Jana Kobzova
@jkobzova.bsky.social
Co-director, European Security Progtamme @ European Council on Foreign Relations @ecfr.eu, previously foreign policy advisor to Slovakia's President Caputova.
Reposted by Jana Kobzova
In this week's podcast, @jyshapiro.bsky.social, @jkobzova.bsky.social and Jim O’Brien analyze the implications of these developments, including the potential impact on global energy strategies and the conflict’s trajectory.
https://ecfr.eu/podcasts/episode/ukraine-russia-and-trumps-sanctions-gamble/
https://ecfr.eu/podcasts/episode/ukraine-russia-and-trumps-sanctions-gamble/
Ukraine, Russia and Trump’s sanctions gamble
Jeremy Shapiro welcomes Jana Kobzova and Jim O’Brien to discuss the latest twists in diplomacy between Ukraine, Russia and the West…
ecfr.eu
October 25, 2025 at 12:17 PM
In this week's podcast, @jyshapiro.bsky.social, @jkobzova.bsky.social and Jim O’Brien analyze the implications of these developments, including the potential impact on global energy strategies and the conflict’s trajectory.
https://ecfr.eu/podcasts/episode/ukraine-russia-and-trumps-sanctions-gamble/
https://ecfr.eu/podcasts/episode/ukraine-russia-and-trumps-sanctions-gamble/
Reposted by Jana Kobzova
Continued my annual tradition of writing for @ecfr.eu on Russia’s local elections. The Kremlin uses these votes to test what may happen in the real campaigns
In 2025 we saw the growing role of war veterans—now entering regional parliaments and expected to fill the Duma in 2026
ecfr.eu/article/fro...
In 2025 we saw the growing role of war veterans—now entering regional parliaments and expected to fill the Duma in 2026
ecfr.eu/article/fro...
From battlefield to ballot box: Why Russia is drafting war veterans into politics
The rising prominence of veterans of the war in Ukraine will widen Russia’s elite coalition pushing for continued confrontation with the West…
ecfr.eu
September 21, 2025 at 5:51 PM
Continued my annual tradition of writing for @ecfr.eu on Russia’s local elections. The Kremlin uses these votes to test what may happen in the real campaigns
In 2025 we saw the growing role of war veterans—now entering regional parliaments and expected to fill the Duma in 2026
ecfr.eu/article/fro...
In 2025 we saw the growing role of war veterans—now entering regional parliaments and expected to fill the Duma in 2026
ecfr.eu/article/fro...
Still one of the best analyses of what #Russia’s recent local elections mean for the west, by @kominmo.bsky.social for @ecfr.eu
The rising prominence of veterans of the war in Ukraine will widen Russia’s elite coalition pushing for continued confrontation with the West, writes Mikhail Komin @ecfrpower.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/41ZOv1o
https://bit.ly/41ZOv1o
From battlefield to ballot box: Why Russia is drafting war veterans into politics
The rising prominence of veterans of the war in Ukraine will widen Russia’s elite coalition pushing for continued confrontation with the West…
bit.ly
October 6, 2025 at 6:48 AM
Still one of the best analyses of what #Russia’s recent local elections mean for the west, by @kominmo.bsky.social for @ecfr.eu
As the polling stations in #Moldova close, here's a reminder from my @ecfr.eu colleagues @gvalodskaite.bsky.social and Leo Litra on what's at stake at this election:
ecfr.eu/article/love...
ecfr.eu/article/love...
Love thy neighbour: Moldova’s election is a stress test for European resilience
Moldova’s parliamentary election will steer the country towards either the EU or Russia. Whatever the outcome, it is a chance for Europeans to understand Putin’s disinformation playbook and protect…
ecfr.eu
September 28, 2025 at 7:02 PM
As the polling stations in #Moldova close, here's a reminder from my @ecfr.eu colleagues @gvalodskaite.bsky.social and Leo Litra on what's at stake at this election:
ecfr.eu/article/love...
ecfr.eu/article/love...
