Ammar Shamaileh
@ammars.bsky.social
Associate Professor of Politics & IR at the Doha Institute for Graduate Studies - MENA politics, political economy and repression/violence
Pinned
Ammar Shamaileh
@ammars.bsky.social
· Sep 16
On the measurement of preference falsification using nonresponse rates | Political Science Research and Methods | Cambridge Core
On the measurement of preference falsification using nonresponse rates
www.cambridge.org
My article on preference falsification on surveys is now out in @PSRMJournal. Nonresponse rates are often used as a proxy for the sensitivity bias associated with PF. This article casts doubt on the utility of such measures.
dictatorsky, polisky
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
dictatorsky, polisky
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Ammar Shamaileh
I am delighted to share the fall issue of the APSA MENA section newsletter, co-edited by @sebnemgumuscu.bsky.social, @samershehata.bsky.social, and me, available for download here: zenodo.org/records/1745...
October 29, 2025 at 7:58 PM
I am delighted to share the fall issue of the APSA MENA section newsletter, co-edited by @sebnemgumuscu.bsky.social, @samershehata.bsky.social, and me, available for download here: zenodo.org/records/1745...
Reposted by Ammar Shamaileh
Call for applications! APSA-MENA Workshop on Engaged Scholarship in the Middle East and North Africa, hosted at the Doha Institute Jan 5-8 2026 & convened by @ammars.bsky.social, @philbrickyadav.bsky.social, Lara Khattab, & myself. See below.
Link to application: apsa.wufoo.com/forms/z14bkm...
Link to application: apsa.wufoo.com/forms/z14bkm...
July 31, 2025 at 8:33 PM
Call for applications! APSA-MENA Workshop on Engaged Scholarship in the Middle East and North Africa, hosted at the Doha Institute Jan 5-8 2026 & convened by @ammars.bsky.social, @philbrickyadav.bsky.social, Lara Khattab, & myself. See below.
Link to application: apsa.wufoo.com/forms/z14bkm...
Link to application: apsa.wufoo.com/forms/z14bkm...
Reposted by Ammar Shamaileh
Excited to be co-organizing an APSA MENA Methods Workshop on "Participatory and Engaged Research in the MENA" with @apsamena.bsky.social colleagues @separkinson.bsky.social, @ammars.bsky.social and Lara Khattab at the Doha Institute for Graduate Studies. ECRs & practitioners, apply by 9/14.
2026 APSA MENA Methods Workshop
APSA is pleased to announce a Call for Applications from early-career scholars who would like to participate in a 4-day workshop titled, "Participatory and Engaged Research in the MENA Region."
Organ...
apsa.wufoo.com
July 31, 2025 at 8:05 PM
Excited to be co-organizing an APSA MENA Methods Workshop on "Participatory and Engaged Research in the MENA" with @apsamena.bsky.social colleagues @separkinson.bsky.social, @ammars.bsky.social and Lara Khattab at the Doha Institute for Graduate Studies. ECRs & practitioners, apply by 9/14.
Why did the "massive collapse after the October 2019 protests [fail] to generate commensurate political, ideological, and organizational responses?"
Check out this wonderful new piece by @bassel26.bsky.social
#Polisky
Check out this wonderful new piece by @bassel26.bsky.social
#Polisky
The Anatomy of Lebanon’s Postwar Integral State: The Political Economy of Cartels and Consent
This essay stretches Antonio Gramsci’s core concept of the integral state to explain an enigma in contemporary Lebanon: why the massive collapse after the October 2019 protests failed to generate c...
www.tandfonline.com
July 16, 2025 at 11:13 AM
Why did the "massive collapse after the October 2019 protests [fail] to generate commensurate political, ideological, and organizational responses?"
Check out this wonderful new piece by @bassel26.bsky.social
#Polisky
Check out this wonderful new piece by @bassel26.bsky.social
#Polisky
Reposted by Ammar Shamaileh
MELG’s new issue is out! It’s a SI on “Populism in the Arab World” coedited with MELG Editorial Board member @ammars.bsky.social
June 18, 2025 at 8:36 AM
MELG’s new issue is out! It’s a SI on “Populism in the Arab World” coedited with MELG Editorial Board member @ammars.bsky.social
For those of you wondering how things are going over at X:
January 6, 2025 at 4:59 PM
For those of you wondering how things are going over at X:
My op-ed in support of considering a federalist system in Syria is now out in the @thenewarab.bsky.social. To be clear, this is not support for any plan that is currently being circulated. My main point is that a symmetric federalist approach should be explored.
www.newarab.com/opinion/defe...
www.newarab.com/opinion/defe...
