Angela Carollo
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angelacar.bsky.social
Angela Carollo
@angelacar.bsky.social
330 followers 340 following 72 posts
Applied statistician at @mpidr.bsky.social. I am passionate about using time-to-event models to study socio-demographic and medical outcomes. I might ask you about the time scale in your model :)
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angelacar.bsky.social
Angela Carollo @angelacar.bsky.social · Sep 1
‼️📣 Publication alert 📣‼️
Our new paper "Competing risks models with two time scales" has just been published in Statistical Methods in Medical Research.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

In this paper we extend the two time scales hazard model to analyze competing events over two time scales ⏱️⏲️
Competing risks models with two time scales - Angela Carollo, Hein Putter, Paul HC Eilers, Jutta Gampe, 2025
Competing risks models can involve more than one time scale. A relevant example is the study of mortality after a cancer diagnosis, where time since diagnosis b...
journals.sagepub.com
Reposted by Angela Carollo
mpidr.bsky.social
Six Million Euros for Research on Population Projections in Finland

MPIDR director Mikko Myrskylä + coll. Wolfgang Lutz, Mirkka Danielsbacka and Anna Rotkirch will receive 6 million euros to do research on population projections for migration scenarios (MigScene). www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
November 5, 2025 at 9:46 AM
angelacar.bsky.social
TwoTimeScales 1.1.1 is now on GitHub!
github.com/AngelaCar/Tw...
GitHub - AngelaCar/TwoTimeScales: Analysis of event data with two time scales
Analysis of event data with two time scales. Contribute to AngelaCar/TwoTimeScales development by creating an account on GitHub.
github.com
November 5, 2025 at 10:13 AM
Reposted by Angela Carollo
cameronpat.bsky.social
happy 11th anniversary to this email sent to all staff at the School of Mathematics and Statistics
Dear All, I am delighted to report to you the first results of an experiment that is being conducted in the tea room of this Department. On 29 August, an Oslo Stainless Steel Cutlery Set (48 Pieces: 12 Knifes, 12 Forks, 12 Tea Spoons, 12 Dinner Spoons) was placed in a drawer in the Departmental tea room. A poster asking not to remove the cutlery from the tea room was attached in a visible location. The original research plan was to monitor (in real time) the disappearance of the cutlery from the tea room and then fit a point/counting process model to the observed data. However, as the research project failed to attract any major grants (and so hiring a research assistant to do the work was impossible), it was decided to conduct opportunistic discrete monitoring only. Here is the first result: sixty days in the experiment, the disappearance rates stand as follows: Knives: 8.3% Forks: 100% Tea spoons: 58.3% Dinner spoons: 41.7% Possible conclusions include, but are not limited to, the following: the people who removed the missing cutlery don’t understand written English; they don’t see forks as a special case of cutlery; forks are needed to do some kind of mathematics; the knives from the set are no good; small spoons are slightly more attractive than the large ones; things left in our tea room tend to disappear even if they are not edible; further research is needed to fully understand the phenomenon. Best, kostya borovkov
November 4, 2025 at 2:16 AM
angelacar.bsky.social
I am very happy to see our paper featured in this press release! I have written a bit of a longer post on LinkedIn www.linkedin.com/feed/update/... for the interested reader. The original press release can be found here: www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
October 29, 2025 at 8:30 PM
Reposted by Angela Carollo
mpidr.bsky.social
35 Years of #Reunification
MPIDR Researchers Discuss the Demographic Situation in #Germany
Nicole Hiekel is Leader of the Research Group Gender Inequalities & Fertility @mpidr.bsky.social.
Full quote: www.demogr.mpg.de/go/reunification
#EastGermany #WestGermany #CareWork #GenderInequality #Family
Portrait of a woman with brown hair and a black top in front of a green background with text about German reunification and gender inequality. Her quote says: German reunification brought together two different traditions of balancing family and career. Even 35 years later, these differences persist. While women's participation in the labor market has increased overall, the unequal distribution of care work remains a key challenge.
September 30, 2025 at 10:01 AM
Reposted by Angela Carollo
readdemography.bsky.social
In “Single Parenthood, Gender & Mortality” @minekuhn.bsky.social @angelacar.bsky.social J Caputo, L Ahrenfeldt & @annaoksuzyan.bsky.social examine “variations in mortality by pathway into single p'hood" & other factors. @sociologytiu.bsky.social @mpidr.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
September 25, 2025 at 2:58 PM
angelacar.bsky.social
Very proud to see this paper, resulting from a long and fun collaboration, finally published in Demography!!!
🤓
September 25, 2025 at 1:05 PM
Reposted by Angela Carollo
mpidr.bsky.social
💡[SPOTLIGHT] 💡Too Many Men, Too Few Women
Research by Henrik Schubert & @cdudel.bsky.social shows that regional partner markets —particularly the ratio of ♂️ to ♀️ in the relevant age & educational groups — significantly influence childlessness among men in Finland.
www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
A map of Finland showing the individual regions in different colors. The colors indicate the extent of childlessness among men in these regions. The map refers to men aged 45, born between 1968 and 1975. Childlessness is expressed as a percentage.
September 16, 2025 at 6:29 AM
angelacar.bsky.social
Congratulations to Ben and all my well wishes for a successful start of his research group! Well done!🥳
mpidr.bsky.social Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · Sep 11
Ben Malinga John began leading a Max Planck Partner Group (UNIMAX) at the University of Malawi in Zomba. Over the next five years, he will study family formation processes among highly educated individuals.
www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
September 11, 2025 at 12:00 PM
Reposted by Angela Carollo
imprs-phds.bsky.social
Mentoring & advising doctoral researchers is at the very heart of the PHDS School. We are much indebted to PHDS faculty for their invaluable services in mentoring predocs as well as to Thomas Koch for leading a two-day workshop on "Supervising Doctoral Researchers" @mpidr.bsky.social. Thank you all!
September 5, 2025 at 8:22 AM
angelacar.bsky.social
Incredibile news!!! Congratulations to these two wonderful colleagues 🥳👏🏼 amazing!!!
mpidr.bsky.social Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · Sep 4
🎉🎊A week full of celebrations
✨Two ERC Starting Grants for the MPIDR✨
We are thrilled to announce that @marilianep.bsky.social and @ugobas.bsky.social have each been awarded with an ERC Starting Grant by the @erc.europa.eu. #ERCStG
www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
#ERCStartingGrant #longevity
September 4, 2025 at 8:10 PM
angelacar.bsky.social
‼️📣 Publication alert 📣‼️
Our new paper "Competing risks models with two time scales" has just been published in Statistical Methods in Medical Research.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

