Michael Duitsman
@duitsmanms.bsky.social
Research Associate at CNS/MIIS. Rocket propulsion and radiological security (usually not at the same time). Opinions my own. Faves/RTs ≠ endorsements
Last year I asked my coworkers when we should start checking satellite images of the camps for new incinerators.
I was only half joking.
I was only half joking.
Imagine what’s happening in the camps.
Imagine how much they’d be lying about what happened without all the videos showing it from multiple angles.
January 25, 2026 at 1:18 AM
Last year I asked my coworkers when we should start checking satellite images of the camps for new incinerators.
I was only half joking.
I was only half joking.
Yeah, the evidence is anecdotal, but there are videos demonstrating that at least some P320s can fire without the trigger being fully pulled. Probably tolerance stacking in impacting the sear interface.
jfc. any search for Sig Sauer P320 is about it accidentally discharging and lawsuits around it.
"I think the thread was removed, but another poster floated the theory that the gun actually discharged when the agent was holding it, and Sig Sauer has had some recent issues on that front."
"I think the thread was removed, but another poster floated the theory that the gun actually discharged when the agent was holding it, and Sig Sauer has had some recent issues on that front."
January 25, 2026 at 1:14 AM
Yeah, the evidence is anecdotal, but there are videos demonstrating that at least some P320s can fire without the trigger being fully pulled. Probably tolerance stacking in impacting the sear interface.
ICE and CBP are the moral and legal equivalent of a Superfund site. Raze these organizations to the ground, tear out the foundations, and start anew from greenfield status.
🚨HOLY CRAP. An ICE whistleblower just revealed a secret memo authorizing ICE officers to break into homes without a judicial warrant, which DHS's own legal training materials say is unconstitutional!
ICE then hid the memo from the public, passing it along by word of mouth and private conversation.
ICE then hid the memo from the public, passing it along by word of mouth and private conversation.
January 22, 2026 at 12:59 AM
ICE and CBP are the moral and legal equivalent of a Superfund site. Raze these organizations to the ground, tear out the foundations, and start anew from greenfield status.
A thought (building on what others have said) RE: the Iceland mix-up and 'not using force.'
Maybe someone (from DoD?) told him in no uncertain terms that Greenland is a miserable place covered in ice and he is not allowed to use force to take it.
He might not even realize that Iceland exists.
Maybe someone (from DoD?) told him in no uncertain terms that Greenland is a miserable place covered in ice and he is not allowed to use force to take it.
He might not even realize that Iceland exists.
January 21, 2026 at 4:36 PM
A thought (building on what others have said) RE: the Iceland mix-up and 'not using force.'
Maybe someone (from DoD?) told him in no uncertain terms that Greenland is a miserable place covered in ice and he is not allowed to use force to take it.
He might not even realize that Iceland exists.
Maybe someone (from DoD?) told him in no uncertain terms that Greenland is a miserable place covered in ice and he is not allowed to use force to take it.
He might not even realize that Iceland exists.
I don't like that we've gotten to the "Evergreen Intel thread about the US threat to Greenland" stage of things.
January 20, 2026 at 8:50 PM
I don't like that we've gotten to the "Evergreen Intel thread about the US threat to Greenland" stage of things.
1/12 Some notes:
Oreshnik is the first conventionally-armed missile operated by the RVSN (Strategic Rocket Forces), and the first conventionally-armed missile developed by the Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology (MITT).
Oreshnik is the first conventionally-armed missile operated by the RVSN (Strategic Rocket Forces), and the first conventionally-armed missile developed by the Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology (MITT).
January 14, 2026 at 7:37 PM
1/12 Some notes:
Oreshnik is the first conventionally-armed missile operated by the RVSN (Strategic Rocket Forces), and the first conventionally-armed missile developed by the Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology (MITT).
Oreshnik is the first conventionally-armed missile operated by the RVSN (Strategic Rocket Forces), and the first conventionally-armed missile developed by the Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology (MITT).
Interesting. The only UK solid rocket motor plant that I'm aware of is Roxel (near Birmingham), and I'm not sure what their max motor size is.
Though I guess the motor needed to push a 200kg payload to 500km might isn't really that large.
Though I guess the motor needed to push a 200kg payload to 500km might isn't really that large.
