CDNProjections
@cdnprojections.bsky.social
| Modeler | Not a Polling Company | Accurate? | Unsure of what to put in a bio | From Georgina, ON | Not Bought or Paid... I wish |
FINAL LETHBRIDGE-WEST BY-ELECTION TRACKER
December 18, 2024 at 4:36 AM
FINAL LETHBRIDGE-WEST BY-ELECTION TRACKER
Let's not forget there's a by-election happening today, polls close in less than 4½ hours
December 17, 2024 at 12:08 AM
Let's not forget there's a by-election happening today, polls close in less than 4½ hours
Reposted by CDNProjections
Well worth reading every word of Chrystia Freeland's letter of resignation to the Prime Minister.
BREAKING: Chrystia Freeland has tossed a political hand grenade, resigning from cabinet with a well-written giant middle finger to the Prime Minister.
December 16, 2024 at 2:35 PM
Well worth reading every word of Chrystia Freeland's letter of resignation to the Prime Minister.
Reposted by CDNProjections
Good evening, 90 days ago, voters in Winnipeg's eastern neighbourhoods in the district of Elmwood-Transcona went to the polls to find a new MP to exit the Blaikie Era that has historically held a powerful influence over this part of the city.
December 16, 2024 at 5:16 AM
Good evening, 90 days ago, voters in Winnipeg's eastern neighbourhoods in the district of Elmwood-Transcona went to the polls to find a new MP to exit the Blaikie Era that has historically held a powerful influence over this part of the city.
Good evening, 90 days ago, voters in Winnipeg's eastern neighbourhoods in the district of Elmwood-Transcona went to the polls to find a new MP to exit the Blaikie Era that has historically held a powerful influence over this part of the city.
December 16, 2024 at 5:16 AM
Good evening, 90 days ago, voters in Winnipeg's eastern neighbourhoods in the district of Elmwood-Transcona went to the polls to find a new MP to exit the Blaikie Era that has historically held a powerful influence over this part of the city.
FINAL CLOVERDALE-LANGLEY CITY BY-ELECTION TRACKER
December 16, 2024 at 3:24 AM
FINAL CLOVERDALE-LANGLEY CITY BY-ELECTION TRACKER
Reposted by CDNProjections
Bonsoir, nearly 90 days ago, voters in the district of LaSalle-Émard-Verdun went to the polls to elect a replacement for Liberal David Lametti. The by-election resulted in the Bloc Quebecois taking the seat, holding a part of this area of Montreal for the first time since 2008.
December 15, 2024 at 3:36 AM
Bonsoir, nearly 90 days ago, voters in the district of LaSalle-Émard-Verdun went to the polls to elect a replacement for Liberal David Lametti. The by-election resulted in the Bloc Quebecois taking the seat, holding a part of this area of Montreal for the first time since 2008.
Bonsoir, nearly 90 days ago, voters in the district of LaSalle-Émard-Verdun went to the polls to elect a replacement for Liberal David Lametti. The by-election resulted in the Bloc Quebecois taking the seat, holding a part of this area of Montreal for the first time since 2008.
December 15, 2024 at 3:36 AM
Bonsoir, nearly 90 days ago, voters in the district of LaSalle-Émard-Verdun went to the polls to elect a replacement for Liberal David Lametti. The by-election resulted in the Bloc Quebecois taking the seat, holding a part of this area of Montreal for the first time since 2008.
Reposted by CDNProjections
After two recounts, no seat changes have taken place in the Nova Scotia Election:
Nick Hilton - PC Gain Yarmouth (+16)
David Bowlby - PC Gain Annapolis (+8)
Automatic recounts happen if the margin is within ten votes. The recount in Yarmouth took place due to reporting glitches
Nick Hilton - PC Gain Yarmouth (+16)
David Bowlby - PC Gain Annapolis (+8)
Automatic recounts happen if the margin is within ten votes. The recount in Yarmouth took place due to reporting glitches
December 11, 2024 at 1:05 AM
After two recounts, no seat changes have taken place in the Nova Scotia Election:
Nick Hilton - PC Gain Yarmouth (+16)
David Bowlby - PC Gain Annapolis (+8)
Automatic recounts happen if the margin is within ten votes. The recount in Yarmouth took place due to reporting glitches
Nick Hilton - PC Gain Yarmouth (+16)
David Bowlby - PC Gain Annapolis (+8)
Automatic recounts happen if the margin is within ten votes. The recount in Yarmouth took place due to reporting glitches
After two recounts, no seat changes have taken place in the Nova Scotia Election:
Nick Hilton - PC Gain Yarmouth (+16)
David Bowlby - PC Gain Annapolis (+8)
Automatic recounts happen if the margin is within ten votes. The recount in Yarmouth took place due to reporting glitches
Nick Hilton - PC Gain Yarmouth (+16)
David Bowlby - PC Gain Annapolis (+8)
Automatic recounts happen if the margin is within ten votes. The recount in Yarmouth took place due to reporting glitches
December 11, 2024 at 1:05 AM
