Jonas Draege
draege.bsky.social
Jonas Draege
@draege.bsky.social
Associate Professor of Political Science at Oslo New University College. Previously @MiddleEast_HKS @Harvard @eui_sps
Pinned
New article out in @polstudies.bsky.social!

Why do opposition parties in authoritarian regimes so often fail to coordinate, even when unity could help them win?

doi.org/10.1177/0032...

In this article, we highlight two overlooked drivers of opposition fragmentation 🧵
Reposted by Jonas Draege
“the response to the killings.. follows the Israeli script to the letter..like Syrian regime campaign to defame the White Helmets, Russian campaigns to shape narratives in Ukraine, Saudi campaigns to deny responsibility for the killing of Jamal Khashoggi”

abuaardvarkghost.ghost.io/muddying-mur...
Muddying Murderous Waters
I watched Border Patrol agents in Minneapolis murder a man on Saturday. The killing was captured by multiple videos from several angles, and all tell the same undisputable story. As with their smearin...
abuaardvarkghost.ghost.io
January 27, 2026 at 2:07 PM
Reposted by Jonas Draege
Kind of surreal to be discussing my new book on my favorite podcast for learning about new books.

Marc as always knows so much about the topic; it's a real privilege (if intimidating) to be in conversation with him.
Welcome to Season 15 of the POMEPS Podcast! On this week's episode, Rana Khoury joins POMEPS Director Marc Lynch to discuss her new book, Civilizing Contention: International Aid in Syria's War. Also, Marc shares additional academic research on Syria. pomeps.org/civilizing-c...
Civilizing Contention: International Aid in Syria's War (S. 15, Ep. 1) - Project on Middle East Political Science
Welcome to Season 15 of the POMEPS Middle East Political Science Podcast! On this week’s episode of the podcast, Rana Khoury of the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign joins Marc Lynch to discu...
pomeps.org
January 13, 2026 at 2:32 PM
Reposted by Jonas Draege
New Publication!
Opposition often fails to coordinate. Why?
@draege.bsky.social and @maryhenjimenez.bsky.social find two overlooked drivers (⁠resource asymmetry and extraordinary times as stress-tests) in their deep comparative analysis of Venezuela and Turkey journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
December 10, 2025 at 10:44 AM
My new article with @leberntzen.bsky.social out in @scandpolstud.bsky.social!

Can politicians calm conflict as effectively as they can inflame it?

Our experimental evidence from Norway suggests that they cannot.
🧵
Asymmetric Influence: Politicians Can Fuel but Not Dampen Conflict
Research from the deeply polarized United States suggests that the impact of elite communication is asymmetrical: antagonistic messages often heighten divisions, while positive appeals fail to dampen...
doi.org
December 1, 2025 at 9:41 AM
Reposted by Jonas Draege
Jeg skriver i Dagens Næringsliv om noe som har gått litt under radaren i utkastet til fredsavtalen mellom Russland og Ukraina: G7/8 medlemskap til Russland. Og om symbolikken bak det: www.dn.no/innlegg/ukra...
For Putin er dette full pott
G7 skal igjen bli til G8. Med Russland som nygammelt medlem. Vesten er i ferd med å bøye av.
www.dn.no
November 27, 2025 at 8:10 AM
Reposted by Jonas Draege
New article with @draege.bsky.social out in Scandinavian Political Studies: “Asymmetric Influence: Politicians Can Fuel but Not Dampen Conflict.” We test whether politicians in one of the world’s least polarized democracies, Norway, can calm conflict as effectively as they can inflame it. #polisky
Asymmetric Influence: Politicians Can Fuel but Not Dampen Conflict
Research from the deeply polarized United States suggests that the impact of elite communication is asymmetrical: antagonistic messages often heighten divisions, while positive appeals fail to dampen...
dx.doi.org
November 24, 2025 at 7:42 AM
New article out in @polstudies.bsky.social!

Why do opposition parties in authoritarian regimes so often fail to coordinate, even when unity could help them win?

doi.org/10.1177/0032...

In this article, we highlight two overlooked drivers of opposition fragmentation 🧵
November 13, 2025 at 10:42 AM
Reposted by Jonas Draege
Why do opposition parties in autocracies struggle to unite? Jonas Bergan Draege & @maryhenjimenez.bsky.social examine how resource asymmetry & high-pressure moments like protests deepen fragmentation. Read more: buff.ly/k2arX2i

@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social @sagepub.com
November 4, 2025 at 10:00 PM
My article "Film-Making the Nation Great Again" with
@liselhintz.bsky.social is out now in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social!

doi.org/10.1017/S153...

We show how Turkey’s ruling party instrumentalizes history through emotionally evocative videos to legitimize the authoritarian incumbent

🧵
September 11, 2025 at 11:56 AM
Reposted by Jonas Draege
My article "Film-Making the Nation Great Again" with @draege.bsky.social is out in Perspectives!

Poli sci work on authoritarianism and populism largely overlooks audiovisual strategies.

Our multi-modal study uses a new dataset of 11,000+ regime YouTube videos in Turkey.

doi.org/10.1017/S153...
September 10, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Reposted by Jonas Draege
Before my PhD, I worked mostly in arts and media. Regimes invest lots in AV media, but Pol Sci largely doesn't engage it.

So I was thrilled to see images in the proofs for Film-Making the Nation Great Again with @draege.bsky.social. We analyze autocrats' AV instrumentalizations of history.
August 15, 2025 at 2:24 AM
Reposted by Jonas Draege
Folks in Istanbul please join me July 10 at IPC.

I'll present findings from a new dataset of over 11,000 YouTube videos. In two projects with @draege.bsky.social, our multi-method analysis examines regimes' instrumentalizations of history and foreign threat production.
forms.gle/6BRkXR3439LKV7A96
July 4, 2025 at 2:17 PM