Aaron Stein
@aaronstein1.bsky.social
President/CEO @fpri.bsky.social; Podcast w/ blogfather @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social; Recent Substacker; Author: US War Against ISIS. Views are all my own
Big news @fpri.bsky.social. @emilyjholland.bsky.social has joined us as director of our Eurasia program. Emily is a powerhouse and has hit the ground running.
www.fpri.org/news/2025/11...
www.fpri.org/news/2025/11...
FPRI Appoints Emily Holland Director of the Eurasia Program - Foreign Policy Research Institute
“Emily is a wonderful addition to our growing team at FPRI. She brings expertise and excellence to the role and we have big plans for our future work, ranging
www.fpri.org
November 10, 2025 at 8:35 PM
Big news @fpri.bsky.social. @emilyjholland.bsky.social has joined us as director of our Eurasia program. Emily is a powerhouse and has hit the ground running.
www.fpri.org/news/2025/11...
www.fpri.org/news/2025/11...
Reposted by Aaron Stein
Need some analysis of the new NATO Maritime Strategy?
You're in luck, I wrote some just for you.
www.fpri.org/article/2025...
You're in luck, I wrote some just for you.
www.fpri.org/article/2025...
Collective Seapower: NATO’s New Maritime Strategy - Foreign Policy Research Institute
NATO has finally unveiled its new Alliance Maritime Strategy, refreshing a document that had not been publicly updated since 2011. While high-level strategy
www.fpri.org
November 10, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Need some analysis of the new NATO Maritime Strategy?
You're in luck, I wrote some just for you.
www.fpri.org/article/2025...
You're in luck, I wrote some just for you.
www.fpri.org/article/2025...
The blogfather @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social and I sat down to talk about the potential for a return to nuclear testing and what we think it may mean -
www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1220...
www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1220...
A Return to Nuclear Testing
Donald Trump directed “the Department of War to start testing our Nuclear Weapons on an equal basis” with other countries. The Department [...]
www.armscontrolwonk.com
November 4, 2025 at 1:12 AM
The blogfather @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social and I sat down to talk about the potential for a return to nuclear testing and what we think it may mean -
www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1220...
www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1220...
Reposted by Aaron Stein
🇷🇴 This week on #TheTiesThatBind, we are looking further south along NATO’s eastern flank at Romania. buff.ly/xAGK3pe
October 31, 2025 at 5:54 PM
🇷🇴 This week on #TheTiesThatBind, we are looking further south along NATO’s eastern flank at Romania. buff.ly/xAGK3pe
One thing I recently updated: US supercomputing zoomed past the benchmark established for stockpile stewardship (100 tflops) and also China has too. The Chinese have the computers to design new weapons, but what they don't have is the data from nuclear testing -- yet.
October 30, 2025 at 4:00 PM
DoD (DoW?) doesn't run US nuclear testing. DoE does. So I think the actual tip off of what Trump meant came from the statement itself. But who knows. Renewed US nuclear tests was on my bingo card for any GOP administration, as @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social and I discussed on our podcast many times
October 30, 2025 at 2:45 PM
DoD (DoW?) doesn't run US nuclear testing. DoE does. So I think the actual tip off of what Trump meant came from the statement itself. But who knows. Renewed US nuclear tests was on my bingo card for any GOP administration, as @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social and I discussed on our podcast many times
Ankara covets Meteor as part of the Typhoon deal, which helps explain the price point, with the Eurofighter consortium (that and localized weapon integration). Good deal for the UK.
October 27, 2025 at 8:17 PM
Ankara covets Meteor as part of the Typhoon deal, which helps explain the price point, with the Eurofighter consortium (that and localized weapon integration). Good deal for the UK.
Reposted by Aaron Stein
Tomahawk and missiles on Russian borders have always been a major irritant for the leadership in Moscow, so there are ample reasons to believe that any such deployment will ignite the Russian leadership’s anxiety. buff.ly/QBAK6tD
October 20, 2025 at 6:21 PM
Tomahawk and missiles on Russian borders have always been a major irritant for the leadership in Moscow, so there are ample reasons to believe that any such deployment will ignite the Russian leadership’s anxiety. buff.ly/QBAK6tD
I'll be adding another chapter next week on the Shahed defense based on interviews with key personnel involved for @fpri.bsky.social
How did Iranian & Israeli air and missile defenses perform during the 12-Day War? Read all about it in my new piece
@fpri.bsky.social
TLDR: Poor Iranian AD enabled Israel's highly effective missile defeat strategy, BUT, even then, Israeli defenses were severely strained and almost broke down
@fpri.bsky.social
TLDR: Poor Iranian AD enabled Israel's highly effective missile defeat strategy, BUT, even then, Israeli defenses were severely strained and almost broke down
October 17, 2025 at 7:34 PM
I'll be adding another chapter next week on the Shahed defense based on interviews with key personnel involved for @fpri.bsky.social
Reposted by Aaron Stein
@aaronstein1.bsky.social and I wrote for @fpri.bsky.social about everyone's favorite once-and-future GLCM, the Tomahawk, and its potential redeployment to Europe: open.substack.com/pub/behindth...
