Ivan Briscoe
ibriscoe.bsky.social
Ivan Briscoe
@ibriscoe.bsky.social
Senior director for policy @crisisgroup.org. Fan of Stone Roses, Jorge Luis Borges and Toffee Crisps. Preoccupied by the world and devoted to Latin America. Ex Buenos Aires Herald, El País, UNESCO & Clingendael Institute.
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
NATO leaders are about to meet in The Hague amidst a rapidly changing regional security environment. As new models for cooperation take shape, NATO & EU (&OSCE) roles may shift. New @crisisgroup.org commentary by @lisamusiol.bsky.social, Marta Mucznik, & yours truly unpacks the evolving dynamics.
A Way Forward for Europe’s Coalitions of the Willing | International Crisis Group
Whatever the forthcoming NATO summit decides, the alliance’s European members are preparing for a continuing threat from Russia and reduced U.S. support for Ukrainian and regional security. To this en...
www.crisisgroup.org
June 23, 2025 at 6:25 PM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
NEW Q&A | U.S. Troops to Los Angeles: A Dangerous Escalation

As residents in Los Angeles protest a crackdown on undocumented migrants, Donald Trump has sent in military personnel. @bcfinucane.bsky.social explains why this order is an ominous sign.

www.crisisgroup.org/united-state...
June 12, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
Mexico's judicial election results are trickling in. So far we know Supreme Court votes. Full results, including all judges, will be tallied only until next week. Noticing two things:

(1) Ruling party, MORENA, is poised to control the Supreme Court with most of the future justices with party ties.
Morena toma la Suprema Corte
Los nueve candidatos que el partido gobernante proponía han salido elegidos. El abogado mixteco Hugo Aguilar, el más votado, se perfila como presidente del alto tribunal
elpais.com
June 3, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
New Q&A from @crisisgroup.org on the implications of the Trump administration's invocation of the Alien Enemies Act to send Venezuelan migrants to a prison in El Salvador.
www.crisisgroup.org/global-unite...
Unpacking the Use of U.S. Wartime Powers against a Criminal “Invasion” | Crisis Group
President Donald Trump has used a 1798 law to deport alleged members of the Venezuelan criminal network Tren de Aragua to El Salvador, in whose notorious prisons they are now held. In this Q&A, Crisis...
www.crisisgroup.org
March 26, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
We tracked how fentanyl and cocaine move through a fragmented criminal supply chain, from production to consumption.

Follow our new @crisisgroup.org visual explainer on how this trafficking happens, fueling violence across the length of the supply chain. 👇

www.crisisgroup.org/visual-expla...
[Visual] Curbing Violence in Latin America’s Drug Trafficking Hotspots | International Crisis Group
More than 50 years into the “war on drugs”, trade in illicit narcotics continues to flourish in Latin America, often leaving mayhem in its wake.
www.crisisgroup.org
March 19, 2025 at 10:00 PM
"Labour Together said it hopes to channel “[Javier] Milei’s energy but with a radical centre-left purpose” with project chainsaw".

Curious turn-up for a president who calls socialism "a disease of the soul"
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Crackdown on quangos part of radical government proposal to reform state
Exclusive: Thousands of civil service jobs could also be cut under blueprint dubbed ‘project chainsaw’
www.theguardian.com
March 11, 2025 at 10:46 PM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
The art of deal making is not exclusive to one person!

President Claudia Sheinbaum of 🇲🇽💫👍🏽💪🏽

www.nytimes.com/2025/03/06/u...
Trump Suspends Tariffs on Mexico for a Month
Goods trading under the rules of the North American trade pact, or the vast majority of products, would be exempt from tariffs, the president said. The levies have caused stock markets to sink.
www.nytimes.com
March 6, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine three years ago today. In this short @crisisgroup.org explainer video, I talk about what the war has meant for European security, & how it is now complicated by the Trump presidency 1/2
www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lrH...
European security three years on from Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine
YouTube video by International Crisis Group
www.youtube.com
February 24, 2025 at 2:18 PM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
My latest in @justsecurity.org, examining the legal and policy implications of possible US military action in Mexico.

www.justsecurity.org/107850/us-mi...
U.S. Military Action in Mexico: Almost Certainly Illegal, Definitely Counterproductive
U.S. military action in Mexico would not only be illegal, it would sabotage Trump’s stated immigration policy priorities and could lead to retaliation against Americans.
www.justsecurity.org
February 20, 2025 at 2:11 PM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
Leftwing activists less likely to work with political rivals than other UK groups, study finds
Leftwing activists less likely to work with political rivals than other UK groups, study finds
Exclusive: Lack of understanding by ‘progressive activists’ of other voting blocs has led to rise of far right, authors argue * UK politics live – latest updates Leftwing activists in Britain are less likely to work with their political opponents…
www.theguardian.com
February 19, 2025 at 10:27 AM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
‘In a real sense, US democracy has died’: how Trump is emulating Hungary’s Orbán
‘In a real sense, US democracy has died’: how Trump is emulating Hungary’s Orbán
Trump has moved to gut the federal government, fire critics and reward allies – a path similar to ‘would-be dictators’ like Orbán, experts say A pitiless crackdown on on illegal immigration. A hardline approach to law and order. A purge of “gender…
www.theguardian.com
February 7, 2025 at 2:20 PM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
Aerial view of the tent facility that #Mexico's government has set up in anticipation of mass deportations to Ciudad Juárez, across from El Paso. From *Border Report*: www.borderreport.com/immigration/...
January 30, 2025 at 1:55 PM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
Is the Trump administration searching for an “easy” war to give the American man a sense of purpose?

Fascinating convo btw James Pogue and @ezrakleinbot.bsky.social: www.nytimes.com/2025/01/28/o...
Opinion | MAGA’s Big Tech Divide
The journalist James Pogue explicates the strange tensions between big tech and the new right.
www.nytimes.com
January 28, 2025 at 4:11 PM
Befuddled analysts seeking guidance as to the historical geopolitics of the Panama Canal & the rise of Monroe Doctrine 4.0: here are a few highly recommended core texts.
January 8, 2025 at 11:19 AM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
Exclusive: photographs reveal first glimpse of uncontacted Amazon community
Exclusive: photographs reveal first glimpse of uncontacted Amazon community
Automatic cameras in the Brazilian rainforest show images of the Massaco people, who are flourishing despite environmental threats * Read more on this story: New images show Brazil’s uncontacted people are thriving – but with success comes a new threat…
www.theguardian.com
December 22, 2024 at 5:18 AM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
NEW STATEMENT | Priorities after Assad’s Fall

At last, Syria is free of the despised Assad regime. The long-suffering Syrian people deserve respite and a chance to rebuild the country on their own terms, with help not interference from outside.

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Priorities after Assad’s Fall | Crisis Group
At last, Syria is free of the despised Assad regime. The long-suffering Syrian people deserve respite and a chance to rebuild the country on their own terms, with help not interference from outside.
www.crisisgroup.org
December 12, 2024 at 8:30 AM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
A standoff between President Luis Arce and former President Evo Morales has plunged Bolivia into turmoil, aggravating economic grievances and fuelling social unrest.

🧵 to explain what’s happening
December 6, 2024 at 1:55 PM
Reposted by Ivan Briscoe
In case rerunning the Pancho Villa expedition (ie war with Mexican cartels) wasn’t retro enough, there’s also the possibility of a reboot of the crusades.
December 6, 2024 at 2:57 AM