Eulalia Rubio
@eulaliarubio.bsky.social
Senior Research Fellow at institutdelors.eu, Paris, senior associate at ceps.eu, Brussels
Interested in all issues related with the EU budget and EU's public finances, from how to spend it to how to pay for it
Interested in all issues related with the EU budget and EU's public finances, from how to spend it to how to pay for it
Still lots to digest from the #MFF proposal, but with the colleagues from @delorsberlin.bsky.social we crunched the numbers, shared views & came up with a joint assessment and recommendations on how to move on,
Check out this great summary by @nilsredeker.bsky.social 👇
@delorsinstitute.bsky.social
Check out this great summary by @nilsredeker.bsky.social 👇
@delorsinstitute.bsky.social
Just a few weeks to go before the EU dives into what will likely be a bruising battle over its next budget.
@romyha.bsky.social, @eulaliarubio.bsky.social, @lindnerjs.bsky.social l and I took a closer look at the Commission’s proposal.
We think successful negotiations now hinge on four things:
@romyha.bsky.social, @eulaliarubio.bsky.social, @lindnerjs.bsky.social l and I took a closer look at the Commission’s proposal.
We think successful negotiations now hinge on four things:
Ripe for Reform – What’s in the EU Budget Proposal and What Should Come Next
On 16 July 2025, the European Commission unveiled its proposal for the next Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) for 2028-35, kicking off what promises to be a highly fraught and marathon set of nego...
www.delorscentre.eu
August 1, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Still lots to digest from the #MFF proposal, but with the colleagues from @delorsberlin.bsky.social we crunched the numbers, shared views & came up with a joint assessment and recommendations on how to move on,
Check out this great summary by @nilsredeker.bsky.social 👇
@delorsinstitute.bsky.social
Check out this great summary by @nilsredeker.bsky.social 👇
@delorsinstitute.bsky.social
Reposted by Eulalia Rubio
The budget numbers proposed by the EU COM are finally out - but their interpretation is far from unequivocal. Let me give you some comparisons in 2025 prices which is more informative in terms of actual buying power:
July 18, 2025 at 10:26 AM
The budget numbers proposed by the EU COM are finally out - but their interpretation is far from unequivocal. Let me give you some comparisons in 2025 prices which is more informative in terms of actual buying power:
Mes premières impressions sur la proposition CPF: Une proposition courageuse, mais qui émane d'une Commission politiquement affaiblie, qui pourrait avoir du mal à faire accepter des changements qui accroissent ses propres pouvoirs.
institutdelors.eu/publications...
institutdelors.eu/publications...
Le Cadre Financier Pluriannuel 2028-2034: une proposition ambitieuse d'une Commission fragile - Institut Jacques Delors
institutdelors.eu
July 17, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Mes premières impressions sur la proposition CPF: Une proposition courageuse, mais qui émane d'une Commission politiquement affaiblie, qui pourrait avoir du mal à faire accepter des changements qui accroissent ses propres pouvoirs.
institutdelors.eu/publications...
institutdelors.eu/publications...
My first throughts on the #MFF proposal: A courageous proposal — but it comes from a politically weakened Commission, which may struggle to secure buy-in for changes that increase its own powers. The real test starts now.
institutdelors.eu/en/publicati...
institutdelors.eu/en/publicati...
The MFF package: A ambitious proposal from a fragile Commission - Institut Jacques Delors
institutdelors.eu
July 17, 2025 at 4:08 PM
My first throughts on the #MFF proposal: A courageous proposal — but it comes from a politically weakened Commission, which may struggle to secure buy-in for changes that increase its own powers. The real test starts now.
institutdelors.eu/en/publicati...
institutdelors.eu/en/publicati...
Here below some interesting findings from a first preliminary comparison between the current MFF and the post 2028-2034 MFF proposal by my colleague @romyha.bsky.social from the Delors centre of Berlin - with all the caveats in mind, as we still do not have the real figures !
