Eugenio Paglino
@eugeniopaglino.bsky.social
Data Scientist and Postdoc at @pophel.bsky.social. PhD in Demography and Sociology at UPenn, Statistics MA at Wharton. My research focuses on mortality determinants and trends. Bayesian statistics, forecasting, statistical modeling.
Pinned
Excess Deaths Attributable to the Los Angeles Wildfires From January 5 to February 1, 2025
This study aims to estimate the number of excess deaths attributable to the Los Angeles wildfires using an interrupted time series design.
jamanetwork.com
New study 🚨 out in @jama.com! We find that California wildfires🔥in January may have contributed 440 excess deaths in Los Angeles County. This estimate significantly exceeds the 30 direct fatalities linked to these events jamanetwork.com/journals/jam... @pophel.bsky.social @helsinki.fi
Reposted by Eugenio Paglino
📢Doctoral Defence:
Ulla Suulamo - "Long-term trends in mortality differences - Register-based studies in Finland, 1970–2020"
16 October 2025 at 12:00
Address: Porthania, PIII, Yliopistonkatu 3, Helsinki
Ulla Suulamo - "Long-term trends in mortality differences - Register-based studies in Finland, 1970–2020"
16 October 2025 at 12:00
Address: Porthania, PIII, Yliopistonkatu 3, Helsinki
October 15, 2025 at 8:21 AM
📢Doctoral Defence:
Ulla Suulamo - "Long-term trends in mortality differences - Register-based studies in Finland, 1970–2020"
16 October 2025 at 12:00
Address: Porthania, PIII, Yliopistonkatu 3, Helsinki
Ulla Suulamo - "Long-term trends in mortality differences - Register-based studies in Finland, 1970–2020"
16 October 2025 at 12:00
Address: Porthania, PIII, Yliopistonkatu 3, Helsinki
🚨🚨 We are hiring 2 postdocs at PopHel – MaxHel. If you are interested in health inequalities and social determinants of health this is a great opportunity! Amazing working environment ✨, unique data infrastructure, and a truly interdisciplinary and international center 🌍. Deadline October 31st.
🚨Job alert!🚨
Helsinki Institute for Demography and Population Health is recruiting 2 postdocs. Join our team and investigate social inequalities in health!
jobs.helsinki.fi/job/Helsinki...
#postdoc #demography #socialsciences #socialdata
Helsinki Institute for Demography and Population Health is recruiting 2 postdocs. Join our team and investigate social inequalities in health!
jobs.helsinki.fi/job/Helsinki...
#postdoc #demography #socialsciences #socialdata
Two Postdoctoral Researchers on Health Inequalities
Two Postdoctoral Researchers on Health Inequalities
jobs.helsinki.fi
October 8, 2025 at 12:03 PM
🚨🚨 We are hiring 2 postdocs at PopHel – MaxHel. If you are interested in health inequalities and social determinants of health this is a great opportunity! Amazing working environment ✨, unique data infrastructure, and a truly interdisciplinary and international center 🌍. Deadline October 31st.
Had a great experience ⭐ at #SLLS2025! I hope we gave a good overview of what is possible with the amazing Finnish 🇫🇮 register data! @pophel.bsky.social @sllshome.bsky.social
Our symposium from #SLLS2025 @sllshome.bsky.social consisted of research from Shubh Sharma @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social @olivia-mcevoy.bsky.social mcevoy.bsky.social @moberndorfer.bsky.social orfer.bsky.social Lauren Bishop and registry data expertise from Hanna Remes.
Thanks to all who attended!
Thanks to all who attended!