In defence of federalism in Syria: Should it still be taboo?
Syria's new political roadmap must at least consider federalism as a viable option to accommodate all of Syria's diverse communities, says Ammar Shamaileh.
www.newarab.com
December 26, 2024 at 6:44 PM
My op-ed in support of considering a federalist system in Syria is now out in the @thenewarab.bsky.social. To be clear, this is not support for any plan that is currently being circulated. My main point is that a symmetric federalist approach should be explored.
www.newarab.com/opinion/defe...
www.newarab.com/opinion/defe...
This is the most petty and self-centered letter I could ever imagine somebody writing in this situation. Even in this most, Assad can't think of anything other than himself; not Syria, not Palestine, and not even his supporters. It's all about him and his image.
December 16, 2024 at 2:19 PM
This is the most petty and self-centered letter I could ever imagine somebody writing in this situation. Even in this most, Assad can't think of anything other than himself; not Syria, not Palestine, and not even his supporters. It's all about him and his image.
HTS announcing the PM as in charge of public institutions until the transition is complete is a remarkable and shrewd move.
December 8, 2024 at 5:18 AM
HTS announcing the PM as in charge of public institutions until the transition is complete is a remarkable and shrewd move.
So far, I've been very wrong. I'm just hoping I stay wrong.
I believe that my anti-Assad credentials are solid enough that I can express my opinion without it being misunderstood: The recent developments in Syria are horrible for Syrians and I can't believe how many people are cheerleading for HTS.
December 8, 2024 at 5:09 AM
So far, I've been very wrong. I'm just hoping I stay wrong.
I have spent decades envisioning different scenarios where Assad fell. I never pictured a scenario where it would happen like this. I am also completely shocked at how well HTS has managed the political and social side of things. They've been quite brilliant so far.
December 8, 2024 at 4:56 AM
I have spent decades envisioning different scenarios where Assad fell. I never pictured a scenario where it would happen like this. I am also completely shocked at how well HTS has managed the political and social side of things. They've been quite brilliant so far.
Let's hope Russia and Iran enter discussions tomorrow planning on a post-Assad Syria. How much longer can they continue propping up the corpse of this regime? Do they really want to risk complete defeat? Of course, I doubt there will be any serious discussions of the interests of Syrians.
December 6, 2024 at 6:00 PM
Let's hope Russia and Iran enter discussions tomorrow planning on a post-Assad Syria. How much longer can they continue propping up the corpse of this regime? Do they really want to risk complete defeat? Of course, I doubt there will be any serious discussions of the interests of Syrians.
Shot in the Malki neighborhood of Damascus today.
December 5, 2024 at 5:35 PM
Shot in the Malki neighborhood of Damascus today.
I believe that my anti-Assad credentials are solid enough that I can express my opinion without it being misunderstood: The recent developments in Syria are horrible for Syrians and I can't believe how many people are cheerleading for HTS.
November 29, 2024 at 5:15 PM
I believe that my anti-Assad credentials are solid enough that I can express my opinion without it being misunderstood: The recent developments in Syria are horrible for Syrians and I can't believe how many people are cheerleading for HTS.
Reposted by Ammar Shamaileh
France on Putin | France on Netanyahu
November 27, 2024 at 2:02 PM
France on Putin | France on Netanyahu
Reposted by Ammar Shamaileh
These are Palestinian firefighters, likely from either Burj al-Barajna or Shatila refugee camps.
FWIW, Palestinian civil protection units do a lot of mutual aid outside the camps, made more significant by the fact that they are *stateless*. They've responded to wildfires in Lebanon, for example.
FWIW, Palestinian civil protection units do a lot of mutual aid outside the camps, made more significant by the fact that they are *stateless*. They've responded to wildfires in Lebanon, for example.
November 22, 2024 at 5:48 PM
These are Palestinian firefighters, likely from either Burj al-Barajna or Shatila refugee camps.
FWIW, Palestinian civil protection units do a lot of mutual aid outside the camps, made more significant by the fact that they are *stateless*. They've responded to wildfires in Lebanon, for example.
FWIW, Palestinian civil protection units do a lot of mutual aid outside the camps, made more significant by the fact that they are *stateless*. They've responded to wildfires in Lebanon, for example.
Reposted by Ammar Shamaileh
We noticed there wasn't a starter pack on authoritarian politics yet – Now there is!
go.bsky.app/UFHn7sS
Spread and ask to join!
go.bsky.app/UFHn7sS
Spread and ask to join!