In this paper we extend the two time scales hazard model to analyze competing events over two time scales ⏱️⏲️
Competing risks models with two time scales - Angela Carollo, Hein Putter, Paul HC Eilers, Jutta Gampe, 2025
Competing risks models can involve more than one time scale. A relevant example is the study of mortality after a cancer diagnosis, where time since diagnosis b...
journals.sagepub.com
September 1, 2025 at 1:16 PM
Reposted by Angela Carollo
mpidr.bsky.social
🚨Open Positions!🚨
Postdoc/Research Scientist Positions
Migration | Population Dynamics | Computational Demography
Application Deadline: Oct 10, 2025
See job description here:
www.demogr.mpg.de/en/career_61...
#Postdoc #Jobs
@ezagheni.bsky.social @perrottadaniela.bsky.social @ugobas.bsky.social
August 28, 2025 at 6:55 AM
angelacar.bsky.social
Don't you all just love how the journal production teams are like "PLEASE SUBMIT YOUR PROOF WITHIN 2 BUSINESS DAYS" and then take 3/4 business WEEKS to publish the paper? 😅
August 26, 2025 at 9:19 AM
angelacar.bsky.social
Congratulations Lara!!!
mpidr.bsky.social Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · Aug 5
Congratulations, @larabister.bsky.social!🥳
imprs-phds.bsky.social IMPRS-PHDS @imprs-phds.bsky.social · Aug 5
Big congratulations to @larabister.bsky.social, alumna of the EDSD and IMPRS-PHDS programs, on winning first prize in the Social Sciences section of the Körber Foundation's German Thesis Award for her doctoral thesis on economic crises and health!
Details: www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
August 5, 2025 at 12:33 PM
angelacar.bsky.social
Congratulations!!!
populationeu.bsky.social Population Europe @populationeu.bsky.social · Aug 5
Proud to announce this year's European Demographer Awards!

