John R. Deni
@johnrdeni.bsky.social
Research Professor at PME institution, Senior Nonresident Fellow at Atlantic Council, Associate Nonresident Fellow at NATO Defense College. Author of Coalition of the unWilling and unAble. Views are my own.
Political science
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Economics
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John R. Deni
@johnrdeni.bsky.social
· Nov 22
The Role of America’s European Allies in the Russia-Ukraine War, 2022–24
©2024 John R. Deni
What more can US allies in Europe do to assist Ukraine militarily? More broadly, what can the United States expect from its closest allies in Europe in strategic competition with Ru...
press.armywarcollege.edu
If US stops supporting UKR's effort to defend itself, can Europe fill the gap? Which countries can do more? What are the hurdles? What can all allies do to promote Europe's ability to carry more of the load? Lisa Aronsson & I address all in latest monograph.
press.armywarcollege.edu/monographs/9...
press.armywarcollege.edu/monographs/9...
www.euractiv.com
"The IMF said that Europe’s debt levels risk becoming 'explosive' if business & labour reforms are not implemented & deficits are not slashed by boosting tax revenue, curbing social spending, & improving government efficiency.” www.euractiv.com/news/europes...
Thank you, Jason!
Russia ends seasonal draft model, moves to year-round conscription from 2026
While Russian conscripts are officially barred from being deployed abroad, reports indicate that many are pressured into signing contracts with Russia's Defense Ministry and sent to fight in Ukraine.
kyivindependent.com
Russia ends seasonal draft model, moves to year-round conscription from 2026 kyivindependent.com/putin-signs-...
Reposted by John R. Deni
Because I didn't have to teach on election day, I was able to read some recently published articles.
The highlight was @johnrdeni.bsky.social's recent analysis of NATO's response to the "shock" of Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. I highly recommend it.
The highlight was @johnrdeni.bsky.social's recent analysis of NATO's response to the "shock" of Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. I highly recommend it.
NATO member Romania signs agreement with Germany’s Rheinmetall to build a gunpowder plant
NATO member Romania has signed an agreement with Germany’s defense company Rheinmetall to build a gunpowder factory in central Romania, as Europe races to rearm itself in the face of an increasingly p...
apnews.com
NATO member Romania signs agreement with Germany’s Rheinmetall to build a gunpowder plant apnews.com/article/roma...
There appears to be a disconnect between the reporting on this and what the US Army is actually doing. This USAREUR-AF press release makes it clear the entire IBCT(-) is redeploying without replacement: www.europeafrica.army.mil/ArticleViewP...
And note the rationale -- essentially, Europe's increasing capability makes this move possible.
Reposted by John R. Deni
Is a drawdown of US forces from Europe all but certain and what would it mean? by The Global Agora
John Deni is a Research Professor of Joint, Interagency, Intergovernmental, and Multinational (JIIM) Security Studies at the U.S. Army War College's Strategic Studies Institute. He just wrote an artic...
podcasters.spotify.com
As Romania says US will cut some troops in Europe, here is my debate with @johnrdeni.bsky.social - #TheGlobalAgora #podcast:
▶️ Is a drawdown of US forces from #Europe all but certain and what would it mean?
podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/and... #Trump #NATO #security #defense
▶️ Is a drawdown of US forces from #Europe all but certain and what would it mean?
podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/and... #Trump #NATO #security #defense
There appears to be a disconnect between the reporting on this and what the US Army is actually doing. This USAREUR-AF press release makes it clear the entire IBCT(-) is redeploying without replacement: www.europeafrica.army.mil/ArticleViewP...
US troops on Nato's eastern flank to be reduced, Romania says
Bucharest said between 900 and 1,000 American troops would remain stationed in Romania - down from 1,700.
bbc.com
US will reduce its troops on Nato's eastern flank, Romania says bbc.com/news/article...
Lithuania shuts Vilnius airport, Belarus border in fourth airspace incident this week
NATO member Lithuania closed Vilnius Airport and Belarus border crossings on Sunday after several objects, identified as likely helium balloons, entered its airspace, the National Crisis Management Centre said, the fourth such incident this week.
www.reuters.com
Lithuania shuts Vilnius airport, Belarus border in fourth airspace incident this week www.reuters.com/world/europe...
SBU reveals next-gen Sea Baby naval drones, confirms use in June Crimea Bridge attack
In a video, the SBU revealed two versions of the new drones.
kyivindependent.com
SBU reveals next-gen Sea Baby naval drones, confirms use in June Crimea Bridge attack kyivindependent.com/sbu-releases...
Ukraine strikes Russian chemical plant with Storm Shadow missiles, military says kyivindependent.com/breaking-ukr...
After Trump’s turn toward Putin, NATO leader rushes to Washington
Secretary General Mark Rutte will meet with the president at the White House this week.
politi.co
After Trump’s turn toward Putin, NATO leader rushes to Washington politi.co/4o2MY3L via @politico.com
Ukraine preparing long-term contract for 25 Patriot systems after meetings in US, Zelensky says
According to Zelensky, the proposed contract for 25 Patriot systems would be carried out over several years, "with different quantities each year."
kyivindependent.com
Ukraine preparing long-term contract for 25 Patriot systems after meetings in US, Zelensky says kyivindependent.com/ukraine-prep...