Reposted by Jana Kobzova
#UNGA80 🧵
1/ Today, the UN Security Council meets to discuss the situation in Ukraine. In our latest podcast episode, Mark Leonard and
@jkobzova.bsky.social focused on the key developments in Russia’s war on Ukraine during the summer.
ecfr.eu/podcasts/epi...
1/ Today, the UN Security Council meets to discuss the situation in Ukraine. In our latest podcast episode, Mark Leonard and
@jkobzova.bsky.social focused on the key developments in Russia’s war on Ukraine during the summer.
ecfr.eu/podcasts/epi...
The dog days of summer: Ukraine battles and diplomacy
Mark Leonard welcomes Jana Kobzova to break down the summer’s key developments in Russia’s war on Ukraine…
ecfr.eu
September 23, 2025 at 8:56 AM
#UNGA80 🧵
1/ Today, the UN Security Council meets to discuss the situation in Ukraine. In our latest podcast episode, Mark Leonard and
@jkobzova.bsky.social focused on the key developments in Russia’s war on Ukraine during the summer.
ecfr.eu/podcasts/epi...
1/ Today, the UN Security Council meets to discuss the situation in Ukraine. In our latest podcast episode, Mark Leonard and
@jkobzova.bsky.social focused on the key developments in Russia’s war on Ukraine during the summer.
ecfr.eu/podcasts/epi...
In the war in #Ukraine, “dog days” doesn’t equal “inactivity”. As #UNGA starts in full swing, here’s a recap of what’s been happening in & around Ukraine over the summer and what that means for Europe and the U.S. (spoiler alert: increasing transatlantic rift).
In the latest episode of our podcast, Mark Leonard welcomed @jkobzova.bsky.social to break down the summer’s key developments in Russia’s war on Ukraine. Among other developments, they also discussed Ukraine’s domestic politics.
https://bit.ly/3VVY6CV
https://bit.ly/3VVY6CV
The dog days of summer: Ukraine battles and diplomacy
Mark Leonard welcomes Jana Kobzova to break down the summer’s key developments in Russia’s war on Ukraine…
ecfr.eu
September 23, 2025 at 6:28 AM
Still in shock. I remember Andriy back from the EuroMaidan days, as the “kommandant” of Maidan. RIP
The assassination of Andriy Parubiy, the former speaker of Ukraine’s parliament and a fierce opponent of Russia, is the most significant killing in a string of high-profile murders since the war with Russia began. www.ft.com/content/d08a...
Prominent Ukrainian nationalist politician shot dead in Lviv
Assassination of former parliament speaker Andriy Parubiy is the most significant in a series of high-profile killings
www.ft.com
August 30, 2025 at 1:14 PM
Still in shock. I remember Andriy back from the EuroMaidan days, as the “kommandant” of Maidan. RIP
also, I think that this week, it's quite appropriate to repost this post-mortem on #Minsk agreements written by my brilliant ex-colleague from @ecfr.eu @dumoulinme.bsky.social who has direct experience from those talks.
ecfr.eu/article/ukra...
ecfr.eu/article/ukra...
Ukraine, Russia, and the Minsk agreements: A post-mortem
Western policymakers should study the lessons of the Minsk agreements – and drop any illusions about the ways in which Russia supposedly acts.
ecfr.eu
August 21, 2025 at 1:12 PM
also, I think that this week, it's quite appropriate to repost this post-mortem on #Minsk agreements written by my brilliant ex-colleague from @ecfr.eu @dumoulinme.bsky.social who has direct experience from those talks.
ecfr.eu/article/ukra...
ecfr.eu/article/ukra...
Per @financialtimes.com, a European diplomat described #Russia’s insistence on involving #China “a WTF moment”.
Frankly, I had such moment when I heard that Witkoff really believed that Moscow would agree to “Art 5-like security guarantees” for #Ukraine 🤷🏽♀️
www.ft.com/content/3851...
Frankly, I had such moment when I heard that Witkoff really believed that Moscow would agree to “Art 5-like security guarantees” for #Ukraine 🤷🏽♀️
www.ft.com/content/3851...
