CropProphet
@cropprophet.bsky.social
https://www.cropprophet.com
CropProphet quantifies the impact of weather on grain to help grain traders improve their trading profitability.
CropProphet quantifies the impact of weather on grain to help grain traders improve their trading profitability.
Over the past 30 days, Brazil #soybean regions have been substantially dry, with prod-wghtd precip only 82% of nrml. The 14-day AIFS, ECMWF, & GEFS fcst below nrml #Brazil soybean prod wghtd precip.
AIFS: 73% of nrml
ECMWF: 82% of nrml
GEFS: 63% of nrml
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather
AIFS: 73% of nrml
ECMWF: 82% of nrml
GEFS: 63% of nrml
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather
October 23, 2025 at 12:19 PM
Over the past 30 days, Brazil #soybean regions have been substantially dry, with prod-wghtd precip only 82% of nrml. The 14-day AIFS, ECMWF, & GEFS fcst below nrml #Brazil soybean prod wghtd precip.
AIFS: 73% of nrml
ECMWF: 82% of nrml
GEFS: 63% of nrml
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather
AIFS: 73% of nrml
ECMWF: 82% of nrml
GEFS: 63% of nrml
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather
Southern Illinois has been extremely dry over the prior 30+ days.
The IL corn prod wghtd precip over the last 30 days is 25% of nrml...
County-level changes in the #corn yield expected value show sharp declines across southern Illinois.
#oatt #Agriculture #AgWeather #AgWx
The IL corn prod wghtd precip over the last 30 days is 25% of nrml...
County-level changes in the #corn yield expected value show sharp declines across southern Illinois.
#oatt #Agriculture #AgWeather #AgWx
September 18, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Southern Illinois has been extremely dry over the prior 30+ days.
The IL corn prod wghtd precip over the last 30 days is 25% of nrml...
County-level changes in the #corn yield expected value show sharp declines across southern Illinois.
#oatt #Agriculture #AgWeather #AgWx
The IL corn prod wghtd precip over the last 30 days is 25% of nrml...
County-level changes in the #corn yield expected value show sharp declines across southern Illinois.
#oatt #Agriculture #AgWeather #AgWx
Reposted by CropProphet
2025 vs 2024 #Corn Belt precip: drier eastern corn belt and MO while a relatively wetter Upper Midwest.
30-day precip totals near 2024 through July, then a mid–late Aug dip, converging by early Sep.
See the blog post here: www.cropprophet.com/2025-us-corn...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather
30-day precip totals near 2024 through July, then a mid–late Aug dip, converging by early Sep.
See the blog post here: www.cropprophet.com/2025-us-corn...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather
2025 US Corn Belt Precipitation vs 2024: Where It Differs
2025 US corn belt precipitation: compare 2025 vs 2024. Drier eastern corn belt; 30-day corn production-weighted totals, state ranks, July-Sept evolution.
www.cropprophet.com
September 12, 2025 at 2:07 PM
2025 vs 2024 #Corn Belt precip: drier eastern corn belt and MO while a relatively wetter Upper Midwest.
30-day precip totals near 2024 through July, then a mid–late Aug dip, converging by early Sep.
See the blog post here: www.cropprophet.com/2025-us-corn...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather
30-day precip totals near 2024 through July, then a mid–late Aug dip, converging by early Sep.
See the blog post here: www.cropprophet.com/2025-us-corn...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather
2025 vs 2024 #Corn Belt precip: drier eastern corn belt and MO while a relatively wetter Upper Midwest.
30-day precip totals near 2024 through July, then a mid–late Aug dip, converging by early Sep.
See the blog post here: www.cropprophet.com/2025-us-corn...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather
30-day precip totals near 2024 through July, then a mid–late Aug dip, converging by early Sep.
See the blog post here: www.cropprophet.com/2025-us-corn...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather
2025 US Corn Belt Precipitation vs 2024: Where It Differs
2025 US corn belt precipitation: compare 2025 vs 2024. Drier eastern corn belt; 30-day corn production-weighted totals, state ranks, July-Sept evolution.
www.cropprophet.com
September 12, 2025 at 2:07 PM
2025 vs 2024 #Corn Belt precip: drier eastern corn belt and MO while a relatively wetter Upper Midwest.
