Irish Fiscal Advisory Council
@fiscalcouncil.bsky.social
Ireland's budgetary watchdog
1/7 The Council has released new research on how Ireland’s corporation tax receipts could be impacted by US tariffs and policy changes. The pharma and tech sectors have avoided US tariffs to date. These sectors are the largest payers of corporation tax in Ireland.
November 12, 2025 at 9:24 AM
1/7 The Council has released new research on how Ireland’s corporation tax receipts could be impacted by US tariffs and policy changes. The pharma and tech sectors have avoided US tariffs to date. These sectors are the largest payers of corporation tax in Ireland.
1/4 Today’s fiscal monitor shows a continuation of recent trends. Spending growth is outpacing the growth in revenue. This is leading to a deterioration in the headline and underlying balance.
November 5, 2025 at 6:02 PM
1/4 Today’s fiscal monitor shows a continuation of recent trends. Spending growth is outpacing the growth in revenue. This is leading to a deterioration in the headline and underlying balance.
1/4 Yesterday, the Department of Finance published a long-term analysis of Ireland’s economy and public finances. The Council welcomes this work. It presents many scenarios of how the public finances could evolve out to 2065.
November 5, 2025 at 2:53 PM
1/4 Yesterday, the Department of Finance published a long-term analysis of Ireland’s economy and public finances. The Council welcomes this work. It presents many scenarios of how the public finances could evolve out to 2065.
1/7 We have a new blog post in our Beyond the Budget series, titled “Why corporation tax could be even more concentrated than you think”. It looks at how these tax revenues could be even more concentrated among tech and manufacturing groups than official data suggests.
October 15, 2025 at 9:14 AM
1/7 We have a new blog post in our Beyond the Budget series, titled “Why corporation tax could be even more concentrated than you think”. It looks at how these tax revenues could be even more concentrated among tech and manufacturing groups than official data suggests.
1/16 This “Flash Release” gives the Council’s first read on Budget 2026. It explores some of the key areas that the Council will assess in its next Fiscal Assessment Report, due out in November.
October 7, 2025 at 5:51 PM
1/16 This “Flash Release” gives the Council’s first read on Budget 2026. It explores some of the key areas that the Council will assess in its next Fiscal Assessment Report, due out in November.
1/4 This morning, the Government released its “White Paper” ahead of Budget 2026. The White Paper is routinely published the weekend before Budget Day. It gives a glimpse of tax and spending forecasts before the impacts of next Tuesday’s Budget measures are incorporated.
October 4, 2025 at 3:38 PM
1/4 This morning, the Government released its “White Paper” ahead of Budget 2026. The White Paper is routinely published the weekend before Budget Day. It gives a glimpse of tax and spending forecasts before the impacts of next Tuesday’s Budget measures are incorporated.
1/4 Today’s final fiscal monitor ahead of Budget 2026 shows tax revenue ahead of forecast and current spending continuing to rise quickly.
October 3, 2025 at 4:43 PM
1/4 Today’s final fiscal monitor ahead of Budget 2026 shows tax revenue ahead of forecast and current spending continuing to rise quickly.
1/4 The Council is today publishing a working paper on “VAT rate pass-through: Evidence form the Irish hospitality and tourism industry” by @killiancarroll.bsky.social. The paper looks at the four most recent changes to the VAT rate on hospitality and tourism.
October 1, 2025 at 7:48 AM
1/4 The Council is today publishing a working paper on “VAT rate pass-through: Evidence form the Irish hospitality and tourism industry” by @killiancarroll.bsky.social. The paper looks at the four most recent changes to the VAT rate on hospitality and tourism.
1/9 The Fiscal Council's latest report assesses the Government’s plans for Budget 2026. In it, we warn that there is no clear guide or rule for budgetary policy in Ireland. Without a rule or limit, budgetary policy will be made in a year-to-year fashion.
September 9, 2025 at 6:33 AM
1/9 The Fiscal Council's latest report assesses the Government’s plans for Budget 2026. In it, we warn that there is no clear guide or rule for budgetary policy in Ireland. Without a rule or limit, budgetary policy will be made in a year-to-year fashion.
1/4 Today’s fiscal monitor continues three recent trends: 1) spending is growing quickly; 2) corporation tax continues to be volatile and 3) underlying revenue continues to perform well.
September 3, 2025 at 3:33 PM
1/4 Today’s fiscal monitor continues three recent trends: 1) spending is growing quickly; 2) corporation tax continues to be volatile and 3) underlying revenue continues to perform well.
The Council is looking to recruit a new Council member. Applications from candidates in Ireland and overseas are welcome. The closing date to apply is 3pm (Dublin time) Thursday 18th September 2025. publicjobs.ie/en/?option=c...
Job Details
Publicjobs.ie | Ireland's Premier Public Sector Recruitment Website
publicjobs.ie
September 3, 2025 at 12:34 PM
The Council is looking to recruit a new Council member. Applications from candidates in Ireland and overseas are welcome. The closing date to apply is 3pm (Dublin time) Thursday 18th September 2025. publicjobs.ie/en/?option=c...
1/6 We have a new blog post from our Beyond the Budget series. Today’s blog is titled “Planning, Permits, and Public Investment: Clearing the Path”. It examines the barriers to infrastructure investment in Ireland and how they can be resolved.
August 22, 2025 at 9:26 AM
1/6 We have a new blog post from our Beyond the Budget series. Today’s blog is titled “Planning, Permits, and Public Investment: Clearing the Path”. It examines the barriers to infrastructure investment in Ireland and how they can be resolved.