American Missiles and Russian Dachas: Tomahawk and the Future of Stability and Deterrence in Europe
There are ample reasons for the United States to provide Ukraine with longer-range weapons.
behindthefront.substack.com
October 16, 2025 at 3:36 PM
@aaronstein1.bsky.social and I wrote for @fpri.bsky.social about everyone's favorite once-and-future GLCM, the Tomahawk, and its potential redeployment to Europe: open.substack.com/pub/behindth...
I teamed up w/ @fpri.bsky.social fellow @slair.bsky.social to write about one of our favorite missiles :: American Missiles and Russian Dachas: Tomahawk and the Future of Stability and Deterrence in Europe open.substack.com/pub/behindth...
American Missiles and Russian Dachas: Tomahawk and the Future of Stability and Deterrence in Europe
There are ample reasons for the United States to provide Ukraine with longer-range weapons.
open.substack.com
October 16, 2025 at 1:26 PM
I teamed up w/ @fpri.bsky.social fellow @slair.bsky.social to write about one of our favorite missiles :: American Missiles and Russian Dachas: Tomahawk and the Future of Stability and Deterrence in Europe open.substack.com/pub/behindth...
Very pleased to announce that @fpri.bsky.social will be teaming up with/ @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social & @slair.bsky.social for a 2-year Carnegie Corps funded project. We will be working directly with commercial space on a roadmap to strengthen space security
www.carnegie.org/news/article...
www.carnegie.org/news/article...
$3.2 Million in Grants to Reduce Nuclear Dangers Awarded by Carnegie Corporation of New York | Carnegie Corporation of New York
Selected through a national call for proposals, seven grantees will explore the implications of emerging and disruptive technologies on nuclear risks
www.carnegie.org
October 15, 2025 at 8:09 PM
Very pleased to announce that @fpri.bsky.social will be teaming up with/ @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social & @slair.bsky.social for a 2-year Carnegie Corps funded project. We will be working directly with commercial space on a roadmap to strengthen space security
www.carnegie.org/news/article...
www.carnegie.org/news/article...
Reposted by Aaron Stein
The Arctic is fast becoming a new stage for geopolitical competition, and America is underprepared.#BehindTheFront buff.ly/bTXkM9h
October 14, 2025 at 8:30 PM
The Arctic is fast becoming a new stage for geopolitical competition, and America is underprepared.#BehindTheFront buff.ly/bTXkM9h
It is truly an eyebrow raising moment in history when you have a Turkish ruler -- who loves Ottoman iconography -- championing a British-run Palestinian enclave in the 2025 AD.
October 9, 2025 at 3:00 PM
It is truly an eyebrow raising moment in history when you have a Turkish ruler -- who loves Ottoman iconography -- championing a British-run Palestinian enclave in the 2025 AD.
Reposted by Aaron Stein
Can the United States afford to give away some of its most advanced undersea assets while trying to outpace China’s military expansion? Find out in #BehindTheFront buff.ly/CJ1pza5
October 8, 2025 at 3:38 PM
Can the United States afford to give away some of its most advanced undersea assets while trying to outpace China’s military expansion? Find out in #BehindTheFront buff.ly/CJ1pza5
Big announcement for @fpri.bsky.social :: FPRI Appoints Shihoko Goto as Vice President of Programs
www.fpri.org/news/2025/10...
www.fpri.org/news/2025/10...
www.fpri.org
October 1, 2025 at 2:37 PM
Big announcement for @fpri.bsky.social :: FPRI Appoints Shihoko Goto as Vice President of Programs
www.fpri.org/news/2025/10...
www.fpri.org/news/2025/10...
