Clément Renault
@clementrenault.bsky.social
Senior Research Fellow in Intelligence, War & Strategy @irsem.bsky.social 🕵️🛰️📡 · Visiting Fellow @kcsi.uk · Adjunct Professor at Sciences Po - Paris School of International Affairs (PSIA) 📚
Website: https://clementrenault.com
Website: https://clementrenault.com
Reposted by Clément Renault
Czech, Romanian, and Hungarian special services smash Belarusian espionage network, Moldova’s former counterintelligence chief arrested
The Czech MFA is set to expel a Belarusian intelligence officer operating under diplomatic cover.
theins.press/en/news/284782
The Czech MFA is set to expel a Belarusian intelligence officer operating under diplomatic cover.
theins.press/en/news/284782
Czech, Romanian, and Hungarian special services smash Belarusian espionage network, Moldova’s former counterintelligence chief arrested
The Czech Security and Information Service (BIS) reports that the country’s intelligence agencies, together with their counterparts in Romania and Hungary, have uncovered and dismantled a Belarusian e...
theins.press
September 9, 2025 at 3:30 PM
Czech, Romanian, and Hungarian special services smash Belarusian espionage network, Moldova’s former counterintelligence chief arrested
The Czech MFA is set to expel a Belarusian intelligence officer operating under diplomatic cover.
theins.press/en/news/284782
The Czech MFA is set to expel a Belarusian intelligence officer operating under diplomatic cover.
theins.press/en/news/284782
Reposted by Clément Renault
I’m not saying Trump is a Russian asset… www.nytimes.com/2025/09/04/u...
Trump Administration to End Security Programs Protecting European Allies From Russia
www.nytimes.com
September 5, 2025 at 7:54 PM
I’m not saying Trump is a Russian asset… www.nytimes.com/2025/09/04/u...
Reposted by Clément Renault
A plane carrying Ursula von der Leyen was forced to land in Bulgaria using paper maps after suspected Russian GPS jamming disabled all navigation systems at Plovdiv Airport, Financial Times reports. The aircraft circled for an hour before landing manually.
September 1, 2025 at 9:13 AM
A plane carrying Ursula von der Leyen was forced to land in Bulgaria using paper maps after suspected Russian GPS jamming disabled all navigation systems at Plovdiv Airport, Financial Times reports. The aircraft circled for an hour before landing manually.
Reposted by Clément Renault
Reprise du podcast Paroles d’histoire avec plein de nouvelles parutions passionnantes à partir de lundi 1er septembre ! #StayTuned
August 27, 2025 at 9:04 AM
Reprise du podcast Paroles d’histoire avec plein de nouvelles parutions passionnantes à partir de lundi 1er septembre ! #StayTuned
Reposted by Clément Renault
If you support a military takeover of U.S. cities, ask yourself this: Who do you think they’ll target next... after they’re done wiping out your rivals? History shows these campaigns don’t end... they expand.
August 24, 2025 at 7:38 PM
If you support a military takeover of U.S. cities, ask yourself this: Who do you think they’ll target next... after they’re done wiping out your rivals? History shows these campaigns don’t end... they expand.
Reposted by Clément Renault
The Trump administration is increasing the risk of a major intelligence failure, argue David Gioe and @genmhayden.bsky.social. “Brave analysts may no longer be willing to stick their heads above the parapet to provide intelligence that Trump needs to know.”
Trump Is Breaking American Intelligence
Politicizing the system makes dangerous failures more likely.
www.foreignaffairs.com
August 23, 2025 at 7:31 PM
The Trump administration is increasing the risk of a major intelligence failure, argue David Gioe and @genmhayden.bsky.social. “Brave analysts may no longer be willing to stick their heads above the parapet to provide intelligence that Trump needs to know.”
"For decades, American presidents have relied on the expertise of foreign policy professionals to help guide them through tricky negotiations in high-stakes conflicts around the globe. Trump has taken a different approach toward such experts: He’s fired them."
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/21/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/21/u...
