Steve Marsh
yesyeswins3.bsky.social
Steve Marsh
@yesyeswins3.bsky.social
Horse racing fan since the early sixties. My first decent win was on Stalbridge Colonist to beat Arkle in the 1966 Hennessey, £3 @ 7/1 (that was decent win for an 18yo in 1966).

Only interested in #hkracing nowadays.
Looking forward to waking up tomorrow and seeing that Lake Forest has taken the Queen Anne at Royal Ascot. He was such a great winner of the Golden Eagle in AUS last year that I have got to support him again, EW.
🤞🤞🤞
June 17, 2025 at 6:30 AM
Great race in the Hong Kong Derby in prospect on Sunday, but I must say that I am pretty disappointed with the undercard, highlighted by an 8 runner C2. Last year there was an exciting C1 sprint. Oh well, back to Wan Chai after the Derby and watch the rest in the Stadium.
March 17, 2025 at 9:48 AM
Lucky With You looks overs in race 8 at Sha Tin today. Currently 11/2 in the UK, 7.3 in HK, though I think he will shorten. Class 1 is right for him, very good win LTO in C1 but today will be a bit harder. EW @ 11/2 seems value to me.

#hkracing
March 9, 2025 at 3:38 AM
Great race coming up at Sha Tin in the Classic Cup.

It's so difficult to be confident, but I'm siding with Noisy Boy. 1800m may be on the short side and draw not great, but has a great jockey who I always like on my side.

Currently 10/1 in the UK, which is fair value IMO.

#hkracing
March 2, 2025 at 6:26 AM
Sha Tin R8 C2
The winner Johannes Brahms was so interesting for me. LTO in the Classic Mile, it's like he wasn't at the races, ran wide, joc dropped the whip, finished last. Today, great run and heavily backed just before the off, just got up.
WTF
#skyracing #hkracing
February 16, 2025 at 9:21 AM
Sha Tin - R7 C2 1200m on AW

I'm quite keen on Flying Ace in this race. He has the best speed ratings and can show a great TOF. Had one run on AW last season, and ran fast, just missing by a short head. Currently trading at around 14/1 in UK which is good value IMO. Nice EW bet.
#racingsky #hkracing
February 11, 2025 at 11:56 PM
Perfect conditions here at Sha Tin today.

I'm quite keen on Stunning Peach in the G3

The Classic Mile is harder, but I just prefer Rubylot over Markwin.

Kung Hei Fat Choy

#skyracing
January 31, 2025 at 4:17 AM
Sitting here in the Wan Chai Stadium, studying form for Fridays Sha Tin races. Cora's gone shopping. Really good racing on Friday, initial fancies are Stunning Peach in R4 and Markwin in the Classic Mile. Ok one more Blue Girl if you insist.
January 28, 2025 at 9:56 AM
Sha Tin R10 200m C2

I'm quite keen on outsider Noisy Boy in this race. Currently overs in the UK at about 25/1 (13/1 in HK). He has G2 form in AUS over the distance and his last run in HK was when he won a very fast C3 over 2200m.

Decent EW play

#hkracing
January 19, 2025 at 12:17 AM
Wings Of War wins the last at Sha Tin, carrying the famous Jim Joel colours of black jacket and scarlet cap. Made famous in yesteryear by the likes of Royal Palace winner of the Epsom Derby, ridden by Aussie George Moore, father of John Moore.
January 15, 2025 at 5:53 PM
Sha Tin Race 7 - C2 1400m

The overlays according to the HKJC Tips Index are currently Packing Hermod, Rubylot and Johannes B.

I'm pretty strong on Rubylot.

I need to do some stats on the Tips Index. Looks a useful tool.

#hkracing #skyracing
January 12, 2025 at 7:17 AM
Sha Tin R8 1400m G3

My preference is for Red Lion from the John Size stable that has only recently been showing good form. He has a high draw to contend with but the jockey booking and the rise in body weight imply to me that this is his target.
noguessingwhenbetting.blogspot.com?m=1
#HKRacing
No Guessing When Betting
noguessingwhenbetting.blogspot.com
January 1, 2025 at 1:01 AM
Sha Tin R10 - 1200m C2

I'm going for a small EW bet on Gorgeous Win. The fast pace today may allow him to drop in and save ground then use his good TOF to finish well. Currently 14/1 in the UK which is decent value in my book.

noguessingwhenbetting.blogspot.com?m=1

#horseracing #racingsky
No Guessing When Betting
noguessingwhenbetting.blogspot.com
December 22, 2024 at 1:20 AM
#HKIR Selections

WITHOUT A FIGHT in the Vase, though not sure that he will live up to his name

JANTAR MANTAR in the Mile, future star, though a bit worried that he hasn't raced for a long time.

For me the Sprint and Cup are not betting races.

Good luck to all.
December 8, 2024 at 4:33 AM
#HKIR Hong Kong Mile

Short list of two, both lightly raced young foreigners who have shown top class form at home and who are open to improvement.

Jantar Mantar from Japan
Lazzat from France

noguessingwhenbetting.blogspot.com

#horseracing #racingsky
No Guessing When Betting
noguessingwhenbetting.blogspot.com
November 30, 2024 at 2:01 AM
Sha Tin Race 7 - 1600m C2

Green N White has improved this season and may well continue to a higher level.

Young Champion is expected to deliver better results this season, targeting the 4YO series.

Win bet on each, both at around 5/1.

noguessingwhenbetting.blogspot.com

#horseracing #racingsky
No Guessing When Betting
noguessingwhenbetting.blogspot.com
November 24, 2024 at 12:53 AM
Happy Wednesday Race 8

Cracking C2 sprint, looking for a bit of value. I'm going for a Gorgeous Win, ridden by JMac to hopefully make a big improvement from LTO. Has a good TOF, best of the field on my figures.

Small EW bet at 12/1 in UK looks good to me.
November 20, 2024 at 12:08 AM