David Coletto
@davidcoletto.bsky.social
Founder & CEO of Canada’s most sought-after and influential polling firm, Abacus Data.
Prof at Carleton University.
Davidcoletto.substack.com
🚴♂️🎾🏔️📈📊
Prof at Carleton University.
Davidcoletto.substack.com
🚴♂️🎾🏔️📈📊
“While the PCs remain in a strong position, there is softness in their support. The potential for movement is real.”
Read The Upshot from our latest Ontario poll: abacusdata.ca/ontario-pcs...
Read The Upshot from our latest Ontario poll: abacusdata.ca/ontario-pcs...
Ontario PCs Still Lead by Wide Margin but Ontario NDP Rise Four in a Month - Abacus Data
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abacusdata.ca
November 11, 2025 at 4:45 AM
“While the PCs remain in a strong position, there is softness in their support. The potential for movement is real.”
Read The Upshot from our latest Ontario poll: abacusdata.ca/ontario-pcs...
Read The Upshot from our latest Ontario poll: abacusdata.ca/ontario-pcs...
The federal race remains tight: Conservatives 41%, Liberals 40%. Among likely voters, the Conservative lead widens slightly. The NDP holds at 8%. The deadlock continues.
Full results: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
Full results: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
November 11, 2025 at 3:15 AM
The federal race remains tight: Conservatives 41%, Liberals 40%. Among likely voters, the Conservative lead widens slightly. The NDP holds at 8%. The deadlock continues.
Full results: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
Full results: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
Our newest Ontario survey finds the PCs steady at 51%, the Liberals down two points to 23%, and the NDP up four to 19%. Ford’s lead remains strong, but perceptions are shifting.
Full analysis: abacusdata.ca/ontario-pcs...
Full analysis: abacusdata.ca/ontario-pcs...
Ontario PCs Still Lead by Wide Margin but Ontario NDP Rise Four in a Month - Abacus Data
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abacusdata.ca
November 11, 2025 at 1:30 AM
Our newest Ontario survey finds the PCs steady at 51%, the Liberals down two points to 23%, and the NDP up four to 19%. Ford’s lead remains strong, but perceptions are shifting.
Full analysis: abacusdata.ca/ontario-pcs...
Full analysis: abacusdata.ca/ontario-pcs...
Doug Ford and the PCs continue to lead in Ontario, holding majority-level support. But beneath the surface, there are signs of voter fatigue and questions about progress on key issues.
Read the full findings: abacusdata.ca/ontario-pcs...
Read the full findings: abacusdata.ca/ontario-pcs...
Ontario PCs Still Lead by Wide Margin but Ontario NDP Rise Four in a Month - Abacus Data
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abacusdata.ca
November 10, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Doug Ford and the PCs continue to lead in Ontario, holding majority-level support. But beneath the surface, there are signs of voter fatigue and questions about progress on key issues.
Read the full findings: abacusdata.ca/ontario-pcs...
Read the full findings: abacusdata.ca/ontario-pcs...
Mark Carney’s favourability holds steady at +12 net, while Pierre Poilievre’s has fallen to -7, his lowest in over a year.
The floor crossing may have bruised Poilievre’s image more than it boosted Carney’s.
Read more: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
The floor crossing may have bruised Poilievre’s image more than it boosted Carney’s.
Read more: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
November 10, 2025 at 10:00 PM
Mark Carney’s favourability holds steady at +12 net, while Pierre Poilievre’s has fallen to -7, his lowest in over a year.
The floor crossing may have bruised Poilievre’s image more than it boosted Carney’s.
Read more: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
The floor crossing may have bruised Poilievre’s image more than it boosted Carney’s.
Read more: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
Despite controversy over Ontario’s anti-tariff ad and its impact on trade talks with Donald Trump, Doug Ford’s support remains steady at 51%.
“It doesn’t seem to have hurt him at all.”
Full story in The Toronto Star: www.thestar.com/politics/pr...
“It doesn’t seem to have hurt him at all.”
Full story in The Toronto Star: www.thestar.com/politics/pr...
Anti-tariff ad that derailed trade talks didn’t hurt Doug Ford’s popularity, poll suggests
Ontario's anti-tariff ad generated worldwide headlines by derailing Canadian trade talks with U.S. President Donald Trump, but a new poll suggests it has not affected Premier Doug Ford's popularity.
www.thestar.com
November 10, 2025 at 9:00 PM
Despite controversy over Ontario’s anti-tariff ad and its impact on trade talks with Donald Trump, Doug Ford’s support remains steady at 51%.
“It doesn’t seem to have hurt him at all.”
Full story in The Toronto Star: www.thestar.com/politics/pr...
“It doesn’t seem to have hurt him at all.”
Full story in The Toronto Star: www.thestar.com/politics/pr...
Approval of the Carney government has dipped to 44%, its lowest since the election.
The budget did not reverse the downward trend, suggesting Canadians are waiting to see results.
More from our latest poll: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
The budget did not reverse the downward trend, suggesting Canadians are waiting to see results.
More from our latest poll: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
November 10, 2025 at 7:45 PM
Approval of the Carney government has dipped to 44%, its lowest since the election.