🇬🇧🇺🇦 The UK will develop new tactical ballistic missiles that boost Ukraine’s firepower to defend itself from Putin’s war machine.
1/2🧵
www.gov.uk/government/n...
1/2🧵
www.gov.uk/government/n...
UK to develop new deep strike ballistic missile for Ukraine
The UK will develop new tactical ballistic missiles that boost Ukraine’s firepower to defend itself from Putin’s war machine.
www.gov.uk
January 11, 2026 at 10:32 PM
Interesting. The only UK solid rocket motor plant that I'm aware of is Roxel (near Birmingham), and I'm not sure what their max motor size is.
Though I guess the motor needed to push a 200kg payload to 500km might isn't really that large.
Though I guess the motor needed to push a 200kg payload to 500km might isn't really that large.
I tend to view Oreshnik's creation as driven primarily by industry rather than military requirements (i.e. the Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology wanted some of that sweet, sweet special military operation money, and managed to convince someone that Oreshnik was a worthwhile investment), but...
Theres a lot of talk about Oreshnik being a "psychological weapon." This is, I think, an oversimplification - its true that Oreshnik has some operational limitations. I would argue that those limitations are not all that different than other conventional ballistic missiles.
January 9, 2026 at 12:30 AM
I tend to view Oreshnik's creation as driven primarily by industry rather than military requirements (i.e. the Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology wanted some of that sweet, sweet special military operation money, and managed to convince someone that Oreshnik was a worthwhile investment), but...
Seeing potentially credible reports and videos of a new Oreshnik launch against Ukraine tonight.
January 8, 2026 at 10:39 PM
Seeing potentially credible reports and videos of a new Oreshnik launch against Ukraine tonight.
This is not what I needed today.
Joint Chiefs of Staff: "North Korea Launches Unidentified Ballistic Missile into East Sea"
www.yna.co.kr/view/AKR2026...
www.yna.co.kr/view/AKR2026...
[1보] 합참 "北, 동해상으로 미상 탄도미사일 발사" | 연합뉴스
(
www.yna.co.kr
January 3, 2026 at 11:16 PM
This is not what I needed today.
What the fuck are we doing. On multiple fronts, but especially in Venezuela. I'm gonna pet the cat and go to sleep.
Then tomorrow I'm gonna show kids how to run model trains at the railway museum, because what else am I supposed to do.
Keep going and remember who is perpetrating these crimes.
Then tomorrow I'm gonna show kids how to run model trains at the railway museum, because what else am I supposed to do.
Keep going and remember who is perpetrating these crimes.
January 3, 2026 at 7:11 AM
What the fuck are we doing. On multiple fronts, but especially in Venezuela. I'm gonna pet the cat and go to sleep.
Then tomorrow I'm gonna show kids how to run model trains at the railway museum, because what else am I supposed to do.
Keep going and remember who is perpetrating these crimes.
Then tomorrow I'm gonna show kids how to run model trains at the railway museum, because what else am I supposed to do.
Keep going and remember who is perpetrating these crimes.
Not what I wanted to do today, but here we are. Coming out of Yasniy, this could be an SS-18, SS-19, or (very unlikely) a Sarmat.
The 13th Missile Division is historically associated with SS-18s, but at least some of their silos currently hold SS-19 Mod 4 missiles with Avangard HGVs.
The 13th Missile Division is historically associated with SS-18s, but at least some of their silos currently hold SS-19 Mod 4 missiles with Avangard HGVs.
Detailed video of the failed launch of a Russian missile, likely a UR-100N, from the Yasny launch site near Orenburg.
November 28, 2025 at 7:17 PM
Not what I wanted to do today, but here we are. Coming out of Yasniy, this could be an SS-18, SS-19, or (very unlikely) a Sarmat.
The 13th Missile Division is historically associated with SS-18s, but at least some of their silos currently hold SS-19 Mod 4 missiles with Avangard HGVs.
The 13th Missile Division is historically associated with SS-18s, but at least some of their silos currently hold SS-19 Mod 4 missiles with Avangard HGVs.
Major earthquake near Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky and the Vilyuchinsk nuclear submarine base. There have been several earthquakes nearby over the past 24 hours.