‘Flying Blind’: Trump Strips Government of Expertise at a High-Stakes Moment
www.nytimes.com
August 22, 2025 at 12:24 PM
"For decades, American presidents have relied on the expertise of foreign policy professionals to help guide them through tricky negotiations in high-stakes conflicts around the globe. Trump has taken a different approach toward such experts: He’s fired them."
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/21/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/21/u...
Reposted by Clément Renault
President Macron:
We are talking about an imperialist and revisionist power that is today's Russia, which since 2008 has constantly sought to conquer new territories, has constantly revised international borders, and has never kept its promises of peace and non-aggression.
We are talking about an imperialist and revisionist power that is today's Russia, which since 2008 has constantly sought to conquer new territories, has constantly revised international borders, and has never kept its promises of peace and non-aggression.
August 17, 2025 at 9:40 PM
President Macron:
We are talking about an imperialist and revisionist power that is today's Russia, which since 2008 has constantly sought to conquer new territories, has constantly revised international borders, and has never kept its promises of peace and non-aggression.
We are talking about an imperialist and revisionist power that is today's Russia, which since 2008 has constantly sought to conquer new territories, has constantly revised international borders, and has never kept its promises of peace and non-aggression.
Reposted by Clément Renault
Excellent décryptage sur le renseignement israélien.
Merci
@clementrenault.bsky.social
et
@alexjubelin.bsky.social !
J'ai juste été surpris de ne pas voir évoqué le facteur religieux dans les causes de l'échec RENS du 7 octobre. Mais peut-être un biais de ma part de lui donner cette importance ?
Merci
@clementrenault.bsky.social
et
@alexjubelin.bsky.social !
J'ai juste été surpris de ne pas voir évoqué le facteur religieux dans les causes de l'échec RENS du 7 octobre. Mais peut-être un biais de ma part de lui donner cette importance ?
#LeCollimateur se penche aujourd'hui sur le fonctionnement et les dysfonctionnements du renseignement israélien, depuis l'échec lors des attaques du 7 octobre 2023 jusqu'aux démonstrations de puissance de ces derniers mois face au Hezbollah et à l'Iran, avec @clementrenault.bsky.social
Le renseignement israélien : de la faillite du 7 Octobre aux triomphes au Liban et en Iran
Le Collimateur se penche aujourd'hui sur le fonctionnement et les dysfonctionnements du renseignement israélien, depuis l'échec lors des attaques du 7 octobre 2023 jusqu'aux démonstrations de puissanc...
lerubicon.org
August 13, 2025 at 12:11 PM
Excellent décryptage sur le renseignement israélien.
Merci
@clementrenault.bsky.social
et
@alexjubelin.bsky.social !
J'ai juste été surpris de ne pas voir évoqué le facteur religieux dans les causes de l'échec RENS du 7 octobre. Mais peut-être un biais de ma part de lui donner cette importance ?
Merci
@clementrenault.bsky.social
et
@alexjubelin.bsky.social !
J'ai juste été surpris de ne pas voir évoqué le facteur religieux dans les causes de l'échec RENS du 7 octobre. Mais peut-être un biais de ma part de lui donner cette importance ?
Reposted by Clément Renault
☀️ The wait is over: our summer reading list 2025 is here!
Explore our recommended selection of books, reviewed in International Affairs, to keep you company this summer: medium.com/internationa...
Explore our recommended selection of books, reviewed in International Affairs, to keep you company this summer: medium.com/internationa...
The International Affairs summer reading list 2025
There is nothing quite like spending the summer lost within the pages of a great book — or ten. Every year, Book Reviews Editor Mariana…
medium.com
July 30, 2025 at 2:50 PM
☀️ The wait is over: our summer reading list 2025 is here!
Explore our recommended selection of books, reviewed in International Affairs, to keep you company this summer: medium.com/internationa...
Explore our recommended selection of books, reviewed in International Affairs, to keep you company this summer: medium.com/internationa...