1/4 We have a new blog post from our Beyond the Budget series. Today’s blog is titled “Concrete Problems: Ireland’s Infrastructure Shortfall”. It examines how Ireland’s infrastructure has grown, but remains lower than that of our European neighbours.
August 14, 2025 at 8:20 AM
1/4 We have a new blog post from our Beyond the Budget series. Today’s blog is titled “Concrete Problems: Ireland’s Infrastructure Shortfall”. It examines how Ireland’s infrastructure has grown, but remains lower than that of our European neighbours.
1/4 Today’s fiscal monitor highlights two important facts about the public finances: 1) spending continues to grow quickly; 2) corporation tax continues to be volatile.
August 6, 2025 at 5:00 PM
1/4 Today’s fiscal monitor highlights two important facts about the public finances: 1) spending continues to grow quickly; 2) corporation tax continues to be volatile.
1/5 The Council has released new research on how Ireland’s level of taxation and government spending compare to other European countries. Ireland is currently benefitting from having a relatively young population. This means lower demand for pensions and healthcare.
August 6, 2025 at 8:15 AM
1/5 The Council has released new research on how Ireland’s level of taxation and government spending compare to other European countries. Ireland is currently benefitting from having a relatively young population. This means lower demand for pensions and healthcare.
1/3 The Council is today launching a blog series called “Beyond the Budget”. The blog will showcase the latest research from the Council and its staff. The blog will cover a range of topics related to the Irish economy and the public finances.
July 30, 2025 at 9:28 AM
1/3 The Council is today launching a blog series called “Beyond the Budget”. The blog will showcase the latest research from the Council and its staff. The blog will cover a range of topics related to the Irish economy and the public finances.
1/11 The Government released its Summer Economic Statement yesterday, outlining its plans for Budget 2026. Budget 2025 had planned a €3bn increase in spending. Yesterday, this was revised up by €3.3bn, meaning the actual 2025 increase will be more than double the original plan.
July 23, 2025 at 1:58 PM
1/11 The Government released its Summer Economic Statement yesterday, outlining its plans for Budget 2026. Budget 2025 had planned a €3bn increase in spending. Yesterday, this was revised up by €3.3bn, meaning the actual 2025 increase will be more than double the original plan.
1/4 The government has released a revised National Development Plan. This sets ambitious targets for public investment in the years ahead.
July 23, 2025 at 1:55 PM
1/4 The government has released a revised National Development Plan. This sets ambitious targets for public investment in the years ahead.
1/4 Today’s fiscal monitor shows underlying tax revenue growing, strong corporation tax receipts, and a fast pace of spending growth that is likely to see large overruns again this year.
July 3, 2025 at 5:54 PM
1/4 Today’s fiscal monitor shows underlying tax revenue growing, strong corporation tax receipts, and a fast pace of spending growth that is likely to see large overruns again this year.
1/8 The Fiscal Council's latest report looks at the prospects for the Irish economy and public finances. The report comes at a time of heightened uncertainty.
June 10, 2025 at 6:43 AM
1/8 The Fiscal Council's latest report looks at the prospects for the Irish economy and public finances. The report comes at a time of heightened uncertainty.
1/5 There are three key takeaways from today’s fiscal monitor: 1) Spending is growing strongly so far this year; 2) Corporation tax continues to be volatile; and 3) Underlying tax revenue continues to grow.
June 5, 2025 at 5:33 PM
1/5 There are three key takeaways from today’s fiscal monitor: 1) Spending is growing strongly so far this year; 2) Corporation tax continues to be volatile; and 3) Underlying tax revenue continues to grow.
1/4 Yesterday the Department of Finance published its first Annual Progress Report. This document contains their latest set of macroeconomic and budgetary projections.
May 7, 2025 at 9:14 AM
1/4 Yesterday the Department of Finance published its first Annual Progress Report. This document contains their latest set of macroeconomic and budgetary projections.
1/3 Today's Exchequer data come amid lots of uncertainty. Yet tax receipts have maintained their strong start to the year, up 9% in the first quarter compared to the same period of last year.
April 3, 2025 at 5:17 PM
1/3 Today's Exchequer data come amid lots of uncertainty. Yet tax receipts have maintained their strong start to the year, up 9% in the first quarter compared to the same period of last year.
The Fiscal Council is seeking applications for Chief Economist / Head of Secretariat.
This is a temporary senior role and a great opportunity to develop your career. It will last at least one year and may be extended.
Apply by Friday 25th April 2025.
www.fiscalcouncil.ie/careers/
This is a temporary senior role and a great opportunity to develop your career. It will last at least one year and may be extended.
Apply by Friday 25th April 2025.
www.fiscalcouncil.ie/careers/
April 3, 2025 at 2:39 PM
The Fiscal Council is seeking applications for Chief Economist / Head of Secretariat.
This is a temporary senior role and a great opportunity to develop your career. It will last at least one year and may be extended.
Apply by Friday 25th April 2025.
www.fiscalcouncil.ie/careers/
This is a temporary senior role and a great opportunity to develop your career. It will last at least one year and may be extended.
Apply by Friday 25th April 2025.
www.fiscalcouncil.ie/careers/
To put Ireland’s potential costs of missing climate targets into context, a fraction of the upper range could cover drastic measures to reduce emissions ⏬
🚗 These include:
🚗 These include:
March 11, 2025 at 3:23 PM
To put Ireland’s potential costs of missing climate targets into context, a fraction of the upper range could cover drastic measures to reduce emissions ⏬
🚗 These include:
🚗 These include: