Banafsheh Keynoush بنفشه کی نوش
@banafshkeynoush.bsky.social
Affiliate Faculty Uni of Notre Dame. Int. Geopolitical Consultant. Author: Abraham Accords; Saudi Arabia & Iran; .... Center liberal bridge builder. Stream soliloquy.
IAEA chief demands Iran verify enriched uranium stockpile. Iran will not verify it readily b/c it aims to retain what I term a "fluid #nuclear regime" one that is not easily verifiable, I write for @mideastpolicy.bsky.social.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
www.reuters.com/world/china/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
www.reuters.com/world/china/...
The Perils of Nuclear Talks After the US‐Israel War on Iran
In June 2025, Israel bombed Iranian nuclear facilities, military commanders and scientists, and civilian areas, with assistance from the United States—Washington's first foray into conventional warfa....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
November 12, 2025 at 11:15 PM
IAEA chief demands Iran verify enriched uranium stockpile. Iran will not verify it readily b/c it aims to retain what I term a "fluid #nuclear regime" one that is not easily verifiable, I write for @mideastpolicy.bsky.social.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
www.reuters.com/world/china/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
www.reuters.com/world/china/...
Special thanks to The Royal Society for Asian Affairs
and our Moderator Sir Richard Dalton, for a rich conversation on Iran and its future, with my co-panelists Dr. Ali Ansari and Holly Dagres.
.
youtube.com/watch?v=N_mc...
and our Moderator Sir Richard Dalton, for a rich conversation on Iran and its future, with my co-panelists Dr. Ali Ansari and Holly Dagres.
.
youtube.com/watch?v=N_mc...
October 24, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Special thanks to The Royal Society for Asian Affairs
and our Moderator Sir Richard Dalton, for a rich conversation on Iran and its future, with my co-panelists Dr. Ali Ansari and Holly Dagres.
.
youtube.com/watch?v=N_mc...
and our Moderator Sir Richard Dalton, for a rich conversation on Iran and its future, with my co-panelists Dr. Ali Ansari and Holly Dagres.
.
youtube.com/watch?v=N_mc...
Join me tomorrow for a conversation on Iran and its security and nuclear program, with Sir Richard Dalton, at The Royal Society for Asian Affairs. rsaa.org.uk/upcoming-eve...
Nuclear Diplomacy, Instability and the Survival of the Islamic Republic - The Royal Society for Asian Affairs
An online panel discussion with Professor Ali Ansari, Dr Banafsheh Keynoush and Holly Dagres. Guest moderated by Sir Richard Dalton 23 October 2025 14.00 BST
rsaa.org.uk
October 22, 2025 at 8:27 PM
Join me tomorrow for a conversation on Iran and its security and nuclear program, with Sir Richard Dalton, at The Royal Society for Asian Affairs. rsaa.org.uk/upcoming-eve...
VP @jd-vance-1.bsky.social speaks of strengthening the #AbrahamAccords to promote peace and prosperity in #Gaza, as countries come on board to help #USIsrael restore a ceasefire and build security. My co-authored book explains which Arab countries (and, how, why, and when) support the accords.
October 22, 2025 at 4:21 PM
VP @jd-vance-1.bsky.social speaks of strengthening the #AbrahamAccords to promote peace and prosperity in #Gaza, as countries come on board to help #USIsrael restore a ceasefire and build security. My co-authored book explains which Arab countries (and, how, why, and when) support the accords.
VP @jd-vance-1.bsky.social speaks in #Israel about an international security force shaping to ensure the ceasefire in #Gaza. My piece @mideastpolicy.bsky.social shows how US preponderant power over Gaza shaped, and why #SaudiArabia & Iran enabled it.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
October 22, 2025 at 3:59 PM
VP @jd-vance-1.bsky.social speaks in #Israel about an international security force shaping to ensure the ceasefire in #Gaza. My piece @mideastpolicy.bsky.social shows how US preponderant power over Gaza shaped, and why #SaudiArabia & Iran enabled it.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
VP @jd-vance-1.bsky.social says US to exhaust diplomacy over Iran nuclear program. Iran says it will not negotiate on certain parameters. I explain why both sides talk past each other, and what can be done, in my article @mideastpolicy.bsky.social
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
The Perils of Nuclear Talks After the US‐Israel War on Iran
In June 2025, Israel bombed Iranian nuclear facilities, military commanders and scientists, and civilian areas, with assistance from the United States—Washington's first foray into conventional warfa....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
October 22, 2025 at 3:42 PM
VP @jd-vance-1.bsky.social says US to exhaust diplomacy over Iran nuclear program. Iran says it will not negotiate on certain parameters. I explain why both sides talk past each other, and what can be done, in my article @mideastpolicy.bsky.social
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
It is October 7, and my new article @mideastpolicy.bsky.social reviews what it means in terms of the #Trump administration's nuclear policy on #Iran and #Israel: "Perils of Nuclear Talks After The US-Israel War on Iran": lnkd.in/gEbVygy3
October 7, 2025 at 10:52 PM
It is October 7, and my new article @mideastpolicy.bsky.social reviews what it means in terms of the #Trump administration's nuclear policy on #Iran and #Israel: "Perils of Nuclear Talks After The US-Israel War on Iran": lnkd.in/gEbVygy3
Reposted by Banafsheh Keynoush بنفشه کی نوش
Middle East Policy marks October 7 with a special issue providing insights into which aspects of Trump 20-point plan have any chance. Featuring @banafshkeynoush.bsky.social
@ianlustick.bsky.social
@zivguy.bsky.social
Chas W. Freeman Jr.