1/ The EU Commission proposes a budget 2028-2034 that is around €580bn higher than its precursor. The increase is a bit less enormous considering that NGEU repayments will already consume €168bn. However, there is still quite some additional spending in there, mainly going to the new Pillar II:
July 16, 2025 at 9:22 PM
Here below some interesting findings from a first preliminary comparison between the current MFF and the post 2028-2034 MFF proposal by my colleague @romyha.bsky.social from the Delors centre of Berlin - with all the caveats in mind, as we still do not have the real figures !
Totally agree with @paolatamma.bsky.social ,today's presentation of the MFF proposal has been catastrophic: delays, simultaneous presentation of the proposal at the Parliament and to the press, MEPs having to react on the basis of leaked documents....and we're still missing the real documents ! .
How NOT to prepare and present a budget proposal to ensure buy in from colleagues and eventually EU countries — who will have to foot the bill. With @henryjfoy.ft.com and @bmoens.bsky.social
www.ft.com/content/c88e...
www.ft.com/content/c88e...
Von der Leyen botches €2tn EU budget proposal with chaotic infighting
Centralised and chaotic process has compromised launch of commission president’s spending plan, colleagues say
www.ft.com
July 16, 2025 at 9:11 PM
Totally agree with @paolatamma.bsky.social ,today's presentation of the MFF proposal has been catastrophic: delays, simultaneous presentation of the proposal at the Parliament and to the press, MEPs having to react on the basis of leaked documents....and we're still missing the real documents ! .
Reposted by Eulalia Rubio
Don't just take our word for it. Here's the verdict from GERMANY:
"A comprehensive increase in the EU budget is unacceptable at a time when all member states are making significant efforts to consolidate their national budgets. Therefore, we will not be able to accept the Commission's proposal."
"A comprehensive increase in the EU budget is unacceptable at a time when all member states are making significant efforts to consolidate their national budgets. Therefore, we will not be able to accept the Commission's proposal."
💥Von der Leyen botches €2tn EU budget proposal with chaotic infighting, as Brussels officials & member state diplomats warn her centralised & top-down approach has compromised launch of the bloc’s biggest ever common budget
w dreamteam @paolatamma.bsky.social & @bmoens.bsky.social
on.ft.com/3IyMD8Y
w dreamteam @paolatamma.bsky.social & @bmoens.bsky.social
on.ft.com/3IyMD8Y
Von der Leyen botches €2tn EU budget proposal with chaotic infighting
[FREE TO READ] Centralised and chaotic process has compromised launch of commission president’s spending plan, colleagues say
on.ft.com
July 16, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Don't just take our word for it. Here's the verdict from GERMANY:
"A comprehensive increase in the EU budget is unacceptable at a time when all member states are making significant efforts to consolidate their national budgets. Therefore, we will not be able to accept the Commission's proposal."
"A comprehensive increase in the EU budget is unacceptable at a time when all member states are making significant efforts to consolidate their national budgets. Therefore, we will not be able to accept the Commission's proposal."
Very glad to have contributed to the Citizens’ Panel on the EU budget, organised by the European Commission, as a member of the Knowledge Committee. It was fascinating to hear 150 citizens from across the EU debate how the budget should be spent — and to help them refine and shape their ideas.
The 3rd and final session of the European Citizens’ Panel on a new European budget fit for our ambitions started today!
Bon courage to all citizens as they continue shaping ideas that reflect our shared future.
📺 Follow the event via livestream: europa.eu/!gghTvC
Bon courage to all citizens as they continue shaping ideas that reflect our shared future.
📺 Follow the event via livestream: europa.eu/!gghTvC
May 18, 2025 at 1:31 PM
Very glad to have contributed to the Citizens’ Panel on the EU budget, organised by the European Commission, as a member of the Knowledge Committee. It was fascinating to hear 150 citizens from across the EU debate how the budget should be spent — and to help them refine and shape their ideas.