30-day precip totals near 2024 through July, then a mid–late Aug dip, converging by early Sep.
See the blog post here: www.cropprophet.com/2025-us-corn...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather
30-day precip totals near 2024 through July, then a mid–late Aug dip, converging by early Sep.
See the blog post here: www.cropprophet.com/2025-us-corn...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather
Watch our last webinar for the 2025 US growing season here: youtu.be/0ArJX9q2zJc
September 11, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Watch our last webinar for the 2025 US growing season here: youtu.be/0ArJX9q2zJc
Our Grain Market Weather Webinar starts at 10:00 AM ET this morning!
Register for the webinar here before 10 AM: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn #Agriculture
Register for the webinar here before 10 AM: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn #Agriculture
September 10, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Our Grain Market Weather Webinar starts at 10:00 AM ET this morning!
Register for the webinar here before 10 AM: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn #Agriculture
Register for the webinar here before 10 AM: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn #Agriculture
Reposted by CropProphet
Register and save your spot for the September Grain Market Weather Webinar: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
🗓️ September 10th
⏰ 10:00 AM ET
🗓️ September 10th
⏰ 10:00 AM ET
Welcome! You are invited to join a webinar: The September Grain Market Weather Webinar. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining the webinar.
A live discussion, hosted by Dr. Jan Dutton (CEO), exploring the current weather impacting the grain market.
bit.ly
September 9, 2025 at 5:51 PM
Register and save your spot for the September Grain Market Weather Webinar: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
🗓️ September 10th
⏰ 10:00 AM ET
🗓️ September 10th
⏰ 10:00 AM ET
Reposted by CropProphet
The eastern #Corn Belt has been extremely dry.
OH ranks driest on record (1981–2025) for Aug+Sep-to-date corn prod wghtd precip. IN, IL, & MO nearly as bad.
We’ll cover what this means for grain markets in tomorrow’s webinar.
Register here: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#AgWx #oatt #AgWeather #Grains
OH ranks driest on record (1981–2025) for Aug+Sep-to-date corn prod wghtd precip. IN, IL, & MO nearly as bad.
We’ll cover what this means for grain markets in tomorrow’s webinar.
Register here: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#AgWx #oatt #AgWeather #Grains
September 9, 2025 at 5:51 PM
The eastern #Corn Belt has been extremely dry.
OH ranks driest on record (1981–2025) for Aug+Sep-to-date corn prod wghtd precip. IN, IL, & MO nearly as bad.
We’ll cover what this means for grain markets in tomorrow’s webinar.
Register here: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#AgWx #oatt #AgWeather #Grains
OH ranks driest on record (1981–2025) for Aug+Sep-to-date corn prod wghtd precip. IN, IL, & MO nearly as bad.
We’ll cover what this means for grain markets in tomorrow’s webinar.
Register here: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#AgWx #oatt #AgWeather #Grains
The eastern #Corn Belt has been extremely dry.
OH ranks driest on record (1981–2025) for Aug+Sep-to-date corn prod wghtd precip. IN, IL, & MO nearly as bad.
We’ll cover what this means for grain markets in tomorrow’s webinar.
Register here: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#AgWx #oatt #AgWeather #Grains
OH ranks driest on record (1981–2025) for Aug+Sep-to-date corn prod wghtd precip. IN, IL, & MO nearly as bad.
We’ll cover what this means for grain markets in tomorrow’s webinar.
Register here: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#AgWx #oatt #AgWeather #Grains
September 9, 2025 at 5:51 PM
The eastern #Corn Belt has been extremely dry.
OH ranks driest on record (1981–2025) for Aug+Sep-to-date corn prod wghtd precip. IN, IL, & MO nearly as bad.
We’ll cover what this means for grain markets in tomorrow’s webinar.
Register here: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#AgWx #oatt #AgWeather #Grains
OH ranks driest on record (1981–2025) for Aug+Sep-to-date corn prod wghtd precip. IN, IL, & MO nearly as bad.
We’ll cover what this means for grain markets in tomorrow’s webinar.
Register here: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#AgWx #oatt #AgWeather #Grains
Reposted by CropProphet
The September Grain Market Wx Webinar is in 2 days.