The budget did not reverse the downward trend, suggesting Canadians are waiting to see results.
More from our latest poll: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
The budget did not reverse the downward trend, suggesting Canadians are waiting to see results.
More from our latest poll: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
The cost of living is continuing its rise as a top issue, named by two-thirds of Canadians, the highest level this year.
The economy and healthcare follow, but affordability remains the political lens.
Full poll results: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
The economy and healthcare follow, but affordability remains the political lens.
Full poll results: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
November 10, 2025 at 5:00 PM
The cost of living is continuing its rise as a top issue, named by two-thirds of Canadians, the highest level this year.
The economy and healthcare follow, but affordability remains the political lens.
Full poll results: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
The economy and healthcare follow, but affordability remains the political lens.
Full poll results: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
33% of Canadians say the country is heading in the right direction, 49% say the wrong one. A restless but steady mood.
The post-budget moment hasn’t changed how people feel about the direction of the country: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
The post-budget moment hasn’t changed how people feel about the direction of the country: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
November 10, 2025 at 2:30 PM
33% of Canadians say the country is heading in the right direction, 49% say the wrong one. A restless but steady mood.
The post-budget moment hasn’t changed how people feel about the direction of the country: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
The post-budget moment hasn’t changed how people feel about the direction of the country: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
Budget 2025 landed softly. The defection of a Conservative MP briefly shook things up, but the fundamentals haven’t moved.
The Liberals and Conservatives remain tied.
Read our new Abacus Data poll: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
The Liberals and Conservatives remain tied.
Read our new Abacus Data poll: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
November 10, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Budget 2025 landed softly. The defection of a Conservative MP briefly shook things up, but the fundamentals haven’t moved.
The Liberals and Conservatives remain tied.
Read our new Abacus Data poll: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
The Liberals and Conservatives remain tied.
Read our new Abacus Data poll: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
A week after the first Carney budget and a surprise floor crossing, Canada’s political landscape looks almost unchanged.
Approval is sliding, cost of living dominates, and the race remains neck-and-neck.
Full Abacus Data analysis: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
Approval is sliding, cost of living dominates, and the race remains neck-and-neck.
Full Abacus Data analysis: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
November 10, 2025 at 12:00 PM
A week after the first Carney budget and a surprise floor crossing, Canada’s political landscape looks almost unchanged.
Approval is sliding, cost of living dominates, and the race remains neck-and-neck.
Full Abacus Data analysis: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
Approval is sliding, cost of living dominates, and the race remains neck-and-neck.
Full Abacus Data analysis: abacusdata.ca/abacus-data...
Among those aware of Budget 2025, 52% say it’s a step in the right direction, 48% the wrong one.
A tight split that reflects the divided mood of the country.
Read the full Abacus Data analysis: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
A tight split that reflects the divided mood of the country.
Read the full Abacus Data analysis: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
November 10, 2025 at 11:30 AM
Among those aware of Budget 2025, 52% say it’s a step in the right direction, 48% the wrong one.
A tight split that reflects the divided mood of the country.
Read the full Abacus Data analysis: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
A tight split that reflects the divided mood of the country.
Read the full Abacus Data analysis: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Just 16% of Canadians say Budget 2025 made them more confident in the government’s plan to grow the economy and make life more affordable.
Confidence remains the missing ingredient.
Full results: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Confidence remains the missing ingredient.
Full results: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
November 10, 2025 at 3:15 AM
Just 16% of Canadians say Budget 2025 made them more confident in the government’s plan to grow the economy and make life more affordable.
Confidence remains the missing ingredient.
Full results: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Confidence remains the missing ingredient.
Full results: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Canadians like many of the measures in Budget 2025, especially “Buy Canadian” rules and housing investments. But fewer believe it adds up to a clear plan for the economy.
Our findings: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Our findings: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
November 9, 2025 at 10:00 PM
Canadians like many of the measures in Budget 2025, especially “Buy Canadian” rules and housing investments. But fewer believe it adds up to a clear plan for the economy.
Our findings: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Our findings: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Budget 2025 evokes both hope and hesitation. 55% of Canadians used at least one positive word to describe it, 53% at least one negative. Many used both.
A country searching for reassurance. Full story: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
A country searching for reassurance. Full story: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
November 9, 2025 at 9:00 PM
Budget 2025 evokes both hope and hesitation. 55% of Canadians used at least one positive word to describe it, 53% at least one negative. Many used both.
A country searching for reassurance. Full story: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
A country searching for reassurance. Full story: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Our new poll finds Canadians torn between two stories about Budget 2025.
Some see long-term investment in housing and infrastructure.
Others see overspending and risk. Neither view dominates.
Details here: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Some see long-term investment in housing and infrastructure.
Others see overspending and risk. Neither view dominates.
Details here: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
November 9, 2025 at 7:45 PM
Our new poll finds Canadians torn between two stories about Budget 2025.
Some see long-term investment in housing and infrastructure.
Others see overspending and risk. Neither view dominates.
Details here: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Some see long-term investment in housing and infrastructure.
Others see overspending and risk. Neither view dominates.