Ma tribune pour le journal "L' Opinion": L’UE doit manier avec précaution la menace d’une taxe numérique européenne lopinion.fr/internationa...?
L’UE doit manier avec précaution la menace d’une taxe numérique européenne
Ursula von der Leyen a évoqué la possibilité d’imposer une taxe sur les recettes publicitaires des géants américains du numérique si les négociations commerciales avec Donald Trump venaient à échouer.
lopinion.fr
April 28, 2025 at 7:38 AM
Ma tribune pour le journal "L' Opinion": L’UE doit manier avec précaution la menace d’une taxe numérique européenne lopinion.fr/internationa...?
With Philipp Lausberg from @epc-official.bsky.social a call to embed permanent crisis-response tools into the next EU multiannual budget. Main message: the Union must shift from improvisation to anticipation to face future geopolitical and climate risks
New blog article! 🖊️ How to prepare the EU budget for future shocks, like climate change and security?
Based on their latest focus paper, Philipp Lausberg and @eulaliarubio.bsky.social propose a "more permanent and flexible fiscal architecture".
👉 How? Read here: regroup-horizon.eu/blog-securit...
Based on their latest focus paper, Philipp Lausberg and @eulaliarubio.bsky.social propose a "more permanent and flexible fiscal architecture".
👉 How? Read here: regroup-horizon.eu/blog-securit...
Strengthening the EU’s fiscal capacity for security and climate resilience - REGROUP
The European Union is facing a new era of intensifying geopolitical instability and growing climate-related risks. With war on its borders...
regroup-horizon.eu
April 27, 2025 at 7:46 AM
With Philipp Lausberg from @epc-official.bsky.social a call to embed permanent crisis-response tools into the next EU multiannual budget. Main message: the Union must shift from improvisation to anticipation to face future geopolitical and climate risks
Reposted by Eulalia Rubio
📢 DISCUSSION PAPER: Beyond ad-hoc responses: Strengthening the EU’s fiscal capacity for security and climate
Eulalia Rubio and Philipp Lausberg argue for the integration of crisis preparedness into the EU budget. @eulaliarubio.bsky.social
Read here 👉 www.epc.eu/en/Publicati...
Eulalia Rubio and Philipp Lausberg argue for the integration of crisis preparedness into the EU budget. @eulaliarubio.bsky.social
Read here 👉 www.epc.eu/en/Publicati...
April 1, 2025 at 1:48 PM
📢 DISCUSSION PAPER: Beyond ad-hoc responses: Strengthening the EU’s fiscal capacity for security and climate
Eulalia Rubio and Philipp Lausberg argue for the integration of crisis preparedness into the EU budget. @eulaliarubio.bsky.social
Read here 👉 www.epc.eu/en/Publicati...
Eulalia Rubio and Philipp Lausberg argue for the integration of crisis preparedness into the EU budget. @eulaliarubio.bsky.social
Read here 👉 www.epc.eu/en/Publicati...
Reposted by Eulalia Rubio
The results of the coalition negotiations between CDU/CSU and SPD on Europe have been leaked. Some institutional aspects:
- better enforcement of rule of law, including suspension of voting rights + making conditionality mechanism into instrument to sanction violations of EU values more broadly
- better enforcement of rule of law, including suspension of voting rights + making conditionality mechanism into instrument to sanction violations of EU values more broadly
March 27, 2025 at 9:28 PM
The results of the coalition negotiations between CDU/CSU and SPD on Europe have been leaked. Some institutional aspects:
- better enforcement of rule of law, including suspension of voting rights + making conditionality mechanism into instrument to sanction violations of EU values more broadly
- better enforcement of rule of law, including suspension of voting rights + making conditionality mechanism into instrument to sanction violations of EU values more broadly
Reposted by Eulalia Rubio
New focus paper! 📣 What lessons can we learn from EU's fiscal responses to the #covid19pandemic for future emergencies?
