Erin Covey
@erincovey.bsky.social
covering House races at the Cook Political Report.
Reposted by Erin Covey
One week out from the special election primary, Adelita Grijalva remains the favorite to succeed her late father in Arizona’s 7th District.
Here's @erincovey.bsky.social:
Here's @erincovey.bsky.social:
AZ-07 Special: Can Outsider Candidates Block Grijalva’s Path to Victory?
Since the beginning of this year, three Democratic members of Congress have died in office, putting a spotlight on the party’s aging leaders and sparking special elections that pit the party’s old gua...
www.cookpolitical.com
July 8, 2025 at 9:06 PM
One week out from the special election primary, Adelita Grijalva remains the favorite to succeed her late father in Arizona’s 7th District.
Here's @erincovey.bsky.social:
Here's @erincovey.bsky.social:
Reposted by Erin Covey
Holding the case over means that the current map, with two Black-majority districts, will remain in place for the 2026 midterms.
Louisiana now uses partisan primaries for congressional elections and the primary cycle starts in September with the opening of petition gathering.
Louisiana now uses partisan primaries for congressional elections and the primary cycle starts in September with the opening of petition gathering.
June 27, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Holding the case over means that the current map, with two Black-majority districts, will remain in place for the 2026 midterms.
Louisiana now uses partisan primaries for congressional elections and the primary cycle starts in September with the opening of petition gathering.
Louisiana now uses partisan primaries for congressional elections and the primary cycle starts in September with the opening of petition gathering.
Reposted by Erin Covey
Right now, Democrats’ potential tea party movement is united by their fighting attitude — but little else binds them together.
Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest analysis:
Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest analysis:
Breaking Down the Early Primary Challenges to House Democrats
As liberal voters become increasingly frustrated by their leaders’ response to the Trump presidency, a crop of young Democrats is attempting to direct that anger at longtime members of Congress.“What ...
www.cookpolitical.com
April 11, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Right now, Democrats’ potential tea party movement is united by their fighting attitude — but little else binds them together.
Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest analysis:
Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest analysis:
Happy PVI day! We have updated scores for House seats based on the 2024 and 2020 presidential results.
Read more here: www.cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/int...
Read more here: www.cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/int...
Introducing the 2025 Cook Partisan Voting Index: A Slightly Depolarizing Election
Since first descending Trump Tower's golden escalator in 2015, President Donald Trump has been one of the most schismatic political figures in American history. The 2016 election set a modern record f...
www.cookpolitical.com
April 3, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Happy PVI day! We have updated scores for House seats based on the 2024 and 2020 presidential results.
Read more here: www.cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/int...
Read more here: www.cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/int...
Reposted by Erin Covey
Just sixteen lawmakers now represent crossover districts: three Republicans hold seats that Kamala Harris carried, and 13 Democrats hold seats that Donald Trump carried.
Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest:
Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest:
The Sweet Sixteen: 2024’s Crossover Districts
The most exclusive club in Congress might be the class of members who represent crossover districts — those who won elections in seats carried by the opposing party’s presidential nominee.Just sixteen...
www.cookpolitical.com
March 19, 2025 at 1:56 AM
Just sixteen lawmakers now represent crossover districts: three Republicans hold seats that Kamala Harris carried, and 13 Democrats hold seats that Donald Trump carried.
Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest:
Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest:
Reposted by Erin Covey
California’s Central Valley will once again be at the center of the House battleground map.
Read @erincovey.bsky.social & Matthew Klein's California House (CDs 1-22) analysis:
Read @erincovey.bsky.social & Matthew Klein's California House (CDs 1-22) analysis:
2026 Northern California House Analysis: Central Valley Takes Center Stage
California’s Central Valley will once again be at the center of the House battleground map in 2026. Democratic Rep. Adam Gray (CA-13) won his race by a smaller margin than any other House member and i...
www.cookpolitical.com
March 8, 2025 at 2:00 PM
California’s Central Valley will once again be at the center of the House battleground map.
Read @erincovey.bsky.social & Matthew Klein's California House (CDs 1-22) analysis:
Read @erincovey.bsky.social & Matthew Klein's California House (CDs 1-22) analysis:
Reposted by Erin Covey
The Cook Political Report is delighted to name Carrie Dann as Managing Editor. Learn more about Carrie:
Carrie Dann Named as The Cook Political Report's Managing Editor
ARLINGTON, VA (February 28, 2025) — The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter is delighted to name Carrie Dann as Managing Editor.
www.cookpolitical.com
February 28, 2025 at 6:18 PM
The Cook Political Report is delighted to name Carrie Dann as Managing Editor. Learn more about Carrie:
We've got 2026 House ratings!
Democrats are only three seats from a majority, but right now, the battleground of competitive races is small and fairly evenly divided.
39 seats are currently competitive (rated Toss Up or Lean), with 29 more seats rated Likely GOP/Dem.
Democrats are only three seats from a majority, but right now, the battleground of competitive races is small and fairly evenly divided.
39 seats are currently competitive (rated Toss Up or Lean), with 29 more seats rated Likely GOP/Dem.
February 6, 2025 at 4:14 PM
We've got 2026 House ratings!
Democrats are only three seats from a majority, but right now, the battleground of competitive races is small and fairly evenly divided.
39 seats are currently competitive (rated Toss Up or Lean), with 29 more seats rated Likely GOP/Dem.
Democrats are only three seats from a majority, but right now, the battleground of competitive races is small and fairly evenly divided.
39 seats are currently competitive (rated Toss Up or Lean), with 29 more seats rated Likely GOP/Dem.
Reposted by Erin Covey
The three closest House races won by Republicans were decided by a combined 7,309 voters. Here are 12 things @erincovey.bsky.social learned from this year's House races:
www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/twelve-things-we-learned-2024-house-elections
www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/twelve-things-we-learned-2024-house-elections
December 20, 2024 at 2:03 PM
The three closest House races won by Republicans were decided by a combined 7,309 voters. Here are 12 things @erincovey.bsky.social learned from this year's House races:
www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/twelve-things-we-learned-2024-house-elections
www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/twelve-things-we-learned-2024-house-elections
New from me: in a closely divided House, the Main Street Republicans expanded their footprint while the Freedom Caucus slightly shrunk.
www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/hou...
www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/hou...
Main Street Republicans Expand Their Footprint While Freedom Caucus Slightly Shrinks
Now that the final House race has been called, it’s official: Republicans will have a 220-215 majority — one seat smaller than their current 221-214 majority.That margin will be even smaller for the f...
www.cookpolitical.com
December 5, 2024 at 6:08 PM
New from me: in a closely divided House, the Main Street Republicans expanded their footprint while the Freedom Caucus slightly shrunk.
www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/hou...
www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/hou...
Reposted by Erin Covey
I cobbled together a quick and not at all-exhaustive list of elections reporters, analysts, operatives and analysts - if you're interested in this stuff please follow and share widely!
go.bsky.app/A8RNWyo
go.bsky.app/A8RNWyo
November 18, 2024 at 6:12 PM
I cobbled together a quick and not at all-exhaustive list of elections reporters, analysts, operatives and analysts - if you're interested in this stuff please follow and share widely!
go.bsky.app/A8RNWyo
go.bsky.app/A8RNWyo