and many others
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/toc/10.1...
@ianlustick.bsky.social
@zivguy.bsky.social
Chas W. Freeman Jr.
and many others
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/toc/10.1...
The October 7 Emergencies: Middle East Policy
Click on the title to browse this issue
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
October 7, 2025 at 4:13 AM
Middle East Policy marks October 7 with a special issue providing insights into which aspects of Trump 20-point plan have any chance. Featuring @banafshkeynoush.bsky.social
@ianlustick.bsky.social
@zivguy.bsky.social
Chas W. Freeman Jr.
and many others
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/toc/10.1...
@ianlustick.bsky.social
@zivguy.bsky.social
Chas W. Freeman Jr.
and many others
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/toc/10.1...
I argue for
@mideastpolicy.bsky.social
Iran is unable to autonomously shape the debate to build a #nuclear #weapon, due to lack of #elite consensus on the issue. In similar fashion, to maintain elite consensus, a requirement for regime survival, it will retain the option to weaponize.
@mideastpolicy.bsky.social
Iran is unable to autonomously shape the debate to build a #nuclear #weapon, due to lack of #elite consensus on the issue. In similar fashion, to maintain elite consensus, a requirement for regime survival, it will retain the option to weaponize.
Iran's Pezeshkian says UN General Assembly, his country does not seek to weaponize. To see if an inward-looking regime is more likely to seek to build nuclear weapons, read my latest analysis for @mideastpolicy.bsky.social : "The Perils of Nuclear Talks"
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
The Perils of Nuclear Talks After the US‐Israel War on Iran
In June 2025, Israel bombed Iranian nuclear facilities, military commanders and scientists, and civilian areas, with assistance from the United States—Washington's first foray into conventional warfa...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 24, 2025 at 5:46 PM
I argue for
@mideastpolicy.bsky.social
Iran is unable to autonomously shape the debate to build a #nuclear #weapon, due to lack of #elite consensus on the issue. In similar fashion, to maintain elite consensus, a requirement for regime survival, it will retain the option to weaponize.
@mideastpolicy.bsky.social
Iran is unable to autonomously shape the debate to build a #nuclear #weapon, due to lack of #elite consensus on the issue. In similar fashion, to maintain elite consensus, a requirement for regime survival, it will retain the option to weaponize.
Iran's Pezeshkian says UN General Assembly, his country does not seek to weaponize. To see if an inward-looking regime is more likely to seek to build nuclear weapons, read my latest analysis for @mideastpolicy.bsky.social : "The Perils of Nuclear Talks"
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
The Perils of Nuclear Talks After the US‐Israel War on Iran
In June 2025, Israel bombed Iranian nuclear facilities, military commanders and scientists, and civilian areas, with assistance from the United States—Washington's first foray into conventional warfa...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 24, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Iran's Pezeshkian says UN General Assembly, his country does not seek to weaponize. To see if an inward-looking regime is more likely to seek to build nuclear weapons, read my latest analysis for @mideastpolicy.bsky.social : "The Perils of Nuclear Talks"
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Over 70 Iranian MoPs call for revising supreme leader's fatwa banning use of nuclear #weapons. They urge for building the weapon. For history of the fatwa & debates leading by 1998 to building nuclear weapons knowhow, see my article @mideastpolicy.bsky.social
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
The Perils of Nuclear Talks After the US‐Israel War on Iran
In June 2025, Israel bombed Iranian nuclear facilities, military commanders and scientists, and civilian areas, with assistance from the United States—Washington's first foray into conventional warfa....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 22, 2025 at 9:32 PM
Over 70 Iranian MoPs call for revising supreme leader's fatwa banning use of nuclear #weapons. They urge for building the weapon. For history of the fatwa & debates leading by 1998 to building nuclear weapons knowhow, see my article @mideastpolicy.bsky.social
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Hezbollah calls on Saudi Arabia to unite, tapping into the group's influence over the Gulf Shias, support for #Palestine & a pan-Arab sentiments opposed to the #AbrahamAccords. My book chapter on #SaudiIsrael details how Riyadh navigates these terrains. www.reuters.com/world/middle...
September 20, 2025 at 12:21 PM
Hezbollah calls on Saudi Arabia to unite, tapping into the group's influence over the Gulf Shias, support for #Palestine & a pan-Arab sentiments opposed to the #AbrahamAccords. My book chapter on #SaudiIsrael details how Riyadh navigates these terrains. www.reuters.com/world/middle...
"In June, #Israel launched a preventive war against Iran. While Benjamin #Netanyahu declared his intention as destroying Tehran’s nuclear & ballistic-missile capabilities, the war aim began to shift toward regime change"-my piece @mideastpolicy.bsky.social
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/1475...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/1475...
Middle East Policy
Click on the title to browse this journal
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 18, 2025 at 7:51 PM
"In June, #Israel launched a preventive war against Iran. While Benjamin #Netanyahu declared his intention as destroying Tehran’s nuclear & ballistic-missile capabilities, the war aim began to shift toward regime change"-my piece @mideastpolicy.bsky.social
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/1475...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/1475...
Writing @mideastpolicy.bsky.social I show how Tehran's "end of time" ideology drives a #nuclear program: "Mahdi represents a utopian quest for justice, if need be thru a nuclear program, even if it means persistent struggles in earthly dealings with the US".
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
The Perils of Nuclear Talks After the US‐Israel War on Iran
In June 2025, Israel bombed Iranian nuclear facilities, military commanders and scientists, and civilian areas, with assistance from the United States—Washington's first foray into conventional warfa...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 16, 2025 at 7:56 PM
Writing @mideastpolicy.bsky.social I show how Tehran's "end of time" ideology drives a #nuclear program: "Mahdi represents a utopian quest for justice, if need be thru a nuclear program, even if it means persistent struggles in earthly dealings with the US".
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
US @secrubio.govpeeps.us says at press conf with PM Netanyahu max pressure on Iran continues till it changes behavior. My piece published @mideastpolicy.bsky.social
shows why & how Iran will respond to change America's position: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
www.state.gov/releases/202...
shows why & how Iran will respond to change America's position: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
www.state.gov/releases/202...
Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at a Joint Press Availability - United States Department of State
PRIME MINISTER NETANYAHU: Mr. Secretary, Marco, your visit to our eternal and undivided capital, Jerusalem, is a powerful, powerful affirmation of a powerful bond. We stand in a time of immense chal...
www.state.gov
September 15, 2025 at 10:02 PM
US @secrubio.govpeeps.us says at press conf with PM Netanyahu max pressure on Iran continues till it changes behavior. My piece published @mideastpolicy.bsky.social
shows why & how Iran will respond to change America's position: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
www.state.gov/releases/202...
shows why & how Iran will respond to change America's position: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
www.state.gov/releases/202...
US Energy Sec Wright says at the IAEA Iran's enrichment program must be completely dismantled. My piece published @mideastpolicy.bsky.social explains root cause of why Iran ignores the demand, "The Perils of Nuclear Talks":
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
www.reuters.com/world/china/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
www.reuters.com/world/china/...
The Perils of Nuclear Talks After the US‐Israel War on Iran
In June 2025, Israel bombed Iranian nuclear facilities, military commanders and scientists, and civilian areas, with assistance from the United States—Washington's first foray into conventional warfa...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 15, 2025 at 9:47 PM
US Energy Sec Wright says at the IAEA Iran's enrichment program must be completely dismantled. My piece published @mideastpolicy.bsky.social explains root cause of why Iran ignores the demand, "The Perils of Nuclear Talks":
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
www.reuters.com/world/china/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
www.reuters.com/world/china/...
Reposted by Banafsheh Keynoush بنفشه کی نوش
Early View of Fall 2025 issue examines dehumanization in Gaza, what’s next after the US-Israel war on Iran, pan-Arab corporate elite, regional trade and conflict. Analyses by Yagil Levy, @banafshkeynoush.bsky.social, @hannesbaumann.bsky.social, many others.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/14754967...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/14754967...
