The vast majority of Canadians agree that the COVID-19 vaccine should be free — except Conservatives:
🔴 LPC: 90%
🟠 NDP: 91%
⚜️ BQ: 79%
🔵 CPC: 44%
🔴 LPC: 90%
🟠 NDP: 91%
⚜️ BQ: 79%
🔵 CPC: 44%
Large majority of Canadians agree that the COVID-19 vaccine should be free
A large majority of Canadians agree that the COVID-19 vaccine should be free. Alberta and Quebec have begun charging for the vaccine.
cultmtl.com
November 9, 2025 at 6:39 PM
The vast majority of Canadians agree that the COVID-19 vaccine should be free — except Conservatives:
🔴 LPC: 90%
🟠 NDP: 91%
⚜️ BQ: 79%
🔵 CPC: 44%
🔴 LPC: 90%
🟠 NDP: 91%
⚜️ BQ: 79%
🔵 CPC: 44%
Bonus #1:
You probably don't appreciate how precarious the Liberal win was.
Popular vote:
LPC: 43.76%
CPC: 41.31%
Without *appropriate* strategic voting (i.e., in ridings that were clearly only between LPC and CPC), we get PM PP. And Carney is driving away progressives now.
You probably don't appreciate how precarious the Liberal win was.
Popular vote:
LPC: 43.76%
CPC: 41.31%
Without *appropriate* strategic voting (i.e., in ridings that were clearly only between LPC and CPC), we get PM PP. And Carney is driving away progressives now.
November 9, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Bonus #1:
You probably don't appreciate how precarious the Liberal win was.
Popular vote:
LPC: 43.76%
CPC: 41.31%
Without *appropriate* strategic voting (i.e., in ridings that were clearly only between LPC and CPC), we get PM PP. And Carney is driving away progressives now.
You probably don't appreciate how precarious the Liberal win was.
Popular vote:
LPC: 43.76%
CPC: 41.31%
Without *appropriate* strategic voting (i.e., in ridings that were clearly only between LPC and CPC), we get PM PP. And Carney is driving away progressives now.
#BirdOfTheDay being #StandingOnThings (by @robcrank68.bsky.social)
A Little Pied Cormorant and a Little Grey Cormorant
(Need to open the photo to see the LPC)
A Little Pied Cormorant and a Little Grey Cormorant
(Need to open the photo to see the LPC)
November 9, 2025 at 8:58 AM
#BirdOfTheDay being #StandingOnThings (by @robcrank68.bsky.social)
A Little Pied Cormorant and a Little Grey Cormorant
(Need to open the photo to see the LPC)
A Little Pied Cormorant and a Little Grey Cormorant
(Need to open the photo to see the LPC)
The LPC is the most Regime-pilled party in the democratic West.
November 8, 2025 at 2:17 PM
The LPC is the most Regime-pilled party in the democratic West.
Bonus #2:
Carney does not in any sense have a strong mandate.
i) It's a minority government.
ii) LPC had support from 30% of the electorate. (43.76% x 69.5% turnout).
Carney does not in any sense have a strong mandate.
i) It's a minority government.
ii) LPC had support from 30% of the electorate. (43.76% x 69.5% turnout).
November 9, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Bonus #2:
Carney does not in any sense have a strong mandate.
i) It's a minority government.
ii) LPC had support from 30% of the electorate. (43.76% x 69.5% turnout).
Carney does not in any sense have a strong mandate.
i) It's a minority government.
ii) LPC had support from 30% of the electorate. (43.76% x 69.5% turnout).
My MP is Aaron Gunn, a far-right SM influencer who has praised Trump, Putin & Musk. He’s my MP cuz this LPC candidate split the vote in a riding that hasn’t gone LPC in over 50 years.
I’m nonpartisan & vote strategically. Can someone explain to Jen how another vote split will benefit only the CPC?
I’m nonpartisan & vote strategically. Can someone explain to Jen how another vote split will benefit only the CPC?
