Richard Everitt
@bayesianstats.bsky.social
Posts about Bayesian statistics, Monte Carlo, etc from a Reader and Deputy Head of Department (T&L) at Warwick Statistics. Personal account. https://richardgeveritt.github.io/
Ian Roberts published his first paper "Bayesian Inference of Pathogen Phylogeography using the Structured Coalescent Model" with me, Jere Koskela and Xavier Didelot. We describe an efficient reversible jump MCMC method for inference for the structured coalescent. journals.plos.org/pl...
February 9, 2026 at 3:22 PM
Ian Roberts published his first paper "Bayesian Inference of Pathogen Phylogeography using the Structured Coalescent Model" with me, Jere Koskela and Xavier Didelot. We describe an efficient reversible jump MCMC method for inference for the structured coalescent. journals.plos.org/pl...
This year the European Meeting of Statisticians will be in Lugano, Switzerland, 24 - 28 August 2026. The deadline for abstract submission is 31 March 2026. https://www.ems26.org/
January 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM
This year the European Meeting of Statisticians will be in Lugano, Switzerland, 24 - 28 August 2026. The deadline for abstract submission is 31 March 2026. https://www.ems26.org/
Reposted by Richard Everitt
Tomorrow's OWABI seminar by Louis Sharrock (UCL), who will talk about "Sequential Neural Score Estimation: Likelihood-free inference with conditional score base diffusion models" (29th Jan, 11am UK time). Join: teams.microsoft.com/...
Meeting ID: 388 990 396 214 49
Passcode: f3Dh22XL
Meeting ID: 388 990 396 214 49
Passcode: f3Dh22XL
January 28, 2026 at 7:15 PM
Tomorrow's OWABI seminar by Louis Sharrock (UCL), who will talk about "Sequential Neural Score Estimation: Likelihood-free inference with conditional score base diffusion models" (29th Jan, 11am UK time). Join: teams.microsoft.com/...
Meeting ID: 388 990 396 214 49
Passcode: f3Dh22XL
Meeting ID: 388 990 396 214 49
Passcode: f3Dh22XL
"Annealing Strategies for Variance Reduction in Balance Heuristic Estimators" by Felipe Medina Aguayo and I is accepted in Stats and Computing. Multiple importance sampling uses multiple proposals to reduce variance. We use annealing to significantly further reduce variance. https://rdcu.be/eqe8j
January 26, 2026 at 1:29 PM
"Annealing Strategies for Variance Reduction in Balance Heuristic Estimators" by Felipe Medina Aguayo and I is accepted in Stats and Computing. Multiple importance sampling uses multiple proposals to reduce variance. We use annealing to significantly further reduce variance. https://rdcu.be/eqe8j
Today is the deadline for contributed talks and posters for our event on Environmental Modelling meets Infectious Diseases. Early-career researchers successful in their application to give a talk will be funded up to £200 for their travel costs.
go.warwick.ac.uk/env...
go.warwick.ac.uk/env...
January 15, 2026 at 9:11 AM
Today is the deadline for contributed talks and posters for our event on Environmental Modelling meets Infectious Diseases. Early-career researchers successful in their application to give a talk will be funded up to £200 for their travel costs.
go.warwick.ac.uk/env...
go.warwick.ac.uk/env...
Shreya Sinha Roy's first paper (joint with me, Christian Robert and Rito Dutta) is on "Generalized Bayesian deep reinforcement learning". We use a neural network as a model in Bayesian reinforcement learning, trained using a generalized prequential scoring rule with SMC arxiv.org/abs/2412.1...
January 12, 2026 at 9:13 AM
Shreya Sinha Roy's first paper (joint with me, Christian Robert and Rito Dutta) is on "Generalized Bayesian deep reinforcement learning". We use a neural network as a model in Bayesian reinforcement learning, trained using a generalized prequential scoring rule with SMC arxiv.org/abs/2412.1...
*Environmental Modelling meets Infectious Diseases: from Mathematics to Applications* Upcoming workshop in Warwick Stats, supported CRiSM, LMS and RSS. We aim to promote the transfer of ideas between the environmental modelling and infectious disease modelling communities.
http://go.warwick.ac...
http://go.warwick.ac...
December 19, 2025 at 9:14 AM
*Environmental Modelling meets Infectious Diseases: from Mathematics to Applications* Upcoming workshop in Warwick Stats, supported CRiSM, LMS and RSS. We aim to promote the transfer of ideas between the environmental modelling and infectious disease modelling communities.
http://go.warwick.ac...
http://go.warwick.ac...
New paper accepted in JRSSC with Alicia Gill, Jere Koskela and Xavier Didelot on "Bayesian Inference of Reproduction Number from Epidemiological and Genetic Data Using Particle MCMC". We supplement case data with a dated phylogeny inferred from sequence data arxiv.org/pdf/2311.0...
December 15, 2025 at 9:50 AM
New paper accepted in JRSSC with Alicia Gill, Jere Koskela and Xavier Didelot on "Bayesian Inference of Reproduction Number from Epidemiological and Genetic Data Using Particle MCMC". We supplement case data with a dated phylogeny inferred from sequence data arxiv.org/pdf/2311.0...
New paper from Shreya Sinha Roy, me, Christian Robert and Rito Dutta on "Prequential posteriors". We use a a predictive-sequential loss function to fit deep generative forecasting models for the purpose of data assimilation, with waste-free SMC for fitting the neural network arxiv.org/abs/2511.1...
December 8, 2025 at 3:01 PM
New paper from Shreya Sinha Roy, me, Christian Robert and Rito Dutta on "Prequential posteriors". We use a a predictive-sequential loss function to fit deep generative forecasting models for the purpose of data assimilation, with waste-free SMC for fitting the neural network arxiv.org/abs/2511.1...
Warwick Statistics is recruiting two Assistant Professors!
We are looking for a researcher with a strong track record and outstanding promise in one or more areas of Statistical Methodology and Theory, Computational Statistics and Machine Learning. Closing date: 25th Jan 26
warwick-careers.tal....
We are looking for a researcher with a strong track record and outstanding promise in one or more areas of Statistical Methodology and Theory, Computational Statistics and Machine Learning. Closing date: 25th Jan 26
warwick-careers.tal....
November 17, 2025 at 12:50 PM
Warwick Statistics is recruiting two Assistant Professors!
We are looking for a researcher with a strong track record and outstanding promise in one or more areas of Statistical Methodology and Theory, Computational Statistics and Machine Learning. Closing date: 25th Jan 26
warwick-careers.tal....
We are looking for a researcher with a strong track record and outstanding promise in one or more areas of Statistical Methodology and Theory, Computational Statistics and Machine Learning. Closing date: 25th Jan 26
warwick-careers.tal....
Reposted by Richard Everitt
The 1st OWABI talk of the Season will be given by François-Xavier Briol (University College London). who will talk about "Multilevel neural simulation-based inference".
Multilevel neural simulation-based inference
Neural simulation-based inference (SBI) is a popular set of methods for Bayesian inference when models are only available in the form of a simulator. These methods are widely used in the sciences...
arxiv.org
October 27, 2025 at 12:06 PM
The 1st OWABI talk of the Season will be given by François-Xavier Briol (University College London). who will talk about "Multilevel neural simulation-based inference".
Warwick Statistics is hiring an Assistant Professor in Mathematical Finance! The deadline is 23rd November.
Assistant Professor (Mathematical Finance) (109842-1025) - University of Warwick
Title: Assistant Professor (Mathematical Finance) (109842-1025). Application Deadline: . Position Type: Permanent
warwick-careers.tal.net
October 23, 2025 at 7:48 AM
Warwick Statistics is hiring an Assistant Professor in Mathematical Finance! The deadline is 23rd November.
I'm very much looking forward to speaking at the upcoming workshop on MCMC at Newcastle. Details here: sites.google.com/vie... I will speak about MCMC with active subspaces arxiv.org/abs/2501.0...
August 11, 2025 at 7:36 AM
I'm very much looking forward to speaking at the upcoming workshop on MCMC at Newcastle. Details here: sites.google.com/vie... I will speak about MCMC with active subspaces arxiv.org/abs/2501.0...
Reposted by Richard Everitt
New work on inference for partially observed (hypoelliptic) SDEs in frequentist/Bayesian regimes.
Splitting schemes & controlled SMC (+ bridges) to recover the (pseudo)likelihood of interest
arxiv.org/abs/2507.14535
Work led by Shu, with @adamjohansen.bsky.social and @bayesianstats.bsky.social
Splitting schemes & controlled SMC (+ bridges) to recover the (pseudo)likelihood of interest
arxiv.org/abs/2507.14535
Work led by Shu, with @adamjohansen.bsky.social and @bayesianstats.bsky.social
July 22, 2025 at 3:09 PM
New work on inference for partially observed (hypoelliptic) SDEs in frequentist/Bayesian regimes.
Splitting schemes & controlled SMC (+ bridges) to recover the (pseudo)likelihood of interest
arxiv.org/abs/2507.14535
Work led by Shu, with @adamjohansen.bsky.social and @bayesianstats.bsky.social
Splitting schemes & controlled SMC (+ bridges) to recover the (pseudo)likelihood of interest
arxiv.org/abs/2507.14535
Work led by Shu, with @adamjohansen.bsky.social and @bayesianstats.bsky.social
Starting now!
Filippo Pagani (University of Warwick): Approximate Bayesian Fusion
Maurizio Filippone (KAUST): GANs Secretly Perform Approximate Bayesian Model Selection
The talks will be live streamed from the following link:
monash.zoom.us/j/810...
Meeting ID: 810 5099 4376
Passcode: 137607
Maurizio Filippone (KAUST): GANs Secretly Perform Approximate Bayesian Model Selection
The talks will be live streamed from the following link:
monash.zoom.us/j/810...
Meeting ID: 810 5099 4376
Passcode: 137607
Join our Cloud HD Video Meeting
Zoom is the leader in modern enterprise cloud communications.
monash.zoom.us
June 19, 2025 at 11:59 AM
Starting now!
