Jeff Dukes
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dukesjeff.bsky.social
Jeff Dukes
@dukesjeff.bsky.social
🌎🌱Climate change science and global change ecology at Carnegie Science. Professor (by courtesy) at Stanford.
[Private account, not representing employer]
Reposted by Jeff Dukes
Hydrology Paper of the Day @dukesjeff.bsky.social on plant hydraulics in Earth System Models: challenges with capturing complexity and spatial variability; water stresses and transpiration in the context of drought and species-specific ecology; the challenges of scaling; and testing new models.
Just published this new paper, with a bunch of fantastic colleagues, with many suggestions for "Improving the representation of plant water stress and water use in Earth System Models." Access is free online. We have some great figures, thanks to Victor Leshyk. 🧪🌐🌳🌎
November 7, 2025 at 3:56 AM
“These things came [to California] clearly from another region, another country — and that means all of our waterways are at risk,” Ransom said, calling the mussels a “serious emerging threat” to farms, water supplies, and recreation.

www.mercurynews.com/2025/11/06/e...
‘Emerging threat’: An invasive species is upending life in the Delta, with no help on the way
One year after the discovery that golden mussels had invaded the Delta, thick colonies coat boats and piers and threaten water supplies for cities and farms. Yet the state has no specific funding o…
www.mercurynews.com
November 7, 2025 at 4:25 AM
Just published this new paper, with a bunch of fantastic colleagues, with many suggestions for "Improving the representation of plant water stress and water use in Earth System Models." Access is free online. We have some great figures, thanks to Victor Leshyk. 🧪🌐🌳🌎
November 5, 2025 at 5:51 PM
Reposted by Jeff Dukes
October 31, 2025 at 11:00 AM
Reposted by Jeff Dukes
I had missed this article earlier. An example of what we're losing, in terms of science that could make a difference for people in this time of climate crisis. Just one relatively small research group at one university (my own #NorthernArizonaUniversity). Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2025/10/08/c...
He Studied How Emissions Are Heating Up U.S. Cities
www.nytimes.com
October 31, 2025 at 6:10 PM
Reposted by Jeff Dukes
The latest DroughtNet paper is out in Science today! Using coordinated experiments across six continents and 74 sites, the International Drought Experiment found differences between the effects of extreme droughts and more typical droughts... (1/3) www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Drought intensity and duration interact to magnify losses in primary productivity
As droughts become longer and more intense, impacts on terrestrial primary productivity are expected to increase progressively. Yet, some ecosystems appear to acclimate to multiyear drought, with cons...
www.science.org
October 16, 2025 at 8:46 PM
Reposted by Jeff Dukes
We are really excited to announce… that our next big DroughtNet paper will be published… next week. And that’s about all we can say for now! 😁
🧪🌐🌎🌍🌏
🚫💧☘️🌾🗓️
October 11, 2025 at 9:54 PM
Reposted by Jeff Dukes
Plant Science Research Weekly -- Senescence to nutrient cycling: Top-down effects of climate change (New Phytol.) @dukesjeff.bsky.social (Summary by Xavier Ozowara) buff.ly/oOvMxnX

#PlantaePSRW
Senescence to nutrient cycling: Top-down effects of climate change | Plantae
Precipitation plays an important role in shaping leaf tissue composition, and as climate change progresses, we’ll likely see dramatic shifts in precipitation regimes. Changes in leaf tissue…
buff.ly
September 18, 2025 at 6:15 PM
Reposted by Jeff Dukes
New paper led by T. Eren Bilir in AGU Advances—proud to be a coauthor: Satellite-Constrained Reanalysis of the Global Land Carbon Sink. doi.org/10.1029/2025...
Satellite‐Constrained Reanalysis Reveals CO2 Versus Climate Process Compensation Across the Global Land Carbon Sink
CO2 ${\text{CO}}_{2}$-driven terrestrial C gains are ∼4 times greater than climate-driven losses during 2001–2021 and are mainly in live biomass reservoirs In the global sum, CO2 ${\text{CO}}_{2}...
doi.org
September 4, 2025 at 9:58 PM
Threats from invasive species are on the rise in the US as federal job cuts lead to a black market boom ... for ants www.marketplace.org/episode/2025...
Federal job cuts lead to a black market boom ... for ants
There's a black market trade for everything — including ants. (Yes, even ants.)
www.marketplace.org
September 4, 2025 at 3:16 PM
In the Scars of L.A.’s Wildfires, Ecological Lessons Bloom www.nytimes.com/2025/08/26/m...
What the Bloom After L.A.’s Wildfires Reveals About Our Ecological Future
www.nytimes.com
August 26, 2025 at 8:19 PM
New paper from the (long-finished) Boston Area Climate Experiment shows how water stress during plant growth affects the chemistry of leaves, with later consequences for decomposition rates. Led by Vidya Suseela's lab at Clemson. 🧪 #drought
nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Climatic stress‐induced changes in plant chemistry alter the compound‐specific degradation of litter during decomposition
Plant litter decomposition sustains ecosystem productivity and modulates soil carbon cycling. Drought directly impacts decomposition by decreasing soil moisture and indirectly by altering plant tiss.....
nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
August 25, 2025 at 4:40 PM
Trump administration takes aim at satellite that measures carbon dioxide and crops

