Cathal Mills
@cathalmills.bsky.social
Research Fellow @ University of Oxford| Infectious Disease Modelling | Scientist
Mathematical, statistical, and ML-based modelling of infectious diseases
Mathematical, statistical, and ML-based modelling of infectious diseases
Excited to share our new dengue research with a great international team.
We introduce a framework that integrates different modelling disciplines to i) explain past spatiotemporal dynamics and drivers, and ii) forecast future trajectories, thereby providing diverse insights for decision-makers.
We introduce a framework that integrates different modelling disciplines to i) explain past spatiotemporal dynamics and drivers, and ii) forecast future trajectories, thereby providing diverse insights for decision-makers.
Multi-model approach to understand and predict past and future dengue epidemic dynamics
royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/...
Brilliant work by @cathalmills.bsky.social + many others
royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/...
Brilliant work by @cathalmills.bsky.social + many others
November 5, 2025 at 5:13 PM
Excited to share our new dengue research with a great international team.
We introduce a framework that integrates different modelling disciplines to i) explain past spatiotemporal dynamics and drivers, and ii) forecast future trajectories, thereby providing diverse insights for decision-makers.
We introduce a framework that integrates different modelling disciplines to i) explain past spatiotemporal dynamics and drivers, and ii) forecast future trajectories, thereby providing diverse insights for decision-makers.
Rt measures how quickly a pathogen spreads and was central to understanding and controlling COVID-19. In our latest work, we extend this concept to vector-borne diseases, developing a new, renewal equation–based framework that links infection dynamics in humans and vectors.
doi.org/10.1111/2041...
doi.org/10.1111/2041...
October 14, 2025 at 11:04 AM
Rt measures how quickly a pathogen spreads and was central to understanding and controlling COVID-19. In our latest work, we extend this concept to vector-borne diseases, developing a new, renewal equation–based framework that links infection dynamics in humans and vectors.
doi.org/10.1111/2041...
doi.org/10.1111/2041...
Reposted by Cathal Mills
open.substack.com/pub/rorycell... This post about the importance of knowing the difference between truth tellers and myth makers in healthcare has already attracted a comment from a member of the “plandemic” community which nicely makes my point about the dangers of disinformation
The Truth About the Covid App
Myths about its cost and effectiveness stop us learning lessons
open.substack.com
May 15, 2025 at 10:56 AM
open.substack.com/pub/rorycell... This post about the importance of knowing the difference between truth tellers and myth makers in healthcare has already attracted a comment from a member of the “plandemic” community which nicely makes my point about the dangers of disinformation
Reposted by Cathal Mills
🐔 Calling all backyard poultry keepers in England!
We want to hear your thoughts on avian influenza control measures. If you have fewer than 50 birds, please share your experiences and suggestions for future strategies.
Survey 🔗 tinyurl.com/e535naw4
#AvianInfluenza #AnimalHealth #OxfordStatistics
We want to hear your thoughts on avian influenza control measures. If you have fewer than 50 birds, please share your experiences and suggestions for future strategies.
Survey 🔗 tinyurl.com/e535naw4
#AvianInfluenza #AnimalHealth #OxfordStatistics
February 28, 2025 at 3:48 PM
🐔 Calling all backyard poultry keepers in England!
We want to hear your thoughts on avian influenza control measures. If you have fewer than 50 birds, please share your experiences and suggestions for future strategies.
Survey 🔗 tinyurl.com/e535naw4
#AvianInfluenza #AnimalHealth #OxfordStatistics
We want to hear your thoughts on avian influenza control measures. If you have fewer than 50 birds, please share your experiences and suggestions for future strategies.
Survey 🔗 tinyurl.com/e535naw4
#AvianInfluenza #AnimalHealth #OxfordStatistics
Reposted by Cathal Mills
When an epidemic hits, how long does it take to get going with common epidemic analysis tasks?
A couple of weeks ago, we asked representatives from over a dozen UK organisations and universities who work actively on epidemic analysis and modelling how long the below tasks would take them....
1/
A couple of weeks ago, we asked representatives from over a dozen UK organisations and universities who work actively on epidemic analysis and modelling how long the below tasks would take them....
1/
February 25, 2025 at 10:04 PM
When an epidemic hits, how long does it take to get going with common epidemic analysis tasks?
A couple of weeks ago, we asked representatives from over a dozen UK organisations and universities who work actively on epidemic analysis and modelling how long the below tasks would take them....
1/
A couple of weeks ago, we asked representatives from over a dozen UK organisations and universities who work actively on epidemic analysis and modelling how long the below tasks would take them....
1/
It was a pleasure to have helped in this exciting work on the potential for AI to transform our pandemic preparedness. Led by the excellent team of @mugkraemer.bsky.social and @sjbhatt.bsky.social
AI is poised to accelerate understanding in infectious diseases, but its value needs to be demonstrated through close collaboration between research, industry, society, and policy.
Paper free to read: rdcu.be/eaxEw
Summary here: www.ox.ac.uk/news/2025-02...
Paper free to read: rdcu.be/eaxEw
Summary here: www.ox.ac.uk/news/2025-02...
Artificial intelligence for modelling infectious disease epidemics
Nature - This Perspective considers the application to infectious disease modelling of AI systems that combine machine learning, computational statistics, information retrieval and data science.
rdcu.be
February 20, 2025 at 12:50 PM
It was a pleasure to have helped in this exciting work on the potential for AI to transform our pandemic preparedness. Led by the excellent team of @mugkraemer.bsky.social and @sjbhatt.bsky.social
Reposted by Cathal Mills
Please spread the word - a funded (home fees) DPhil (PhD) studentship available in @oxfordstatistics.bsky.social
Social optimisation of public-facing digital tools for health protection and trial frameworks for non-pharmaceutical interventions
www.stats.ox.ac.uk/research-stu...
Social optimisation of public-facing digital tools for health protection and trial frameworks for non-pharmaceutical interventions
www.stats.ox.ac.uk/research-stu...
Research Studentships | statistics
www.stats.ox.ac.uk
January 28, 2025 at 7:55 PM
Please spread the word - a funded (home fees) DPhil (PhD) studentship available in @oxfordstatistics.bsky.social
Social optimisation of public-facing digital tools for health protection and trial frameworks for non-pharmaceutical interventions
www.stats.ox.ac.uk/research-stu...
Social optimisation of public-facing digital tools for health protection and trial frameworks for non-pharmaceutical interventions
www.stats.ox.ac.uk/research-stu...
Reposted by Cathal Mills
Our DPhil student @cathalmills.bsky.social presented on his framework estimating the reproduction number for vector borne diseases at the #dengue analytics meeting at the Pandemic Hub (pandemichub.who.int) last week.
Looking forward for this community to grow.
arxiv.org/abs/2409.18726
Looking forward for this community to grow.
arxiv.org/abs/2409.18726
November 27, 2024 at 1:52 PM
Our DPhil student @cathalmills.bsky.social presented on his framework estimating the reproduction number for vector borne diseases at the #dengue analytics meeting at the Pandemic Hub (pandemichub.who.int) last week.
Looking forward for this community to grow.
arxiv.org/abs/2409.18726
Looking forward for this community to grow.
arxiv.org/abs/2409.18726