Register: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
What will we discuss:
1) Impact of recent dryness on yield,
2) Effects of disease pressure on corn production,
3) Average first freeze dates by county and the upcoming freeze outlook.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn
Register: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
What will we discuss:
1) Impact of recent dryness on yield,
2) Effects of disease pressure on corn production,
3) Average first freeze dates by county and the upcoming freeze outlook.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn
September 8, 2025 at 12:52 PM
The September Grain Market Wx Webinar is in 2 days.
Register: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
What will we discuss:
1) Impact of recent dryness on yield,
2) Effects of disease pressure on corn production,
3) Average first freeze dates by county and the upcoming freeze outlook.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn
Register: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
What will we discuss:
1) Impact of recent dryness on yield,
2) Effects of disease pressure on corn production,
3) Average first freeze dates by county and the upcoming freeze outlook.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn
The September Grain Market Wx Webinar is in 2 days.
Register: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
What will we discuss:
1) Impact of recent dryness on yield,
2) Effects of disease pressure on corn production,
3) Average first freeze dates by county and the upcoming freeze outlook.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn
Register: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
What will we discuss:
1) Impact of recent dryness on yield,
2) Effects of disease pressure on corn production,
3) Average first freeze dates by county and the upcoming freeze outlook.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn
September 8, 2025 at 12:52 PM
The September Grain Market Wx Webinar is in 2 days.
Register: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
What will we discuss:
1) Impact of recent dryness on yield,
2) Effects of disease pressure on corn production,
3) Average first freeze dates by county and the upcoming freeze outlook.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn
Register: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
What will we discuss:
1) Impact of recent dryness on yield,
2) Effects of disease pressure on corn production,
3) Average first freeze dates by county and the upcoming freeze outlook.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn
Is freeze risk rising as harvest nears?
Watch the video for:
1.) County-level avg first 32/30/28°F freeze dates (1981–2024)
2.) ECMWF 15-day probs for 36–30°F lows
3.) Millions of corn/soybean bushels at risk by temp threshold
👉🎥 youtu.be/sJg5H4u0rKE
#oatt #Corn #Soybeans
Watch the video for:
1.) County-level avg first 32/30/28°F freeze dates (1981–2024)
2.) ECMWF 15-day probs for 36–30°F lows
3.) Millions of corn/soybean bushels at risk by temp threshold
👉🎥 youtu.be/sJg5H4u0rKE
#oatt #Corn #Soybeans
US Average First Freeze Date: CORN AND SOYBEANS AT RISK?
YouTube video by CropProphet
youtu.be
September 5, 2025 at 4:11 PM
Is freeze risk rising as harvest nears?
Watch the video for:
1.) County-level avg first 32/30/28°F freeze dates (1981–2024)
2.) ECMWF 15-day probs for 36–30°F lows
3.) Millions of corn/soybean bushels at risk by temp threshold
👉🎥 youtu.be/sJg5H4u0rKE
#oatt #Corn #Soybeans
Watch the video for:
1.) County-level avg first 32/30/28°F freeze dates (1981–2024)
2.) ECMWF 15-day probs for 36–30°F lows
3.) Millions of corn/soybean bushels at risk by temp threshold
👉🎥 youtu.be/sJg5H4u0rKE
#oatt #Corn #Soybeans
Our last Grain Market Weather Webinar for this US growing season will take place on September 10th at 10 AM ET.
👉 Save your spot and register here: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn #Grains #Yield #WeatherRisk #Agriculture #GrainMarket #GrainTrader #Farmer
👉 Save your spot and register here: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn #Grains #Yield #WeatherRisk #Agriculture #GrainMarket #GrainTrader #Farmer
September 2, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Our last Grain Market Weather Webinar for this US growing season will take place on September 10th at 10 AM ET.
👉 Save your spot and register here: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn #Grains #Yield #WeatherRisk #Agriculture #GrainMarket #GrainTrader #Farmer
👉 Save your spot and register here: bit.ly/CPSeptemberW...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn #Grains #Yield #WeatherRisk #Agriculture #GrainMarket #GrainTrader #Farmer
#GrainTraders: Last week’s ECMWF ensemble called for cool & dry across the Corn Belt. This week’s Forecast of the Forecast shows it was spot on.
Verified:
• Cooler-than-normal temps
• Dry trend in IA/IL/IN
Model validation=trading edge.