November 11, 2025 at 2:40 AM
My MP is Aaron Gunn, a far-right SM influencer who has praised Trump, Putin & Musk. He’s my MP cuz this LPC candidate split the vote in a riding that hasn’t gone LPC in over 50 years.
I’m nonpartisan & vote strategically. Can someone explain to Jen how another vote split will benefit only the CPC?
I’m nonpartisan & vote strategically. Can someone explain to Jen how another vote split will benefit only the CPC?
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:
🔴 LPC: 171 (+2)
🔵 CPC: 135 (-9)
⚜️ BQ: 23 (+1)
🟠 NDP: 12 (+5)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- November 8, 2025 -
Full model article here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/is-a-liber...
🔴 LPC: 171 (+2)
🔵 CPC: 135 (-9)
⚜️ BQ: 23 (+1)
🟠 NDP: 12 (+5)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- November 8, 2025 -
Full model article here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/is-a-liber...
Is a Liberal Majority on the Table?
While they slip in the latest polls, floor crossing drama has inched them even closer to a majority in parliament
canadianpolling.substack.com
November 10, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:
🔴 LPC: 171 (+2)
🔵 CPC: 135 (-9)
⚜️ BQ: 23 (+1)
🟠 NDP: 12 (+5)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- November 8, 2025 -
Full model article here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/is-a-liber...
🔴 LPC: 171 (+2)
🔵 CPC: 135 (-9)
⚜️ BQ: 23 (+1)
🟠 NDP: 12 (+5)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- November 8, 2025 -
Full model article here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/is-a-liber...
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:
🔴 LPC: 171 (+2)
🔵 CPC: 135 (-9)
⚜️ BQ: 23 (+1)
🟠 NDP: 12 (+5)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- November 8, 2025 -
Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...
🔴 LPC: 171 (+2)
🔵 CPC: 135 (-9)
⚜️ BQ: 23 (+1)
🟠 NDP: 12 (+5)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- November 8, 2025 -
Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...
Is a Liberal Majority on the Table?
While they slip in the latest polls, floor crossing drama has inched them even closer to a majority in parliament
open.substack.com
November 8, 2025 at 1:53 PM
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:
🔴 LPC: 171 (+2)
🔵 CPC: 135 (-9)
⚜️ BQ: 23 (+1)
🟠 NDP: 12 (+5)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- November 8, 2025 -
Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...
🔴 LPC: 171 (+2)
🔵 CPC: 135 (-9)
⚜️ BQ: 23 (+1)
🟠 NDP: 12 (+5)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- November 8, 2025 -
Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...
(Support Me By Subscribing/Donating)
Federal Polling:
LPC: 44% (-)
CPC: 36% (-5)
NDP: 10% (+4)
BQ: 6% (-)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)
Liaison / Nov 8, 2025 / n=899 / MOE 3.1% / IVR
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
Federal Polling:
LPC: 44% (-)
CPC: 36% (-5)
NDP: 10% (+4)
BQ: 6% (-)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)
Liaison / Nov 8, 2025 / n=899 / MOE 3.1% / IVR
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
November 10, 2025 at 5:20 PM
(Support Me By Subscribing/Donating)
Federal Polling:
LPC: 44% (-)
CPC: 36% (-5)
NDP: 10% (+4)
BQ: 6% (-)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)
Liaison / Nov 8, 2025 / n=899 / MOE 3.1% / IVR
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
Federal Polling:
LPC: 44% (-)
CPC: 36% (-5)
NDP: 10% (+4)
BQ: 6% (-)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)
Liaison / Nov 8, 2025 / n=899 / MOE 3.1% / IVR
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
Considering PM Carney‘s office made time for 177 meetings w/ oil/gas industry, it’s clear Cdns are mere fodder for LPC Govt’s plan for oil/gas revenues.
Indigenous communities & Cdns’ well being be damned:
“Tuccaro said his community has sent letter and
www.nationalobserver.com/2025/11/06/n...
Indigenous communities & Cdns’ well being be damned:
“Tuccaro said his community has sent letter and
www.nationalobserver.com/2025/11/06/n...