Philipp Lausberg and @eulaliarubio.bsky.social propose concrete investment strategies for EU's #defence and natural disasters.
Read them here: regroup-horizon.eu/publications...
Philipp Lausberg and @eulaliarubio.bsky.social propose concrete investment strategies for EU's #defence and natural disasters.
Read them here: regroup-horizon.eu/publications...
March 26, 2025 at 10:20 AM
New focus paper! 📣 What lessons can we learn from EU's fiscal responses to the #covid19pandemic for future emergencies?
Philipp Lausberg and @eulaliarubio.bsky.social propose concrete investment strategies for EU's #defence and natural disasters.
Read them here: regroup-horizon.eu/publications...
Philipp Lausberg and @eulaliarubio.bsky.social propose concrete investment strategies for EU's #defence and natural disasters.
Read them here: regroup-horizon.eu/publications...
Reposted by Eulalia Rubio
Without reforms, CAP transfers would increase by 22-25%. Ukraine would become their main beneficiary, given the scale of its agricultural sector (see this excellent study by @eulaliarubio.bsky.social & al www.europarl.europa.eu/thinktank/en... )...
Adapting the EU budget to make it fit for the purpose of future enlargements | Think Tank | European Parliament
Adapting the EU budget to make it fit for the purpose of future enlargements
www.europarl.europa.eu
March 26, 2025 at 3:17 PM
Without reforms, CAP transfers would increase by 22-25%. Ukraine would become their main beneficiary, given the scale of its agricultural sector (see this excellent study by @eulaliarubio.bsky.social & al www.europarl.europa.eu/thinktank/en... )...
For those who missed it, Trump has also withdrawn from the OECD global tax deal (bye bye the proposal to create an "own resource" based on pillar 1)
In the memorandum he also alerts that US will adopt counter measures if foreign countries apply the deal on US multinat in their territories
In the memorandum he also alerts that US will adopt counter measures if foreign countries apply the deal on US multinat in their territories
January 22, 2025 at 7:10 AM
For those who missed it, Trump has also withdrawn from the OECD global tax deal (bye bye the proposal to create an "own resource" based on pillar 1)
In the memorandum he also alerts that US will adopt counter measures if foreign countries apply the deal on US multinat in their territories
In the memorandum he also alerts that US will adopt counter measures if foreign countries apply the deal on US multinat in their territories
1/How can we equip the next MFF with an appropriate crisis response capacity? Cinzia Alcidi and I discuss this in our latest study for the @european parliament 👇
January 7, 2025 at 1:17 PM
1/How can we equip the next MFF with an appropriate crisis response capacity? Cinzia Alcidi and I discuss this in our latest study for the @european parliament 👇
Reposted by Eulalia Rubio
very useful study by @eulaliarubio.bsky.social and Cinzia Alcidi about financing a future EU Crisis Reserve within the next MFF.
www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etud...
www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etud...
January 7, 2025 at 11:54 AM
very useful study by @eulaliarubio.bsky.social and Cinzia Alcidi about financing a future EU Crisis Reserve within the next MFF.
www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etud...
www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etud...
Reposted by Eulalia Rubio
#Economie Pour comprendre les enjeux de compléter le #marché_unique
#LeSaviezVous Certains domaines politiques sont restés largement nationaux:
💶 Finance
💻 Communications électroniques
⚡ Energie
Infographie par @andreaseisl.bsky.social & @eulaliarubio.bsky.social 👇
#LeSaviezVous Certains domaines politiques sont restés largement nationaux:
💶 Finance
💻 Communications électroniques
⚡ Energie
Infographie par @andreaseisl.bsky.social & @eulaliarubio.bsky.social 👇
Adapter le marché unique européen à l’ère de la concurrence géopolitique
institutdelors.eu
December 6, 2024 at 12:48 PM
#Economie Pour comprendre les enjeux de compléter le #marché_unique
#LeSaviezVous Certains domaines politiques sont restés largement nationaux:
💶 Finance
💻 Communications électroniques
⚡ Energie
Infographie par @andreaseisl.bsky.social & @eulaliarubio.bsky.social 👇
#LeSaviezVous Certains domaines politiques sont restés largement nationaux:
💶 Finance
💻 Communications électroniques
⚡ Energie
Infographie par @andreaseisl.bsky.social & @eulaliarubio.bsky.social 👇
Reposted by Eulalia Rubio
Follow us!
