The brotherly ppl of #Ethiopia & #Eritrea need peace. An #ENDF attack on #Assab would very likely trigger an #Eritrean #Tigrayan counter from #Tigray & the north pincering 🇪🇹’s #Afar & cutting #ENDF supply lines. Local Afar might assist #EDF🇪🇷. #Amhara #Fano would grab its chance. #Houthi #Sudan

#ENDF struggled sign. against #TPLF w high losses & relied on #Eritrean & #Amhara forces to prevent total collapse. Its best officers were purged & it is stretched. #Ethiopian #Afars are not interested in a prolonged war against their brothers & #EDF🇪🇷 unlike ENDF is still intact. #Asmara #Ethiopia