AFP Analytics
afpanalytics.bsky.social
AFP Analytics
@afpanalytics.bsky.social
Hockey analytics consulting firm providing innovative insight to fans, agents, & teams. Focus on player valuation. Weekly episodes of the MaxTermPod. Still hanging around X.
@kylestich.bsky.social
@jamesfinch.bsky.social
Linktree: https://t.co/u2eaEq14HM
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🚨 2025 FINAL #NHL CONTRACT PROJECTIONS🚨
-2025 free agents & 7/1 extensions, in doc below & on CapWages.com!
-New Max Term Podcast discussing the UFA class!
-New AFP tip jar: buymeacoffee.com/afpanalytics
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
AFPAnalytics NHL Contract Projections 2025-2026
docs.google.com
ICYMI: What should each #NHL team be thankful for? @MaxTermPod.bsky.social #Thanksgiving edition! Available wherever you get your podcasts! linktr.ee/afpanalytics
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November 24, 2025 at 4:25 PM
🚨 A new @MaxTermPod is now live! We embrace the upcoming American Thanksgiving and discuss what each NHL team should be thankful for - Success? Player(s)? Coaches? Management? Location?

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November 21, 2025 at 2:50 PM
#GoJetsGo lock in their captain. 5 years, $5M per year. The AAV is well above out projection from May but with the rising cap and extra years, it isn't surprising. This is very close to the going market rate for reliable 3Cs, which Lowry certainly is. #NHL
November 20, 2025 at 1:55 AM
With Kempe off the board, the next winger in line is #sabrehood winger Alex Tuch. We had projected 7 years, $8.5M in May but much like Kempe it should come in higher. Keeping the same difference in value to Kempe, Tuch's value now is likely 8 years, ~$10M AAV. #NHL

@CapWages @MaxTermPod
November 16, 2025 at 10:48 PM
Another extension eligible forward done. Adrian Kempe and the #LAK agree to an 8 year, $10.625M AAV contract. Well above our projection that was calculated in May. However, recent extensions brought the market value up. We expected Kempe to be ~$800k less than Necas and this contract does that.
November 16, 2025 at 10:42 PM
Sabres fans! Tired of hearing about 14 years of no playoffs? @jamesfinch.bsky.social looked up some different facts to portray just how long it has been... Check out the full episode of the Max Term Pod on Pinto & Wedgewood extensions, the NHL youth movement & the struggling Sabres. #NHL
November 15, 2025 at 12:30 AM
🚨 A new @MaxTermPod.bsky.social is now live! We discuss extensions, youth movements, and whether the #sabrehood season can be saved. Further, we might have figured out what the issue that ails the #Sabres has been and what can be done to solve it. #NHL

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November 14, 2025 at 4:15 PM
Second extension of the day goes to Colorado Avalanche goalie Scott Wedgewood. Fair value here (he’s been good). Could he have gotten another year in UFA on July 1st? #NHL #GoAvsGo
November 13, 2025 at 6:32 PM
To be fair, the market hadn't yet shifted up when Stankoven signed his extension July 1st... and Pinto has been relied on a little more heavily (TOI/G, a little more point production)... but man, that Stankoven contract is a great deal for the Hurricanes. #CarolinaCulture #NHL
November 13, 2025 at 1:56 PM
The market has shifted up, and Pinto has been real good (top 6 C level) for the Ottawa Senators. Those two things paired together makes our projection a little outdated. 4x7.5M is fair for what Pinto has become. #NHL #GoSensGo
November 13, 2025 at 1:23 PM
Theory: What if the holdup on the Alex Tuch extension with the Buffalo Sabres is simply to see where the team is at mid year/trade deadline? Two options:

1) Contending, signs extension.
2) Not contending, gets traded for futures, returns to the #Sabrehood in free agency.
a hockey player in a blue jersey with the number 90 on it
ALT: a hockey player in a blue jersey with the number 90 on it
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November 11, 2025 at 5:04 PM
🚨 ICYMI: Tech issues led our @MaxTermPod.bsky.social episode to drop over the weekend. Harley deal impact, Andersson/CGY, Cooley deal impact on other RFA Cs, plus J-Rob, Kempe, Tuch. Panic level? All discussed by @kylestich.bsky.social on all podcast platforms. #NHL linktr.ee/afpanalytics
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November 10, 2025 at 4:19 PM
We lied. New @MaxTermPod.bsky.social dropped this morning. @kylestich.bsky.social talks how the Necas deal could impact Kempe and Tuch, how the Cooley deal impacts other RFA Cs like Bedard, Fantilli & Carlsson, as well as panic meter for all involved. Available wherever you get your podcasts! #NHL
Due to some technical difficulties, we do not have a @MaxTermPod.bsky.social episode releasing today. We will be back next week! #NHL
November 8, 2025 at 4:22 PM
Due to some technical difficulties, we do not have a @MaxTermPod.bsky.social episode releasing today. We will be back next week! #NHL
November 7, 2025 at 6:52 PM
Thanks to all those who contributed to our work. We decided to donate ALL proceeds to Rochester Emergency Veterinary Services. If you'd like to donate yourself, it would be appreciated by all pet owners in the Rochester, NY area.

givebutter.com/REVSNewHospi...
November 5, 2025 at 4:00 PM
🚨 ICYMI: On the most recent @MaxTermPod.bsky.social, we matched #NHL teams to #Halloween candies! We talk through the good, the bad, and the mediocre. Some serious takes, as well as some ridiculous fun... Available wherever you get your podcasts! linktr.ee/afpanalytics
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November 4, 2025 at 3:00 PM
🚨 A new #MaxTermPod is now live! We taste test Halloween candies and decide which NHL team they best represent. Come for the hockey takes and stay for the candy hot takes. #NHL #Halloween #CandyTasteTest

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October 31, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Be on the lookout for a new fun, insightful, and yet somewhat unserious #Halloween themed @maxtermpod.bsky.social episode coming out tomorrow! #NHL 👀🍫🍬🎃👻
October 31, 2025 at 1:23 AM
Martin Necas, who would’ve been a UFA this coming offseason, signs a #MaxTerm extension with the Colorado Avalanche. He’s off to a great start this year, which surely helped in negotiations! #NHL #GoAvsGo
October 30, 2025 at 5:07 PM
🚨ICYMI: on the most recent @MaxTermPod.bsky.social, we discussed a few different aspects of contract structure and the level to which they seem to impact winning. Available on all major platforms! #NHL
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October 29, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Logan Cooley & the Utah Mammoth have agreed to an extension. A little above projected AAV, but makes sense with an extra UFA year bought. He’s the first of the star ELC RFA centers to sign, setting the market! #NHL #TusksUp
October 29, 2025 at 2:10 PM
Harley and the Dallas Stars agree to a deal just about at projection. A fair #MaxTerm deal, yet most long term deals for stars his age are going to age very well for the team in this cap climate. #NHL #TexasHockey
October 28, 2025 at 11:10 PM
🚨 A new #MaxTermPod is now live! We discuss contract structuring. How prevalent are No Trade clauses ? Signing bonus ? #MaxTerm? Do more teams give them more than others? Does doing so help them win? #NHL

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October 24, 2025 at 3:25 PM
🚨ICYMI: On the latest @maxtermpod.bsky.social, we discussed many of the recently signed extensions and gave an overview on where the upcoming free agent class stands. Available on all major platforms! #NHL linktr.ee/afpanalytics
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October 23, 2025 at 3:15 PM
🚨 A new #MaxTermPod has dropped! With many big contract extensions dropping recently, we discuss recent contracts signed and how they have or haven't influenced contracts still to come.

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October 17, 2025 at 3:30 PM