September 17, 2025 at 8:49 AM
Had a great experience ⭐ at #SLLS2025! I hope we gave a good overview of what is possible with the amazing Finnish 🇫🇮 register data! @pophel.bsky.social @sllshome.bsky.social
Reposted by Eugenio Paglino
An estimated 440 excess deaths were attributed to the January 2025 wildfires in Los Angeles County, underscoring indirect health effects and the need for improved mortality tracking.
ja.ma/4oFM3af #MedSky
ja.ma/4oFM3af #MedSky
August 6, 2025 at 3:20 PM
An estimated 440 excess deaths were attributed to the January 2025 wildfires in Los Angeles County, underscoring indirect health effects and the need for improved mortality tracking.
ja.ma/4oFM3af #MedSky
ja.ma/4oFM3af #MedSky
New study 🚨 out in @jama.com! We find that California wildfires🔥in January may have contributed 440 excess deaths in Los Angeles County. This estimate significantly exceeds the 30 direct fatalities linked to these events jamanetwork.com/journals/jam... @pophel.bsky.social @helsinki.fi
Excess Deaths Attributable to the Los Angeles Wildfires From January 5 to February 1, 2025
This study aims to estimate the number of excess deaths attributable to the Los Angeles wildfires using an interrupted time series design.
jamanetwork.com
August 11, 2025 at 7:40 AM
New study 🚨 out in @jama.com! We find that California wildfires🔥in January may have contributed 440 excess deaths in Los Angeles County. This estimate significantly exceeds the 30 direct fatalities linked to these events jamanetwork.com/journals/jam... @pophel.bsky.social @helsinki.fi
As promised, here a summary of our newest paper on metropolitan and nonmetropolitan mortality in the US 1/8🧵
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... @astokespop.bsky.social @pennpsc.bsky.social @pophel.bsky.social @ruralhealth.bsky.social @jruralhealth.bsky.social
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... @astokespop.bsky.social @pennpsc.bsky.social @pophel.bsky.social @ruralhealth.bsky.social @jruralhealth.bsky.social
Evolution of the US nonmetropolitan mortality disadvantage by sex, state, and year, 1999‐2019
Purpose To examine disparities in nonmetropolitan and metropolitan mortality by state and sex from 1999 to 2019. Methods We calculate age-standardized mortality rates for nonmetropolitan and metro...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
June 24, 2025 at 9:11 AM
As promised, here a summary of our newest paper on metropolitan and nonmetropolitan mortality in the US 1/8🧵
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... @astokespop.bsky.social @pennpsc.bsky.social @pophel.bsky.social @ruralhealth.bsky.social @jruralhealth.bsky.social
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... @astokespop.bsky.social @pennpsc.bsky.social @pophel.bsky.social @ruralhealth.bsky.social @jruralhealth.bsky.social
Very important work by Jacob Bor and colleagues. Poor data quality of demographic and socioeconomic information on death certificates remains a big obstacle to the production of timely mortality statistics disaggregated by more than age, sex, and selected race and Hispanic origin groups.
From <a href="https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:q5ogl3twkcqyhvz4zebonw3z" class="hover:underline text-blue-600 dark:text-sky-400 no-card-link" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-link="bsky-mention">@jama.com: The life expectancy of American Indian and Alaska Native individuals is underestimated due to racial misclassification on death certificates, according to this longitudinal cohort study.
ja.ma/447kyg5
ja.ma/447kyg5
June 20, 2025 at 11:26 AM
Very important work by Jacob Bor and colleagues. Poor data quality of demographic and socioeconomic information on death certificates remains a big obstacle to the production of timely mortality statistics disaggregated by more than age, sex, and selected race and Hispanic origin groups.
New (core demography) paper on US metropolitan and nonmetropolitan mortality out in the Journal of Rural Health. Stay tuned for a thread 🧵summarising the key findings!
#Demography
#Demography
Evolution of the US nonmetropolitan mortality disadvantage by sex, state, and year, 1999-2019 from @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social et al. #RuralHealth onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
Evolution of the US nonmetropolitan mortality disadvantage by sex, state, and year, 1999‐2019
Purpose To examine disparities in nonmetropolitan and metropolitan mortality by state and sex from 1999 to 2019. Methods We calculate age-standardized mortality rates for nonmetropolitan and metro...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
June 17, 2025 at 4:30 PM
New (core demography) paper on US metropolitan and nonmetropolitan mortality out in the Journal of Rural Health. Stay tuned for a thread 🧵summarising the key findings!
#Demography
#Demography
How many deaths are attributable to the slowdown📉in mortality improvements in the US?