After two recounts, no seat changes have taken place in the Nova Scotia Election:
Nick Hilton - PC Gain Yarmouth (+16)
David Bowlby - PC Gain Annapolis (+8)
Automatic recounts happen if the margin is within ten votes. The recount in Yarmouth took place due to reporting glitches
Nick Hilton - PC Gain Yarmouth (+16)
David Bowlby - PC Gain Annapolis (+8)
Automatic recounts happen if the margin is within ten votes. The recount in Yarmouth took place due to reporting glitches
Cloverdale-Langley City By-Election Tracker
December 9, 2024 at 3:22 AM
Cloverdale-Langley City By-Election Tracker
International Edition
NZ
National - 38 (6)
Labour - 22 (16)
Green - 3 (10)
ACT - 2 (9)
NZ First - 0 (7)
Maori - 7 (0)
Electorate (List)
NZ
National - 38 (6)
Labour - 22 (16)
Green - 3 (10)
ACT - 2 (9)
NZ First - 0 (7)
Maori - 7 (0)
Electorate (List)
December 7, 2024 at 5:15 AM
International Edition
NZ
National - 38 (6)
Labour - 22 (16)
Green - 3 (10)
ACT - 2 (9)
NZ First - 0 (7)
Maori - 7 (0)
Electorate (List)
NZ
National - 38 (6)
Labour - 22 (16)
Green - 3 (10)
ACT - 2 (9)
NZ First - 0 (7)
Maori - 7 (0)
Electorate (List)
Ontario Model Update
December 5, 2024 at 7:02 PM
Ontario Model Update
Projection électorale pour le Québec
December 5, 2024 at 1:14 PM
Projection électorale pour le Québec
With Trump joking about Canada becoming the 51st state, this is what my model shows as the likely result if the presidential election happened here
December 3, 2024 at 9:27 PM
With Trump joking about Canada becoming the 51st state, this is what my model shows as the likely result if the presidential election happened here
Alberta Model Update
December 2, 2024 at 9:56 PM
Alberta Model Update
With counting complete, we can now pick apart the model for our (hopefully) final 2024 election :)
Of the 55 districts across Nova Scotia, 3 were incorrectly projected (94.5% accuracy), but all misses were within the Margin of Error. This is the most accurate of my models so far
Of the 55 districts across Nova Scotia, 3 were incorrectly projected (94.5% accuracy), but all misses were within the Margin of Error. This is the most accurate of my models so far
November 27, 2024 at 11:27 PM
With counting complete, we can now pick apart the model for our (hopefully) final 2024 election :)
Of the 55 districts across Nova Scotia, 3 were incorrectly projected (94.5% accuracy), but all misses were within the Margin of Error. This is the most accurate of my models so far
Of the 55 districts across Nova Scotia, 3 were incorrectly projected (94.5% accuracy), but all misses were within the Margin of Error. This is the most accurate of my models so far
We have a new record for the most accurate general election projection!
In the Nova Scotia Election, only three ridings were incorrectly projected, amounting to 95% accuracy.
In the Nova Scotia Election, only three ridings were incorrectly projected, amounting to 95% accuracy.
November 27, 2024 at 9:48 PM
We have a new record for the most accurate general election projection!
In the Nova Scotia Election, only three ridings were incorrectly projected, amounting to 95% accuracy.
In the Nova Scotia Election, only three ridings were incorrectly projected, amounting to 95% accuracy.
I can now call that Tim Houston will hold onto the premiership of Nova Scotia, polls have been open for 61 minutes, with results being published over the last minute
November 27, 2024 at 1:02 AM
I can now call that Tim Houston will hold onto the premiership of Nova Scotia, polls have been open for 61 minutes, with results being published over the last minute
Lethbridge-West By-Election Tracker
November 26, 2024 at 10:53 PM
Lethbridge-West By-Election Tracker
🚨NS: Results will not be published until all polls close. Due to an hour-long delay in a polling location in Eastern Shore, results will roll out at 9 pm AST. Polls in the rest of the province will close at 8 pm AST as scheduled, but results won't be published.
November 26, 2024 at 10:30 PM
🚨NS: Results will not be published until all polls close. Due to an hour-long delay in a polling location in Eastern Shore, results will roll out at 9 pm AST. Polls in the rest of the province will close at 8 pm AST as scheduled, but results won't be published.
FINAL NOVA SCOTIA ELECTION PROJECTION
November 26, 2024 at 5:02 AM
FINAL NOVA SCOTIA ELECTION PROJECTION
All polls released this term in Nova Scotia in the polling average
November 26, 2024 at 4:10 AM
All polls released this term in Nova Scotia in the polling average
Reposted by CDNProjections
The 10 Seats Deciding the Nova Scotia General Election
November 22, 2024
open.substack.com
November 22, 2024 at 10:19 PM
The 10 Seats Deciding the Nova Scotia General Election
November 22, 2024
open.substack.com
November 22, 2024 at 10:19 PM