Russia says it must be included in any Ukraine security guarantees
Demand from foreign minister Sergei Lavrov would give Moscow an effective veto over efforts to defend Kyiv
www.ft.com
August 21, 2025 at 4:41 AM
Per @financialtimes.com, a European diplomat described #Russia’s insistence on involving #China “a WTF moment”.
Frankly, I had such moment when I heard that Witkoff really believed that Moscow would agree to “Art 5-like security guarantees” for #Ukraine 🤷🏽♀️
www.ft.com/content/3851...
Frankly, I had such moment when I heard that Witkoff really believed that Moscow would agree to “Art 5-like security guarantees” for #Ukraine 🤷🏽♀️
www.ft.com/content/3851...
One thing we didn’t hear from the Europeans though is the threat of more pressure on Russia if there’s no ceasefire or a deal. They explicitly mentioned such option in their post-Alaska statement on Saturday — yet no one mentioned it during the press mtg w/ Trump.
August 18, 2025 at 9:24 PM
One thing we didn’t hear from the Europeans though is the threat of more pressure on Russia if there’s no ceasefire or a deal. They explicitly mentioned such option in their post-Alaska statement on Saturday — yet no one mentioned it during the press mtg w/ Trump.
post-Alaska follow-up on yday's thread: #Putin visibly content w/ red-carpet treatment & no immediate threat of #US sanctions. Trump delighted by the optics of a mtg of two superpowers. Contrast w/ how he treated Zelenskyy in the Oval Office could hardly be higher /1
Putin's international isolation effectively ends today. But it's unlikely that he gets what he wants on #Ukraine in Alaska. Bilateral US-RU deals are possible (and likely) - yet Kyiv & the rest of Europe have a role to play. Without them, no deal is really possible.
On August 15th, the American and Russian presidents will meet in Alaska to discuss the future of Ukraine without Ukrainians, or even Europeans, in the room. Quick results are still unlikely, and in any case, Europeans still have the cards to shape them, writes @jkobzova.bsky.social
🔗
🔗
August 16, 2025 at 7:56 AM
Putin's international isolation effectively ends today. But it's unlikely that he gets what he wants on #Ukraine in Alaska. Bilateral US-RU deals are possible (and likely) - yet Kyiv & the rest of Europe have a role to play. Without them, no deal is really possible.
On August 15th, the American and Russian presidents will meet in Alaska to discuss the future of Ukraine without Ukrainians, or even Europeans, in the room. Quick results are still unlikely, and in any case, Europeans still have the cards to shape them, writes @jkobzova.bsky.social
🔗
🔗
Trump meets Putin: Why the Alaska summit is no Yalta—yet
On August 15th, the American and Russian presidents will meet in Alaska to discuss the future of Ukraine without Ukrainians, or even Europeans, in the room. Quick results are still unlikely…
bit.ly
August 15, 2025 at 10:37 AM
Putin's international isolation effectively ends today. But it's unlikely that he gets what he wants on #Ukraine in Alaska. Bilateral US-RU deals are possible (and likely) - yet Kyiv & the rest of Europe have a role to play. Without them, no deal is really possible.
Reposted by Jana Kobzova
🎧Another week, another NEW episode of the World in 30 Minutes.
This week Mark Leonard is joined by @jkobzova.bsky.social and @camillegrand.bsky.social to discuss ECFR’s new European Security programme and the war in Ukraine.
📲Listen, share and subscribe! bit.ly/464YzJl
This week Mark Leonard is joined by @jkobzova.bsky.social and @camillegrand.bsky.social to discuss ECFR’s new European Security programme and the war in Ukraine.
📲Listen, share and subscribe! bit.ly/464YzJl
Beyond the battlefield: Europe’s long-term strategy for Ukraine
Mark Leonard is joined by Camille Grand and Jana Kobzova to discuss ECFR’s new European Security programme and the war in Ukraine…
bit.ly
July 11, 2025 at 10:27 AM
🎧Another week, another NEW episode of the World in 30 Minutes.
This week Mark Leonard is joined by @jkobzova.bsky.social and @camillegrand.bsky.social to discuss ECFR’s new European Security programme and the war in Ukraine.
📲Listen, share and subscribe! bit.ly/464YzJl
This week Mark Leonard is joined by @jkobzova.bsky.social and @camillegrand.bsky.social to discuss ECFR’s new European Security programme and the war in Ukraine.
📲Listen, share and subscribe! bit.ly/464YzJl
Reposted by Jana Kobzova
@nicupopescu.bsky.social is joined in conversation by Dmytro Kuleba and @jkobzova.bsky.social to discuss the new European Security Initiative #ACM25
Here are some key moments from the talk🧵🧵🧵
Here are some key moments from the talk🧵🧵🧵
June 27, 2025 at 1:05 PM
@nicupopescu.bsky.social is joined in conversation by Dmytro Kuleba and @jkobzova.bsky.social to discuss the new European Security Initiative #ACM25
Here are some key moments from the talk🧵🧵🧵
Here are some key moments from the talk🧵🧵🧵
Great to be launching @ecfr.eu new European Security Programme at ECFR’s annual council meeting, this time in Warsaw, with @nicupopescu.bsky.social and @dmytrokuleba.bsky.social @camillegrand.bsky.social #ACM2025
June 27, 2025 at 12:42 PM
Great to be launching @ecfr.eu new European Security Programme at ECFR’s annual council meeting, this time in Warsaw, with @nicupopescu.bsky.social and @dmytrokuleba.bsky.social @camillegrand.bsky.social #ACM2025
Reposted by Jana Kobzova
💔 More than three years under fire: our data show where & when Kyiv suffers the most strikes during the war in Russia.
We calculated how Russia terrorized the capital of Ukraine and its civilian population. Read more in our analytics below ⬇️
#Ukraine #Kyiv #Russia
texty.org.ua/articles/115348/
We calculated how Russia terrorized the capital of Ukraine and its civilian population. Read more in our analytics below ⬇️
#Ukraine #Kyiv #Russia
texty.org.ua/articles/115348/
June 24, 2025 at 8:59 AM
💔 More than three years under fire: our data show where & when Kyiv suffers the most strikes during the war in Russia.
We calculated how Russia terrorized the capital of Ukraine and its civilian population. Read more in our analytics below ⬇️
#Ukraine #Kyiv #Russia
texty.org.ua/articles/115348/
We calculated how Russia terrorized the capital of Ukraine and its civilian population. Read more in our analytics below ⬇️
#Ukraine #Kyiv #Russia
texty.org.ua/articles/115348/
Tune in today to discuss Trump, Europe and our response to #Ukraine
How is Trump’s return shaping European mindsets?
Join @ecfr.eu's webinar, chaired by @lykkefriis.bsky.social, to unpack Europeans views on defence, Ukraine & transatlantic ties.
New polling from 12 countries will be presented by ECFR.
Join here via the link below👇
Join @ecfr.eu's webinar, chaired by @lykkefriis.bsky.social, to unpack Europeans views on defence, Ukraine & transatlantic ties.
New polling from 12 countries will be presented by ECFR.
Join here via the link below👇
June 23, 2025 at 10:03 AM
Tune in today to discuss Trump, Europe and our response to #Ukraine
Self-promotion alert: we argue with @camillegrand.bsky.social & @nicupopescu.bsky.social that w/ less US attention & resources, the Europeans are Kyiv's key partner. They need a shared plan to promote joint security, map out Kyiv’s future EU integration & stabilise the country domestically.
Preventing the next war: A European plan for Ukraine: our @ecfr.eu policy brief with @nicupopescu.bsky.social and @jkobzova.bsky.social is out ecfr.eu/publication/...
