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World Climate Service
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We assist Energy Meteorologists in enhancing the accuracy of their long-range forecasts while streamlining their workflow to save valuable time. https://www.worldclimateservice.com/
Improve your weather-based trading via a discussion with the World Climate Service team at next week’s Energy Trading Week Americas in Houston. We’ll be exhibiting at ETWA October 29-30. Secure your spot & visit our exhibition: energytradingweek.com/etwa25-world...

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October 22, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Quite cold - comparable to 2014 for the lower 48 overall if ECMWF is to be believed
January 11, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Quote from the US #natgas market:

“Forecasts are for a warm Feb. BUT - of the seven >1000 GWHDD Januarys since 1990, all but one were followed by a colder than normal Feb"

It's true: a warm Feb would be unusual after such a cold Jan. But subseasonal models are pointing that way
January 10, 2025 at 5:28 PM
From December 28, 2024 EC46 forecast - it's rare to see such a strong probability signal for unusual cold in the mid-latitudes at week 3.

High (calibrated) probabilities require BOTH a strong ensemble signal and a good degree of model skill
December 30, 2024 at 4:34 PM
Niño3.4 SSTs have risen back to the 1991-2020 normal, thanks to recent strong westerly wind anomalies over the eastern equatorial Pacific.

This is a pretty striking failure of the seasonal models, especially given their high skill scores for autumn-initialized ENSO forecasts.
November 15, 2024 at 2:27 PM