🎥 Full video: youtu.be/fQHOGN_EyYU
@subletteweather.com
Verified:
• Cooler-than-normal temps
• Dry trend in IA/IL/IN
Model validation=trading edge.
🎥 Full video: youtu.be/fQHOGN_EyYU
@subletteweather.com
CropProphet Forecast of the Forecast | COOL and DRY Signal Verified | September 2nd, 2025
YouTube video by CropProphet
youtu.be
September 2, 2025 at 2:27 PM
#GrainTraders: Last week’s ECMWF ensemble called for cool & dry across the Corn Belt. This week’s Forecast of the Forecast shows it was spot on.
Verified:
• Cooler-than-normal temps
• Dry trend in IA/IL/IN
Model validation=trading edge.
🎥 Full video: youtu.be/fQHOGN_EyYU
@subletteweather.com
Verified:
• Cooler-than-normal temps
• Dry trend in IA/IL/IN
Model validation=trading edge.
🎥 Full video: youtu.be/fQHOGN_EyYU
@subletteweather.com
The Forecast of the Forecast highlights what the ECMWF fcst will likely show before you walk into work on Tuesday morning.
➡️ Cooler-than-nrml temps likely from TX to ND
➡️ Dry bias holds across IL, IA & MS Valley
Watch the video here: youtu.be/uS9SStI0S94
#oatt #AgWx #Corn
@subletteweather.com
➡️ Cooler-than-nrml temps likely from TX to ND
➡️ Dry bias holds across IL, IA & MS Valley
Watch the video here: youtu.be/uS9SStI0S94
#oatt #AgWx #Corn
@subletteweather.com
CropProphet Forecast of the Forecast | Cooler Outlook Dominates Corn Belt | August 29th, 2025
YouTube video by CropProphet
youtu.be
August 29, 2025 at 1:19 PM
The Forecast of the Forecast highlights what the ECMWF fcst will likely show before you walk into work on Tuesday morning.
➡️ Cooler-than-nrml temps likely from TX to ND
➡️ Dry bias holds across IL, IA & MS Valley
Watch the video here: youtu.be/uS9SStI0S94
#oatt #AgWx #Corn
@subletteweather.com
➡️ Cooler-than-nrml temps likely from TX to ND
➡️ Dry bias holds across IL, IA & MS Valley
Watch the video here: youtu.be/uS9SStI0S94
#oatt #AgWx #Corn
@subletteweather.com
Grain traders:
This week’s Forecast of the Forecast points to a high-probability cool-down for the Corn Belt & Plains (week 1), followed by uncertainty in week 2. Dry signal remains firm— especially across the majority of the #corn belt.
Full video: youtu.be/UK7dtt3RlYo
@subletteweather.com
This week’s Forecast of the Forecast points to a high-probability cool-down for the Corn Belt & Plains (week 1), followed by uncertainty in week 2. Dry signal remains firm— especially across the majority of the #corn belt.
Full video: youtu.be/UK7dtt3RlYo
@subletteweather.com
CropProphet Forecast of the Forecast | Cool, Dry Shift in Corn Belt?? | August 22nd, 2025
YouTube video by CropProphet
youtu.be
August 22, 2025 at 1:33 PM
Grain traders:
This week’s Forecast of the Forecast points to a high-probability cool-down for the Corn Belt & Plains (week 1), followed by uncertainty in week 2. Dry signal remains firm— especially across the majority of the #corn belt.
Full video: youtu.be/UK7dtt3RlYo
@subletteweather.com
This week’s Forecast of the Forecast points to a high-probability cool-down for the Corn Belt & Plains (week 1), followed by uncertainty in week 2. Dry signal remains firm— especially across the majority of the #corn belt.
Full video: youtu.be/UK7dtt3RlYo
@subletteweather.com
Post 50% silking weather risk isn’t the same everywhere. State graphics show IL & IN yields are highly heat-sensitive (30–60 days after 50% silking), while IA is less responsive.
For #grain markets: heat > precip. Thread👇
#oatt #AgWx #corn #CornBelt #AgWeather #Grains #Yield
For #grain markets: heat > precip. Thread👇
#oatt #AgWx #corn #CornBelt #AgWeather #Grains #Yield
August 21, 2025 at 2:54 PM
USDA set US corn yield at 188.8 bu/ac. Markets stirred; CropProphet clients weren’t. Recent Septembers trended drier across the Midwest, and 15-day guidance just flipped substantially drier—potentially raising late-season yield risk.
