@misterabk.bsky.social @eleanormorton.bsky.social‬ I really enjoyed the second episode of "Eleanor and Alasdair Talk about Colins." As a member of the Colin community, I think I speak for all of us when I say it's high time this topic was explored in detail in podcast form.

@misterabk.bsky.social "The Colins are going into the West." Classic! This will be the theme of my 50th birthday.

Last PoliCast before the poll. Majority Government is back on the menu, boys!

poliq.au/2025/04/30/p...

#auspol

Labor do have some momentum on their side. Since last week the PoliCast Hung-o-meter has dropped from 95% chance of a minority government to 77%. poliq.au/2025/04/23/p... #auspol

Looking at our model for the upcoming federal election, minority government is all but a certainty. We're able to quantify it based on the current polls: 95%!

See poliq.au/2025/04/07/p... for details of @samvaughan.bsky.social 's great work on this. #auspol

A few surprises in Redbridge's latest data. We'll release our model in the next week along with a prediction for the next parliament, but our results diverge a bit, especially in Victoria. It's hard to see the Greens going backwards in Wills, we have them significantly ahead:

#auspol

But I need to know the percentage of people aged 35-40 in a particular SA1! Stat!

Our poll tracker shows the ALP and Coalition in a statistical dead heat. The momentum is not in the government's favour. This may increase the odds of an early election. The Ides of March! #auspol poliq.au/2024/12/03/w...

Political nerds: Have a play with my Prahran by-election simulator, and tell me what you think a realistic outcome is. prahran-byelection.streamlit.app #vicpol #prahran

The Greens have lost an MP in Prahran who took it from a margin of 30 votes to a safe seat. Can the Liberals reclaim it? I don't think so. poliq.au/2024/11/29/h... #auspol #vicpol #prahran

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