Reposted by Clément Renault
Agree this is shocking, but I find it historically unsurprising. While American democracy had deeper roots and more guardrails than Germany in 1933, the U.S. has been subject to destructive capitalist forces in recent years which have left the Republic only lightly defended. 🧵
We are seven months in, and the speed with which vital civic institutions are capitulating to authoritarian demands we once would have regarded as inconceivable in an established liberal democracy is jawdropping. I hadn't thought I was polyannaish about America, but it's really stunning.
July 26, 2025 at 2:25 AM
Agree this is shocking, but I find it historically unsurprising. While American democracy had deeper roots and more guardrails than Germany in 1933, the U.S. has been subject to destructive capitalist forces in recent years which have left the Republic only lightly defended. 🧵
Reposted by Clément Renault
🎙️🔎 Excellent épisode du podcast #LeCollimateur sur le renseignement israélien.
Merci à @clementrenault.bsky.social et @alexjubelin.bsky.social pour ce décryptage très éclairant.
Merci à @clementrenault.bsky.social et @alexjubelin.bsky.social pour ce décryptage très éclairant.
#LeCollimateur se penche aujourd'hui sur le fonctionnement et les dysfonctionnements du renseignement israélien, depuis l'échec lors des attaques du 7 octobre 2023 jusqu'aux démonstrations de puissance de ces derniers mois face au Hezbollah et à l'Iran, avec @clementrenault.bsky.social
Le renseignement israélien : de la faillite du 7 Octobre aux triomphes au Liban et en Iran
Le Collimateur se penche aujourd'hui sur le fonctionnement et les dysfonctionnements du renseignement israélien, depuis l'échec lors des attaques du 7 octobre 2023 jusqu'aux démonstrations de puissanc...
lerubicon.org
July 17, 2025 at 10:37 AM
🎙️🔎 Excellent épisode du podcast #LeCollimateur sur le renseignement israélien.
Merci à @clementrenault.bsky.social et @alexjubelin.bsky.social pour ce décryptage très éclairant.
Merci à @clementrenault.bsky.social et @alexjubelin.bsky.social pour ce décryptage très éclairant.
Reposted by Clément Renault
The year was 1610. The king was killed. The war was called off. The design was never finished. warontherocks.com/20...
Toward a New Grand Design? Reviving Sully’s Legacy in European Strategic Thought - War on the Rocks
Editor’s Note: This is part of a running series of essays by Iskander Rehman, entitled “Applied History,” which seeks, through the study of the history of
warontherocks.com
July 16, 2025 at 2:00 AM
The year was 1610. The king was killed. The war was called off. The design was never finished. warontherocks.com/20...
Reposted by Clément Renault
❗️Analysts doubt that Trump will impose the promised 100% tariffs on Russia's partners, - NYT
In their opinion, the large-scale trade between China and Russia - about $250 billion per year, mainly due to oil - makes such a step unlikely.
In their opinion, the large-scale trade between China and Russia - about $250 billion per year, mainly due to oil - makes such a step unlikely.
July 15, 2025 at 1:25 PM
❗️Analysts doubt that Trump will impose the promised 100% tariffs on Russia's partners, - NYT
In their opinion, the large-scale trade between China and Russia - about $250 billion per year, mainly due to oil - makes such a step unlikely.
In their opinion, the large-scale trade between China and Russia - about $250 billion per year, mainly due to oil - makes such a step unlikely.
Reposted by Clément Renault
Rappelons à toutes fins utiles à l'ESR français (qui parfois utilise WeTransfer pour du professionnel) qu'il a filesender.renater.fr francetransfert.numerique.gouv.fr/upload et sans doute d'autres services dans les organismes.
July 15, 2025 at 6:07 AM
Rappelons à toutes fins utiles à l'ESR français (qui parfois utilise WeTransfer pour du professionnel) qu'il a filesender.renater.fr francetransfert.numerique.gouv.fr/upload et sans doute d'autres services dans les organismes.
