Kristian Åtland
@atlandkristian.bsky.social
Senior Research Fellow at the Norwegian Defence Research Establishment (FFI) and Adjunct Professor at Nord University. Security issues and IR theory; Russia, Ukraine, Arctic, Baltic, Black Sea. Views my own.
Reposted by Kristian Åtland
[1/2] Three area closures for SS-N-23 SKIFF (Sineva) submarine-launched ballistic missile launch are in effect on 20-24 & 28 October 2025 (05:00-17:00 daily)
October 18, 2025 at 3:55 PM
[1/2] Three area closures for SS-N-23 SKIFF (Sineva) submarine-launched ballistic missile launch are in effect on 20-24 & 28 October 2025 (05:00-17:00 daily)
New details about Operation Spider Web.
Russian Easter vodka binges delayed Ukraine’s covert bomber-killing drone strike, SBU reveals - Euromaidan Press
Ukraine's Security Service head just explained exactly how Ukraine had smuggled attack drones into Russia and hit four military bases simultaneously in their most audacious operation yet.
euromaidanpress.com
August 20, 2025 at 7:26 AM
New details about Operation Spider Web.
Very sorry to hear about the passing of Vladimir Socor (1945-2025). His recent analyses of the Ukraine ceasefire negotiations were nothing short of brilliant. He will be missed.
Vladimir Socor - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
August 14, 2025 at 7:08 AM
Very sorry to hear about the passing of Vladimir Socor (1945-2025). His recent analyses of the Ukraine ceasefire negotiations were nothing short of brilliant. He will be missed.
"Russia, similar to the Soviet Union before it, sees diplomacy as a tool in its arsenal of war."
How to Negotiate with Moscow Based on Experience of a Ukrainian Diplomat
We are publishing this piece because Roman Bezsmertny is a Ukrainian diplomat who participated in nearly 60 rounds of talks with Russian representatives during the Minsk peace process. His experience ...
jamestown.org
August 13, 2025 at 6:04 AM
"Russia, similar to the Soviet Union before it, sees diplomacy as a tool in its arsenal of war."
Reposted by Kristian Åtland
A bust of Lenin glowers over the square. Public signs are in Cyrillic script and the Russian flag flaps from buildings. This spot in Norway is a geopolitical quirk—for the West it could become a headache
A corner of NATO where Lenin presides
Barentsburg, a Russian-run company town in Arctic Norway, could become a geopolitical headache
econ.st
August 12, 2025 at 5:20 AM
A bust of Lenin glowers over the square. Public signs are in Cyrillic script and the Russian flag flaps from buildings. This spot in Norway is a geopolitical quirk—for the West it could become a headache
The corresponding coastal warning (PRIP) for the Murmansk region says "MISSILE FIRINGS 20 TO 21 JUN".
June 19, 2025 at 9:26 AM
The corresponding coastal warning (PRIP) for the Murmansk region says "MISSILE FIRINGS 20 TO 21 JUN".
Reposted by Kristian Åtland
Confirmed: Russian bombers were armed with cruise missiles and poised to bomb Ukrainian cities when they were destroyed by Ukrainian drones in Sunday’s audacious airbase attacks
June 4, 2025 at 5:17 PM
Confirmed: Russian bombers were armed with cruise missiles and poised to bomb Ukrainian cities when they were destroyed by Ukrainian drones in Sunday’s audacious airbase attacks
Reposted by Kristian Åtland
The Russian MoD has now also confirmed the Ukrainian strikes.
However, they claim that the Ukrainians only succeeded in Olenya and Belaya - they say strikes in Ivanovo, Ryazan (Dyagilevo) and Amur were repelled. They didn't specify the amount or types of aircraft lost. 1/
However, they claim that the Ukrainians only succeeded in Olenya and Belaya - they say strikes in Ivanovo, Ryazan (Dyagilevo) and Amur were repelled. They didn't specify the amount or types of aircraft lost. 1/
June 1, 2025 at 4:23 PM
The Russian MoD has now also confirmed the Ukrainian strikes.
However, they claim that the Ukrainians only succeeded in Olenya and Belaya - they say strikes in Ivanovo, Ryazan (Dyagilevo) and Amur were repelled. They didn't specify the amount or types of aircraft lost. 1/
However, they claim that the Ukrainians only succeeded in Olenya and Belaya - they say strikes in Ivanovo, Ryazan (Dyagilevo) and Amur were repelled. They didn't specify the amount or types of aircraft lost. 1/
Reposted by Kristian Åtland
The U.S. military is doubling down in Northern Europe in a quest to make NATO more lethal.
