Unsettlingly accurate.

“52% of all autocratization episodes become U-Turns, which increases to 73% when focusing on the last 30 years. The vast majority of U-Turns (90%) lead to restored or even improved levels of democracy”

V-Dem data

Dear academic twitter who's into type I error control and sequential analyses (winkwink @lakens.bsky.social), I need your help: I planned a sequential analysis with three peeks (1/3, 2/3, and total n), with adjusted alpha level with pocock boundary.

Of all the articles I've reviewed, this is one of the most impressive and creative regarding its approach to data collection and "construction".

Congrats to Dr. Yun Lu!

🎉Starting September 1st, I'll be an Associate Editor for the British Journal of Social Psychology (BJSP). It is a great honor! 🎉

I won't make jokes about bribery options to get your paper published through me, as I am not sure yet if I'm allowed to* and I don't want to be fired before I start. 1/2

I often see Ioannidis' paper 'Why most published research findings are false' on reading lists. And by all means - I found it educational when I first read it. But you might also want a summary of the criticisms on the paper, and we dive into these in our @nulliusinverba.bsky.social podcast episode.

Lucky me - I again created the soundtrack for a video game! 🥰

It's called Wake Cup, it's a tower defense/clicker about capitalism and how coffee is important in this exploitation system. ☕

It's available for the price of a cup of coffee on Steam: store.steampowered.com/app/2881430/...

One can never stress enough how studying psychology deeply changes the way you look at the world around you (created with ChatGPT).

🧐👉 This paper is available in #OA: doi.org/10.5334/irsp...

#SocialPsyc
#OpenScience

@paulbertin.bsky.social
@kenzonera.bsky.social

A really cool new study on the impact of climate activism has just dropped! Some highlights:

1) "There is strong evidence that climate activism shifts public opinion and media coverage in a pro-climate direction, but this varies by context and the tactics employed."

I am super happy to back my most appreciated and trustworthy partner in crime in this great piece (in all objectivity of course)! #metascience #transparency #virtuesignaling

IMO, ChatGPT (which I use a lot, I must confess) is extremely good at some stuff (e.g., generating textual stimuli for research, explaining concepts), meh at others (e.g., solving problems - because it can easily be tricked), and terrible at some (e.g., providing sources).

One of the most fascinating reads I had in the past few months. Congrats to the authors!

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Help me, Bluesky academia: I'm down the rabbit hole of Bayesian interpretation of biased evidence evaluation (i.e., the idea that priors affect evidence likelihood assessment). Does anyone know of articles that factor the structure of hypotheses (e.g., whether they are falsifiable) in the equation?

My rule has been to expect the worst, then double that so it sounds completely unhinged. Then add 50% ketamine premium again. That has allowed be not to be too far off in my expectations during the last 10 years. So he is part of the way there ...

Hypothesis: the more popular the concept of "virtue signaling" will become, the more the denunciation of virtue signaling will become a form of virtue signaling aimed at showing that we belong to groups that are sincere in upholding their values (contrary to all these phony virtue signalers!!!).

Dear academic BlueSky, can you help me? I'm looking for research examining the psychological processes underlying inference of general rules based on particular example. There's the example of stereotype learning, but I'd love to have something that's not about groups... Thanks!