#Corn #AgWx #Grains
bit.ly/TryCropProphet
#Corn #AgWx #Grains
bit.ly/TryCropProphet
August 19, 2025 at 3:02 PM
USDA set US corn yield at 188.8 bu/ac. Markets stirred; CropProphet clients weren’t. Recent Septembers trended drier across the Midwest, and 15-day guidance just flipped substantially drier—potentially raising late-season yield risk.
#Corn #AgWx #Grains
bit.ly/TryCropProphet
#Corn #AgWx #Grains
bit.ly/TryCropProphet
With USDA corn estimates out, we examined: Do above-normal planted #corn acres lead to higher yields?
Answer: No.
Using CropProphet Modeler data, the graphic shows no clear relationship between acreage deviation and trend yield deviation.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Agriculture
Answer: No.
Using CropProphet Modeler data, the graphic shows no clear relationship between acreage deviation and trend yield deviation.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Agriculture
August 18, 2025 at 4:54 PM
With USDA corn estimates out, we examined: Do above-normal planted #corn acres lead to higher yields?
Answer: No.
Using CropProphet Modeler data, the graphic shows no clear relationship between acreage deviation and trend yield deviation.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Agriculture
Answer: No.
Using CropProphet Modeler data, the graphic shows no clear relationship between acreage deviation and trend yield deviation.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Agriculture
Check out today's CropProphet Forecast of the Forecast verification video: youtu.be/ojQDPSKL4ew
August 18, 2025 at 1:30 PM
Check out today's CropProphet Forecast of the Forecast verification video: youtu.be/ojQDPSKL4ew
Want to know what the precipitation and temperature forecast will look like when you arrive at the office Monday morning?
Check out CropProphet’s Forecast of the Forecast—the forecast you’ll see when you sit down at your desk Monday morning: youtu.be/9AFsMIhXNM0
#oatt #AgWx
Check out CropProphet’s Forecast of the Forecast—the forecast you’ll see when you sit down at your desk Monday morning: youtu.be/9AFsMIhXNM0
#oatt #AgWx
August 15, 2025 at 1:16 PM
Want to know what the precipitation and temperature forecast will look like when you arrive at the office Monday morning?
Check out CropProphet’s Forecast of the Forecast—the forecast you’ll see when you sit down at your desk Monday morning: youtu.be/9AFsMIhXNM0
#oatt #AgWx
Check out CropProphet’s Forecast of the Forecast—the forecast you’ll see when you sit down at your desk Monday morning: youtu.be/9AFsMIhXNM0
#oatt #AgWx
IL corn prod wghtd precip is above nrml over the past 30 days, driven by ~3 precip events in mid to late July.
However, the past 14 days have been notably dry—corn growing areas in IL received only ~50% of nrml precip. AIFS-ENS fcsts show below nrml precip in Week 1.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn
However, the past 14 days have been notably dry—corn growing areas in IL received only ~50% of nrml precip. AIFS-ENS fcsts show below nrml precip in Week 1.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn
August 15, 2025 at 12:45 PM
IL corn prod wghtd precip is above nrml over the past 30 days, driven by ~3 precip events in mid to late July.
However, the past 14 days have been notably dry—corn growing areas in IL received only ~50% of nrml precip. AIFS-ENS fcsts show below nrml precip in Week 1.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn
However, the past 14 days have been notably dry—corn growing areas in IL received only ~50% of nrml precip. AIFS-ENS fcsts show below nrml precip in Week 1.
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Corn
Reposted by CropProphet
Join my colleagues this morning — who are professionals in connecting long-term weather forecasting with agricultural markets.
How will August weather shape grain market moves? Find out in today’s Grain Market Weather Webinar — registration closes 10 AM ET.
If weather could impact your grain markets, don’t miss this insight.
👉🔗 bit.ly/CPAugustWebi...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Agriculture #Grains #Corn
If weather could impact your grain markets, don’t miss this insight.
👉🔗 bit.ly/CPAugustWebi...
#oatt #AgWx #AgWeather #Agriculture #Grains #Corn
August 13, 2025 at 11:47 AM
Join my colleagues this morning — who are professionals in connecting long-term weather forecasting with agricultural markets.