The Army's new tank will roll out a decade early. Here’s how they did it
Soldiers are expected to be riding in the M1E3 next year, well ahead of the tank's planned 2030s arrival.
www.defenseone.com
The Army's new tank will roll out a decade early. Here’s how they did it www.defenseone.com/defense-syst... via @defenseone.bsky.social
Pressure mounts on NATO allies to go all-in on Trump arms scheme for Ukraine
A majority of NATO countries have joined the PURL scheme, and the rest are under pressure “to put your money where your mouth is.”
www.politico.eu
Pressure mounts on NATO allies to go all-in on Trump arms scheme for Ukraine www.politico.eu/article/pres...
Germany pledges big military aid package to Ukraine as Kyiv puts 2026 defense needs at $120 billion
Germany plans to send more than $2 billion in military aid to Ukraine amid concerns about dwindling Western support.
apnews.com
Germany pledges big military aid package to Ukraine as Kyiv puts 2026 defense needs at $120 billion apnews.com/article/nato...
NATO agonizes over leaky air defenses while Russian threat grows
Mounting drone incursions are sparking a debate on national rules that some see as limiting NATO’s top military officer.
www.politico.eu
NATO agonizes over leaky air defenses while Russian threat grows www.politico.eu/article/nato...
Fresh fractures in German coalition over 'lottery' military service feud | Euractiv
According to media reports, the Social Democrats were unimpressed with the compromise struck with their coalition partners
www.euractiv.com
Fresh fractures in German coalition over 'lottery' military service feud www.euractiv.com/news/fresh-f...
US defense manufacturer reveals new Tomahawk launcher — just what Ukraine would need to hit Russia
The Tomahawk's range would open up great swathes of Russia to Ukrainian long-range missile strikes, most notably Moscow and St. Petersburg.
kyivindependent.com
US defense manufacturer reveals new Tomahawk launcher — just what Ukraine would need to hit Russia kyivindependent.com/american-def...
Political Turmoil in France Weighs on Businesses and Investors
www.nytimes.com
Unfortunately, this looks like real backtracking on Macron's incomplete economic reform agenda: Political Turmoil in France Weighs on Businesses and Investors www.nytimes.com/2025/10/14/b...
John R. Deni
@johnrdeni.bsky.social
· Oct 9
Putin Admits Russia’s Role in Downing Azerbaijani Passenger Jet
The incident last year further eroded Moscow’s influence across the former Soviet states.
www.wsj.com
Putin Admits Russia’s Role in Downing Azerbaijani Passenger Jet www.wsj.com/world/russia...
John R. Deni
@johnrdeni.bsky.social
· Oct 9
Italy unveils €31 billion defense budget with NATO target in mind
The document gives a breakdown on spending for each program, but in a departure from tradition does not state the total amount of procurement funding.
www.defensenews.com
Italy unveils €31 billion defense budget with NATO target in mind www.defensenews.com/global/europ...
John R. Deni
@johnrdeni.bsky.social
· Oct 8
NATO’s New Northern Land Command Inaugurated in Finland
On Friday, NATO’s Multi-Corps Land Component Command Northwest officially opened in Mikkeli, Finland. "The MCLCC-NW will strengthen NATO’s defense in the High North and increase security in Finland," ...
www.highnorthnews.com
NATO’s New Northern Land Command Inaugurated in Finland -- the Multi-Corps Land Component Command (MC LCC) www.highnorthnews.com/en/natos-new...
John R. Deni
@johnrdeni.bsky.social
· Oct 8
The Atlantic article reinforces this recent piece of analysis: "The Case for War: Why the West Should Double Down in Ukraine" ip-quarterly.com/en/case-war-...
John R. Deni
@johnrdeni.bsky.social
· Oct 8
How Ukraine Turned the Tables on Russia
Russia assumed time was on its side, but a new Ukrainian strategy is yielding surprising results.
www.theatlantic.com
How Ukraine Turned the Tables on Russia (no pay wall). Best line of the piece is the last one. www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
John R. Deni
@johnrdeni.bsky.social
· Oct 8
'Liberating our land, step by step' — Ukraine reports successful counterattack in Dnipropterovsk Oblast, shows footage
The Shkval ("squall") assault unit "eliminated" 50 Russian troops in the battle, while eight others were taken prisoner, the 141st Mechanized Brigade reported.
kyivindependent.com
'Liberating our land, step by step' — Ukraine reports successful counterattack in Dnipropterovsk Oblast kyivindependent.com/ukraine-dnip...
John R. Deni
@johnrdeni.bsky.social
· Oct 7
Over 100,000 Western-made parts found in drones, missiles used in Russian recent mass attack, Zelensky says
The components were reportedly manufactured by companies based in the U.S., China, Taiwan, the U.K., Germany, Switzerland, Japan, South Korea, and the Netherlands.
kyivindependent.com
Over 100,000 Western-made parts found in drones, missiles used in Russian recent mass attack, Zelensky says kyivindependent.com/over-100-000...
Reposted by John R. Deni
Ukrainska Pravda 🇺🇦
@pravda.ua
· Oct 6
Denmark tightens checks on oil tankers to halt Russian shadow fleet
www.pravda.com.ua
🇩🇰 Denmark tightens checks on oil tankers to halt Russian shadow fleet