In a new study with @astokespop.bsky.social and @wrigleyfield.bsky.social we estimate 525,505 excess deaths in 2023 alone
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
@jamahealthforum.bsky.social #demography #epidemiology 🧵1/7
In a new study with @astokespop.bsky.social and @wrigleyfield.bsky.social we estimate 525,505 excess deaths in 2023 alone
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
@jamahealthforum.bsky.social #demography #epidemiology 🧵1/7
jamanetwork.com
June 14, 2025 at 10:59 AM
How many deaths are attributable to the slowdown📉in mortality improvements in the US?
In a new study with @astokespop.bsky.social and @wrigleyfield.bsky.social we estimate 525,505 excess deaths in 2023 alone
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
@jamahealthforum.bsky.social #demography #epidemiology 🧵1/7
In a new study with @astokespop.bsky.social and @wrigleyfield.bsky.social we estimate 525,505 excess deaths in 2023 alone
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
@jamahealthforum.bsky.social #demography #epidemiology 🧵1/7
🚨 Another article on health and migration out in Social Science and Medicine! With Pekka Martikainen and Irma Elo, we look at the mortality of internal migrants in Finland
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Internal migration, health selection, and the salmon bias: A register-based study of Finland
Studies on international migrants have repeatedly found a mortality advantage of migrant over native-born populations. Data artifacts, differential pr…
www.sciencedirect.com
June 2, 2025 at 5:43 AM
🚨 Another article on health and migration out in Social Science and Medicine! With Pekka Martikainen and Irma Elo, we look at the mortality of internal migrants in Finland
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
🚨 New article out in Social Science & Medicine!
Irma Elo and I take a deeper look at trends in life expectancy for foreign-born and native-born populations in the United States before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Irma Elo and I take a deeper look at trends in life expectancy for foreign-born and native-born populations in the United States before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
US-Born and Foreign-born Life Expectancy by Race and Hispanic Origin before and during the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States
Interdisciplinary health scholarship has long documented the lower mortality of the foreign-born compared to the US-born populations. In this study, w…
www.sciencedirect.com
May 16, 2025 at 2:09 PM
🚨 New article out in Social Science & Medicine!
Irma Elo and I take a deeper look at trends in life expectancy for foreign-born and native-born populations in the United States before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Irma Elo and I take a deeper look at trends in life expectancy for foreign-born and native-born populations in the United States before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Reposted by Eugenio Paglino
The Great Birdington Declaration
Bird flu typically causes nasty illness in poultry (for a lot of reasons, some in the article), which is one reason why this will not make eggs cheaper.
There are also numerous other reasons why this is not a good idea
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/18/h...
There are also numerous other reasons why this is not a good idea
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/18/h...
RFK Jr.’s Prescription for Bird Flu on Farms: Let It Spread
The health secretary has suggested allowing the virus to spread, so as to identify birds that may be immune. Such an experiment would be disastrous, scientists say.
www.nytimes.com
March 18, 2025 at 8:21 PM
The Great Birdington Declaration
So many great things going on at @pophel.bsky.social!
📢 PopHel Newsletter for Summer 2024 - Winter 2025 is out!! 📰
To receive our newsletter you can subscribe to our mailing list by sending an email to mila.lyytinen@helsinki.fi 📩
You will also receive information on upcoming public talks 👩🏫 and open positions at PopHel ‼️
www.helsinki.fi/en/helsinki-...
To receive our newsletter you can subscribe to our mailing list by sending an email to mila.lyytinen@helsinki.fi 📩
You will also receive information on upcoming public talks 👩🏫 and open positions at PopHel ‼️
www.helsinki.fi/en/helsinki-...
PopHel Newsletter | Helsinki Institute for Demography and Population Health | University of Helsinki
This newsletter shares our research activities at the Helsinki Institute for Demography and Population Health (PopHel).
www.helsinki.fi
March 12, 2025 at 6:49 PM
So many great things going on at @pophel.bsky.social!
Amazing podcast! Thank you for the suggestion. Nice to see the intricacies of demographic data becoming the source of so much attention.
