Wes Pegden
wespegden.bsky.social
Wes Pegden
@wespegden.bsky.social
Mathematician, CMU
In fairness, it's a funny joke, and I think that may be all it is (rather than, say, a serious call to end math education).
December 15, 2024 at 7:27 PM
With data like this there's a Q of whether what you're seeing is really people being "wrong" about proportions vs not having enough numeracy for the concept to even be meaningful. If you ask enough state residency questions in this survey you're on track to have 1000% of the US pop living somewhere.
November 25, 2024 at 2:36 PM
What is your ideal format for a rain forecast?
November 23, 2024 at 8:32 PM
I'd be really interested in seeing your longer take on meteorology. For everything from hurricane landing probabilities to the probabilities of rain on Tuesday, these are forecasts that I think most people don't have any doubt have utility. Very curious to see the best argument against it!
November 23, 2024 at 5:48 PM
Few people covered themselves in glory in this timeperiod. The GBD was not great but it was not scientifically nonsensical. E.g. from a science standpoint the John Snow memo was arguably worse and if we impune everyone who signed either of these documents, few are left standing.
November 17, 2024 at 6:55 PM