Reposted by Clément Renault
Pour le début de cette deuxième saison des "Unpopular opinions" du Fil de l'épée en histoire militaire, avec @andreloez.bsky.social, @abrgll.bsky.social et @surlechampfr.bsky.social, retour vers Rome avec une première "hot take" d'André.
lerubicon.org/collimateur-...
lerubicon.org/collimateur-...
Rome [Unpopular Opinions – Le Fil de l’épée #9]
Pour le début de cette deuxième saison des "Unpopular opinions" du Fil de l'épée en histoire militaire, avec @andreloez.bsky.social, @abrgll.bsky.social et @surlechampfr.bsky.social, retour vers ...
lerubicon.org
July 13, 2025 at 12:10 PM
Pour le début de cette deuxième saison des "Unpopular opinions" du Fil de l'épée en histoire militaire, avec @andreloez.bsky.social, @abrgll.bsky.social et @surlechampfr.bsky.social, retour vers Rome avec une première "hot take" d'André.
lerubicon.org/collimateur-...
lerubicon.org/collimateur-...
Reposted by Clément Renault
New addition
Journal article: Ukrainian Intelligence’s Use of Telegram in Wartime by Peter Schrijver (published 08-07-2025)
https://doi.org/10.1080/08850607.2025.2522222
Journal article: Ukrainian Intelligence’s Use of Telegram in Wartime by Peter Schrijver (published 08-07-2025)
https://doi.org/10.1080/08850607.2025.2522222
doi.org
July 12, 2025 at 9:16 AM
New addition
Journal article: Ukrainian Intelligence’s Use of Telegram in Wartime by Peter Schrijver (published 08-07-2025)
https://doi.org/10.1080/08850607.2025.2522222
Journal article: Ukrainian Intelligence’s Use of Telegram in Wartime by Peter Schrijver (published 08-07-2025)
https://doi.org/10.1080/08850607.2025.2522222
Reposted by Clément Renault
Le sentiment de sécurité (voire les complexes de supériorité) mène généralement à la catastrophe dans les questions militaires, cas d'étude n°3264 avec @clementrenault.bsky.social, sur le renseignement israélien, ses failles et ses prouesses ultérieures.
July 8, 2025 at 12:27 PM
Le sentiment de sécurité (voire les complexes de supériorité) mène généralement à la catastrophe dans les questions militaires, cas d'étude n°3264 avec @clementrenault.bsky.social, sur le renseignement israélien, ses failles et ses prouesses ultérieures.
Reposted by Clément Renault
#LeCollimateur se penche aujourd'hui sur le fonctionnement et les dysfonctionnements du renseignement israélien, depuis l'échec lors des attaques du 7 octobre 2023 jusqu'aux démonstrations de puissance de ces derniers mois face au Hezbollah et à l'Iran, avec @clementrenault.bsky.social
Le renseignement israélien : de la faillite du 7 Octobre aux triomphes au Liban et en Iran
Le Collimateur se penche aujourd'hui sur le fonctionnement et les dysfonctionnements du renseignement israélien, depuis l'échec lors des attaques du 7 octobre 2023 jusqu'aux démonstrations de puissanc...
lerubicon.org
July 8, 2025 at 8:10 AM
#LeCollimateur se penche aujourd'hui sur le fonctionnement et les dysfonctionnements du renseignement israélien, depuis l'échec lors des attaques du 7 octobre 2023 jusqu'aux démonstrations de puissance de ces derniers mois face au Hezbollah et à l'Iran, avec @clementrenault.bsky.social
🚨📚 New Publication - The #Intelligence Behind the Strike: Was Everyone Wrong About Iran’s Nuclear Program? 🇮🇱🇮🇷 in @thecipherbrief.bsky.social
www.thecipherbrief.com/intelligence...
www.thecipherbrief.com/intelligence...
The Intelligence Behind the Strike: Was Everyone Wrong About Iran’s Nuclear Program?
