Chancellor said lifting 2-child limit means "Biggest reduction in child poverty over a Parliament since records began." Estimated 400k reduction would be, but modelling is always uncertain. What is certain is that removing the 2 Child Limit is pivotal to the fall.

A child poverty strategy with the 2-child limit in place would *not* be a credible child poverty strategy. *All* of the growth in child poverty since the 2011/12 low point is for children in scope of this policy.

No one in the UK should experience destitution - wherever they were born – and destitution should never be an acceptable outcome of policy. But some policies announced in the Home Secretary’s asylum statement risk increasing destitution. 🧵1/7 www.gov.uk/government/p...

Today MPs will vote on the amended welfare bill.

MPs who choose to walk through the lobby and support this bill are paving the way for at least 150,000 people to be pulled into poverty.

Here are just 3 reasons why they should oppose this bill from @katieschmuecker.bsky.social 🔽

Much of the Government's intention for cutting PIP and UC is to motivate people to find a job

But cutting social security can't 'incentivise' people into jobs that don't exist

New @jrf-uk.bsky.social analysis shows there are simply too few jobs for the Government's argument to hold

Excited to share - I co-authored a paper w/ @uclnews.bsky.social on the distribution of nursery places by ownership type (incl. Private Equity owners) & deprivation band - nursery places provided by PE providers have doubled as a share of the market since 2018
🧵
discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10...

The Pathways to Work proposals will impact young people already facing high levels of hardship - undermining the Youth Guarantee.

💭 @rachelcasey.bsky.social examines the two competing government visions for young people furthest from the labour market.

Read more: www.jrf.org.uk/work/young-p...

DWP is using a sleight of hand in its disability benefit cuts impact assessment: Actual increase in poverty is closer to 400,000, not the 250,000 in the impact assessment.

Quick thread explaining why. 🧵1/7

OBR's measure of living standards, RHDI, is up by £500 - largely due to stronger wage growth, including planning reforms which boost incomes.

BUT when you dig into it, 3/4 of the extra income from housing services is 'imputed rents' (what families would receive if they rented out their home).

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There are genuinely helpful measures in today’s package to help disabled people into work & a new contributory benefit so our system looks more like social insurance.

But as this headline shows - it’s the huge cuts that will overshadow today’s announcement..

www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/c0...

Secretary of State for Work and Pensions Liz Kendall's speech today laid out plans to cut disability and sickness benefits by billions.

❌ No truly moral choice would leave disabled people without support designed to allow them to lead a dignified life, or facing hardship. 1/4

@jrf-uk.bsky.social has analysed caseload data and can see much of the forecast growth in PIP spending is directed at people with significant difficulties across a range of areas. Over half of the growth in spending is from people in receipt of the higher rate in both PIP elements.

This will be a really great event - please attend if of interest (or share widely)

Inflation is up by 3%, but private rents are up by 8.7% across the UK and 11%(!!!) in London.

Across GB, it means paying ~£100 more per month on average since Jan 24, or ~£200 more per month since Jan 23.

In London, £220 more per month since Jan 24, or ~£400(!) more per month since Jan 23.

21% of people were in poverty in 2003/04. 21% of people were still in poverty in 2022/23.

20 years and no progress on poverty 📢

Behind these numbers are real people. Real struggles.

Listen to some of their voices.

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📣 We’re recruiting two Analysts!

Do you have the skills to help deliver our programme of analytical work in ways that can shape policy and generate impact?

Are you interested in social policy, UK poverty and the political environment?

Apply here: jrf.octo-firstclass.co.uk/candidates/c...