Reposted by Richard Everitt
The final OWABI seminar www.warwick.ac.uk/owabi of the season will feature two selected talks and will take place live from BayesComp bayescomp2025.sg/! The talks will take place on Thursday the 19th June at 1pm UK time (note the different date and time!), and will be given by
June 16, 2025 at 8:50 AM
The final OWABI seminar www.warwick.ac.uk/owabi of the season will feature two selected talks and will take place live from BayesComp bayescomp2025.sg/! The talks will take place on Thursday the 19th June at 1pm UK time (note the different date and time!), and will be given by
Reposted by Richard Everitt
Recently-completed Warwick PhD student Ian Roberts, with Xavier Didelot, Richard Everitt and Jere Koskela, have had the paper "Bayesian Inference of Pathogen Phylogeography using the Structured Coalescent Model" accepted in PLOS Computational Biology
journals.plos.org/pl...
journals.plos.org/pl...
June 10, 2025 at 11:00 AM
Recently-completed Warwick PhD student Ian Roberts, with Xavier Didelot, Richard Everitt and Jere Koskela, have had the paper "Bayesian Inference of Pathogen Phylogeography using the Structured Coalescent Model" accepted in PLOS Computational Biology
journals.plos.org/pl...
journals.plos.org/pl...
Cricket fans! This is the best Fantasy Cricket site:
bsky.app/profile/cric...
bsky.app/profile/cric...
bsky.app
April 3, 2025 at 9:32 PM
Cricket fans! This is the best Fantasy Cricket site:
bsky.app/profile/cric...
bsky.app/profile/cric...
So excited for the County Championship tomorrow.
April 3, 2025 at 9:30 PM
So excited for the County Championship tomorrow.
I will be a supervisor for an upcoming PhD! (with Kirsty Hassall and Jacqueline Stroud) The opportunity is an EPSRC DLA Interdisciplinary Scholarship: "Unravelling the sound underground: Detecting and estimating earthworm abundance using low-frequency vibrations".
warwick.ac.uk/fac/sc...
warwick.ac.uk/fac/sc...
April 1, 2025 at 10:41 AM
I will be a supervisor for an upcoming PhD! (with Kirsty Hassall and Jacqueline Stroud) The opportunity is an EPSRC DLA Interdisciplinary Scholarship: "Unravelling the sound underground: Detecting and estimating earthworm abundance using low-frequency vibrations".
warwick.ac.uk/fac/sc...
warwick.ac.uk/fac/sc...
Reposted by Richard Everitt
Sign up to the mailing list at ivory-cuscus.lnx.war... to receive the link to the talk.
March 21, 2025 at 10:57 AM
Sign up to the mailing list at ivory-cuscus.lnx.war... to receive the link to the talk.
Reposted by Richard Everitt
The next OWABI seminar www.warwick.ac.uk/owabi is quickly approaching, being scheduled on Thursday the 27th March at 11am UK time. Our next speaker is Meïli Baragatti (Université de Montpellier), who will talk about "Approximate Bayesian Computation with Deep Learning and Conformal Prediction".
March 21, 2025 at 10:57 AM
The next OWABI seminar www.warwick.ac.uk/owabi is quickly approaching, being scheduled on Thursday the 27th March at 11am UK time. Our next speaker is Meïli Baragatti (Université de Montpellier), who will talk about "Approximate Bayesian Computation with Deep Learning and Conformal Prediction".
PhD position at Surrey: Reconstructing EVolutionary histories for organisms on EArth and stars in gaLaxies (REVEAL).
www.surrey.ac.uk/fee...
www.surrey.ac.uk/fee...
March 26, 2025 at 5:44 PM
PhD position at Surrey: Reconstructing EVolutionary histories for organisms on EArth and stars in gaLaxies (REVEAL).
www.surrey.ac.uk/fee...
www.surrey.ac.uk/fee...
I will be one of the supervisors on this. Please pass on to any UK students who may be interested.
PhD opportunity: 'Unravelling the sound underground: Detecting and estimating earthworm abundance using low-frequency vibrations'. This project uses signal processing, modelling, and data science to analyse earthworm movements measured from soil geophones, an emerging technology with much potential.
March 14, 2025 at 1:46 PM
I will be one of the supervisors on this. Please pass on to any UK students who may be interested.
Reposted by Richard Everitt
The programme will be complemented by discussion and exercise sessions so to maximise interaction among participants and speakers. Participants have the chance to present their work in short-talk sessions.
To join the school, please register at
warwick.ac.uk/fac/sc...
(deadline 18 May 2025)
To join the school, please register at
warwick.ac.uk/fac/sc...
(deadline 18 May 2025)
February 14, 2025 at 12:00 PM
The programme will be complemented by discussion and exercise sessions so to maximise interaction among participants and speakers. Participants have the chance to present their work in short-talk sessions.
To join the school, please register at
warwick.ac.uk/fac/sc...
(deadline 18 May 2025)
To join the school, please register at
warwick.ac.uk/fac/sc...
(deadline 18 May 2025)