expect-project.eu/resource/exp...
@jumindlin.bsky.social & @marleneclimate.bsky.social (@unileipzig.bsky.social, @meteoleipzig.bsky.social) contributed to a study on the drivers of these changes.
🔗 expect-project.eu/resource/exp...
November 13, 2025 at 8:51 AM
Shifts in the atmosphere’s circulation patterns are reshaping the Southern Hemisphere’s climate. 🌏
@jumindlin.bsky.social & @marleneclimate.bsky.social (@unileipzig.bsky.social, @meteoleipzig.bsky.social) contributed to a study on the drivers of these changes.
🔗 expect-project.eu/resource/exp...
@jumindlin.bsky.social & @marleneclimate.bsky.social (@unileipzig.bsky.social, @meteoleipzig.bsky.social) contributed to a study on the drivers of these changes.
🔗 expect-project.eu/resource/exp...
Check out our new PNAS paper (on changes of the SH eddy driven jet) led by Julia Mindlin 🌎🌍🌏
New paper: Explaining and predicting the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet @marleneclimate.bsky.social
www.uni-leipzig.de/en/newsdetai...
"The researchers found that 50 percent of the observed shift in the SH jet stream is directly attributable to global warming."
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
www.uni-leipzig.de/en/newsdetai...
"The researchers found that 50 percent of the observed shift in the SH jet stream is directly attributable to global warming."
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
New Insights into the Jet Stream Make Better Climate Predictions Possible
Jet streams are often referred to as the “motor” of global weather: High-altitude wind currents steer areas of high and low pressure, playing a crucial role in shaping our weather. However, how these ...
www.uni-leipzig.de
July 15, 2025 at 3:40 PM
Check out our new PNAS paper (on changes of the SH eddy driven jet) led by Julia Mindlin 🌎🌍🌏
Reposted by Marlene Kretschmer
The methodology of our forecast is documented here:
wcd.copernicus.org/articles/1/3...
@marleneclimate.bsky.social @carlschleussner.bsky.social @TobiasGeiger
wcd.copernicus.org/articles/1/3...
@marleneclimate.bsky.social @carlschleussner.bsky.social @TobiasGeiger
Robust predictors for seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity identified with causal effect networks
Abstract. Atlantic hurricane activity varies substantially from year to year
and so does the associated damage. Longer-term forecasting of hurricane risks
is a key element to reduce damage and societa...
wcd.copernicus.org
May 7, 2025 at 7:26 AM
The methodology of our forecast is documented here:
wcd.copernicus.org/articles/1/3...
@marleneclimate.bsky.social @carlschleussner.bsky.social @TobiasGeiger
wcd.copernicus.org/articles/1/3...
@marleneclimate.bsky.social @carlschleussner.bsky.social @TobiasGeiger
EGU-FOMO? Here's a little thread with contributions from my group:
April 28, 2025 at 6:12 AM
EGU-FOMO? Here's a little thread with contributions from my group:
Can we predict euro weather regimes on S2S timescales with machine learning?
When including spatiotemporal information of stratospheric winds and tropical olr, our model shows competitive skill 👇
When including spatiotemporal information of stratospheric winds and tropical olr, our model shows competitive skill 👇
🚨new preprint alert🚨
Can deep learning boost S2S forecasts? We investigated how to leverage teleconnections to improve deep learning predictions! #AI #Weather #Climate
📄: arxiv.org/abs/2504.07625
💻: (coming soon) github.com/philine-bomm...
Can deep learning boost S2S forecasts? We investigated how to leverage teleconnections to improve deep learning predictions! #AI #Weather #Climate
📄: arxiv.org/abs/2504.07625
💻: (coming soon) github.com/philine-bomm...
Deep Learning Meets Teleconnections: Improving S2S Predictions for European Winter Weather
Predictions on subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) timescales--ranging from two weeks to two month--are crucial for early warning systems but remain challenging owing to chaos in the climate system. Telecon...
arxiv.org
April 12, 2025 at 1:12 PM
Can we predict euro weather regimes on S2S timescales with machine learning?
When including spatiotemporal information of stratospheric winds and tropical olr, our model shows competitive skill 👇
When including spatiotemporal information of stratospheric winds and tropical olr, our model shows competitive skill 👇
Reposted by Marlene Kretschmer
According to recent @wcrpclimate.bsky.social research, some regional shifts—like amplified Arctic warming—match predictions. However, climate model ensembles do not well simulate others, such as tropical sea surface temperatures and monsoon rainfall. Why?
February 12, 2025 at 9:46 AM
According to recent @wcrpclimate.bsky.social research, some regional shifts—like amplified Arctic warming—match predictions. However, climate model ensembles do not well simulate others, such as tropical sea surface temperatures and monsoon rainfall. Why?
Late to the party, but I also want to promote this new paper which will hopefully spark discussions in the conmunity: "A shifiting climate: New paradigms and challenges for (early career) scientists in extreme weather research"
rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
Check out our new perspective piece published this week, which dives into an early career view on the importance of supporting and training scientists for interdisciplinary work in the rapidly growing field of extreme weather and climate event research...
#OpenAccess Paper: doi.org/10.1002/asl....
#OpenAccess Paper: doi.org/10.1002/asl....
October 24, 2024 at 6:34 AM
Late to the party, but I also want to promote this new paper which will hopefully spark discussions in the conmunity: "A shifiting climate: New paradigms and challenges for (early career) scientists in extreme weather research"
rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
Join us @UniLeipzig!
Three open positions in the climate causality research group (phd, postdoc, data scientist) on drivers of extreme events ❄️🌡🌧
Details here: speicherwolke.uni-leipzig.de/index.php/s/...
Three open positions in the climate causality research group (phd, postdoc, data scientist) on drivers of extreme events ❄️🌡🌧
Details here: speicherwolke.uni-leipzig.de/index.php/s/...
December 16, 2023 at 6:45 PM
Join us @UniLeipzig!
Three open positions in the climate causality research group (phd, postdoc, data scientist) on drivers of extreme events ❄️🌡🌧
Details here: speicherwolke.uni-leipzig.de/index.php/s/...
Three open positions in the climate causality research group (phd, postdoc, data scientist) on drivers of extreme events ❄️🌡🌧
Details here: speicherwolke.uni-leipzig.de/index.php/s/...