#RecessionWatch
#RecessionWatch

We are at an economic inflection point:

1) The top 10% income HHs are sustaining consumer spending

2) U of M Consumer Sentiment falls to lowest level ever

3) U of M Future Unemployment expectations rise to highest level ever

4) Large Co. Oct layoffs (153k) largest in 20+ years
November 7, 2025 at 7:08 PM
Year-to-date job cuts: 1.1M—up 65% from 2024. Highest since pandemic-era 2020. Hiring freezes and belt-tightening signal a cooling economy. #JobCuts #RecessionWatch
November 6, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Global economic growth is projected to slow from 3.3% in 2024 to 3.2% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026, indicating a broader deceleration. Investors should brace for moderated expansion. #GlobalGrowth #EconomicOutlook #RecessionWatch 📉
October 31, 2025 at 5:23 PM
Because of the shutdown, key economic releases — inflation, jobs, consumer spending — are delayed or suspended. That makes recession forecasts murkier; some analysts warn we’re flying blind. Could hidden data worsen the policy missteps? 📉
#RecessionWatch #EconomicUncertainty #ShutdownImpact #Markets
Economy "on the brink" of recession by end of year, Moody's economist warns
In an interview with Newsweek, Mark Zandi outlined the risks to the U.S. economy and how it could skirt—or slip into—a downturn.
www.newsweek.com
October 3, 2025 at 1:51 AM
With key economic data now stalled by the shutdown, analysts warn we may be flying blind into recession territory. Moody’s Zandi already sees red flags across housing, consumer spending, and debt. Could we be hurtling into a downturn 📉?
#RecessionWatch #EconomicWarning #DataBlackout #FedPolicy
Economy "on the brink" of recession by end of year, Moody's economist warns
In an interview with Newsweek, Mark Zandi outlined the risks to the U.S. economy and how it could skirt—or slip into—a downturn.
www.newsweek.com
October 2, 2025 at 2:52 AM
When the facts change, I change my mind,what do you do, sir?”
— John Maynard Keynes

#Economy
#Keynes
#EconomicPolicy
#JobsReport
#RecessionWatch
#FedPolicy
#LaborMarket
#DataDriven
#Uncertainty
#Markets
September 9, 2025 at 4:41 PM
Rate cuts won't stimulate growth? Shocker. Guess we'll just keep... slowly... slowing. Maybe we should try *more* tariffs? Just spitballin' here. 🤷‍♂️ #Economy #GlobalFinance #USPolitics #RecessionWatch
September 6, 2025 at 12:48 AM
F*cked Fact: The US lost jobs for the first time since 2020...

#JobsReport #FckedFact #USJobs #Economy #RecessionWatch #TrendingNow
September 5, 2025 at 2:56 PM
76% of Canadian companies are bracing for a recession.
📉 51% expect it within the next 12 months.
🔎 14% say it’s already here.
New survey from Express Employment Professionals & Harris Poll.

#CanadaEconomy #RecessionWatch #BusinessTrends #TariffImpact
August 15, 2025 at 12:27 PM
"The economy is on the precipice of recession," Mark Zandi, the well-respected chief economist at Moody's Analytics tweeted after a sh*tshow week of deteriorating economic data, capped by Trump firing the BLS Commissioner messenger.
#RecessionWatch

investinglive.com/centralbank/...
August 4, 2025 at 11:34 PM
And as the economy collapses from Import Taxes (formerly "tariffs"), even the tax collectors will see less tax revenue being generated and collected.

#RecessionWatch
Nobody said that. Trump claims that tariffs have zero impact on prices that US consumers pay. We said that is false. Tariffs impact US importers, US consumers, US manufacturers, US exporters, and our trading partners overseas. Everyone loses in trade wars except tax collectors.
August 4, 2025 at 6:33 PM
And as the economy collapses from Import Taxes (formerly "tariffs"), even the tax collectors will see less tax revenue being generated and collected.

#RecessionWatch
August 4, 2025 at 6:32 PM
2/
...it seems the pace is accelerating, heading toward recession with a side dish of 80s-style Stagflation.

Trump has been teeing up to blame the Fed and Jerome Powell for any bad economic outcomes for months now, expect the volume of that song to get turned up even more.

#RecessionWatch
August 1, 2025 at 2:13 PM
Consumer confidence rose in July — but recession signals still flashing. Job optimism hit a low not seen since 2021, and 1 in 5 say jobs are hard to find.

Basically: vibes up, reality… not so much.

#Economy #RecessionWatch #ConsumerConfidence #July2025
ground.news/article/us-c...
US consumer confidence rises modestly in July
U.S. consumer confidence improved less than expected in July and households' perceptions of current job availability were the weakest in nearly 4-1/2 years, consistent with easing labor market conditi...
ground.news
July 29, 2025 at 4:06 PM
2/
And why tariffs are two sides of the same bad coin: higher consumer prices/inflation AND lower investor values/market capitalization.

Tariff impacts are only beginning. Buckle up.

#RecessionWatch
July 22, 2025 at 6:05 PM
2/
And why tariffs are two sides of the same bad coin: higher consumer prices/inflation AND lower investor values/market capitalization.

#RecessionWatch
July 22, 2025 at 3:24 PM
2/
The rest of the country did not grow, led by the Plains states (IA, KS, MN, MT, ND, NE, OK, SD, WY) where GDP shrank from 1.6% to 6.1%. (Iowa and Nebraska both posted that ugly -6.1% decline.)

Q2 GDP first estimate will be reported next week, July 30. Buckle up.
#RecessionWatch
July 21, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Between medical debt cratering FICO scores and crushing student loan repayments hobbling the economic participation of an entire generation of young adults, Trump is hellbent on hollowing out a huge swath of future economic activity.
#RecessionWatch
Medical debt or bankruptcy isn’t a sign of personal irresponsibility, it’s a sign of a country’s irresponsibility.
July 16, 2025 at 10:48 PM
Between medical debt cratering FICO scores and crushing student loan repayments hobbling the economic participation of an entire generation of young adults, Trump is hellbent on hollowing out a huge swath of future economic activity.
#RecessionWatch
Medical debt or bankruptcy isn’t a sign of personal irresponsibility, it’s a sign of a country’s irresponsibility.
July 16, 2025 at 10:47 PM
July 8, 2025 at 12:19 PM
USA in 2025: Economic woes persist amidst rising inflation andjob losses. Will recovery plans suffice? 🌍💸 #RecessionWatch #EconomyTrends learn how i got $1256 grant for my business: tinyurl.com/financialhel...
July 7, 2025 at 3:53 PM