Great to hear “extinguished Professor” 😂 Tim Smeeding spitting facts on Social Security coding practices & how there are definitely not millions of 150 year olds getting payments. #econsky #policysky podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/m...
Are 150 year olds getting social security payments?
Podcast Episode · More or Less: Behind the Stats · 02/22/2025 · 9m
podcasts.apple.com
March 11, 2025 at 9:44 AM
Amazing podcast! Thank you for the suggestion. Nice to see the intricacies of demographic data becoming the source of so much attention.
Reposted by Eugenio Paglino
We opened two new postdoc positions! Deadline 14th March.
If you want to work with amazing Finnish register data on social inequalities in population health, this is the place to be. Get in touch with us if you have questions.
jobs.helsinki.fi/job/Helsinki...
If you want to work with amazing Finnish register data on social inequalities in population health, this is the place to be. Get in touch with us if you have questions.
jobs.helsinki.fi/job/Helsinki...
Two Postdoctoral Researchers on Social Inequalities in Health
Two Postdoctoral Researchers on Social Inequalities in Health
jobs.helsinki.fi
February 28, 2025 at 10:13 AM
We opened two new postdoc positions! Deadline 14th March.
If you want to work with amazing Finnish register data on social inequalities in population health, this is the place to be. Get in touch with us if you have questions.
jobs.helsinki.fi/job/Helsinki...
If you want to work with amazing Finnish register data on social inequalities in population health, this is the place to be. Get in touch with us if you have questions.
jobs.helsinki.fi/job/Helsinki...
The first report from our collaboration with the Society of Actuaries (SOA) is now out! @astokespop.bsky.social
We look at cause-specific excess mortality in the US and reflect on the most likely explanations for the gap between excess and COVID-19 mortality.
www.soa.org/resources/re...
We look at cause-specific excess mortality in the US and reflect on the most likely explanations for the gap between excess and COVID-19 mortality.
www.soa.org/resources/re...
Cause-Specific Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Pandemic
This report presents initial findings from a project investigating the direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 in the post-acute phase of the pandemic.
www.soa.org
December 18, 2024 at 8:36 AM
The first report from our collaboration with the Society of Actuaries (SOA) is now out! @astokespop.bsky.social
We look at cause-specific excess mortality in the US and reflect on the most likely explanations for the gap between excess and COVID-19 mortality.
www.soa.org/resources/re...
We look at cause-specific excess mortality in the US and reflect on the most likely explanations for the gap between excess and COVID-19 mortality.
www.soa.org/resources/re...
All the sessions I proposed for #PAA2025 have been approved! 🎉 Lots of data-focused research with sessions on 1) Spatial Data and Methods, 2) Assessing the Quality of Demographic Data, and 3) Enhancing Existing Data with Statistical and Demographic Methods. Thanks for all the amazing submissions!
November 20, 2024 at 9:30 AM
All the sessions I proposed for #PAA2025 have been approved! 🎉 Lots of data-focused research with sessions on 1) Spatial Data and Methods, 2) Assessing the Quality of Demographic Data, and 3) Enhancing Existing Data with Statistical and Demographic Methods. Thanks for all the amazing submissions!
The deadline for #PAA2025 🤩 is in 11 days! If your work uses innovative spatial data collection techniques or applies spatial data analysis, small-area estimation, or GIS to answer questions in population health consider submitting it to my session 405: Spatial Data Collection and Methods!
September 18, 2024 at 5:08 PM
The deadline for #PAA2025 🤩 is in 11 days! If your work uses innovative spatial data collection techniques or applies spatial data analysis, small-area estimation, or GIS to answer questions in population health consider submitting it to my session 405: Spatial Data Collection and Methods!
Bluesky now has over 10 million users, and I was #1,315,797!
September 17, 2024 at 3:56 PM
Bluesky now has over 10 million users, and I was #1,315,797!
Fantastic work as usual! Socio-behavioral factors should be brought back to the center of mortality research. AFAIK there was no session on this topic at the 2024 PAA Annual Meeting and very few scattered papers/posters.