The U.S. Reinforces Europe’s Northern Front, Fearing War With Russia
The U.S. military has doubled down in Northern Europe in a quest to make NATO more lethal.
buff.ly
May 27, 2025 at 1:00 PM
The U.S. military is doubling down in Northern Europe in a quest to make NATO more lethal.
Lively outside Andøya today. Looks like "Formidable Shield" is in progress, featuring a series of live-fire events in the coming days. Participating nations are Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Italy, The Netherlands, Norway, Spain, U.K., and US. More info at www.c6f.navy.mil/Press-Room/N...
May 5, 2025 at 1:24 PM
Lively outside Andøya today. Looks like "Formidable Shield" is in progress, featuring a series of live-fire events in the coming days. Participating nations are Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Italy, The Netherlands, Norway, Spain, U.K., and US. More info at www.c6f.navy.mil/Press-Room/N...
"(...) can Trump’s envoy, with business ties to a billionaire who built his wealth in Russia and is sanctioned by Ukraine, serve as a genuinely neutral mediator in peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine?"
Scoop: Trump envoy’s conflict of interest: a Russia-linked business partner
Steve Witkoff, Trump's Special Envoy, has a serious and unreported conflict of interest in Russia-Ukraine negotiations: his relationship with Ukraine-sanctioned businessman Len Blavatnik.
www.counteroffensive.news
April 23, 2025 at 7:45 AM
"(...) can Trump’s envoy, with business ties to a billionaire who built his wealth in Russia and is sanctioned by Ukraine, serve as a genuinely neutral mediator in peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine?"
"Moscow regards a Black Sea ceasefire as an opportunity to reverse Ukraine’s successes in the maritime war" (Valdimir Socor).
Russia Uses Black Sea Ceasefire Talks to Regain Former Hegemony
Executive Summary: The Black Sea is the only theater in which Ukraine is prevailing over Russia in the ongoing war. The Kremlin regards the U.S.-brokered, deadline-driven ceasefire talks as an opportu...
jamestown.org
April 11, 2025 at 6:33 AM
"Moscow regards a Black Sea ceasefire as an opportunity to reverse Ukraine’s successes in the maritime war" (Valdimir Socor).
Another good analysis by Vladimir Socor:
"Moscow should be aware that any easing of sanctions by Washington would hardly benefit Russia, as long as the European Union continues to maintain these same sanctions."
"Moscow should be aware that any easing of sanctions by Washington would hardly benefit Russia, as long as the European Union continues to maintain these same sanctions."
U.S. Preemptive Concessions Gain Nothing From Russia in Ukraine Ceasefire Talks (Part Two)
(Part One) Executive Summary: Moscow is drawing Washington into an incremental, conditions-tied process, instead of a quick and unconditional ceasefire in Russia’s war against Ukraine. The U.S. White ...
jamestown.org
April 2, 2025 at 6:21 AM
Another good analysis by Vladimir Socor:
"Moscow should be aware that any easing of sanctions by Washington would hardly benefit Russia, as long as the European Union continues to maintain these same sanctions."
"Moscow should be aware that any easing of sanctions by Washington would hardly benefit Russia, as long as the European Union continues to maintain these same sanctions."
Podcast (in Norwegian).
Slik trener kystjegerkommandoen opp de ukrainske dødsenglene
Podcast Episode · Forsvarspodden · 03/26/2025 · 18m
podcasts.apple.com
March 27, 2025 at 8:42 AM
Podcast (in Norwegian).
The Trump administration is not too fond of gender-neutral terms. It has now made the FAA reinstate the pre-December 2021 meaning of the abbreviation “NOTAM”…
March 24, 2025 at 4:41 PM
The Trump administration is not too fond of gender-neutral terms. It has now made the FAA reinstate the pre-December 2021 meaning of the abbreviation “NOTAM”…
On the changing pattern of Russian military activity in the High North (in Norwegian).
Har Russlands militære atferd i nord endret seg?
Russlands fullskala angrepskrig mot Ukraina har bidratt til radikale endringer i det sikkerhetspolitiske landskapet i Europa. Russlands forhold til den vestlige verden har gått fra vondt til verre, Sv...
www.stratagem.no
March 15, 2025 at 9:43 AM
On the changing pattern of Russian military activity in the High North (in Norwegian).