Richard Weitz
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richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Richard Weitz
@richardweitzdc.bsky.social

Washington-DC based international security analyst

Political science 69%
Sociology 7%

Reposted by Richard Weitz

Reposted by Richard Weitz

Important statements on the Trump administration's arms control policy from Secretary Rubio and Undersecretary DiNanno, calling for future accords to include limits on both Russian and Chinese forces.
Rubio: statedept.substack.com/p/the-next-e...
DiNanno: www.state.gov/releases/202...
Statement to the Conference on Disarmament - United States Department of State
As Delivered Good morning colleagues. Thank you for hosting me today and for accommodating the schedule change. Thank you to Chargé Baasankhuu for Mongolia’s leadership of this year’s CD. Today marks ...
www.state.gov

Reposted by Richard Weitz

“Guetlein said the program’s central challenge is the economics of missile defense, specifically how the cost of each intercept limits how many interceptor shots the United States can afford to keep on hand.”
Golden Dome is forcing the Pentagon to confront missile defense economics
Golden Dome is forcing the Pentagon to confront missile defense economics Golden Dome is forcing the Pentagon to confront missile defense economics
spacenews.com

Its four core "lines of effort":

Line of Effort 1: Defend the U.S. Homeland
Line of Effort 2: Deter China in the Indo-Pacific Through Strength, Not Confrontation
Line of Effort 3: Increase Burden-Sharing with U.S. Allies and Partners
Line of Effort 4: Supercharge the U.S. Defense Industrial Base
The Pentagon has just released the 2026 National Defense Strategy at media.defense.gov/2026/Jan/23/...
media.defense.gov

The Pentagon has just released the 2026 National Defense Strategy at media.defense.gov/2026/Jan/23/...
media.defense.gov

China-ROK Relations on the Rebound? - Richard Weitz - South Korea has recently proven atypically successful in straddling regional tensions involving China, but Beijing’s strained relations with Washington will sorely test Seoul’s pragmatic diplomacy

www.chinausfocus.com/foreign-poli...
China-ROK Relations on the Rebound?
South Korea has recently proven atypically successful in straddling regional tensions involving China, but Beijing’s strained relations with Washington and its allies will sorely test Seoul’s pragmati...
www.chinausfocus.com

Reposted by Richard Weitz

Are you a PhD student, junior faculty member or early/mid-career national security practitioner interested in using wargaming as an analytic or teaching tool? Apply for the 2026 Summer Wargaming Lab Institute!

Learn more and apply: https://bit.ly/49DlhZj

Reposted by Richard Weitz

Moldovan President Maia Sandu said she would vote to reunify with Romania if the issue ever goes to a referendum, saying it was becoming harder for her country to “survive” on its own.
Moldova’s Sandu says she would vote for reunification with Romania 
Chișinău’s leader says the country is struggling to resist Russia and remain “sovereign.”
www.politico.eu

Reposted by Richard Weitz

"There were nearly 200 US personnel on the ground in Caracas during the operation, Hegseth said on Monday at a shipyard in Newport News, Virginia." edition.cnn.com/2026/01/06/p...
Trump officials told lawmakers that Maduro and his wife hit their heads as they attempted to flee US forces | CNN Politics
Trump administration officials told lawmakers on Monday that then Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores were injured after hitting their heads as they were fleeing US forces tr...
edition.cnn.com

Reposted by Richard Weitz

#HIRING

Don’t miss the opportunity to join RUSI as a Research Bids Manager.

Lead complex research bids, work closely with senior researchers, and help shape competitive, high-impact proposals.

Closing date: 9 January 2026

Apply today: https://bit.ly/4aZxiug

Reposted by Richard Weitz

New data on the arms industry, SIPRI Yearbook summaries in 14 languages, risk reduction in Northern Europe, and more in the December issue of the SIPRI Update newsletter ➡️ bit.ly/4p0D0PM

Subscribe today ➡️ bit.ly/SIPRIsubscribe
#SIPRI #GlobalSecurity #Data #Peace #Research
The Trump administration has quietly released its National Security Strategy — apparently late on Thursday. Usually there's a rollout and fanfare for these things: www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/u...
www.whitehouse.gov

Korea On Point just published my piece on "how the Russia–Ukraine war’s ripple effect is reshaping Asia’s security.
As Moscow, Beijing, and Pyongyang tighten ties, Seoul and Washington face rising escalation risks on the Korean Peninsula."
Read more: koreaonpoint.org/articles/art...

Reposted by Richard Weitz

Prospects for an imminent meeting between US President Donald Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin in Budapest appear to be fading, judging by new signals from Moscow.
Chances dwindle of quick Trump-Putin meeting in Budapest 
Top Russian official says “no agreement” so far on meeting between top diplomats Sergey Lavrov and Marco Rubio.
www.politico.eu

theasanforum.org/middle-east-...

This article first reviews the reactions of the Russian, Chinese, and Indian governments. The next section evaluates the reasons for their modest response. The final section considers potential future developments.
Middle East Crises Highlight Constrained Russia-China-India Cooperation - The Asan Forum
Middle East Crises Highlight Constrained Russia-China-India Cooperation Richard Weitz, Hudson Institute1 The Middle East has experienced waves of conflicts since the Hamas terrorist organization attac...
theasanforum.org

For additional analysis please see: www.hudson.org/security-all...

My analysis of the Trump-Putin summit: eagleintelreports.com/alaska-summi...

"Rather than a watershed moment in the Ukraine war and in US policy towards Russia, we should see the summit as contributing to a dynamic process that could eventually lead to a range of possible outcomes. "
Trump-Putin Alaska Summit: Shaping War and Peace
At the end of last week, the diplomatic world was shocked to learn of a potential breakthrough regarding the Russian-Ukrainian war.
eagleintelreports.com

Explaining China’s Reactive Response to the Iran War - Richard Weitz - CHINA US Focus www.chinausfocus.com/peace-securi...
Explaining China’s Reactive Response to the Iran War
China declined an opportunity to join Iran in its June 2025 confrontation with the United States and Israel. Though Beijing enjoys good relations with the Iranian regime, competing alignments and othe...
www.chinausfocus.com

Reposted by Richard Weitz

Journalists: Please join us at the @outrider.org Nuclear Reporting Summit on October 9-10!

This free, two-day event will focus on how #nuclearweapons issues intersect with AI, community health, #climatechange, local economies, and the #environment.

🔗 APPLY NOW: outrider.org/conference/2...
2025 Outrider Nuclear Reporting Summit
This fall, in a former nuclear missile silo, we'll convene journalists at the nexus of health, climate, artificial intelligence, outer space, and national security to discuss how these issues are inte...
outrider.org

Takeaways (cont.):
• A peace deal with Ukraine could allow Russia to devote more security resources to Central Asia while reducing Kazakhstan’s and Uzbekistan’s importance to sanctions circumvention.
Takeaways (cont.):
• Western sanctions have spurred Chinese, Kazakhstani, and Uzbekistani efforts to construct alternative transportation routes and pursue foreign markets outside Russian territory.
Takeaways (cont.):
• Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan have constrained their security cooperation with Russia, but their economic ties with Russia and China have strengthened substantially.

Takeaways (cont.):
• Western sanctions have spurred Chinese, Kazakhstani, and Uzbekistani efforts to construct alternative transportation routes and pursue foreign markets outside Russian territory.
Takeaways (cont.):
• Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan have constrained their security cooperation with Russia, but their economic ties with Russia and China have strengthened substantially.
Takeaways: (cont.)
• China has pursued a less assertive stance toward potential territorial conflicts in Central Asia than in other regions.
• The transformation of Eurasian energy markets promotes Sino-Russian cooperation and provides Moscow and Beijing with additional leverage over Central Asia.

Takeaways (cont.):
• Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan have constrained their security cooperation with Russia, but their economic ties with Russia and China have strengthened substantially.
Takeaways: (cont.)
• China has pursued a less assertive stance toward potential territorial conflicts in Central Asia than in other regions.
• The transformation of Eurasian energy markets promotes Sino-Russian cooperation and provides Moscow and Beijing with additional leverage over Central Asia.
Takeaways
• Central Asia has been a bellwether of the Sino-Russian relationship.
• Russia accounts for almost all of Kazakhstan’s imported weapons systems, while Uzbekistan buys most of its imported arms from Russia.

Takeaways: (cont.)
• China has pursued a less assertive stance toward potential territorial conflicts in Central Asia than in other regions.
• The transformation of Eurasian energy markets promotes Sino-Russian cooperation and provides Moscow and Beijing with additional leverage over Central Asia.
Takeaways
• Central Asia has been a bellwether of the Sino-Russian relationship.
• Russia accounts for almost all of Kazakhstan’s imported weapons systems, while Uzbekistan buys most of its imported arms from Russia.
Our fourth RSI-funded report on Russian-Chinese relations in Central Asia, “Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Central Asia: Preliminary Summary,” has been published at www.hudson.org/security-all...

Takeaways
• Central Asia has been a bellwether of the Sino-Russian relationship.
• Russia accounts for almost all of Kazakhstan’s imported weapons systems, while Uzbekistan buys most of its imported arms from Russia.
Our fourth RSI-funded report on Russian-Chinese relations in Central Asia, “Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Central Asia: Preliminary Summary,” has been published at www.hudson.org/security-all...
Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Central Asia: Preliminary Summary
View PDF Executive Summary
www.hudson.org

Our fourth RSI-funded report on Russian-Chinese relations in Central Asia, “Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Central Asia: Preliminary Summary,” has been published at www.hudson.org/security-all...
Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Central Asia: Preliminary Summary
View PDF Executive Summary
www.hudson.org

Takeaways (cont.)
• Despite differences regarding the SCO and the organization’s declining relative importance to Russia and China, the two countries have sustained a robust security partnership within the organization and in Central Asia.
Takeaways (cont.)
• Participating in SCO exercises provided the Chinese military with some of its first opportunities to rehearse power projection capabilities.
• The SCO has ceased holding its large Peace Mission series of exercises; other drills occur but less regularly.
Takeaways
• Though not a mutual defense alliance, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) remains the most important multilateral security structure in Central Asia that includes both Russia and China.

Takeaways (cont.)
• Participating in SCO exercises provided the Chinese military with some of its first opportunities to rehearse power projection capabilities.
• The SCO has ceased holding its large Peace Mission series of exercises; other drills occur but less regularly.
Takeaways
• Though not a mutual defense alliance, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) remains the most important multilateral security structure in Central Asia that includes both Russia and China.
Our third RSI-funded report on Russian-Chinese relations in Central Asia, “Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding the Shanghai Cooperation Organization,” has been published at www.hudson.org/security-all...