Preventing the next war: A European plan for Ukraine
Together with the Ukrainians, Europeans should begin—now—to draw up a “beyond the horizon” plan for Ukraine in readiness for a ceasefire or even a peace deal…
ecfr.eu
June 22, 2025 at 11:02 AM
Self-promotion alert: we argue with @camillegrand.bsky.social & @nicupopescu.bsky.social that w/ less US attention & resources, the Europeans are Kyiv's key partner. They need a shared plan to promote joint security, map out Kyiv’s future EU integration & stabilise the country domestically.
Reposted by Jana Kobzova
'With a united European front investing in its capacity to help Ukraine protect European security, Europeans could strengthen Ukraine’s hand well enough to reach some kind of pacification of the conflict', write @jkobzova.bsky.social and @nicupopescu.bsky.social in a new commentary
buff.ly/20iqCfv
buff.ly/20iqCfv
The long game: How Europeans can shape the outcome of Ukraine-Russia talks
The second meeting between Ukraine and Russia in Istanbul has shown that a settlement is a distant prospect. To strengthen Ukraine’s hand in future talks, Europeans have a three-fold task.
buff.ly
June 6, 2025 at 4:40 PM
'With a united European front investing in its capacity to help Ukraine protect European security, Europeans could strengthen Ukraine’s hand well enough to reach some kind of pacification of the conflict', write @jkobzova.bsky.social and @nicupopescu.bsky.social in a new commentary
buff.ly/20iqCfv
buff.ly/20iqCfv
Explaining Trump’s offer for #Ukraine - this time in Slovak
Trump chce ukončiť vojnu za každú cenu a tak, aby ju zaplatila Ukrajina. Je to nebezpečné pre Európu aj pre Slovensko, hovorí výskumníčka @jkobzova.bsky.social from @ecfr.eu
dennikn.sk/4602104/prec...
dennikn.sk/4602104/prec...
Prečo je nebezpečný a ako mu porozumieť? Bod po bode rozoberáme s expertkou na Ukrajinu Trumpov plán
Trump chce ukončiť vojnu za každú cenu a tak, aby ju zaplatila Ukrajina. Je to nebezpečné pre Európu aj pre Slovensko, hovorí výskumníčka Jana Kobzová.
dennikn.sk
April 29, 2025 at 1:03 PM
Explaining Trump’s offer for #Ukraine - this time in Slovak
Reposted by Jana Kobzova
Tomorrow marks the 100th day of Trump’s second term, and Ukraine’s war rages on. Can Europe and Kyiv stop a peace deal on Russia’s terms? Mark Leonard and @jkobzova.bsky.social discuss last-minute diplomacy and what’s next.
🎧 Listen here
🎧 Listen here
Ceasefire in Ukraine?
Mark Leonard welcomes Jana Kobzova to discuss whether a flurry of last-minute diplomacy can prevent a Ukraine settlement on Russia’s terms
buff.ly
April 28, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Tomorrow marks the 100th day of Trump’s second term, and Ukraine’s war rages on. Can Europe and Kyiv stop a peace deal on Russia’s terms? Mark Leonard and @jkobzova.bsky.social discuss last-minute diplomacy and what’s next.
🎧 Listen here
🎧 Listen here
Pope Francis’ farewell gift
April 26, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Pope Francis’ farewell gift
Reposted by Jana Kobzova
Ukraine said Russian attacks were continuing after Vladimir Putin ordered his army to suspend combat operations in Ukraine over the Easter holiday this weekend. “Russian assault operations continue on several frontline sectors, and Russian artillery fire has not subsided.”
www.ft.com/content/77a7...
www.ft.com/content/77a7...
Ukraine says Russian attacks continue after Putin declares ceasefire
Sirens sound in Kyiv as air defences open fire on incoming missiles minutes after announcement
www.ft.com
April 19, 2025 at 7:38 PM
Ukraine said Russian attacks were continuing after Vladimir Putin ordered his army to suspend combat operations in Ukraine over the Easter holiday this weekend. “Russian assault operations continue on several frontline sectors, and Russian artillery fire has not subsided.”
www.ft.com/content/77a7...
www.ft.com/content/77a7...