Wangyin Zhao
@wangyinzhao.bsky.social
ESRC-Funded PhD student in Centre for Institutions and Political Behaviour at Durham University | Research natural disasters, civil wars, quantitative method, and Southeast Asia | Like hiking, cycling, and nature
Finally, huge thanks to everyone who supported and gave feedback during this project, especially indebted to my supervisors - Anouk Rigterink and @pmkuhn.bsky.social!
June 7, 2025 at 8:14 PM
Finally, huge thanks to everyone who supported and gave feedback during this project, especially indebted to my supervisors - Anouk Rigterink and @pmkuhn.bsky.social!
Key results:
1️⃣Shifts in territorial control increase in the territory within enclave & mixed settings.
2️⃣Battle-related violence increases only in the mixed setting.
3️⃣These impacts in enclave & mixed settings are stronger in rebel-controlled territories.
1️⃣Shifts in territorial control increase in the territory within enclave & mixed settings.
2️⃣Battle-related violence increases only in the mixed setting.
3️⃣These impacts in enclave & mixed settings are stronger in rebel-controlled territories.
June 7, 2025 at 8:14 PM
Key results:
1️⃣Shifts in territorial control increase in the territory within enclave & mixed settings.
2️⃣Battle-related violence increases only in the mixed setting.
3️⃣These impacts in enclave & mixed settings are stronger in rebel-controlled territories.
1️⃣Shifts in territorial control increase in the territory within enclave & mixed settings.
2️⃣Battle-related violence increases only in the mixed setting.
3️⃣These impacts in enclave & mixed settings are stronger in rebel-controlled territories.
🇵🇭 The study uses fine-grained data from the civil war between the New People's Army (NPA) and the Philippine government, 2012–2014.
June 7, 2025 at 8:14 PM
🇵🇭 The study uses fine-grained data from the civil war between the New People's Army (NPA) and the Philippine government, 2012–2014.
Here is what is new:
1️⃣A new moderator – spatial configuration of territorial control (homogeneous / enclave / mixed).
2️⃣Studies both shifts in territorial control and battle-related violence.
3️⃣ Introduces a new disaster exposure measure using high-resolution precipitation data 🌧️.
1️⃣A new moderator – spatial configuration of territorial control (homogeneous / enclave / mixed).
2️⃣Studies both shifts in territorial control and battle-related violence.
3️⃣ Introduces a new disaster exposure measure using high-resolution precipitation data 🌧️.
June 7, 2025 at 8:14 PM
Here is what is new:
1️⃣A new moderator – spatial configuration of territorial control (homogeneous / enclave / mixed).
2️⃣Studies both shifts in territorial control and battle-related violence.
3️⃣ Introduces a new disaster exposure measure using high-resolution precipitation data 🌧️.
1️⃣A new moderator – spatial configuration of territorial control (homogeneous / enclave / mixed).
2️⃣Studies both shifts in territorial control and battle-related violence.
3️⃣ Introduces a new disaster exposure measure using high-resolution precipitation data 🌧️.
Why do natural disasters escalate conflict in some areas but not others? 🌪️🔫
This paper offers new insight by introducing a new moderator of the spatial configuration of territorial control and finds that the impact of natural disasters varies across these spatial configurations.
This paper offers new insight by introducing a new moderator of the spatial configuration of territorial control and finds that the impact of natural disasters varies across these spatial configurations.
June 7, 2025 at 8:14 PM
Why do natural disasters escalate conflict in some areas but not others? 🌪️🔫
This paper offers new insight by introducing a new moderator of the spatial configuration of territorial control and finds that the impact of natural disasters varies across these spatial configurations.
This paper offers new insight by introducing a new moderator of the spatial configuration of territorial control and finds that the impact of natural disasters varies across these spatial configurations.
Why do natural disasters escalate conflict in some areas but not others? 🌪️🔫
This paper offers new insight by introducing a new moderator of the spatial configuration of territorial control and finds that the impact of natural disasters varies across these spatial configurations.
This paper offers new insight by introducing a new moderator of the spatial configuration of territorial control and finds that the impact of natural disasters varies across these spatial configurations.
June 7, 2025 at 8:09 PM
Why do natural disasters escalate conflict in some areas but not others? 🌪️🔫
This paper offers new insight by introducing a new moderator of the spatial configuration of territorial control and finds that the impact of natural disasters varies across these spatial configurations.
This paper offers new insight by introducing a new moderator of the spatial configuration of territorial control and finds that the impact of natural disasters varies across these spatial configurations.