Details here: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Was Prime Minister Mark Carney's deficit larger than expected?
YouTube video by CTV News
youtu.be
November 9, 2025 at 6:24 PM
Awareness of Budget 2025 was strong at 72%. But only 15% said they were very familiar with its contents. That gap between attention and understanding shapes much of the public reaction.
Full analysis here: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Full analysis here: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
November 9, 2025 at 3:00 PM
Awareness of Budget 2025 was strong at 72%. But only 15% said they were very familiar with its contents. That gap between attention and understanding shapes much of the public reaction.
Full analysis here: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Full analysis here: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Canadians are split on the Carney government’s first budget.
Support for key measures is strong, but the story tying it all together hasn’t landed.
Our latest survey breaks down what Canadians think and why: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Support for key measures is strong, but the story tying it all together hasn’t landed.
Our latest survey breaks down what Canadians think and why: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
November 9, 2025 at 2:30 PM
Canadians are split on the Carney government’s first budget.
Support for key measures is strong, but the story tying it all together hasn’t landed.
Our latest survey breaks down what Canadians think and why: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Support for key measures is strong, but the story tying it all together hasn’t landed.
Our latest survey breaks down what Canadians think and why: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
How dependent is the Conservative Party on Pierre Poilievre’s leadership?
Our new survey for the Toronto Star shows no other tested figure draws more support.
Poilievre remains the party’s strongest option today.
See the findings: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
Our new survey for the Toronto Star shows no other tested figure draws more support.
Poilievre remains the party’s strongest option today.
See the findings: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
November 9, 2025 at 1:00 PM
How dependent is the Conservative Party on Pierre Poilievre’s leadership?
Our new survey for the Toronto Star shows no other tested figure draws more support.
Poilievre remains the party’s strongest option today.
See the findings: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
Our new survey for the Toronto Star shows no other tested figure draws more support.
Poilievre remains the party’s strongest option today.
See the findings: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
A divided first impression of Budget 2025. Awareness was high, but understanding and confidence lag behind.
Read our new Abacus Data survey on how Canadians are reacting to Mark Carney’s first budget: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Read our new Abacus Data survey on how Canadians are reacting to Mark Carney’s first budget: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
November 9, 2025 at 12:00 PM
A divided first impression of Budget 2025. Awareness was high, but understanding and confidence lag behind.
Read our new Abacus Data survey on how Canadians are reacting to Mark Carney’s first budget: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
Read our new Abacus Data survey on how Canadians are reacting to Mark Carney’s first budget: abacusdata.ca/canadians-r...
In our latest Abacus Data poll for the Toronto Star, we tested a range of possible Conservative leaders.
None generated more support than Pierre Poilievre.
Full report: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
None generated more support than Pierre Poilievre.
Full report: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
November 9, 2025 at 11:30 AM
In our latest Abacus Data poll for the Toronto Star, we tested a range of possible Conservative leaders.
None generated more support than Pierre Poilievre.
Full report: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
None generated more support than Pierre Poilievre.
Full report: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
If Pierre Poilievre were not leading the Conservatives, would the party do better or worse?
Our new poll for the Toronto Star finds no other Conservative figure matches his performance nationally.
Details: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
Our new poll for the Toronto Star finds no other Conservative figure matches his performance nationally.
Details: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
November 9, 2025 at 4:45 AM
If Pierre Poilievre were not leading the Conservatives, would the party do better or worse?
Our new poll for the Toronto Star finds no other Conservative figure matches his performance nationally.
Details: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
Our new poll for the Toronto Star finds no other Conservative figure matches his performance nationally.
Details: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
A new Abacus Data survey for the Toronto Star asked: What would happen to the Conservatives if Pierre Poilievre stepped aside?
We tested several possible successors. None performed better than Poilievre.
Full results: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
We tested several possible successors. None performed better than Poilievre.
Full results: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
November 9, 2025 at 1:30 AM
A new Abacus Data survey for the Toronto Star asked: What would happen to the Conservatives if Pierre Poilievre stepped aside?
We tested several possible successors. None performed better than Poilievre.
Full results: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
We tested several possible successors. None performed better than Poilievre.
Full results: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
No tested Conservative alternative performs better than Pierre Poilievre.
Harper polls at 34%, Ford at 31%, Kenney, Mulroney, and Rempel Garner all below 30%.
Poilievre leads with 38% against Carney’s Liberals at 36%.
See the full report: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
Harper polls at 34%, Ford at 31%, Kenney, Mulroney, and Rempel Garner all below 30%.
Poilievre leads with 38% against Carney’s Liberals at 36%.
See the full report: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
November 8, 2025 at 11:00 PM
No tested Conservative alternative performs better than Pierre Poilievre.
Harper polls at 34%, Ford at 31%, Kenney, Mulroney, and Rempel Garner all below 30%.
Poilievre leads with 38% against Carney’s Liberals at 36%.
See the full report: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...
Harper polls at 34%, Ford at 31%, Kenney, Mulroney, and Rempel Garner all below 30%.
Poilievre leads with 38% against Carney’s Liberals at 36%.
See the full report: abacusdata.ca/what-happen...