Alberta chiefs say oilsands causing cancer surge, call for halt to tailings plan
Indigenous leaders in Alberta say unchecked oilsands development is devastating their land and could be linked to rising cancer rates in their communities.
www.nationalobserver.com
November 9, 2025 at 8:39 PM
Considering PM Carney‘s office made time for 177 meetings w/ oil/gas industry, it’s clear Cdns are mere fodder for LPC Govt’s plan for oil/gas revenues.
Indigenous communities & Cdns’ well being be damned:
“Tuccaro said his community has sent letter and
www.nationalobserver.com/2025/11/06/n...
Indigenous communities & Cdns’ well being be damned:
“Tuccaro said his community has sent letter and
www.nationalobserver.com/2025/11/06/n...
(Support Me By Subscribing/Donating)
Federal Polling:
CPC: 41% (-)
LPC: 40% (-4)
NDP: 8% (+2)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)
Abacus / Nov 6, 2025 / n=1679 / Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
Federal Polling:
CPC: 41% (-)
LPC: 40% (-4)
NDP: 8% (+2)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)
Abacus / Nov 6, 2025 / n=1679 / Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
November 10, 2025 at 5:26 PM
(Support Me By Subscribing/Donating)
Federal Polling:
CPC: 41% (-)
LPC: 40% (-4)
NDP: 8% (+2)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)
Abacus / Nov 6, 2025 / n=1679 / Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
Federal Polling:
CPC: 41% (-)
LPC: 40% (-4)
NDP: 8% (+2)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)
Abacus / Nov 6, 2025 / n=1679 / Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
The BQ, 2025Q3, had 956 donors who gave an average of $108.29. CPC was 53,725 donors/average of $78.80. LPC had most donor — 77,064 — but they gave just $38.39 on average. NDP 30,677 / average of $28.64.
The per capita donations for the CPC, LPC, NDP were the lowest in a decade. #cdnpoli
The per capita donations for the CPC, LPC, NDP were the lowest in a decade. #cdnpoli
November 9, 2025 at 2:16 PM
The BQ, 2025Q3, had 956 donors who gave an average of $108.29. CPC was 53,725 donors/average of $78.80. LPC had most donor — 77,064 — but they gave just $38.39 on average. NDP 30,677 / average of $28.64.
The per capita donations for the CPC, LPC, NDP were the lowest in a decade. #cdnpoli
The per capita donations for the CPC, LPC, NDP were the lowest in a decade. #cdnpoli
CPC has long dominated #cdnpoli $raising but in the last 2 quarters, #LPC is catching up. This chart shows LPC $raising totals as a total of what the CPC raised. For 25Q3, LPC was at 92%. Carney became leader in Q1. Poilievre became Ldr in 22Q3. Data: Elections Canada. Calculations & Chart: Me.
November 11, 2025 at 9:39 PM
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Léger:
🔴LPC 43%
🔵CPC 38%
⚜️BQ 7% (32% in QC)
🟠NDP 7%
🟢GPC 4%
→ 338canada.com/20251101-leg...
[Léger, Oct.31-Nov.2, 2025, n=1,585]
#canpoli
🔴LPC 43%
🔵CPC 38%
⚜️BQ 7% (32% in QC)
🟠NDP 7%
🟢GPC 4%
→ 338canada.com/20251101-leg...
[Léger, Oct.31-Nov.2, 2025, n=1,585]
#canpoli
338Canada | Leger federal poll, November 2025
338canada.com
November 7, 2025 at 12:33 PM
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Léger:
🔴LPC 43%
🔵CPC 38%
⚜️BQ 7% (32% in QC)
🟠NDP 7%
🟢GPC 4%
→ 338canada.com/20251101-leg...
[Léger, Oct.31-Nov.2, 2025, n=1,585]
#canpoli
🔴LPC 43%
🔵CPC 38%
⚜️BQ 7% (32% in QC)
🟠NDP 7%
🟢GPC 4%
→ 338canada.com/20251101-leg...
[Léger, Oct.31-Nov.2, 2025, n=1,585]
#canpoli
It would be really, really funny if the LPC budget passed with an LPC majority vote due to floor crossers.
Pierre definitely does not survive the leadership review if his leadership style costs the PCs an election with a huge lead and also gives the LPC a majority.
Pierre definitely does not survive the leadership review if his leadership style costs the PCs an election with a huge lead and also gives the LPC a majority.
November 6, 2025 at 2:10 PM
It would be really, really funny if the LPC budget passed with an LPC majority vote due to floor crossers.
Pierre definitely does not survive the leadership review if his leadership style costs the PCs an election with a huge lead and also gives the LPC a majority.
Pierre definitely does not survive the leadership review if his leadership style costs the PCs an election with a huge lead and also gives the LPC a majority.
Since #Budget2025 was tabled @mark-carney.bsky.social’s lead on the Conservatives has grown from 4 to 8 points.
The LPC lead is now statistically significant
- by 14 points in Ontario
- by 10 points in BC
#cdnpoli
The LPC lead is now statistically significant
- by 14 points in Ontario
- by 10 points in BC
#cdnpoli
November 10, 2025 at 11:33 AM
Since #Budget2025 was tabled @mark-carney.bsky.social’s lead on the Conservatives has grown from 4 to 8 points.
The LPC lead is now statistically significant
- by 14 points in Ontario
- by 10 points in BC
#cdnpoli
The LPC lead is now statistically significant
- by 14 points in Ontario
- by 10 points in BC
#cdnpoli
(Support Me By Subscribing/Donating)
Federal Polling:
LPC: 40% (-4)
CPC: 37% (-4)
NDP: 11% (+5)
BQ: 8% (+2)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)
Nanos / November 7, 2025 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
Federal Polling:
LPC: 40% (-4)
CPC: 37% (-4)
NDP: 11% (+5)
BQ: 8% (+2)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)
Nanos / November 7, 2025 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
November 10, 2025 at 10:49 PM
(Support Me By Subscribing/Donating)
Federal Polling:
LPC: 40% (-4)
CPC: 37% (-4)
NDP: 11% (+5)
BQ: 8% (+2)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)
Nanos / November 7, 2025 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
Federal Polling:
LPC: 40% (-4)
CPC: 37% (-4)
NDP: 11% (+5)
BQ: 8% (+2)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)
Nanos / November 7, 2025 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
If anything, I think he needs to understand that his temporary voter coalition will collapse if he continues to steer us to the right.
I'm already hearing a lot of regret from NDP voters who went LPC this time around, and even from some LPC voters who expected Carney to continue Trudeau's policies.
I'm already hearing a lot of regret from NDP voters who went LPC this time around, and even from some LPC voters who expected Carney to continue Trudeau's policies.
November 9, 2025 at 3:26 PM
If anything, I think he needs to understand that his temporary voter coalition will collapse if he continues to steer us to the right.
I'm already hearing a lot of regret from NDP voters who went LPC this time around, and even from some LPC voters who expected Carney to continue Trudeau's policies.
I'm already hearing a lot of regret from NDP voters who went LPC this time around, and even from some LPC voters who expected Carney to continue Trudeau's policies.
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Liaison Strategies:
🔴LPC 44%
🔵CPC 36%
🟠NDP 10%
⚜️BQ 6% (24% in QC)
🟢GPC 2%
🟣PPC 1%
→ 338canada.com/20251108-lia...
[Liaison Strategies, November 7-8, 2025, n=1,000]
#canpoli
🔴LPC 44%
🔵CPC 36%
🟠NDP 10%
⚜️BQ 6% (24% in QC)
🟢GPC 2%
🟣PPC 1%
→ 338canada.com/20251108-lia...
[Liaison Strategies, November 7-8, 2025, n=1,000]
#canpoli
338Canada | Liaison Strategies federal poll, November 2025
338canada.com
November 10, 2025 at 12:34 PM
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Liaison Strategies:
🔴LPC 44%
🔵CPC 36%
🟠NDP 10%
⚜️BQ 6% (24% in QC)
🟢GPC 2%
🟣PPC 1%
→ 338canada.com/20251108-lia...
[Liaison Strategies, November 7-8, 2025, n=1,000]
#canpoli
🔴LPC 44%
🔵CPC 36%
🟠NDP 10%
⚜️BQ 6% (24% in QC)
🟢GPC 2%
🟣PPC 1%
→ 338canada.com/20251108-lia...
[Liaison Strategies, November 7-8, 2025, n=1,000]
#canpoli
(Support Me By Subscribing/Donating)
Federal Polling:
LPC: 43% (-1)
CPC: 38% (-3)
NDP: 7% (+1)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 4% (+3)
Others: 2%
Leger / Nov 2, 2025 / n=1356 / Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
Federal Polling:
LPC: 43% (-1)
CPC: 38% (-3)
NDP: 7% (+1)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 4% (+3)
Others: 2%
Leger / Nov 2, 2025 / n=1356 / Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
November 7, 2025 at 4:47 PM
(Support Me By Subscribing/Donating)
Federal Polling:
LPC: 43% (-1)
CPC: 38% (-3)
NDP: 7% (+1)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 4% (+3)
Others: 2%
Leger / Nov 2, 2025 / n=1356 / Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
Federal Polling:
LPC: 43% (-1)
CPC: 38% (-3)
NDP: 7% (+1)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 4% (+3)
Others: 2%
Leger / Nov 2, 2025 / n=1356 / Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
Trudeau being named leader of the LPC a decade ago fried his brain. He’s been weird for a while.
November 10, 2025 at 7:53 PM
Trudeau being named leader of the LPC a decade ago fried his brain. He’s been weird for a while.
As I've argued before, I think it's possible to see the outlines of a strong Labour platform if you combine the liberalism of Carney's LPC, the developmentalism and commitment to growth and affordability of Sánchez's PSOE, and the broad-based egalitarianism of Nordic social democrats.
It's not an issue of left and right in the traditional sense.
One can imagine an alternative Labour platform: firmly in the centre ground economically, defiantly liberal, clear that our national geopolitical interest lies with Europe and not the US, proactive in its appointments to public bodies.
One can imagine an alternative Labour platform: firmly in the centre ground economically, defiantly liberal, clear that our national geopolitical interest lies with Europe and not the US, proactive in its appointments to public bodies.
November 11, 2025 at 10:02 AM
As I've argued before, I think it's possible to see the outlines of a strong Labour platform if you combine the liberalism of Carney's LPC, the developmentalism and commitment to growth and affordability of Sánchez's PSOE, and the broad-based egalitarianism of Nordic social democrats.
Poilievre losses in 2025
- Glasses
- Political nemesis
- 25 point lead in polls
- General election
- His seat (riding)
- A caucus member to LPC
- MP from caucus
Conservatives for the WIN!
#cdnpoli
- Glasses
- Political nemesis
- 25 point lead in polls
- General election
- His seat (riding)
- A caucus member to LPC
- MP from caucus
Conservatives for the WIN!
#cdnpoli
November 7, 2025 at 5:20 PM
Poilievre losses in 2025
- Glasses
- Political nemesis
- 25 point lead in polls
- General election
- His seat (riding)
- A caucus member to LPC
- MP from caucus
Conservatives for the WIN!
#cdnpoli
- Glasses
- Political nemesis
- 25 point lead in polls
- General election
- His seat (riding)
- A caucus member to LPC
- MP from caucus
Conservatives for the WIN!
#cdnpoli
He left the party as soon as Poilievre was elected leader. He clearly didn't support his leadership right from the beginning.
www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...
www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...
Quebec MP Alain Rayes leaves Conservatives to sit as Independent after Poilievre win | CBC News
Quebec MP Alain Rayes is leaving the federal Conservative Party, citing its new leader Pierre Poilievre as the reason for his departure.
www.cbc.ca
November 7, 2025 at 12:17 AM