A study by S. Preston @uofpenn.bsky.social , Y. Vierboom @princetonupress.bsky.social & M. Myrskylä @mpidr.bsky.social found that behavioral changes, such as a decline in smoking & an expansion of education, have contributed to improvements in U.S. mortality. www.demogr.mpg.de/go/USmortality-Trends
September 11, 2024 at 8:51 AM
Fantastic work as usual! Socio-behavioral factors should be brought back to the center of mortality research. AFAIK there was no session on this topic at the 2024 PAA Annual Meeting and very few scattered papers/posters.
I had forgotten just how good is Fabrizio De Andé. Volume 8 is an absolute masterpiece, each song is unique, could listen to it in a loop for hours
www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...
www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...
Volume 8 - YouTube
Share your videos with friends, family, and the world
www.youtube.com
September 10, 2024 at 12:54 PM
I had forgotten just how good is Fabrizio De Andé. Volume 8 is an absolute masterpiece, each song is unique, could listen to it in a loop for hours
www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...
www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...
My dissertation "The Demography of Shocks: Migration and Mortality under the Influence of Environmental and Epidemiological Shocks" is now publicly available! repository.upenn.edu/entities/pub...
The Demography of Shocks: Migration and Mortality under the Influence of Environmental and Epidemiological Shocks
This dissertation makes three scientific contributions to the understanding of how human populations react to environmental and epidemiological shocks. The first chapter investigates the impact of tro...
repository.upenn.edu
September 1, 2024 at 4:27 PM
My dissertation "The Demography of Shocks: Migration and Mortality under the Influence of Environmental and Epidemiological Shocks" is now publicly available! repository.upenn.edu/entities/pub...
I shared my latest article on Reddit. Interesting reactions, mostly on Florida: home insurance market disappearing, if you are old enough sea-level rise will not affect you, environmental amenities (warm weather) compensate for the risk of hurricanes.
www.reddit.com/r/science/co...
www.reddit.com/r/science/co...
Reddit - Dive into anything
This community is a place to share and discuss new scientific research. Read about the latest advances in astronomy, biology, medicine, physics, social science, and more. Find and submit new publications and popular science coverage of current research.
www.reddit.com
May 2, 2024 at 9:38 AM
I shared my latest article on Reddit. Interesting reactions, mostly on Florida: home insurance market disappearing, if you are old enough sea-level rise will not affect you, environmental amenities (warm weather) compensate for the risk of hurricanes.
www.reddit.com/r/science/co...
www.reddit.com/r/science/co...
🚨🚨🚨 New paper out in Pop and Environment! I estimate excess migration associated with hurricanes in the US
Findings:
1) post hurricane migration is rare
2) damage is the strongest predictor
3) outmigrants move to counties exposed to future natural disasters
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Findings:
1) post hurricane migration is rare
2) damage is the strongest predictor
3) outmigrants move to counties exposed to future natural disasters
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Estimating excess migration associated with tropical storms in the USA 1990–2010 - Population and Environment
Tropical storms are among the most devastating natural disasters in the USA. Climate change is projected to make them even more destructive, and the number of people and properties at risk has steadil...
link.springer.com
April 26, 2024 at 4:49 PM
🚨🚨🚨 New paper out in Pop and Environment! I estimate excess migration associated with hurricanes in the US
Findings:
1) post hurricane migration is rare
2) damage is the strongest predictor
3) outmigrants move to counties exposed to future natural disasters
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Findings:
1) post hurricane migration is rare
2) damage is the strongest predictor
3) outmigrants move to counties exposed to future natural disasters
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Reposted by Eugenio Paglino
Amazing work from colleagues (1st author E Paglino, sr author A Stokes) counting the unrecognized COVID deaths www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/.... I'm pasting the maps here b/c everyone loves maps, but the evidence that most convinced me was the timing of excess deaths vs COVID deaths (next skeet).
February 9, 2024 at 1:51 AM
Amazing work from colleagues (1st author E Paglino, sr author A Stokes) counting the unrecognized COVID deaths www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/.... I'm pasting the maps here b/c everyone loves maps, but the evidence that most convinced me was the timing of excess deaths vs COVID deaths (next skeet).