Middle East Policy: Vol 0, No 0
Click on the title to browse this issue
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 15, 2025 at 6:23 PM
Early View of Fall 2025 issue examines dehumanization in Gaza, what’s next after the US-Israel war on Iran, pan-Arab corporate elite, regional trade and conflict. Analyses by Yagil Levy, @banafshkeynoush.bsky.social, @hannesbaumann.bsky.social, many others.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/14754967...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/14754967...
Open access link to my latest piece for
@MidEastPolicy
The Perils of Nuclear Talks After US-Israel War on Iran
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
@MidEastPolicy
The Perils of Nuclear Talks After US-Israel War on Iran
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
The Perils of Nuclear Talks After the US‐Israel War on Iran
In June 2025, Israel bombed Iranian nuclear facilities, military commanders and scientists, and civilian areas, with assistance from the United States—Washington's first foray into conventional warfa....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 13, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Open access link to my latest piece for
@MidEastPolicy
The Perils of Nuclear Talks After US-Israel War on Iran
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
@MidEastPolicy
The Perils of Nuclear Talks After US-Israel War on Iran
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
I am extremely honored to return to The Commonwealth Club of California @cwclub, as Chair of the Member-Led Middle East Forum.
www.commonwealthclub.org/member-led-f...
www.commonwealthclub.org/member-led-f...
Member-Led Forums & Chapters | Commonwealth Club World Affairs
www.commonwealthclub.org
September 10, 2025 at 6:05 PM
I am extremely honored to return to The Commonwealth Club of California @cwclub, as Chair of the Member-Led Middle East Forum.
www.commonwealthclub.org/member-led-f...
www.commonwealthclub.org/member-led-f...
The new "modalities" deal b/w Iran-hashtag#IAEA remains vague and loose. Iran says it will break the deal if attacked. My forthcoming piece @mideastpolicy.bsky.social details what's at the root of the problem, entitled:
"Perils of Nuclear Talks with Iran after the US-Israel War"
lnkd.in/g7gXk24Q
"Perils of Nuclear Talks with Iran after the US-Israel War"
lnkd.in/g7gXk24Q
LinkedIn
This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn
lnkd.in
September 9, 2025 at 8:49 PM
The new "modalities" deal b/w Iran-hashtag#IAEA remains vague and loose. Iran says it will break the deal if attacked. My forthcoming piece @mideastpolicy.bsky.social details what's at the root of the problem, entitled:
"Perils of Nuclear Talks with Iran after the US-Israel War"
lnkd.in/g7gXk24Q
"Perils of Nuclear Talks with Iran after the US-Israel War"
lnkd.in/g7gXk24Q
September 9, 2025 at 5:28 PM
I was recently in #Nepal. It was in shambles, worse than a failed state as though there was no "state" no "government", run by the will and wit of its good people. I wish them well. No clean air or water, in land of the mighty #Himalayas!
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/09...
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/09...
Live Updates: Parliament Burns in Nepal as Protests Force Prime Minister to Quit
www.nytimes.com
September 9, 2025 at 5:05 PM
I was recently in #Nepal. It was in shambles, worse than a failed state as though there was no "state" no "government", run by the will and wit of its good people. I wish them well. No clean air or water, in land of the mighty #Himalayas!
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/09...
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/09...
Link to video of the #Catholic #Shia #Dialogue Series I had the honor to co-lead with Dr. Gabriel Said Reynolds at the Ansari Institute on Global Engagement with Religion at the University of Notre Dame, on:
"A dialogue on #geopolitical tensions"
ansari.nd.edu/conference/c...
"A dialogue on #geopolitical tensions"
ansari.nd.edu/conference/c...
September 8, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Link to video of the #Catholic #Shia #Dialogue Series I had the honor to co-lead with Dr. Gabriel Said Reynolds at the Ansari Institute on Global Engagement with Religion at the University of Notre Dame, on:
"A dialogue on #geopolitical tensions"
ansari.nd.edu/conference/c...
"A dialogue on #geopolitical tensions"
ansari.nd.edu/conference/c...
Link to video of the #Catholic #Shia #Dialogue Series I had the honor to co-lead with Dr. Gabriel Said Reynolds at the Ansari Institute on Global Engagement with Religion at the University of Notre Dame, on:
"A dialogue on #gender"
ansari.nd.edu/conference/c...
"A dialogue on #gender"
ansari.nd.edu/conference/c...
September 8, 2025 at 6:21 PM
Link to video of the #Catholic #Shia #Dialogue Series I had the honor to co-lead with Dr. Gabriel Said Reynolds at the Ansari Institute on Global Engagement with Religion at the University of Notre Dame, on:
"A dialogue on #gender"
ansari.nd.edu/conference/c...
"A dialogue on #gender"
ansari.nd.edu/conference/c...