@matellysy.bsky.social → Defense & Economy
@eulaliarubio.bsky.social → EU Budget & EU Public finances
@elvirefabry.bsky.social → Geopolitics of Trade
@andreaseisl.bsky.social → Industrial policies & Debt
@phuc-vinh.bsky.social → Energy
@sebastienmaillard.bsky.social → Enlargement
@matellysy.bsky.social → Defense & Economy
@eulaliarubio.bsky.social → EU Budget & EU Public finances
@elvirefabry.bsky.social → Geopolitics of Trade
@andreaseisl.bsky.social → Industrial policies & Debt
@phuc-vinh.bsky.social → Energy
@sebastienmaillard.bsky.social → Enlargement
November 21, 2024 at 2:20 PM
Follow us!
@matellysy.bsky.social → Defense & Economy
@eulaliarubio.bsky.social → EU Budget & EU Public finances
@elvirefabry.bsky.social → Geopolitics of Trade
@andreaseisl.bsky.social → Industrial policies & Debt
@phuc-vinh.bsky.social → Energy
@sebastienmaillard.bsky.social → Enlargement
@matellysy.bsky.social → Defense & Economy
@eulaliarubio.bsky.social → EU Budget & EU Public finances
@elvirefabry.bsky.social → Geopolitics of Trade
@andreaseisl.bsky.social → Industrial policies & Debt
@phuc-vinh.bsky.social → Energy
@sebastienmaillard.bsky.social → Enlargement
Reposted by Eulalia Rubio
A geopolitical Union or. 'fortresss' Union? My reflections on the EU council's provisional agreement on the EU budget in this short piece for Agenda Pública
agendapublica.elpais.com/noticia/1897...
agendapublica.elpais.com/noticia/1897...
A Geopolitical Union or a 'Fortress' Union?: An analysis of the EU summit's provisional agreement on...
The last week’s European summit will be remembered by the historical decision to open accession talks with Ukraine. As a result of the veto imposed by Hungarian prime minister Orban, EU leade...
agendapublica.elpais.com
December 20, 2023 at 6:13 AM
A geopolitical Union or. 'fortresss' Union? My reflections on the EU council's provisional agreement on the EU budget in this short piece for Agenda Pública
agendapublica.elpais.com/noticia/1897...
agendapublica.elpais.com/noticia/1897...
As noticed in today's FT, things are getting really bad as regards the mid-term revision of the MFF...
www.ft.com/content/6cd6....
I put a bit of context on what is happening in a short article published today at Agenda Publica
agendapublica.elpais.com/noticia/1894...
www.ft.com/content/6cd6....
I put a bit of context on what is happening in a short article published today at Agenda Publica
agendapublica.elpais.com/noticia/1894...
Get Ready: EU budgetary austerity is back
If you follow EU issues you may have probably heard about the recent note prepared by the Spanish presidency of the Council proposing cuts to the EU’s long-term budget for 2021-2027. This may...
agendapublica.elpais.com
December 4, 2023 at 10:00 AM
As noticed in today's FT, things are getting really bad as regards the mid-term revision of the MFF...
www.ft.com/content/6cd6....
I put a bit of context on what is happening in a short article published today at Agenda Publica
agendapublica.elpais.com/noticia/1894...
www.ft.com/content/6cd6....
I put a bit of context on what is happening in a short article published today at Agenda Publica
agendapublica.elpais.com/noticia/1894...