The moment upper ocean stratification reaches thresholds that upper ocean warming shifts even more to the upper oceans we heated the oceans too fast - 0-~300/400m depth range crucial
#climate #uöäü1OHU
Vertical mixing is already suppressed by stratification
This could then shift ocean heat uptake to shallower depths causing SSTs to accelerate...
#climate #oceans #CMIP6 #CMIP7 #IPCC #uöäü1OHU
"The services of the Southern Ocean and Antarctica — oceanic carbon sink and planetary air-conditioner — have been taken for granted. Global warming-induced shifts observed in the region are immense."
#climate #uöäü1OHU
(another mixing cluster is from marine biologists)
scitechdaily.com/secret-super...
#climate #uöäü1OHU
(another mixing cluster is from marine biologists)
scitechdaily.com/secret-super...
#climate #uöäü1OHU
"This spurious disequlibrium behavior is a substantial roadblock to understanding both internal climate variability and its response to forcing."
We are decades away to develop models able to do the job - computational power!
#climate #uöäü1OHU
Here one example of the Southern Ocean - also Northern Hemisphere we have a similar problem which can be summarized under "warming in the pipeline" building up!
#climate #uöäü1OHU
"The present-day SO stratification is found to be a possible constraint to the future heat uptake as represented using air-sea heat flux over 30°S–55°S"
They took up some 60-90% of the extra energy since 2006.
#climate #Earth #uöäü1OHU
#climate #ocean #Earth #uöäü1OHU
Ocean heat content (OHC) trend for 1958–1985 is 3.1 ZJ/yr, and since 1986, OHC trend is 9.2ZJ/yr
In 2021 to 2024 we had: 15ZJ, 19ZJ, 16ZJ, and 16ZJ respectively (IAP)
#climate #uöäü1OHU #Earth #ENSO #MHW
"Zonally Asymmetric Increase in Southern Ocean Heat Content "; journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
#climate #uöäü1OHU
"Zonally Asymmetric Increase in Southern Ocean Heat Content "; journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
#climate #uöäü1OHU
Stratification is discussed to cause the speed up of surface currents (1), while it suppresses water moments below 200m (2).
#climate #uöäü1OHU #uöäü1currents
Stratification is discussed to cause the speed up of surface currents (1), while it suppresses water moments below 200m (2).
#climate #uöäü1OHU #uöäü1currents
"The model used here, along with many state-of-the-art forced ocean models, underestimates recent ocean deoxygenation" - oops!
#climate #uöäü1OHU #uöäü1ocean
"The model used here, along with many state-of-the-art forced ocean models, underestimates recent ocean deoxygenation" - oops!
#climate #uöäü1OHU #uöäü1ocean
dx.doi.org/10.1175/2007...
#climate #uöäü1OHU
dx.doi.org/10.1175/2007...
#climate #uöäü1OHU
Its another striking example of the non-linearity now increasing in the system fast causing downstream other non-linear changes...
#climate #Earth #uöäü1OHU #uöäü1nonlinear
Its another striking example of the non-linearity now increasing in the system fast causing downstream other non-linear changes...
#climate #Earth #uöäü1OHU #uöäü1nonlinear
"The services of the Southern Ocean and Antarctica — oceanic carbon sink and planetary air-conditioner — have been taken for granted. Global warming-induced shifts observed in the region are immense."
#climate #uöäü1OHU
cumulative emissions increased since the 90s by ~50%, while ocean heat uptake rates increased two- to threefold
A recent study asks now important questions...
#climate #uöäü1feedbacks #uöäü1EEI #uöäü1OHU
cumulative emissions increased since the 90s by ~50%, while ocean heat uptake rates increased two- to threefold
A recent study asks now important questions...
#climate #uöäü1feedbacks #uöäü1EEI #uöäü1OHU
Here what they say: "The services of the Southern Ocean and Antarctica — oceanic carbon sink and planetary air-conditioner — have been taken for granted."
They have all the reasons in the world...
#climate #uöäü1OHU #uöäü1WTF
Important: recent SST jump and declining carbon sink of the oceans both point toward reduced vertical mixing in the oceans. Do not know if this is happening but looks like it could...
#climate #uöäü1OHU
Ocean heat uptake Southern Ocean - winds very important:
We found a notable difference in OHC trends between the Atlantic–Indian sector and the Pacific sector, which could be attributed to the inverse meridional heat15 advection caused by wind anomalies
#climate #uöäü1OHU #Antarctic
Ocean heat uptake Southern Ocean - winds very important:
We found a notable difference in OHC trends between the Atlantic–Indian sector and the Pacific sector, which could be attributed to the inverse meridional heat15 advection caused by wind anomalies
#climate #uöäü1OHU #Antarctic
Stupid its the mode waters!
It would be the worst case!
#climate #uöäü1OHU #uöäü1feedbacks #uöäü1MHW #MHW #Earth
Come one elites, emit more GHGs, while sinks are declining, I will fetch meanwhile the popcorn!
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
#climate #uöäü1feedback #uöäü1OHU
Come one elites, emit more GHGs, while sinks are declining, I will fetch meanwhile the popcorn!
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
#climate #uöäü1feedback #uöäü1OHU
Could be one reason behind the ongoing exceptional temperatures
Intensifying small scale ocean fronts could be one cause. In 2023 ocean heterogeneity index went rooftop
#climate #uöäü1OHU
High resolution of eddies increases surface heating of the oceans across the first 250m
Secondary errors could be huge here:
It starts with upper ocean stratification, ocean heat uptake, and global circulation patterns
#climate #uöäü2models #CMIP #IPCC #uöäü1OHU
High resolution of eddies increases surface heating of the oceans across the first 250m
Secondary errors could be huge here:
It starts with upper ocean stratification, ocean heat uptake, and global circulation patterns
#climate #uöäü2models #CMIP #IPCC #uöäü1OHU
"The redistribution of anthropogenic excess heat is a key driver of warming in the North Atlantic"; www.nature.com/articles/s43...
#climate #uöäü1OHU
"The redistribution of anthropogenic excess heat is a key driver of warming in the North Atlantic"; www.nature.com/articles/s43...
#climate #uöäü1OHU