Reposted by Aaron Stein
By Air and by Sea: PRC Coercion of Taiwan from Trump I to Trump II buff.ly/bVW1xFD
September 30, 2025 at 9:08 PM
By Air and by Sea: PRC Coercion of Taiwan from Trump I to Trump II buff.ly/bVW1xFD
The limitation on US investment in the Turkish nuclear sector is the BOO model. Not a lack of interest historically from Westinghouse et al. It is simply too capital intensive for private entities to finance a reactor based on a fixed price of kWh purchase agreement over 20+ years.
"The partnership will likely result in the United States becoming involved in new nuclear power plant builds, and Sinop and Thrace have been identified as “the country’s next nuclear frontiers,” with a particular interest in SMRs"
nationalinterest.org/blog/energy-...
nationalinterest.org/blog/energy-...
Nuclear Energy Now – The United States and Turkey Sign a Nuclear Agreement
Underground SMRs advance, the United States and Turkey sign a nuclear energy agreement, and Russia and Iran deepen nuclear cooperation.
nationalinterest.org
September 29, 2025 at 5:23 PM
The limitation on US investment in the Turkish nuclear sector is the BOO model. Not a lack of interest historically from Westinghouse et al. It is simply too capital intensive for private entities to finance a reactor based on a fixed price of kWh purchase agreement over 20+ years.
I wasn't making it up:
US won't sell F110 w/out the F-16 and cannot sell F-110 to SSB w/out CAATSA being resolved. Can't resolve CAATSA w/out S-400 compromise. Tr also cannot "rejoin" the F-35 consortium. It can purchase F-35 but only w/ compromise on S-400. www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-...
US won't sell F110 w/out the F-16 and cannot sell F-110 to SSB w/out CAATSA being resolved. Can't resolve CAATSA w/out S-400 compromise. Tr also cannot "rejoin" the F-35 consortium. It can purchase F-35 but only w/ compromise on S-400. www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-...
September 29, 2025 at 4:43 PM
I wasn't making it up:
US won't sell F110 w/out the F-16 and cannot sell F-110 to SSB w/out CAATSA being resolved. Can't resolve CAATSA w/out S-400 compromise. Tr also cannot "rejoin" the F-35 consortium. It can purchase F-35 but only w/ compromise on S-400. www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-...
US won't sell F110 w/out the F-16 and cannot sell F-110 to SSB w/out CAATSA being resolved. Can't resolve CAATSA w/out S-400 compromise. Tr also cannot "rejoin" the F-35 consortium. It can purchase F-35 but only w/ compromise on S-400. www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-...
The always excellent @salisbot.bsky.social for @fpri.bsky.social :: The Return of Subic Bay open.substack.com/pub/behindth...
The Return of Subic Bay
Subic Bay is back in American planning.
open.substack.com
September 29, 2025 at 3:15 PM
The always excellent @salisbot.bsky.social for @fpri.bsky.social :: The Return of Subic Bay open.substack.com/pub/behindth...
More from us @fpri.bsky.social on the future of CCA
Continued Conversation About Collaborative Combat Aircraft buff.ly/aJ8dWT4
September 26, 2025 at 3:27 PM
More from us @fpri.bsky.social on the future of CCA
The US and Turkey already have a nuclear agreement --> www.energy.gov/nnsa/123-agr...
123 Agreements for Peaceful Cooperation
123 Agreements facilitate nuclear cooperation agreement for significant transfers of nuclear material, equipment, or components.
www.energy.gov
September 25, 2025 at 7:28 PM
The US and Turkey already have a nuclear agreement --> www.energy.gov/nnsa/123-agr...
Reposted by Aaron Stein
Follow FPRI's Insights Substack for updates on events, analysis, podcasts, and more! buff.ly/jprOu8N
September 24, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Follow FPRI's Insights Substack for updates on events, analysis, podcasts, and more! buff.ly/jprOu8N
US won't sell F110 w/out the F-16 and cannot sell F-110 to SSB w/out CAATSA being resolved. Can't resolve CAATSA w/out S-400 compromise. Tr also cannot "rejoin" the F-35 consortium. It can purchase F-35 but only w/ compromise on S-400. www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-...
Turkey may drop US F-16 purchase in favour of acquiring jet engines
Ankara could buy parts instead of new aircraft in bid to accelerate fifth-generation Kaan warplane project
www.middleeasteye.net
September 24, 2025 at 2:39 PM
US won't sell F110 w/out the F-16 and cannot sell F-110 to SSB w/out CAATSA being resolved. Can't resolve CAATSA w/out S-400 compromise. Tr also cannot "rejoin" the F-35 consortium. It can purchase F-35 but only w/ compromise on S-400. www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-...