They go to Julia Hellstrand @juliahellstrand.bsky.social ‬ (Helsinki), Cosmo Strozza @cosmostrozza.bsky.social (Odense) and Éva Beaujouan @fertdem.bsky.social (Vienna).

More: population-europe.eu/network/news...

Congratulations!
A blurry image of a crowd of people in motion
August 5, 2025 at 12:33 PM
angelacar.bsky.social
Or, you could do it more flexibly 😉
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
July 17, 2025 at 8:22 AM
Reposted by Angela Carollo
statmodsociety.bsky.social
Ever listened to a beautiful song about leaving the land of convexity? 🎶🎵

We had the pleasure to enjoy Cynthia Rudin's song right after an already inspiring talk about ✨ amazing things that come from having many good models ✨

What an extraordinary invited session at #IWSM2025!
July 16, 2025 at 8:23 AM
Reposted by Angela Carollo
statmodsociety.bsky.social
The first day of #IWSM2025 started with a warm welcome from our chair Kevin Burke and Norma Bargary! 🫂

We are looking forward to four contributed sessions and our invited speaker Sonja Greven talking about additive density regression!
July 14, 2025 at 11:19 AM
Reposted by Angela Carollo
aledinal.bsky.social
Relationships are often built on shared values and beliefs, but what happens when political preferences create a divide?

@brunoarpino.bsky.social and I investigated how political (mis)match affects union dissolution in
@readdemography.bsky.social

read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
June 11, 2025 at 8:18 AM
Reposted by Angela Carollo
mpidr.bsky.social
Saluti da Cagliari in Sardegna!

This looks like a very happy group of social scientists! @mpidr.bsky.social is having a blast at #PopDays2025 in Cagliari at the University of Cagliari. @aisp-sis.bsky.social

Also, anyone left back in Rostock is not jealous at all ... maybe only a tiny bit ... 😊
June 5, 2025 at 12:35 PM
angelacar.bsky.social
I'm really looking forward to this! My coauthors and I will present a poster on using statistical boosting + multistate models to study romantic partnership trajectories 👫💒💔😱
Very interesting results in my (very unbiased 😜) opinion, so don't forget to stop by our poster!
mpidr.bsky.social Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · May 28
MPIDR@PopDays2025 @aisp-sis.bsky.social
@mpidr.bsky.social will be participating in #PopDays2025 in Cagliari. From 4 to 6 June, we will be presenting our research there. We're looking forward to the conference & to lots of 🍨🍕🍧🍝🍦- not necessarily in that order 😉
demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
May 28, 2025 at 1:08 PM
angelacar.bsky.social
If you are at #PAA2025 come to see my presentation about “Competing risks models with two time scales” at 9:30 in room Treasury.
April 12, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Reposted by Angela Carollo
mpidr.bsky.social
🏆 Congratulations to Donata Stonkute! 🎉She just won a Poster Award at #PAA2025 for her poster on "Intersecting Pathways: Understanding Dementia, Hearing Loss, and Health Disparities". Well done and well deserved Donata!
@popassocamerica.bsky.social
April 11, 2025 at 7:42 PM
Reposted by Angela Carollo
mpidr.bsky.social
🚨Call for Papers🚨
BIOSFER Conference
Fertility, Childlessness, and Reproductive Aging:
Bio-social Perspectives
Organizer: ERC Synergy BIOSFER project
🗺️Villa Vigoni, Menaggio, Italy,
📅September 15–17, 2025
Application Deadline: April 30, 2025
Learn all:
www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
@au.dk
March 25, 2025 at 9:46 AM