OPINION — On June 13, 2025, just after midnight, Israel launched a military operation against Iran, citing an urgent need to halt Tehran’s march toward nuclear weapons capability. Prime Minister Benja...
www.thecipherbrief.com
June 23, 2025 at 7:16 PM
🚨📚 New Publication - The #Intelligence Behind the Strike: Was Everyone Wrong About Iran’s Nuclear Program? 🇮🇱🇮🇷 in @thecipherbrief.bsky.social
www.thecipherbrief.com/intelligence...
www.thecipherbrief.com/intelligence...
Reposted by Clément Renault
La même lancinante observation alors que Kiev est pilonnée de bombes par les drones de la #Russie. Le président D. #Trump fait depuis 5 mois encore et toujours le jeu du seul Vladimir #Poutine et de son agression guerrière perpétuée. Pourquoi? 🧵1/ axios.com/2025/05/24/t...
Trump helps Putin move the goalposts on Ukraine
It's hard to imagine Trump berating Putin as he did with Zelensky.
axios.com
May 25, 2025 at 8:18 AM
La même lancinante observation alors que Kiev est pilonnée de bombes par les drones de la #Russie. Le président D. #Trump fait depuis 5 mois encore et toujours le jeu du seul Vladimir #Poutine et de son agression guerrière perpétuée. Pourquoi? 🧵1/ axios.com/2025/05/24/t...
🚨🎙️Join us (online) on 27 May at 6pm for a new conference on #intelligence with @paulmcgarr.bsky.social
As tensions arise between #India and #Pakistan, there is. no better place to be on the 27th to dig into the history of Indian intelligence 🇮🇳
Registration here 👇
www.irsem.fr/agenda/cycle...
As tensions arise between #India and #Pakistan, there is. no better place to be on the 27th to dig into the history of Indian intelligence 🇮🇳
Registration here 👇
www.irsem.fr/agenda/cycle...
Cycle 2025 de conférence sur le renseignement. Online Conference 5 : Paul McGarr – Spying in South Asia - IRSEM
www.irsem.fr
May 21, 2025 at 10:40 AM
🚨🎙️Join us (online) on 27 May at 6pm for a new conference on #intelligence with @paulmcgarr.bsky.social
As tensions arise between #India and #Pakistan, there is. no better place to be on the 27th to dig into the history of Indian intelligence 🇮🇳
Registration here 👇
www.irsem.fr/agenda/cycle...
As tensions arise between #India and #Pakistan, there is. no better place to be on the 27th to dig into the history of Indian intelligence 🇮🇳
Registration here 👇
www.irsem.fr/agenda/cycle...
Reposted by Clément Renault
Thinking back to right after Hegseth’s confirmation when MAGA Twitter insisted he would run the Pentagon so much better than Lloyd Austin. www.politico.com/news/2025/04...
Pentagon turmoil deepens: Top Hegseth aide leaves post
“There is a complete meltdown in the building,” one official said.
www.politico.com
April 19, 2025 at 1:44 PM
Thinking back to right after Hegseth’s confirmation when MAGA Twitter insisted he would run the Pentagon so much better than Lloyd Austin. www.politico.com/news/2025/04...
Reposted by Clément Renault
Shashank Joshi interviews Mike for a wide-ranging discussion about the strategic lessons analysts can draw from the Russo-Ukrainian War. warontherocks.com/episode/ther...
April 17, 2025 at 10:00 PM
Shashank Joshi interviews Mike for a wide-ranging discussion about the strategic lessons analysts can draw from the Russo-Ukrainian War. warontherocks.com/episode/ther...
Reposted by Clément Renault
Deception has always been part of warfare, but today’s battlefield is shaped by the electromagnetic spectrum. warontherocks.com/2025/04/thin...
Thinking Through Deception on the Electromagnetic Spectrum - War on the Rocks
The art of deception, as old as war itself, can garner astonishment when one side’s competence enables it to pull off an audacious plan. Warfighters can
warontherocks.com
April 17, 2025 at 1:10 PM
Deception has always been part of warfare, but today’s battlefield is shaped by the electromagnetic spectrum. warontherocks.com/2025/04/thin...