November 15, 2024 at 5:21 PM
We noticed there wasn't a starter pack on authoritarian politics yet – Now there is!
go.bsky.app/UFHn7sS
Spread and ask to join!
go.bsky.app/UFHn7sS
Spread and ask to join!
Reposted by Ammar Shamaileh
The goals the Israeli gov't is articulating for South Lebanon echo the stated aims of the 1982 invasion very closely (different groups firing missiles from South Lebanon, same idea of clearing a border area to secure the Galilee).
So anyways, Israel then occupied South Lebanon for 18 years.
So anyways, Israel then occupied South Lebanon for 18 years.
September 23, 2024 at 1:21 PM
The goals the Israeli gov't is articulating for South Lebanon echo the stated aims of the 1982 invasion very closely (different groups firing missiles from South Lebanon, same idea of clearing a border area to secure the Galilee).
So anyways, Israel then occupied South Lebanon for 18 years.
So anyways, Israel then occupied South Lebanon for 18 years.
Reposted by Ammar Shamaileh
Did you see my blog post on sensitive surveys in Tunisia?
(I'm hoping this will become a paper one day 😅)
www.robertkubinec.com/post/kais_sa...
(I'm hoping this will become a paper one day 😅)
www.robertkubinec.com/post/kais_sa...
Robert Kubinec - What Do Tunisians Really Think About President Kais Saied?
I reproduce results from our recent survey experiment showing that people are opposed to President Kais Saied but prefer not to report their opposition directly.
www.robertkubinec.com
September 16, 2024 at 1:29 PM
Did you see my blog post on sensitive surveys in Tunisia?
(I'm hoping this will become a paper one day 😅)
www.robertkubinec.com/post/kais_sa...
(I'm hoping this will become a paper one day 😅)
www.robertkubinec.com/post/kais_sa...
My article on preference falsification on surveys is now out in @PSRMJournal. Nonresponse rates are often used as a proxy for the sensitivity bias associated with PF. This article casts doubt on the utility of such measures.
dictatorsky, polisky
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
dictatorsky, polisky
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
On the measurement of preference falsification using nonresponse rates | Political Science Research and Methods | Cambridge Core
On the measurement of preference falsification using nonresponse rates
www.cambridge.org
September 16, 2024 at 1:25 PM
My article on preference falsification on surveys is now out in @PSRMJournal. Nonresponse rates are often used as a proxy for the sensitivity bias associated with PF. This article casts doubt on the utility of such measures.
dictatorsky, polisky
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
dictatorsky, polisky
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Ammar Shamaileh
Whenever anyone wonders why the UAE hasn’t frozen its normalization with Israel over Gaza, I suggest looking at its incredibly destructive ongoing role in fueling the horrific war in Sudan and it becomes quite easy to understand.
May 28, 2024 at 5:09 AM
Whenever anyone wonders why the UAE hasn’t frozen its normalization with Israel over Gaza, I suggest looking at its incredibly destructive ongoing role in fueling the horrific war in Sudan and it becomes quite easy to understand.
Reposted by Ammar Shamaileh
💣🐚
Revealed: Israeli spy chief ‘threatened’ ICC prosecutor over war crimes inquiry
Mossad director Yossi Cohen personally involved in secret plot to pressure Fatou Bensouda to drop Palestine investigation
www.theguardian.com/world/articl...
Revealed: Israeli spy chief ‘threatened’ ICC prosecutor over war crimes inquiry
Mossad director Yossi Cohen personally involved in secret plot to pressure Fatou Bensouda to drop Palestine investigation
www.theguardian.com/world/articl...
Revealed: Israeli spy chief ‘threatened’ ICC prosecutor over war crimes inquiry
Mossad director Yossi Cohen personally involved in secret plot to pressure Fatou Bensouda to drop Palestine investigation, sources say
www.theguardian.com
May 28, 2024 at 6:51 AM
💣🐚
Revealed: Israeli spy chief ‘threatened’ ICC prosecutor over war crimes inquiry
Mossad director Yossi Cohen personally involved in secret plot to pressure Fatou Bensouda to drop Palestine investigation
www.theguardian.com/world/articl...
Revealed: Israeli spy chief ‘threatened’ ICC prosecutor over war crimes inquiry
Mossad director Yossi Cohen personally involved in secret plot to pressure Fatou Bensouda to drop Palestine investigation
www.theguardian.com/world/articl...