Gemma Tetlow
gemmatetlow.bsky.social
Gemma Tetlow
@gemmatetlow.bsky.social

Chief Economist, Institute for Government

Formerly Economics Correspondent at the Financial Times and Programme Director at the Institute for Fiscal Studies

Economics 44%
Political science 15%

I discuss this - and other questions about how chancellors can roll the pitch for Budget tax changes - in this week's @instituteforgovernment.org.uk podcast, with @jillongovt.bsky.social and former SpAds Giles Winn and Stewart Wood www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/podcast/rach...
Rachel Reeves and the art of pitch rolling the budget | Institute for Government
Former Treasury advisers Stewart Wood and Giles Winn reveal how chancellors prepare the ground for budget day.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
🚨 NEW EVENT 🚨

We've assembled our experts economics panel to dissect the details of the Chancellor's budget

💻 Online
📆 Thurs 27 Nov, 1pm GMT

With @jillongovt.bsky.social, @jdportes.bsky.social, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social, @benchu.bsky.social & @anandmenon.bsky.social

ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
UKICE Lunch Hour: Assessing the budget - UK in a changing Europe
Join our expert economics panel as they dissect the details of the Autumn Statement.
ukandeu.ac.uk
Cross-party agreement can create political space for tax reform

It is time to take the political heat out of attempts to reform the tax system, says @gemmatetlow.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/cros...
Cross-party agreement can create political space for tax reform | Institute for Government
It is time to take the political heat out of attempts to reform the tax system.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

For too long, growth-enhancing tax reforms have been prevented by the intense political heat that surrounds any such changes. This new report should help create space for this and future governments to make much-needed improvements www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/cros...
Cross-party agreement can create political space for tax reform | Institute for Government
It is time to take the political heat out of attempts to reform the tax system.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

A very interesting new report, coordinated by @centaxuk.bsky.social, is co-authored by nine think tanks from across the political spectrum and sets out 7 packages of tax reform that all agree would make the UK tax system "fairer, more effective and more pro-growth” centax.org.uk/tax-reforms-...
Tax Reforms for Growth | CenTax
centax.org.uk

Reposted by Gemma Tetlow

Good to see Reeves defending the importance of SR settlements (where changes should be avoided). But disappointing if this means using highly optimistic assumptions re. future tech efficiencies (eg £45bn) to pencil in spending cuts beyond the SR period rather than confronting the need for tax reform

Reposted by Gemma Tetlow

IfG Chief Economist @gemmatetlow.bsky.social outlines that currently pension contributions make up around 20% of the total public sector remuneration package, compared to 8% in the private sector. Is this the most effective balance and does there need to be flexibility? #Lab25

Join us at 15:45 at LPC to discuss how public sector pay and pensions might be reformed. With Dave Penman @fdaunion.bsky.social @timleunig.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social and Paul Whiteman

Reposted by Gemma Tetlow

Should public sector pay and pensions be reformed?

Join us at #Lab25 at 15:45 to hear from @timleunig.bsky.social @fdagensec.bsky.social @fdaunion.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social, Paul Whiteman and @drbenpaxton.bsky.social - Clyde Room, ACC www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/ifg-la...

...but no indication of which taxes might rise. Understandable that CX cannot pre-empt Budget announcements in conference speech but it does mean the biggest questions facing the CX were left unanswered today. Today's announcements (mainly details on youth guarantee) were small.

As trailed in the papers earlier, Reeves's speech did roll the pitch for tax rises in the Budget - pointing to 14 years of weak growth creating a fiscal problem and the foolhardiness of simply ignoring fiscal constraints (she said there was "nothing progressive" about that)...
Follow our autumn budget 2025 page for more in the lead up to Reeves' second budget as chancellor on Weds 26 November www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/autumn-budge...

Follow the team @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @tompope.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social @danhaile.bsky.social @gilesyb.bsky.social
Autumn budget 2025 | Institute for Government
On Wednesday 26 November, Rachel Reeves will deliver her second budget as chancellor.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
New @instituteforgovernment.org.uk report by me, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social and @jillongovt.bsky.social on how Reeves should approach tax this Autumn

With tax rises inevitable, Reeves should reject path of least resistance and embrace tax reform 1/3

www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
The 2025 budget and beyond: How Rachel Reeves can approach tax reform to help drive growth | Institute for Government
A big autumn approaches for the chancellor.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

If you have experience of using the customer relationship management software Zoho and would like to work with friendly, motivated colleagues to help share our research far and wide, do consider applying for this opening in our comms team...
Do you have experience of using Zoho CRM? Applications are now open to join our team as a CRM Executive.

