@whyby25.bsky.social
Both Erdogan in Turkiye and Orban in Hungary were actually popular for a long time when they took over. Enough time to bring the state, media and judiciary under their control.
It takes time to transform a state into a failed democracy.
It takes time to transform a state into a failed democracy.
August 10, 2025 at 5:22 AM
Both Erdogan in Turkiye and Orban in Hungary were actually popular for a long time when they took over. Enough time to bring the state, media and judiciary under their control.
It takes time to transform a state into a failed democracy.
It takes time to transform a state into a failed democracy.
Amazing show that really landed their final.
June 20, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Amazing show that really landed their final.
The legal case against image creation AI always seemed stronger then against text base LLM.
June 11, 2025 at 5:23 PM
The legal case against image creation AI always seemed stronger then against text base LLM.
Zohran> Cuomo is easy. Would still rank other candidates over both of them.
June 10, 2025 at 6:18 PM
Zohran> Cuomo is easy. Would still rank other candidates over both of them.
This approach is fine but not enough. The average midterm voter is above 50.
Need to run different messaging campaign for the younger voters.
Need to run different messaging campaign for the younger voters.
June 7, 2025 at 2:46 PM
This approach is fine but not enough. The average midterm voter is above 50.
Need to run different messaging campaign for the younger voters.
Need to run different messaging campaign for the younger voters.
The choice is between passing a bad bill or facing tens of millions in attack ads from the crypto lobby. Sucks either way
May 14, 2025 at 6:04 PM
The choice is between passing a bad bill or facing tens of millions in attack ads from the crypto lobby. Sucks either way
Right now we are overwhelmingly still on pre-tariff inventory. The average voter is only minorly impacted so far. Once that pre-tarriff inventory is gone the political pressure will rise a lot.
May 11, 2025 at 9:34 PM
Right now we are overwhelmingly still on pre-tariff inventory. The average voter is only minorly impacted so far. Once that pre-tarriff inventory is gone the political pressure will rise a lot.
China just like many other countries will find out that lowering the birthrate is much much easier then raising it. I expect the one child policy to be widely considered a mistake in the next decade.
May 10, 2025 at 12:45 PM
China just like many other countries will find out that lowering the birthrate is much much easier then raising it. I expect the one child policy to be widely considered a mistake in the next decade.
Knowing the case history, discovery is not going well.
May 7, 2025 at 1:44 PM
Knowing the case history, discovery is not going well.
Jamming members has worked for both parties a lot of times. Though normally you have more margin of error then 3 house members.
May 6, 2025 at 3:44 PM
Jamming members has worked for both parties a lot of times. Though normally you have more margin of error then 3 house members.
Ken Martin doesn't want the Democratic Party to be neutral in primaries. He wants DNC officers to stay out of primaries. Those are two very different things.
April 24, 2025 at 5:27 PM
Ken Martin doesn't want the Democratic Party to be neutral in primaries. He wants DNC officers to stay out of primaries. Those are two very different things.
Even AIPAC doesn't have unlimited funds. Just MI-SEN alone will take tens of millions. Is that race a high priority for AIPAC?
April 23, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Even AIPAC doesn't have unlimited funds. Just MI-SEN alone will take tens of millions. Is that race a high priority for AIPAC?
Now I'm worried we will get flooded with news while you are away.
April 15, 2025 at 5:42 PM
Now I'm worried we will get flooded with news while you are away.
The government gets a lot of deference in court. The same instruments used against private litigants can be used against the government.
I expect contempt hearings combined with putting administration officals under oath.
I expect contempt hearings combined with putting administration officals under oath.
April 11, 2025 at 4:39 PM
The government gets a lot of deference in court. The same instruments used against private litigants can be used against the government.
I expect contempt hearings combined with putting administration officals under oath.
I expect contempt hearings combined with putting administration officals under oath.
Just like Trump rustbelt dems are struggling with manufacturing/union nostalgia. Union members are increasingly in service sectors. Whitmer and her team overestimate the amount of voters there are for a old school union candidate in the 2028 primary
April 10, 2025 at 3:33 AM
Just like Trump rustbelt dems are struggling with manufacturing/union nostalgia. Union members are increasingly in service sectors. Whitmer and her team overestimate the amount of voters there are for a old school union candidate in the 2028 primary
First never trust the WH. Second leave the second you find out about it. Then find the closest reporter and blast Trump.
April 9, 2025 at 8:52 PM
First never trust the WH. Second leave the second you find out about it. Then find the closest reporter and blast Trump.
The primary attack ads write themselves. ''Instead of fighting she just stood there as Trump attacked our democracy''
April 9, 2025 at 8:45 PM
The primary attack ads write themselves. ''Instead of fighting she just stood there as Trump attacked our democracy''
The next dem administration will be less pro-union. There won't be another pension bailout for unions.
April 7, 2025 at 7:04 PM
The next dem administration will be less pro-union. There won't be another pension bailout for unions.
No cuts to Medicaid, just getting rid of fraud. A very expansive view of ''fraud''
April 2, 2025 at 8:55 PM
No cuts to Medicaid, just getting rid of fraud. A very expansive view of ''fraud''
The study has not looked at 2024 data... While the actual debate is about the shifting coalition in 2024.
April 2, 2025 at 5:43 PM
The study has not looked at 2024 data... While the actual debate is about the shifting coalition in 2024.
Voter-ID has outperformed republicans by a lot on average.
April 2, 2025 at 1:36 AM
Voter-ID has outperformed republicans by a lot on average.
My prediction was +8. I'm optimistic
April 2, 2025 at 1:35 AM
My prediction was +8. I'm optimistic
Sometimes it's really hard not to say: Imagine if Biden said it.
March 29, 2025 at 11:46 PM
Sometimes it's really hard not to say: Imagine if Biden said it.
It's always low in these special elections. Lot of poorer voters with less formal education in the city that have bad turnout.
March 25, 2025 at 3:45 PM
It's always low in these special elections. Lot of poorer voters with less formal education in the city that have bad turnout.