This would be such a huge waste. Glad to see my @carnegiescience.bsky.social colleague @annamichalak.bsky.social quoted.

www.npr.org/2025/08/04/n...
Why a NASA satellite that scientists and farmers rely on may be destroyed on purpose
The Trump administration has asked NASA staffers to draw up plans to end at least two satellite missions that measure carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, according to current and former NASA employees.
www.npr.org
August 4, 2025 at 3:15 PM
Reposted by Jeff Dukes
For gardeners in the Northeast US, here's an article about a new resource on native plants: www.bostonglobe.com/2025/07/25/s...
Planting guide: How to keep up with the evolving climate - The Boston Globe
What’s in, what’s out as our climate warms: A guide to four climate-resilient gardens
www.bostonglobe.com
July 25, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Reposted by Jeff Dukes
Interested in how plant intrinsic water-use efficiency (iWUE) responds to rising CO2? Our new paper shows that CO2-enhanced iWUE is mainly driven by reduced canopy conductance, while stimulation of ecosystem photosynthesis is less detectable given current data length. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reduced water loss rather than increased photosynthesis controls CO2-enhanced water-use efficiency - Nature Ecology & Evolution
A machine learning approach using long-term observations of eddy covariance finds that the increase in plant intrinsic water-use efficiency under higher CO2 levels, across diverse ecosystems, is drive...
www.nature.com
July 11, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Great NYT article today about how not to make problems with invasive species even worse, featuring @evecologist.bsky.social and @jmheberling.bsky.social
🌐🧪🌱
Free link: www.nytimes.com/2025/07/02/r...
Fighting Invasive Plants: The Ones We’ve Got and Those We Think Are Coming
www.nytimes.com
July 7, 2025 at 5:46 PM
This program has supported so many exceptional scientists over the years. It's been a great investment in US science.
As of today, all current NOAA Climate and Global Change postdoctoral fellows have been furloughed due to the Dept of Commerce not releasing the funding for the program. In addition no new Fellows were awarded this year. cpaess.ucar.edu/cgc
NOAA Climate & Global Change (C&GC) Postdoctoral Program | Cooperative Programs for the Advancement of Earth System ScienceNOAA Climate & Global Change (C&GC) Postdoctoral Program | Cooperative Progra...
cpaess.ucar.edu
July 7, 2025 at 5:42 PM
What makes some non-native plants so successful? Using a massive US-based dataset, Blumenthal et al show non-natives have "fast" traits, which should help them compete in resource-rich contexts. But being new to the system provides additional advantages.

nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Why are non‐native plants successful? Consistently fast economic traits and novel origin jointly explain abundance across US ecoregions
Are non-native plants abundant because they are non-native, and have advantages over native plants, or because they possess ‘fast’ resource strategies, and have advantages in disturbed environments?.....
nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
June 24, 2025 at 7:37 PM
Reposted by Jeff Dukes
Really good article by @voosen.me about how the scientific community can provide actionable information to stakeholders. This is really the cutting edge of climate science.

Local predictions of climate change are hazy. But cities need answers fast | www.science.org/content/arti...
Local predictions of climate change are hazy. But cities need answers fast
Scientists are figuring out where “downscaled” climate models struggle—and how they can be improved
www.science.org
June 7, 2025 at 2:16 AM
How do dominant plants' functional traits affect biomass responses to global change? New paper by Mingyan Hu et al uses the large Manipulation Experiments Synthesis Initiative (MESI) database to find out.
besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
Plant functional traits affect biomass responses to global change: A meta‐analysis
The positive effects of elevated nutrient on belowground biomass were more pronounced for communities dominated by “fast” species. In communities dominated by arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi-associated ...
besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
June 6, 2025 at 9:53 PM
Taking action on climate change is like pushing a boulder, @katharinehayhoe.com told @chrfield.bsky.social today @stanfordwoods.bsky.social, with govt policy as the undulating path beneath. The terrain has gotten a lot steeper lately (up AND down), but she’s optimistic we’re still making progress.
May 20, 2025 at 2:47 AM
Reposted by Jeff Dukes
Could this be the biggest climate story of the year?

For the first time on record, China's emissions are falling due to clean energy growth, not slow power demand

Full analysis + outlook by Lauri Myllyvirta:

www.carbonbrief.org/...
1/7
May 15, 2025 at 12:27 PM
Reposted by Jeff Dukes
Recently, all the AAAS Science & Tech Policy Fellows at EPA were terminated from our positions with little notice and for no clear reason. This effectively ended a partnership that had been going since 1980 and which had brought hundreds of scientists to the EPA as fellows, many of whom stayed. 1/7
May 6, 2025 at 10:02 PM
Reposted by Jeff Dukes
🚨🚨 Deranged letter from Education Secretary Linda McMahon to Harvard’s president, cutting off federal funding for any new grants.

Worth reading in full. It is NUTS.
May 6, 2025 at 12:27 AM