📆 Closing date: Wednesday 15 October

Find out more about the role and how to apply 👇 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/about-us/car...

Reposted by Gemma Tetlow

Do you have experience of using Zoho CRM? Applications are now open to join our team as a CRM Executive.

📆 Closing date: Wednesday 15 October

Find out more about the role and how to apply 👇 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/about-us/car...

Reposted by Thomas Pope

Very good piece from Meg Hillier on the dangers of political attacks on independent institutions like the OBR on.ft.com/3VV7p5Y The OBR is not to blame for weak growth
The OBR is not to blame for weak growth
When politicians attack independent institutions, we all lose
on.ft.com

Reposted by Gemma Tetlow

#LAB25 | Should public sector pay and pensions be reformed?

With Dave Penman @fdaunion.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social

More speakers will be announced soon👁️‍🗨️

www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/ifg-la...

Reposted by Gemma Tetlow

How can the industrial strategy drive growth?

📆 Monday 29 Sept | 09:00–10:00

Join us at the Labour conference in Liverpool for our event with @praneshippr.bsky.social @gilesyb.bsky.social @imperialcollegeldn.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/ifg-la...

@resfoundation.bsky.social are recruiting for three new researcher/economist roles at various levels of seniority. Applications close 19 Sept. Exciting opportunity to join a great thinktank improving living standards for those on low-to-middle incomes www.resolutionfoundation.org/about-us/opp...
Opportunities: Resolution Foundation
We're looking for exceptional candidates to join the Resolution Foundation team.
www.resolutionfoundation.org

How can the government avoid a repeat of this year’s welfare reform debacle? www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/gove...
How can the government avoid a repeat of this year’s welfare reform debacle? | Institute for Government
A change is needed in the government's use of fiscal forecasts.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Reposted by Gemma Tetlow

Reposted by Gemma Tetlow

NEW REPORT: almost all prisons have seen skyrocketing rates of violence, protest and self-harm in recent years, but more work & education and more open prisons could turn this around and improve outcomes. 🧵 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
Inside England and Wales's prisons crisis | Institute for Government
What is driving the differing performance of prisons around the country?
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
WEBINAR | What choices did the government make in the 2025 spending review?

📅Wed 11 June, 16.00

Join IfG experts for instant analysis of what Rachel Reeves’s 2025 spending review means for public services, investment and the government’s missions👇
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/what-c...
What can the new Pensions Commission learn from its 2000s predecessor?

@jillongovt.bsky.social @njdavies.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social argue that the commission will need Treasury support to have as big an impact as the Turner Commission www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/new-...
Lessons for the government’s 'revived' Pensions Commission | Institute for Government
What can the new commission learn from its 2000s predecessor?
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
The original pensions commission is the single most effective independent inquiry of the last few decades. @jillongovt.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social and I have written on what the new pensions commission announced this week can learn from the original
Lessons for the government’s 'revived' Pensions Commission | Institute for Government
What can the new commission learn from its 2000s predecessor?
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Reposted by Gemma Tetlow

PODCAST 🎤 The scandal and the superinjunction

@lucyfisher.ft.com joins @cathhaddon.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @alexgathomas.bsky.social to discuss the Afghan data leak and how the state reacts when mistakes are made.

Plus: Rachel Reeves' speech and voting reforms zurl.co/Hct1f
The scandal and the superinjunction | Institute for Government
The FT’s Lucy Fisher joins the podcast team to discuss who is to blame for the Afghan data leak.
zurl.co

Reposted by Gemma Tetlow

EVENT: Labour’s first year in power: is this still a mission-driven government?

Join our event with @instituteforgovernment.org.uk tomorrow at 10:30am chaired by @drhannahwhite.bsky.social with @helenmiller.bsky.social, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social & @stephenkb.bsky.social: ifs.org.uk/events/labou...
Great comment piece by Nick Timmins for @instituteforgovernment.org.uk on the 10 Year Health Plan

He finds lots of familiar ideas but argues they could be frustrated by familiar problems. Like him, I really worry that plans to better integrate health service will be derailed by structural changes
Labour’s 10 Year Health Plan: familiar ideas could be frustrated by familiar problems | Institute for Government
There is plenty of the what but less of the how in Wes Streeting’s new plan.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk