The funny part is both camps are equally confident. AI is simultaneously the biggest scam since tulips and the most transformative tech since the internet. Reality is probably somewhere boring in between where it's genuinely useful but not magic.

Shelter costs are basically the last domino. Once those lease renewals from 2023-2024 cycle through, the headline number drops fast. The lag effect on rent data always makes inflation look stickier than it actually is.

Two of his own companies competing against each other in the same Pentagon bid. That's a new level of conflict of interest nobody even wrote rules for yet.

The stat that gets me is how distorted social media makes this look. People posting their portfolio gains at 28 while 90% of 40 year olds haven't hit $500K. Survivorship bias is real and it changes how people assess their own progress.