There was an 8.8-magnitude earthquake in this area in late July 2025.
There was an 8.8-magnitude earthquake in this area in late July 2025.
September 18, 2025 at 7:33 PM
Major earthquake near Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky and the Vilyuchinsk nuclear submarine base. There have been several earthquakes nearby over the past 24 hours.
There was an 8.8-magnitude earthquake in this area in late July 2025.
There was an 8.8-magnitude earthquake in this area in late July 2025.
I will be in Europe at the time, but otherwise I would be there!
Journalists: Please join us at the @outrider.org Nuclear Reporting Summit on October 9-10!
This free, two-day event will focus on how #nuclearweapons issues intersect with AI, community health, #climatechange, local economies, and the #environment.
🔗 APPLY NOW: outrider.org/conference/2...
This free, two-day event will focus on how #nuclearweapons issues intersect with AI, community health, #climatechange, local economies, and the #environment.
🔗 APPLY NOW: outrider.org/conference/2...
2025 Outrider Nuclear Reporting Summit
This fall, in a former nuclear missile silo, we'll convene journalists at the nexus of health, climate, artificial intelligence, outer space, and national security to discuss how these issues are inte...
outrider.org
September 12, 2025 at 10:20 PM
I will be in Europe at the time, but otherwise I would be there!
Honestly good advice, though I consider the drink optional.
Remember Decker's golden rule: when crisis starts, instead of immediately posting stream of consciousness, stand up, pour yourself a strong drink, and do something else. The takes can wait an hour or two.
June 22, 2025 at 12:21 AM
Honestly good advice, though I consider the drink optional.
Fantastic. And I have work to finish this weekend.
THE US HAS ENTERED THE WAR WITH IRAN
THEY HIT THE FORDOW NUCLEAR SITE
THEY HIT THE FORDOW NUCLEAR SITE
June 21, 2025 at 11:55 PM
Fantastic. And I have work to finish this weekend.
Rocket plumbing is hard. All three of the Block 2 Starships have experienced catastrophic plumbing or engine failures.
That said, there are reasons most companies don't run rapid-fire tests after a failure.
That said, there are reasons most companies don't run rapid-fire tests after a failure.
June 19, 2025 at 4:57 AM
Rocket plumbing is hard. All three of the Block 2 Starships have experienced catastrophic plumbing or engine failures.
That said, there are reasons most companies don't run rapid-fire tests after a failure.
That said, there are reasons most companies don't run rapid-fire tests after a failure.
This is not how I want to start the week.
June 16, 2025 at 2:05 AM
This is not how I want to start the week.
Possible debris from today's strikes. Looks like an Israeli air-launched ballistic missile, either a Sparrow or a ROCKS.
June 13, 2025 at 2:28 AM
Possible debris from today's strikes. Looks like an Israeli air-launched ballistic missile, either a Sparrow or a ROCKS.
Looks like Israel has struck Iran. It's going to be a long evening.
June 13, 2025 at 12:06 AM
Looks like Israel has struck Iran. It's going to be a long evening.
Make Polio Great Again
The Food and Drug Administration is drawing up plans that would end most of its routine food safety inspections work, multiple federal health officials tell CBS News, and effectively outsource this oversight to state and local authorities.
FDA making plans to end its routine food safety inspections, sources say
Food safety inspections would be left to state and local authorities under the plan being developed by the FDA.
cbsn.ws
April 17, 2025 at 11:32 PM
Make Polio Great Again
This building is at 41.717 N, 112.427 W
My records don't indicate this building's precise purpose.
My records don't indicate this building's precise purpose.
April 16, 2025 at 5:45 PM
This building is at 41.717 N, 112.427 W
My records don't indicate this building's precise purpose.
My records don't indicate this building's precise purpose.
Trump: "An old fashioned term we use, groceries. I used it on the campaign. It's such an old-fashioned term but a beautiful term, groceries. It sort of says a bag with different things in it. Groceries went through the roof, and I campaigned on that. I talked about the word groceries for a lot..."
April 2, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Trump: "An old fashioned term we use, groceries. I used it on the campaign. It's such an old-fashioned term but a beautiful term, groceries. It sort of says a bag with different things in it. Groceries went through the roof, and I campaigned on that. I talked about the word groceries for a lot..."