Will Solfiac
willsolfiac.bsky.social
Will Solfiac
@willsolfiac.bsky.social
Writing on politics, demography and social commentary at https://www.willsolfiac.com
The Trump approach would only make sense if the system itself had broken down so much that leading it no longer provided anything positive for America. But this is not the case, and therefore the actions of the Trump admin are a premature abdication of power.
April 13, 2025 at 2:49 PM
The Trump admin’s actions are those of someone who wants to abandon their role in heading and shaping the system, for the opportunity to dominate within it. But while this can feel like it’s a greater form of power, it’s actually not.
April 13, 2025 at 2:49 PM
Who has more power, the person who picks up the bill in the restaurant, or the person who gets the free dinner?

And who has more power, the headteacher of a school, or the biggest kid in the playground?
April 13, 2025 at 2:49 PM
I'll be publishing an extended version on substack in a week or so too.
March 10, 2025 at 8:48 PM
It seems most likely that we simply can import healthcare workers due to the English language, rather than that we must.

We need to recognise that despite underlying realities of the ageing population etc, our extreme reliance is a choice, not an inevitability.
March 10, 2025 at 8:48 PM
Britain and interestingly, Ireland, are the big outliers in Europe. But contrary to what it often said, Britain doesn't actually lose that many graduate doctors to e.g. Australia, nor do we get our health service on the cheap via imported labour compared to other countries.
March 10, 2025 at 8:48 PM
The NHS and the care system is of course highly reliant on immigration (36% of hospital doctors and 30% of nurses), but we are an extreme case. Before the Boriswave the rates, especially of nurses and care workers, were significantly lower - policy still makes a big difference.
March 10, 2025 at 8:48 PM
Source for US healthcare spending:
www.cms.gov/data-researc...
Research, Statistics, Data & Systems | CMS
cms.gov
November 26, 2024 at 8:00 PM
Source for total UK health expenditure: ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...
Healthcare expenditure, UK Health Accounts - Office for National Statistics
Healthcare expenditure statistics for 1997 to 2023.
ons.gov.uk
November 26, 2024 at 8:00 PM
And due to ageing populations, the same problems are inexorably increasing spending are common to both.
November 26, 2024 at 8:00 PM
Total US health spending was 17.3% of GDP in 2022, a much higher total percentage than in Britain (11.1%).

39% of spending in the US is public (Medicare and Medicaid) vs 82% in Britain.

But because total spending is higher, as a % of GDP the US publicly funded % is still high.
November 26, 2024 at 8:00 PM
So British public spending is about 1.5x America's. But nearly all British people also *use* the healthcare they are paying for.

Whereas the American taxpayer does not use the healthcare they pay taxes for, it goes to the retired/disabled (Medicare) and the poor (Medicaid).
November 26, 2024 at 8:00 PM
I already wrote on Sweden and Denmark on substack. Will follow the Netherlands and might write on it too.

www.willsolfiac.com/p/getting-to...

www.willsolfiac.com/p/live-laugh...
Getting to Denmark on immigration: how to speak softly and carry a big stick
Denmark's immigration policy: how much is it a model to follow?
www.willsolfiac.com
November 24, 2024 at 10:00 PM
I've thought for a long time that the only way Germany could become less insane on asylum is if their closest European partners basically forcibly changed the European norm.
November 24, 2024 at 10:00 PM
- Removal of the automatic right to a permanent residence permit after 5 years. Now asylum seekers may still be required to return once it is deemed safe.

Given that this worked in Denmark and Sweden, I'd expect it to work in the Netherlands too.

How long till Germany follows.
November 24, 2024 at 9:50 PM
Mine discusses Sweden's change, how it came about, and what it really means. Basically, asylum has been cut. Other forms have not yet, but may be in future. And indeed it does have lessons for Britain.

www.willsolfiac.com/p/live-laugh...
Live, Laugh, Leave: Has Sweden adopted the pantsuit model of migration?
Are their recent changes merely cosmetic or do they herald something real? And how have things progressed in Denmark, Italy, Britain and Europe more widely?
www.willsolfiac.com
November 24, 2024 at 1:54 PM